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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Johnson's NBA Thursday 11/8
CMJohnson1
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#1
Posted: 11/8/2012 1:38:44 AM
OVERALL RECORD:  18-6 (+20u)

Record vs. Spread:  9-3  (+10.6u)
Record vs. O/U:  9-3  (+9.4u)

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Only a 2-2 night on Wednesday, but I hit my two bigger money plays to end up in the positive numbers for the night.  Completely misjudged both of the losses, as the Nets didn't do garbage inside, and the Nuggets and Rockets looked dead.  On to Thursday night, where a limited amount of plays means big profits!!
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#2
Posted: 11/8/2012 1:45:32 AM
 small win...big win...ill take either...gl tomm...will be following u
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BigRomes916
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#3
Posted: 11/8/2012 1:46:43 AM
What are your bets bud?
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#4
Posted: 11/8/2012 1:47:02 AM
Okc to the bank.
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CMJohnson1
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#5
Posted: 11/8/2012 1:47:48 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BigRomes916:

What are your bets bud?


Calm down bud!!  Still 17 hours until gametime!!
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#6
Posted: 11/8/2012 1:52:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:



Calm down bud!!  Still 17 hours until gametime!!
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CMJohnson1
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#7
Posted: 11/8/2012 1:56:56 AM
Right now I am strongly leaning Chicago.  The Thunder have alternated wins and losses so far this season, and the Bulls are in the middle of their longest home stretch of the year.  You know they have been looking at this game ever since the schedule came out.  I think they come out strong in this one...might just be a first quarter/first half type of play however.
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CMJohnson1
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#8
Posted: 11/8/2012 2:00:34 AM
Going back the past couple years, teams on a back to back on Thursday nights have traditionally struggled ATS...so that might make me throw something on Portland as well.
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nWhat
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#9
Posted: 11/8/2012 2:42:39 AM
Better luck tomro Bol
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#10
Posted: 11/8/2012 2:54:54 AM
BOL mate. 
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#11
Posted: 11/8/2012 4:14:50 AM
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#12
Posted: 11/8/2012 7:39:31 AM
BOL
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#13
Posted: 11/8/2012 7:50:18 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:



Calm down bud!!  Still 17 hours until gametime!!



Then why start a thread? Oh, that's right, got to get those views up

It's unbelievable how womanly men can be.
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alekomtz
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#14
Posted: 11/8/2012 9:00:27 AM
Bol todaycm!
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#15
Posted: 11/8/2012 9:45:49 AM
CM.....

BOL TONIGHT....
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#16
Posted: 11/8/2012 9:47:27 AM
Waitin lol.
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#17
Posted: 11/8/2012 9:50:12 AM
GL on the plays.  Nice start to the season
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#18
Posted: 11/8/2012 9:58:40 AM
I like OKC here 

CHicago was losing from the start until 4th quarters vs Orlando last game .. + Orl was without J.Nelson

ALso they manage to lose to one of the worst offense (Hornets without Gordon and Davis)

KD only played 29min vs Tor he didnt play in the 4th quarters..+ is best game this season is 23pts I feel like hes going to go hard tonight.


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#19
Posted: 11/8/2012 10:29:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by livingod:

I like OKC here 

CHicago was losing from the start until 4th quarters vs Orlando last game .. + Orl was without J.Nelson

ALso they manage to lose to one of the worst offense (Hornets without Gordon and Davis)

KD only played 29min vs Tor he didnt play in the 4th quarters..+ is best game this season is 23pts I feel like hes going to go hard tonight.



Vegas knows this.... and still the short line. This one is alot like the Clippers last night. I'm leaning the Bulls! Trying to out think Vegas = BOL Everyone 
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#20
Posted: 11/8/2012 10:31:00 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Jim_Tressel:




Then why start a thread? Oh, that's right, got to get those views up

It's unbelievable how womanly men can be.
Look who's back!
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#21
Posted: 11/8/2012 11:14:43 AM

THIS IS MY DEBUT PICK OKC -2.5

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#22
Posted: 11/8/2012 11:17:18 AM
Great start so far bro.  Keep it up. 
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#23
Posted: 11/8/2012 11:28:03 AM
Hey Jim Tressel--

Maybe he's a stand up guy unlike you.  Putting his thoughts out there on the game a today is just fine with me and most the forum.  

You, on the other hand can go play in the street.  Nobody will miss a miserable human being like yourself.
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#24
Posted: 11/8/2012 11:54:20 AM
I've been looking at this game.  A couple things stand out here to me.  One, Chicago hasn't played anybody yet this year.  Yes, they will come with energy as it's a televised game in the middle of a home stand but energy doesn't always equal wins and covers (captain obvious I know).  Secondly, you can cap OKC easiest by just looking at their trend for turnovers and assists.  When their assists are down, the ball is sticking and while they have good 1 on 1 players, they tend to play close games or lose.  Subsequenty, their turnovers go way up.  Thibs teams feast on turnovers even without D. Rose.  Westbrook got killed by the media and coaches after his last televised performance against the spurs where he hogged the ball and took terrible shots.  Last game he came out and was moving the ball, had 8 assists.  Tonight, look for a good game from him and a fresh Durant.  Plus, OKC has the bigs to contend with Noah and Boozer which for the bulls they HAVE to generate offense or else they can't stay in this game.

Vegas is vegas for a reason and this short line will draw a lot of OKC action but I think OKC is the play.  Last thing I look at is the individual match ups that will be there in the 1st and 4th quarters.  Westbrook vs. Heinrich is a big MM.  Sefalosha and Durants size create other mismatches on the perimeter and as I said, Perkins and Ibaka can stay with Boozer and Noah.

Best of luck.
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CMJohnson1
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#25
Posted: 11/8/2012 12:39:39 PM
Oklahoma City vs. Chicago UNDER 190  (1.1 to win 1)

I appreciate the thoughts and suggestions from everyone, all very valid points.  What I looked at ultimately was the the OKC Thunder thrive and survive on free throws, averaging 26.5 attempts per game so far this season.  Shooting 82% also doesn't hurt that statistic...they are aggressive and try to drive to the hoop as much as possible.  The Bulls on the other hand are one of the best in the league at not allowing teams to get to the line...only allowing about 20 FTA per game.  The only way for the Bulls to contend in this game is to slow it wayyyyy down, force the Thunder into jump shots, and hopefully get a bunch of turnovers from a selfish Russell Westbrook. 

Prediction:  Thunder 92  Bulls 90
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