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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Johnson's NBA Friday 2/1
CMJohnson1
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#1
Posted: 2/1/2013 10:56:09 AM
OVERALL RECORD:  139-129 (+12.45u)

Record vs. Spread/ML:  70-66  (+4.65u)
Record vs. O/U:  68-62  (+7.7u)
Record vs. Parlay:  1-1  (+0.1u)
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Hit my 3 unit play last year to end off the month on a good note.  Big board tonight, gotta keep the focus and plow on.  I will be looking into changing some things around, mainly limiting the plays down to one or two per day, but with either a 2 or 3 unit play.  Not sure if I will do that or not, but it's something I will look into.
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CMJohnson1
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#2
Posted: 2/1/2013 10:59:33 AM
Clippers vs. Raptors -

Might have to lay off this one because of the trade to receive Rudy Ghey from the Grizzlies.  Toughest stretch of the year begins tonight for the Raptors as they have the Heat and Celtics in the upcoming week.  This might qualify for a look ahead game for the Clippers as they have a big road test Sunday against the Celtics.  If anything right now in this game I would have to lean towards the UNDER because of the lineup limitations.
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CMJohnson1
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#3
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:02:21 AM
Heat vs. Pacers -

Initial lean in this game is towards the Heat, but I obviously would wan the line to move a little bit.  Had this one capped out as a 4 point win for the Heat.  Pacers have won 12 straight home games, but after the loss to the Celtics on Sunday, the Heat crushed the Nets in New Jersey, and I think they want to roll through the rest of this road trip.  If the line stays at 2 points however, you have to believe that the Pacers is the right play.  Total seems pretty close to perfect, as I had it as a 94-90 win for Miami
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CMJohnson1
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#4
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:07:55 AM
Magic vs. Celtics -

I still feel the same way about the Celtics that I felt about them in their game against the Kings.  Without Rondo for the rest of the season, and with Courtney Lee and Avery Bradley getting a lot more playing time, they become a much better overall defensive team.  They have consistent energy every night...specifically on the defensive end.  During this 7 game losing streak the Magic are averaging 95 points per game...boosted by the 105 and 100 they put up in the first two games.  Gotta figure the defensive pressure of the Celtics will keep them in the mid to high 80's...and even against the Magic weak defense, I don't think the Celtics have the offensive talent overall to get to 100 points...especially with a look ahead game to the Clippers on Sunday.  Big time lean towards the UNDER


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#5
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:11:10 AM
BOL!
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CMJohnson1
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#6
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:14:40 AM
Bulls vs. Nets -

Another game where I put the Nets in the mid 80's, which seems to be the norm for how many points the Bulls allow in games.  The question then becomes how many points will the Bulls score?  The line seems about a point or two too high right now...especially coming off that brutal loss against the Heat the other night for the Nets.  Will have to wait a while on this one as well, but if anything you have to play the UNDER
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#7
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:18:45 AM
I like your picks so far.  Do you know if Rudy 'Sad to play for a Canadian team' be suited up for tonight?
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CMJohnson1
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#8
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:22:14 AM
Bucks vs. Knicks -

Fishy line here.  Knicks rolling along, close to getting Jason Kidd back to be essentially fully healthy.  Larry Sanders more than likely out for the Bucks.  Big money early on the Knicks.  Line not moving yet.  That will be the deciding factor for any plays on this game.  Too many questions as to why this line is where it is.
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CMJohnson1
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#9
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:24:46 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Paidonjok:

I like your picks so far.  Do you know if Rudy 'Sad to play for a Canadian team' be suited up for tonight?


He will not


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CMJohnson1
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#10
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:27:10 AM
Kings vs. Sixers -

Kings in the middle of a brutal road trip, so you have to wonder how much energy and motivation they have for this game, which has been the biggest question overall for the Sixers this season.  Sixers will be without Jason Richardson once again for this game, so all of those factors would make me lean towards the UNDER if anything.  Probably a stay away game.
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#11
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:31:29 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:



He will not



Thanks a lot!  That's the key.  However, Toronto is packed with SF/SGs.  I am not sure what they are trying to achieve.  They really miss Bagnani.  
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#12
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:31:30 AM
Cavaliers vs. Pistons -

Initial lean in this game is for the UNDER.  First meeting hit 168 points and the second game was higher at 201...split the difference and this one should be somewhere in the 180's.  Cavs have a terrible defense, but the Pistons without Tayshaun Prince and Austin Daye will have a limited bench.
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#13
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:34:11 AM
Wizards vs. Grizzlies -

Did any of us see ANY reason at all last night to justify the Grizzlies being favored by 6 points?  The Wizards as we all know have been the hottest team in the NBA as far as ATS is concerned.  They've had a couple hiccups in the past couple games, but this might be one where they can get a win.  Grizzlies lost a guy that they truly cared about and was a huge asset to this team.
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CMJohnson1
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#14
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:37:26 AM
Hornets vs. Nuggets -

Yeah...this one almost has to go over the total doesn't it?  I figure the Nuggets have the opportunity to put up 115-120 once again on their home court...as they have averaged 112 in their last 8 home games.  Hornets defense certainly isn't world beaters in any way.  First meeting was on the lower side with only 186...this one should skyrocket no matter how many times I look at it
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CMJohnson1
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#15
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:39:39 AM
Blazers vs. Utah -

First game of the home and home matchup between these two...a couple injuries for the Jazz have limited them, especially at home where they are only 3-3 ATS in their last 6 home games.  They might win this game, but a cover might not be a definite with that either.  Probably going to stay away.
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#16
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:42:15 AM
Mavericks vs. Suns -

Gotta roll with the Mavericks if anything in this one.  Tough loss last night against the Warriors, and they are traveling in to Phoenix for this one...but they just keep covering and covering and covering.  Refs certainly aren't huge in the home team's favor...so that would tend towards the Mavericks as well...Dirk's injury didn't seem to hurt them too much last night, as they were still very competitive against a good solid team in the Warriors.
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#17
Posted: 2/1/2013 11:43:35 AM
Lakers vs. Wolves -

I'm not taking the Wolves in this one.  I simply can't back this team until they show me that they have a desire to play hard despite all their injuries.  Lakers should win this game by 20, but it's the Lakers and they probably won't
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#18
Posted: 2/1/2013 12:03:26 PM
LOVE YOUR INSIGHT.  i went with philly money line cause i'm hoping your right about sac road trip and philly attempting to gain traction on the long homestand and the emergence of nick young (more reliable shooter than r-rich, who's injured).  had to take the sucker boston -480 ml.  orlando wasn't winning with baby davis!  and now with your push, i bet washington +6.5   memphis players saying the right thing.  but silicon valley/new york ownership see this as a business traded away half their team.  and, after all, the money has become mind boggling.  
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#19
Posted: 2/1/2013 1:40:11 PM
Hey CM do u think the nuggets will put up more than 105.5 ttp???
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#20
Posted: 2/1/2013 1:44:07 PM
I was really surprised with the fight that I saw from DAL last night... I think they go into PHX and crush them tonight. PHX will be riding high off of the LAL win but they are going to be facing an ultra-pissed off DAL squad that feels like they got robbed of two road wins in POR and GSW (and its hard to argue with them). They know they need to pick up this game as a road win to off-set those two ref losses.
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CMJohnson1
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#21
Posted: 2/1/2013 2:24:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stevenp:

LOVE YOUR INSIGHT.  i went with philly money line cause i'm hoping your right about sac road trip and philly attempting to gain traction on the long homestand and the emergence of nick young (more reliable shooter than r-rich, who's injured).  had to take the sucker boston -480 ml.  orlando wasn't winning with baby davis!  and now with your push, i bet washington +6.5   memphis players saying the right thing.  but silicon valley/new york ownership see this as a business traded away half their team.  and, after all, the money has become mind boggling.  


Boston ML should be put into a 2team parlay if you want to play that
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CMJohnson1
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#22
Posted: 2/1/2013 2:28:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

I was really surprised with the fight that I saw from DAL last night... I think they go into PHX and crush them tonight. PHX will be riding high off of the LAL win but they are going to be facing an ultra-pissed off DAL squad that feels like they got robbed of two road wins in POR and GSW (and its hard to argue with them). They know they need to pick up this game as a road win to off-set those two ref losses.


Yeah but I don't know if last night's effort was all they had without Dirk.  Suns did beat the Lakers at home, and may want to keep that going.  Tough call either way
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CMJohnson1
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#23
Posted: 2/1/2013 2:29:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Bigballs808:

Hey CM do u think the nuggets will put up more than 105.5 ttp???


92% yes
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#24
Posted: 2/1/2013 2:29:37 PM
 Nice Work
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#25
Posted: 2/1/2013 2:32:40 PM
thoughts on DAL / PHX under??  

Goodluck tonight Johnson
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