FUTURE - Los Angeles Clippers to win series (+175)
This is strictly a value bet on the better team with the best player on the court. The Clippers are statistically better than the Grizzlies as I have them projected at +1.31 ppg in this series. This number is derived using my power rankings system which ranks the Clippers #9 and Memphis #13 out of the 16 teams in the playoffs. The Clippers also have the best player on the court in Chris Paul. He may be coming back from an injury, but his injury is nothing serious like what Derek Rose has been dealing with and if he says he's good to go, than that's good enough for me. His net +/- PER rating of +13.4 this season puts him in an elite category of superstars - nobody on Memphis comes even close to this number. So why is Memphis almost a 2-1 favorite to win this series? Well obviously they have home court advantage. The public also remembers that this Memphis team knocked off the Spurs in the first round as an 8 seed last year. With Zach Randolph also back in the line-up, the public was quick to get on the Grizzly bandwagon. I'm not buying into it. The Clippers are a bad draw for Memphis. Memphis is a slightly above average defensive team, but they rely on turnovers and getting into a transition game to beat their opponents. Well the Clippers can frustrate both of these strengths. They're ranked #2 in ball security and they prefer to run a slow methodical half court offense (ranked #23 in pace). Setting this series line at +175/-195 suggests the Memphis has a 66.1% chance to win this series. Here's where the value comes into play. Given the Clippers advantages in pure statistics and offensive style I think this series is much closer to a 50/50 toss up than the Vegas line suggests. I said in my write-up that I'd cautiously side with the home team, but after further analysis I believe the Clippers can grab a road win after all. I'm a value investor, and this Clipper line is the epitome of that principle; gotta take it.
FUTURE - Los Angeles Clippers to win series (+175)
This is strictly a value bet on the better team with the best player on the court. The Clippers are statistically better than the Grizzlies as I have them projected at +1.31 ppg in this series. This number is derived using my power rankings system which ranks the Clippers #9 and Memphis #13 out of the 16 teams in the playoffs. The Clippers also have the best player on the court in Chris Paul. He may be coming back from an injury, but his injury is nothing serious like what Derek Rose has been dealing with and if he says he's good to go, than that's good enough for me. His net +/- PER rating of +13.4 this season puts him in an elite category of superstars - nobody on Memphis comes even close to this number. So why is Memphis almost a 2-1 favorite to win this series? Well obviously they have home court advantage. The public also remembers that this Memphis team knocked off the Spurs in the first round as an 8 seed last year. With Zach Randolph also back in the line-up, the public was quick to get on the Grizzly bandwagon. I'm not buying into it. The Clippers are a bad draw for Memphis. Memphis is a slightly above average defensive team, but they rely on turnovers and getting into a transition game to beat their opponents. Well the Clippers can frustrate both of these strengths. They're ranked #2 in ball security and they prefer to run a slow methodical half court offense (ranked #23 in pace). Setting this series line at +175/-195 suggests the Memphis has a 66.1% chance to win this series. Here's where the value comes into play. Given the Clippers advantages in pure statistics and offensive style I think this series is much closer to a 50/50 toss up than the Vegas line suggests. I said in my write-up that I'd cautiously side with the home team, but after further analysis I believe the Clippers can grab a road win after all. I'm a value investor, and this Clipper line is the epitome of that principle; gotta take it.
I took the Clippers to win 4-2. I figure if they are going to winitwill be at home. The Payout is +500
Agreed. Game 7's go to the home team more than 70% of the time in the NBA. I think LAC can sweep their home games and that just leaves 1/3 to win on the road. At +500, you've got a tasty bet. My local doesn't offer exact series results otherwise I would have taken a look at this one myself. Good luck!
I took the Clippers to win 4-2. I figure if they are going to winitwill be at home. The Payout is +500
Agreed. Game 7's go to the home team more than 70% of the time in the NBA. I think LAC can sweep their home games and that just leaves 1/3 to win on the road. At +500, you've got a tasty bet. My local doesn't offer exact series results otherwise I would have taken a look at this one myself. Good luck!
No action on this game until halftime maybe. I've got the total projected way higher than the line Vegas came out with. So much higher in fact that it's throwing up a red flag. Maybe they know something I don't? In fact, I'm sure they do. Either way, let's go Clippers!
No action on this game until halftime maybe. I've got the total projected way higher than the line Vegas came out with. So much higher in fact that it's throwing up a red flag. Maybe they know something I don't? In fact, I'm sure they do. Either way, let's go Clippers!
Did I say the Clippers would sweep the series? No. I said they would win the series. We're halfway through the first game. I'm a long way from being wrong on all counts.
Did I say the Clippers would sweep the series? No. I said they would win the series. We're halfway through the first game. I'm a long way from being wrong on all counts.
Did I say the Clippers would sweep the series? No. I said they would win the series. We're halfway through the first game. I'm a long way from being wrong on all counts.
This series is over. You're kidding yourself if you think different.
Did I say the Clippers would sweep the series? No. I said they would win the series. We're halfway through the first game. I'm a long way from being wrong on all counts.
This series is over. You're kidding yourself if you think different.
I don't know why so many of you are already considering this series in the books. It's a 7 game series and this is game 1. The Clippers are only down 6 with a few minutes to go despite Memphis shooting 11/16 from beyond the arc. I never said the Clippers would sweep. In fact I said in my write-up that this is the most evenly matched series in the first round of the playoffs and I expect it to go the distance. A lot of you are going to sound pretty silly if the Clippers end up taking this series.
I don't know why so many of you are already considering this series in the books. It's a 7 game series and this is game 1. The Clippers are only down 6 with a few minutes to go despite Memphis shooting 11/16 from beyond the arc. I never said the Clippers would sweep. In fact I said in my write-up that this is the most evenly matched series in the first round of the playoffs and I expect it to go the distance. A lot of you are going to sound pretty silly if the Clippers end up taking this series.
Even if the clips take this one, i still think the Grizz take the series. Grizz just got comfortable abd once you get comfortable its tough to go back to 100% if you need to
Even if the clips take this one, i still think the Grizz take the series. Grizz just got comfortable abd once you get comfortable its tough to go back to 100% if you need to
I will say that blake looked a lot better in the second half than i expected. If griffin can play like that consistently throughout the series then they do have a chance
I will say that blake looked a lot better in the second half than i expected. If griffin can play like that consistently throughout the series then they do have a chance
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