Always love to make future bets during the months of February-March where value is still to be had.
What is everyone's thoughts for the Western Conference?
OKC looks like the best team right now but come playoff time I don't see them winning the west due to the sole fact of Russell Westbrook. Championship teams need leadership at the point position and Westbrook is not happy with being second fiddle to Durant in big games. He took over 25 shots the other day, obviously hasn't learned anything from last year.
My leans so far that have great value are Nuggets at +1500 and the Clippers at +550. Portland might be worth half a unit at +1500 only because if they somehow get in the top 3-4 in the standings and have homecourt over some people in the playoffs they will be a tough out at home. Memphis is also at +2000 who beat the spurs and took the Thunder to game 7 of the playoffs last year. I think they'll be much better when Zbo comes back.
Feel free to discuss
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Always love to make future bets during the months of February-March where value is still to be had.
What is everyone's thoughts for the Western Conference?
OKC looks like the best team right now but come playoff time I don't see them winning the west due to the sole fact of Russell Westbrook. Championship teams need leadership at the point position and Westbrook is not happy with being second fiddle to Durant in big games. He took over 25 shots the other day, obviously hasn't learned anything from last year.
My leans so far that have great value are Nuggets at +1500 and the Clippers at +550. Portland might be worth half a unit at +1500 only because if they somehow get in the top 3-4 in the standings and have homecourt over some people in the playoffs they will be a tough out at home. Memphis is also at +2000 who beat the spurs and took the Thunder to game 7 of the playoffs last year. I think they'll be much better when Zbo comes back.
Take a look at the spread already, I agree with you about OKC (+170). Clip (+400) and Blaze (+1800) look pretty balance on both off & def... Blaze need to play much better on the road and I believe they will, that's why I consider them may go all the way. I don't see Den come out at the end, because they don't really play def. I don't see LAL will make it to west conf final as they are plying today.
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Take a look at the spread already, I agree with you about OKC (+170). Clip (+400) and Blaze (+1800) look pretty balance on both off & def... Blaze need to play much better on the road and I believe they will, that's why I consider them may go all the way. I don't see Den come out at the end, because they don't really play def. I don't see LAL will make it to west conf final as they are plying today.
No value in betting the Thunder right now. They are overvalued right now imo, and based on what i have seen, have not improved their weaknesses from last year. They have no scoring options other than durant, westbrook, harden.
Like you said, i like the blazers if they get a 4 seed or better and have home court advantage.
Nuggets have a fatal flaw- no superstar to close out tight games... without home court advantage, could be a repeat of last year against whoever they play.
Grizz have potential, but without Randolph they are just not the same.
Mavs will be a decent bet if they continue to play like shit and then fall in the standings. They are better than their record, having lost 3 games on last second 3 pointers this year. They still play good defense without chandler, have good scoring options at multiple positons, the best depth in the league and Dirk should get better as the season progresses, especially after they all get to rest up during the all-star break
With the addition of kenyon martin, i am really starting to like the clippers.... while they still need much improvement in the half-court game, particularily generating quality shots in the low post, their gaurd play is outstaning enough to compensate for the lack of low-post creation.
Lakers still in the mix, but odds on them are shit because they are the lakers....
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good thread.
No value in betting the Thunder right now. They are overvalued right now imo, and based on what i have seen, have not improved their weaknesses from last year. They have no scoring options other than durant, westbrook, harden.
Like you said, i like the blazers if they get a 4 seed or better and have home court advantage.
Nuggets have a fatal flaw- no superstar to close out tight games... without home court advantage, could be a repeat of last year against whoever they play.
Grizz have potential, but without Randolph they are just not the same.
Mavs will be a decent bet if they continue to play like shit and then fall in the standings. They are better than their record, having lost 3 games on last second 3 pointers this year. They still play good defense without chandler, have good scoring options at multiple positons, the best depth in the league and Dirk should get better as the season progresses, especially after they all get to rest up during the all-star break
With the addition of kenyon martin, i am really starting to like the clippers.... while they still need much improvement in the half-court game, particularily generating quality shots in the low post, their gaurd play is outstaning enough to compensate for the lack of low-post creation.
Lakers still in the mix, but odds on them are shit because they are the lakers....
Clippers at +650, They can hold there own against any team in that conference, Home or Away, There is also a lot more play off experience in that line up than most think. Denver and Portland are also nicely priced but they're teams that are better at home than on the road and like the guy above said already they dont have any closers. It will be interesting to see how the Spurs play once Ginobili is back in the line up as they could be a good bet at +1200.
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Clippers at +650, They can hold there own against any team in that conference, Home or Away, There is also a lot more play off experience in that line up than most think. Denver and Portland are also nicely priced but they're teams that are better at home than on the road and like the guy above said already they dont have any closers. It will be interesting to see how the Spurs play once Ginobili is back in the line up as they could be a good bet at +1200.
Yeah i cant really argue with that from what ive seen so far. i do think their defense will be much better once afflalo gets healthy and in shape and can play 35 minutes a night. wilson chandler is also a great defensive player so that should help. but ur right.
I don't keep up with acquisition related news too often- but are they definitely getting Chandler back?
If they do they could be called a Western contender in my mind.
As for the Grizzlies I don't think even with Randolph back that they will get within a sniff of the West Title really disappointing team this season. They just don't have it.
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Quote Originally Posted by swolesbee:
Yeah i cant really argue with that from what ive seen so far. i do think their defense will be much better once afflalo gets healthy and in shape and can play 35 minutes a night. wilson chandler is also a great defensive player so that should help. but ur right.
I don't keep up with acquisition related news too often- but are they definitely getting Chandler back?
If they do they could be called a Western contender in my mind.
As for the Grizzlies I don't think even with Randolph back that they will get within a sniff of the West Title really disappointing team this season. They just don't have it.
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