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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Aiming for a modest 66.6% winning clip till end of season
mondaman send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 3/18/2012 1:01:09 AM
Been here at covers for quite a long time now, finally decided to post, primarily to monitor my Record, and hopefully to get some inputs from the community.

Here goes: NBA SUNDAY

Okc -10
I look for KD and company to right the ship with a big win vs. a Por side that currently sucks, more so on the road. I know Por just won at Chi, but I look at that as a fluke rather than a trend. KD's final word on current home struggles:"We can't be relaxed because we're at home. Just because we're at home, we're not going to win games. We've just got to come out with a sense of urgency, play harder and we'll be all right."

Atl -2
Atl owns Cle, and I don't see any reason to deviate from this trend. Atl's current three guard lineup (Teague, Williams, Johnson) would make matters worse for Irving and Co. Side note: Jason Collins is expected to be back for this game.

Mem -12.5
Mem needs this win, as they gear up for a stretch of nine of 11 on the road, while only three games ahead of the ninth spot in the Western Conference. Was has had major problems at FedEx Forum, and Zach's presence, coupled with Nene's absence, will even make it worse.



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#2
Posted: 3/18/2012 1:05:25 AM
on OKC and ATL too gl
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#3
Posted: 3/18/2012 1:44:10 AM

going big on ATL 2morrow

OKC will play hard.....hopefully they will get up big 16 or so

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#4
Posted: 3/18/2012 9:23:29 AM
Add: Uta -11

I know, I know, LAL is 19-2 at Home and Uta is 5-16 on the road. Big Al won't play and Sessions is a big upgrade at point for Lal. Uta coming off an OT win, so they will be fatigued. Lal is on a 5gm winning streak. All point to an LAL win, but 11pts for me is a bit too much, specially with the way Favors played vs GSW. I'm thinking Lal wins by around 7-9 pts.  
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#5
Posted: 3/18/2012 9:24:26 AM
Sorry, I meant Uta +11
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#6
Posted: 3/18/2012 9:44:21 AM
i like your write ups. 
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#7
Posted: 3/18/2012 9:48:48 AM

66% is great, not modest.

Virtually impossible in the long run.

Good luck with your bets!!

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#8
Posted: 3/18/2012 8:25:43 PM
Add also: Hou +6.5
Got insight from one of the posters here that with or without Kmart and Lowry, Hou is a tough one to crack, specially with playoff posturing now very important. Besides, Hou has always been a tough opponent for Pho.
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#9
Posted: 3/18/2012 8:31:07 PM

66% a modest outlook over 500 plays or more?

 

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#10
Posted: 3/19/2012 5:59:42 AM
3-2 Sunday for 60%. Losses were Hou to Pho (Michael Redd entered a time machine!) and Mem (which decided to play only in one of four quarters ). 

On to NBA Monday:

Njn -4
Cle and Njn went opposite directions in the trade deadline. Cle traded Sessions and stacked up for the future, whereas Njn went all in now and got Crash Wallace. Cle gets points for looking ahead, but for tomorrow and for now, I like Njn even at -4. Say what you want about him, but Wallace fills a huge hole at small forward and brings defense to Njn that ranks last on that end of the floor. I like Njn here even more considering Varejao (huge x-factor) is still out for the Cavs.


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#11
Posted: 3/19/2012 6:06:54 AM
Leans for now:
Gsw -1.5, but I will only pull trigger if Pekovic does not play. Anybody have any update on this?

Without Pek, I think Lee cancels out KLove, and imo, that would be enough for a Gsw win, absence of Curry and Ellis notwithstanding.

Dal -4, but only if I get confirmation that Mcgee and Chandler still wont suit up. Again, any update on their status?

I can't bet on Dal if the frontcourt matchups read injured Haywood and Mahini vs. Faried, Chandler and Mcgee.
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#12
Posted: 3/19/2012 7:27:48 AM
i cant believe d will took 24 shots last game

a little too much
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#13
Posted: 3/19/2012 10:00:17 AM

66 % is attainable when limiting daily wagers like 2 - 4 games and really pick your situational spots !

teams playing 4 games in 5 nights vs rested teams

teams in off of tough dog losses when they were down 21 points then up 10 and just lost it final 2 minutes of game to cover as  a dog !

That was what happened to wolves yesterday - 1 point at kings who just won by 29 points ats !

and ONE team right now is just a bad favored team the Clippers !

no matter who they play they cannot cover !

BUT i think with Young added now they will have exploisve offense again and strat waxing teams again !

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#14
Posted: 3/20/2012 6:13:08 AM
Slipped in a Dal -4 bet last night, got to 1-1 Monday, 4-3 overall for 57%.


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#15
Posted: 3/20/2012 7:37:47 AM
NBA Tuesday is a little tricky, with no clear lines that will jump on you, but such is the nature of gambling, so here goes:

Ind -3.5
IND has one victory in its last nine games vs teams with winning records, and I look for them to really want this one vs LAC. IND is just a half game up on Atl and a mere 2 gms ahead of Bos, so I believe they will "bring it" in this game. I've also taken the stance that LAC has been grossly overrated ever since Billup's injury, which explains my bias towards IND here.

Pho +10.5
Two red hot teams collide in Pho vs Mia, and I just think that Pho is not getting the respect that it currently deserves. I still think Mia wins, just not by double digits.

Por -4
For all its current woes, Por is still a formidable customer at home. Mil gambled that Ellis and Jennings can work well as a backcourt duo, and they are indeed explosive, but a one game sample cannot yet change my mind to go against Por at home.      

Nyk -8.5
Looking for Woodsanity to continue in this game. Nyk's great pool of talent is finally showing signs of chemistry, and I am riding them until the wheels fall off.   
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#16
Posted: 3/20/2012 7:44:26 AM
Ind
Pho
Por
Nyk


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#17
Posted: 3/20/2012 7:49:16 AM
how can you be 1-1 on monday when you bet nj andcposted ngs and dal as leans wyf hahaha
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#18
Posted: 3/20/2012 10:12:36 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by kidjerky:

how can you be 1-1 on monday when you bet nj andcposted ngs and dal as leans wyf hahaha

hahaha i guess 66% is "modest" and attainable when you can "slip in" a winning bet the day after hahaha

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#19
Posted: 3/20/2012 10:15:11 AM
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#20
Posted: 3/20/2012 12:23:45 PM
Cant count Dallas thats bush league .. I had Butler and Pitt last night trust me  2-0 . I slipped those in
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#21
Posted: 3/21/2012 3:54:34 AM
3-1 Tuesday, 7-4 overall for 64%

On to Wed:

Nyk -4.5
As I said yesterday, I am riding Woodsanity until the wheels fall off.  

Will post more plays later
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#22
Posted: 3/21/2012 4:04:13 AM
I mean Nyk +4.5
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#23
Posted: 3/21/2012 4:25:46 AM
i will be waiting for your picks. :) your record is good.
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#24
Posted: 3/21/2012 5:01:43 AM
Lac+8
I did say that Lac has been overrated since Billups' injury, but CP3 and the Clippers are facing Okc at a good time. Okc has lost four of seven, and have been inconsistent as of late, even at home. Lac may have its struggles, too, but I'll take CP3's competitive spirit and the +8 points.

Atl-7.5
Double-digit victories over Cleveland have been common of late for Atl, and again, I don't see any reason to deviate from this trend. 

Chi-7
No DRose, no problem. Esp with Tor just returning home from a 5gm road trip that concluded just yesterday.



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#25
Posted: 3/21/2012 5:02:01 AM
Great job!! Keep posting. Bol!
Posted using a mobile device.
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