Tracking Men's Olympic Basketball

Forum: NBA Betting
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Tracking Men's Olympic Basketball
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Posted: 8/4/2012 2:15:48 AM
TEAM ATS Record O/U APF APA
Australia 3-0 0/3 74 73
Tunisia  3-0 1/2 62 90(Played US)
TUSA 2-1 3/0 121 69
France 2-1 2/1 75 79(Played US)
Great Britain 2-1 2/1 73 83
Russia 2-1 1/2 83 69
Argentina 1-2 2/1 86 73
Brazil 1-2 0/3 72 69
China 1-2 1/2 72 83
Lithuania 1-2 2/1 74 77
Spain 1-2 2/1 84 76
Nigeria  0-3 1/2 62 95(Played US)

Notes:
Favorites are 8-10, O/U are 9-9
France is the only SU upset, vs Argentina-6 as +230 dog.
China gives up the most offensive rebounds, 13 per game, while only collecting 4 ORPG.
Australia's total has been 149 twice and both times it went U.
- The Spain/Australia total was set 7 points high at 156 and went U.
- The Aussies three games have gone U by an average of 5.5 ppg. 
Not including TUSA, The Boomers shoot the most three pointers. 1/3 of Australia's shots are 3's, but they are only making 22% from 3 land.

Dumb, random observation:
Argentina -6 vs Lithuania, winner. Next game Arg-6 vs France, loser.
Tunisia +24 vs Argentina, winner. Next game Tun+24 vs France, ????

TUSA/Lithuania total 186 is the highest yet. 
China/Brazil total 145 is the lowest total yet.

The last game of the day has gone over all three days.
4headies PM 4headies
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Posted: 8/4/2012 1:58:48 PM
Australia/Great Britain
Australia has solid guard play, GB doesn't (16 turnovers per game)
Australia can and will light it up from downtown. 
Australia is has a deeper bench than GB
-Aussie 22+ bench ppg, GB 11 bench ppg.
Australia shoots 76 FG per game, GB only 65 FG per game.

Australia and the over 87-71
hickey1998 PM hickey1998
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Posted: 8/4/2012 2:28:39 PM
smart play~i'm with U~BOL!
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Posted: 8/4/2012 5:32:49 PM
Australia finally got it going offensively in the second half. 
Great Britain is going to beat China Monday.
fogobis13 PM fogobis13
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Posted: 8/4/2012 5:59:42 PM
thank you for the info, made me take the over in the GB game.... i agree GB will destroy china especially if yi is still out
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Posted: 8/8/2012 5:02:23 AM
UPDATED ATS and O/U: 
Australia 5-0  2-3
TUSA 3-2 5-0
Brazil 3-2 2-3
Russia  3-2 3-2
Lithuania 2-3 3-2
France 2-3 2-3
Argentina 1-4 4-1
Spain 1-4 4-1

Notes:
This will be the last game for anyone chasing Australia ATS loss. In this same game, TUSA will be going for 6 straight OVERS. 

OVER is 12-6 last 18 Olympic games. 8-4 OVER in games played between two quarterfinals teams (6-1 last 7). The average total of those games 153.5 (not including TUSA cause the total skews the stats).
Argentina and Spain OVER last three 
Brazil, Russia, and Australia OVER last two
The last game of the day has gone OVER everyday (TUSA has played all but 2).

4 dogs have won SU. 

Lithuania is the only team left that gets out scored in the first half. Average 36-38
Spain is the only team that left gets out scored in the second half. Average 40-44

My conclusion:
Spain/France UNDER 76 First Half
Argentina/Brazil UNDER 79 First Half

Russia -7 
Brazil +3.5 ML+150 UNDER 159
TUSA -33 UNDER 189

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Posted: 8/8/2012 5:51:00 AM
Meaningless, unless...
I just noticed that Australia's men's team 5-0 ATS vs TUSA and the women are 0-6 ATS vs TUSA. 
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Posted: 8/8/2012 7:39:37 AM
Spain is a sleeping giant. Only three players have logged 30+ minutes in a game the entire tournament, creating a deep team with a very capable bench. This can help explain the ATS 1-4 and the 4-1 OVERS. Unless foul trouble, I expect Spain gives the Gasol's and Calderon 30+ minutes today.
Ibaka has played as many as 21 minutes and as few as 9 minutes. He is 21-33 from the field averaging more than a half point per minute played. Throw in his 2 blocks per appearance and you have the most efficient player on the team. 

Spain leads the field in free throws made and attempted (91-126), France 64-92 from the charity strip. 
France shoots way too many three pointers (30/106 from deep), Spain 29-85.

France's victory over Argentina-6 was a well deserved win, but Argentina is not Spain. Spain will grind this one out. 

Spain 82-68

Rostos PM Rostos
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Posted: 8/8/2012 8:04:50 AM

"France is the only SU upset, vs Argentina-6 as +230 dog."

Aus beat Russia and Brazil beat Spain...

Both were upsets

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Posted: 8/8/2012 8:16:19 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Rostos:

"France is the only SU upset, vs Argentina-6 as +230 dog."

Aus beat Russia and Brazil beat Spain...

Both were upsets

I started this thread August 4. In my post today, I updated that stat "4 dogs have won SU." Those 4 barking dogs were France, Russia (beat Spain), Australia, and Brazil. 
I hope I helped clear things up. 
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Posted: 8/8/2012 8:36:53 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 4headies:

I started this thread August 4. In my post today, I updated that stat "4 dogs have won SU." Those 4 barking dogs were France, Russia (beat Spain), Australia, and Brazil. 
I hope I helped clear things up. 

Gotcha

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Posted: 8/8/2012 11:08:23 AM
Yo soy fiesta, Geaux Spain.
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Posted: 8/8/2012 11:11:56 AM
Spain -6 and UNDER 154.5
coldcap PM coldcap
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Posted: 8/8/2012 1:12:11 PM
coldcap PM coldcap
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Posted: 8/8/2012 1:12:34 PM
U playin bra and U?

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Posted: 8/8/2012 1:18:37 PM
The age old question, should I keep going and risk friggin up an already perfect day? Considering the fact that I am already locked in with Brazil first half UNDER and Brazil +3.5 and +150, I am not stopping today. 
I had Cleveland -1.5 +172 too
coldcap PM coldcap
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Posted: 8/8/2012 1:21:37 PM
 Thats what i was thinking too. Our luck might ran out alredy. Thats why i ashed you. Lol. How u feelin bout the rest of ur plays.  Think u gonna get at least 3 out 5 of your olympic picks? What mlb u likin later? Might tail your luck
DickTracy PM DickTracy
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Posted: 8/8/2012 1:24:40 PM
Like Brazil as well. Nice day so far.
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Posted: 8/8/2012 1:26:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by coldcap:

 Thats what i was thinking too. Our luck might ran out alredy. Thats why i ashed you. Lol. How u feelin bout the rest of ur plays.  Think u gonna get at least 3 out 5 of your olympic picks? What mlb u likin later? Might tail your luck

Just flip a coin, that's all I'm doin.
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