Aiming for a modest 66.6% winning clip till end of season

Forum: NBA Betting Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Aiming for a modest 66.6% winning clip till end of season
mondaman PM mondaman
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 23
Philippines
 
mondaman
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/18/2012 1:01:09 AM
Been here at covers for quite a long time now, finally decided to post, primarily to monitor my Record, and hopefully to get some inputs from the community.

Here goes: NBA SUNDAY

Okc -10
I look for KD and company to right the ship with a big win vs. a Por side that currently sucks, more so on the road. I know Por just won at Chi, but I look at that as a fluke rather than a trend. KD's final word on current home struggles:"We can't be relaxed because we're at home. Just because we're at home, we're not going to win games. We've just got to come out with a sense of urgency, play harder and we'll be all right."

Atl -2
Atl owns Cle, and I don't see any reason to deviate from this trend. Atl's current three guard lineup (Teague, Williams, Johnson) would make matters worse for Irving and Co. Side note: Jason Collins is expected to be back for this game.

Mem -12.5
Mem needs this win, as they gear up for a stretch of nine of 11 on the road, while only three games ahead of the ninth spot in the Western Conference. Was has had major problems at FedEx Forum, and Zach's presence, coupled with Nene's absence, will even make it worse.



springzz PM springzz
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 88
Ontario
 
springzz
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/18/2012 1:05:25 AM
on OKC and ATL too gl
canes3465 PM canes3465
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 5
 
canes3465
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/18/2012 1:44:10 AM

going big on ATL 2morrow

OKC will play hard.....hopefully they will get up big 16 or so

mondaman PM mondaman
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 23
Philippines
 
mondaman
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/18/2012 9:23:29 AM
Add: Uta -11

I know, I know, LAL is 19-2 at Home and Uta is 5-16 on the road. Big Al won't play and Sessions is a big upgrade at point for Lal. Uta coming off an OT win, so they will be fatigued. Lal is on a 5gm winning streak. All point to an LAL win, but 11pts for me is a bit too much, specially with the way Favors played vs GSW. I'm thinking Lal wins by around 7-9 pts.  
mondaman PM mondaman
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 23
Philippines
 
mondaman
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/18/2012 9:24:26 AM
Sorry, I meant Uta +11
Epson_Stylus PM Epson_Stylus
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 501
 
Epson_Stylus
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/18/2012 9:44:21 AM
i like your write ups. 
glenndef62 PM glenndef62
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 7507
Massachusetts
 
glenndef62
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/18/2012 9:48:48 AM

66% is great, not modest.

Virtually impossible in the long run.

Good luck with your bets!!

mondaman PM mondaman
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 23
Philippines
 
mondaman
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/18/2012 8:25:43 PM
Add also: Hou +6.5
Got insight from one of the posters here that with or without Kmart and Lowry, Hou is a tough one to crack, specially with playoff posturing now very important. Besides, Hou has always been a tough opponent for Pho.
Bet_The_House PM Bet_The_House
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 2515
Australia
 
Bet_The_House
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/18/2012 8:31:07 PM

66% a modest outlook over 500 plays or more?

 

mondaman PM mondaman
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 23
Philippines
 
mondaman
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/19/2012 5:59:42 AM
3-2 Sunday for 60%. Losses were Hou to Pho (Michael Redd entered a time machine!) and Mem (which decided to play only in one of four quarters ). 

On to NBA Monday:

Njn -4
Cle and Njn went opposite directions in the trade deadline. Cle traded Sessions and stacked up for the future, whereas Njn went all in now and got Crash Wallace. Cle gets points for looking ahead, but for tomorrow and for now, I like Njn even at -4. Say what you want about him, but Wallace fills a huge hole at small forward and brings defense to Njn that ranks last on that end of the floor. I like Njn here even more considering Varejao (huge x-factor) is still out for the Cavs.


mondaman PM mondaman
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 23
Philippines
 
mondaman
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/19/2012 6:06:54 AM
Leans for now:
Gsw -1.5, but I will only pull trigger if Pekovic does not play. Anybody have any update on this?

Without Pek, I think Lee cancels out KLove, and imo, that would be enough for a Gsw win, absence of Curry and Ellis notwithstanding.

Dal -4, but only if I get confirmation that Mcgee and Chandler still wont suit up. Again, any update on their status?

I can't bet on Dal if the frontcourt matchups read injured Haywood and Mahini vs. Faried, Chandler and Mcgee.
SiuLungBao PM SiuLungBao
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 9943
Hawaii
 
SiuLungBao
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/19/2012 7:27:48 AM
i cant believe d will took 24 shots last game

a little too much
Johnnythunders PM Johnnythunders
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 178
Missouri
 
Johnnythunders
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/19/2012 10:00:17 AM

66 % is attainable when limiting daily wagers like 2 - 4 games and really pick your situational spots !

teams playing 4 games in 5 nights vs rested teams

teams in off of tough dog losses when they were down 21 points then up 10 and just lost it final 2 minutes of game to cover as  a dog !

That was what happened to wolves yesterday - 1 point at kings who just won by 29 points ats !

and ONE team right now is just a bad favored team the Clippers !

no matter who they play they cannot cover !

BUT i think with Young added now they will have exploisve offense again and strat waxing teams again !

mondaman PM mondaman
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 23
Philippines
 
mondaman
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/20/2012 6:13:08 AM
Slipped in a Dal -4 bet last night, got to 1-1 Monday, 4-3 overall for 57%.


mondaman PM mondaman
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 23
Philippines
 
mondaman
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/20/2012 7:37:47 AM
NBA Tuesday is a little tricky, with no clear lines that will jump on you, but such is the nature of gambling, so here goes:

Ind -3.5
IND has one victory in its last nine games vs teams with winning records, and I look for them to really want this one vs LAC. IND is just a half game up on Atl and a mere 2 gms ahead of Bos, so I believe they will "bring it" in this game. I've also taken the stance that LAC has been grossly overrated ever since Billup's injury, which explains my bias towards IND here.

Pho +10.5
Two red hot teams collide in Pho vs Mia, and I just think that Pho is not getting the respect that it currently deserves. I still think Mia wins, just not by double digits.

Por -4
For all its current woes, Por is still a formidable customer at home. Mil gambled that Ellis and Jennings can work well as a backcourt duo, and they are indeed explosive, but a one game sample cannot yet change my mind to go against Por at home.      

Nyk -8.5
Looking for Woodsanity to continue in this game. Nyk's great pool of talent is finally showing signs of chemistry, and I am riding them until the wheels fall off.   
RMLoxly888 PM RMLoxly888
Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 459
 
RMLoxly888
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/20/2012 7:44:26 AM
Ind
Pho
Por
Nyk


kidjerky PM kidjerky
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 223
 
kidjerky
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/20/2012 7:49:16 AM
how can you be 1-1 on monday when you bet nj andcposted ngs and dal as leans wyf hahaha
HandicapBronson PM HandicapBronson
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 39
 
HandicapBronson
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/20/2012 10:12:36 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by kidjerky:

how can you be 1-1 on monday when you bet nj andcposted ngs and dal as leans wyf hahaha

hahaha i guess 66% is "modest" and attainable when you can "slip in" a winning bet the day after hahaha

baseonstat PM baseonstat
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 4384
Jamaica
 
baseonstat
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/20/2012 10:15:11 AM
cbowles1111 PM cbowles1111
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 784
 
cbowles1111
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/20/2012 12:23:45 PM
Cant count Dallas thats bush league .. I had Butler and Pitt last night trust me  2-0 . I slipped those in
mondaman PM mondaman
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 23
Philippines
 
mondaman
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/21/2012 3:54:34 AM
3-1 Tuesday, 7-4 overall for 64%

On to Wed:

Nyk -4.5
As I said yesterday, I am riding Woodsanity until the wheels fall off.  

Will post more plays later
mondaman PM mondaman
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 23
Philippines
 
mondaman
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/21/2012 4:04:13 AM
I mean Nyk +4.5
DeeZee PM DeeZee
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 143
 
DeeZee
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/21/2012 4:25:46 AM
i will be waiting for your picks. :) your record is good.
mondaman PM mondaman
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 23
Philippines
 
mondaman
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/21/2012 5:01:43 AM
Lac+8
I did say that Lac has been overrated since Billups' injury, but CP3 and the Clippers are facing Okc at a good time. Okc has lost four of seven, and have been inconsistent as of late, even at home. Lac may have its struggles, too, but I'll take CP3's competitive spirit and the +8 points.

Atl-7.5
Double-digit victories over Cleveland have been common of late for Atl, and again, I don't see any reason to deviate from this trend. 

Chi-7
No DRose, no problem. Esp with Tor just returning home from a 5gm road trip that concluded just yesterday.



termayt27 PM termayt27
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 61
Ontario
 
termayt27
Participation Meter
Posted: 3/21/2012 5:02:01 AM
Great job!! Keep posting. Bol!
Posted using a mobile device.
Forum: NBA Betting Page 1 of 2  1 2  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.