Posted:
#1
I don't have stats to back this up but after keeping a close eye on this trend last year, I feel betting the under in 2nd qtr's can be a profitable play. Im sure anyone thats ever bet a 1H over has seen 50+ points in the 1st only to lose on a 40 or below 2nd many times.
There are a few factors that I see why this happens, first and foremost is that starters are normally on the bench til around the 8-6 minute mark of the 2nd. Nba has always been a top heavy league compared to other sports, 4 or 5 teams have a legit shot at winning it year in and year out, who actually has a good bench in the rest of the league? Will have to look more closely to see which teams have an actual legit backup PG to run some semblance of an offense.
Another factor I see is even when the starters do re-enter the game, its still the 2nd quarter and not the 4th where the game is ultimately decided. Guys are trying to get their stats, lineups that dont normally get alot of time together (starters and bench) can be put out there deep into the 2nd and foul trouble can all influence the scoring in the quarter.
So Im making this thread to keep track of the record of the games I do decide to play, discussion of the night's games and if anyone else has any strong leans or plays themselves. I played my 1st 2Q under bet ever last night (not posted) in the La/Dal game 46.5 so hoping to contribute some winning plays. Will be back later after looking more closely at the games.
GL on the season
There are a few factors that I see why this happens, first and foremost is that starters are normally on the bench til around the 8-6 minute mark of the 2nd. Nba has always been a top heavy league compared to other sports, 4 or 5 teams have a legit shot at winning it year in and year out, who actually has a good bench in the rest of the league? Will have to look more closely to see which teams have an actual legit backup PG to run some semblance of an offense.
Another factor I see is even when the starters do re-enter the game, its still the 2nd quarter and not the 4th where the game is ultimately decided. Guys are trying to get their stats, lineups that dont normally get alot of time together (starters and bench) can be put out there deep into the 2nd and foul trouble can all influence the scoring in the quarter.
So Im making this thread to keep track of the record of the games I do decide to play, discussion of the night's games and if anyone else has any strong leans or plays themselves. I played my 1st 2Q under bet ever last night (not posted) in the La/Dal game 46.5 so hoping to contribute some winning plays. Will be back later after looking more closely at the games.
GL on the season
0
Hot Forum Topics
