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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: CMM's NBA Friday
CrazyMilkMan
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#1
Posted: 11/30/2012 1:42:00 AM

Spurs just threw a middle finger at the NBA with that move. IMO it's genius. We could've hoped for a push. Anyway, here's for Friday:

 

Charlotte Bobcats +3.0
Big game for the Cats. Their last game against the Hawks was big as well but ended up faltering in the last few minutes of the game. One more win and they have surpassed last game's win total. Looking ahead to their schedule, they won't have any other easier game until say on the 7th in Milwaukee or the 15th hosting Orlando. So in a way, this game will be huge for them. I also like their chances against the 76ers. They are just about even in every other category except the bench production. Cats are almost +10 in the category. 76ers is also one of those team that is the weakest in defending the arc. They are allowing 41% on the road which would make the Cats look deadlier out there. Jrue cancels out Kemba and that's all about the marquee matchup in this one. It should be a close one with the Cats coming out on top 92-89.

 

Oklahoma City Thunders -9.0
...and yes I'm expecting another blow out. OKC's front court can neutralize the Jazz' size. Also, it's not a secret that the Jazz is just one of those good at home but a terrible team on the road. What else can i say? Hmm.. Durant drops some crazy numbers or something.

 

Pistons/Grizzlies UNDER 191.0
I think there's a message being send when the team they are supposed to play next just sat out their best players before hosting your team. Grizzlies will have this in mind when they play the Pistons and will most look ahead to that one. The Pistons is hard to cap at the moment. They have been made huge dogs but came out 1-2 from it. Grizzlies were double digit faves twice but only gotten a split. So the UNDER seem like the best play when you're looking at a stat that say's they are 1-4 O/U against teams below .500. Both teams also plays with a big front court and so the battle will ensue there. Expect a lot of half court set and forced shots from Detroit here. Grizzlies will be themselves here playing good D. I see a 98-87 type of game here.

 

 

 

Honorable Mentions:

Wizards/Knicks UNDER 190.5 - A blow out that is far from happening. Knicks tend to slow down at the half after starting the first one strong. I see them pulling away here early and the Wizards trying to make a game out of it but fail. Cue in the Knicks-Bucks game.

Atlanta Hawks -8.5 - Perfect spot to play them. They just got beat ATS-wise by the Cats in a close one then opens up this much dog against the Cavs who has been covering huge spread. Good play against "public perception" here. Hawks probably wins by double digit here.

Milwaukee Bucks +2.5
You gotta love this low line. Don't over think this one. Bucks gets away here catching the T'wolves on such a bad scheduling. Home team takes a 3 day off after this one after stretching 6 games in 10 days.

 

BOL.

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#2
Posted: 11/30/2012 1:52:20 AM
weird night in the nba tonight.

what are your thoughts on boston/portland tomorrow?  i don't have the line yet.  even though the celtics have been a hard team to bet on thus far and they'll be without rondo, they have a pretty good record when rondo has been suspended in the past (i think it's something like 4-1 ML anyway)
before heading to milwaukee on saturday i think they pull out a solid W against the blazers.  depending what the line is anyways...
BOL!
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#3
Posted: 11/30/2012 1:52:25 AM
Heat are just lazy idiots who doesn't play hard if they don't have to.  Most teams would have played hard to take big lead and then rest with bench playing last half of 4Q. I hope they don't win finals this year.

Good call on Warriors  

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Dogjimbo
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#4
Posted: 11/30/2012 1:59:41 AM
  Got Milk?
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CrazyMilkMan
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Posted: 11/30/2012 3:03:36 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by kvnjensen:

weird night in the nba tonight.

what are your thoughts on boston/portland tomorrow?  i don't have the line yet.  even though the celtics have been a hard team to bet on thus far and they'll be without rondo, they have a pretty good record when rondo has been suspended in the past (i think it's something like 4-1 ML anyway)
before heading to milwaukee on saturday i think they pull out a solid W against the blazers.  depending what the line is anyways...
BOL!

Boston is simply on my auto-fade without Rondo. 6% of thier offense starts from him. Without a real facilitator, they are dead.

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CrazyMilkMan
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Posted: 11/30/2012 3:07:55 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Dogjimbo:

  Got Milk?

Jimbo

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CrazyMilkMan
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Posted: 11/30/2012 3:08:54 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WinSeeker:

Heat are just lazy idiots who doesn't play hard if they don't have to.  Most teams would have played hard to take big lead and then rest with bench playing last half of 4Q. I hope they don't win finals this year.

Good call on Warriors  

They really weren't motivated. They've been on cruise control since the start of the season so we should expect that from them especially when playing the weaker teams.

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#8
Posted: 11/30/2012 3:25:19 AM
i love your insight.  and you're hot the past few days, which bums me out that you picked charlotte with such solid reasoning.  the two teams have different rosters; philly with less change.  i see a philly win, whether the cover the three is the biggest factor.  dunlop has charlotte playing well-- sessions, gordon, and the emergence of kemba gives charlotte more scoring.  i'm praying for the gordan tail off.  poor game off a great game (his mo since detroit signed him).  i like doug collins against .500 or less teams with two day's preparation.  i'm banking on the improved true and the emergence of eaven turner.  should be a good one.  your reasoning for a charlotte's motivation-- VERY SOUND.  this is a huge measuring stick game for charlotte.  the OKC blowout should also have them motivated.   good luck!
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#9
Posted: 11/30/2012 3:32:03 AM
i think the t-wolves are gonna have a good game. i really dont think the bucks will be able to handle the guys up front from t-wolves. Love Machine is doing great so far this year aswell as pekovic and with the addition of kirilenko this is a good team. even better when rubio comes back
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#10
Posted: 11/30/2012 3:48:50 AM
you think Jrue and Kemba cancel each other out?
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Posted: 11/30/2012 6:02:15 AM
BOL tomorrow CMM and guys!
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#12
Posted: 11/30/2012 6:52:21 AM
BOL cmm
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#13
Posted: 11/30/2012 7:03:02 AM
BOL CMM
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#14
Posted: 11/30/2012 7:28:39 AM
Nailed the warriors last night also. Love the OKC pick and I like Memphis to cover tonight. Thought?
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#15
Posted: 11/30/2012 7:29:39 AM
Also, love Charlotte as one of teams that are going to play well and keep covering. They were on my list as a team who finally wants to win. 
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Posted: 11/30/2012 7:46:39 AM
Thoughts on LALA land? 
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Posted: 11/30/2012 7:47:56 AM
Bol tonight...
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#18
Posted: 11/30/2012 8:07:19 AM
They been Hard to bet. I've been going against them and winning, however tonight looks a little fishy to play against the Lakers
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Posted: 11/30/2012 9:28:56 AM
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#20
Posted: 11/30/2012 10:40:14 AM
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#21
Posted: 11/30/2012 10:49:48 AM
Good luck!
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#22
Posted: 11/30/2012 10:50:37 AM
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#23
Posted: 11/30/2012 11:23:59 AM

1. You've been backing the bobcats a lot this season. Do you think they've been undervalued by the books or you have a slight bias for them? (just food for thought)

2. I like OKC, not sure about pistons o/u. They can score and not a great defending team.

3. How you liking the nets -4?

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#24
Posted: 11/30/2012 11:24:27 AM
What do we think about Memphis? 
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#25
Posted: 11/30/2012 12:15:52 PM
Good luck CMM!
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