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NBA THURSDAY !!!

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Posted: #1

YTD 34-22 ( +23.10 units )

5u 0-0

4u 3-1

3u 8-2

2u 6-11

1u 17-8

MEMPHIS +4 ( 2 units )

This angle has been very good to me the past few years. It goes as follows !! Fade a team  team coming back home playing it's first game following an extending road trip , in which the team has played at least 4 away games within a week. There are several reasons why teams don't fire in their first game back. The Hawks fall into this situation so the play is on Memphis tonight.

DENVER +2 ( 1 unit )

The Clip have had an unfavorable road trip the past 10 days playing H/R/H/R/H/R and now back home coming off a road win playing the Nuggets who are in a revenge situation.

good luck

 
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Posted: #2
 on the same page! goodluck!
 
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Posted: #3
love your mem play
 
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Posted: #4
Any thoughts on Kings v TBlazers game?
 
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Posted: #5
Goodluck
 
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Quote Originally Posted by 44-dimes:

YTD 34-22 ( +23.10 units )

5u 0-0

4u 3-1

3u 8-2

2u 6-11

1u 17-8

MEMPHIS +4 ( 2 units )

This angle has been very good to me the past few years. It goes as follows !! Fade a team  team coming back home playing it's first game following an extending road trip , in which the team has played at least 4 away games within a week. There are several reasons why teams don't fire in their first game back. The Hawks fall into this situation so the play is on Memphis tonight.

DENVER +2 ( 1 unit )

The Clip have had an unfavorable road trip the past 10 days playing H/R/H/R/H/R and now back home coming off a road win playing the Nuggets who are in a revenge situation.

good luck




i was thinking the same, but Dimes do you think that MEM might actually be looking ahead to facing OKC the next day? the team that beat them in a tough 7 game series in the playoffs and already beat them 2x this year on their home floor?
 
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Posted: #8
Joke angle.
Hawks last 3 years after 4 or more road trip games:

11/15/08 vs New Jersey L 107-119 L -9.5
12/13/08 vs Cleveland W 97-92 W +4
02/27/09 vs Miami W 91-83 W -5.5
11/07/09 vs Denver W 125-100 W -3
12/29/09 vs Cleveland L 84-95 L -2.5
02/24/10 vs Minnesota W 98-92 L -12
01/08/11 vs Indiana W 108-93 W -7
03/02/11 vs Chicago W 83-80 W +4.5

So they are 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS, how you made money from this is not unclear.
And it's probably completely random if you look at the whole NBA, because there is little reasoning behind it.



 
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Posted: #9
Everyone and their mom seems to be on Denver today... makes me a bit nervous, since that almost never turns out well..  Even though, Denver just makes sense in this spot...

On a curious note, how often does the home team after long road trip angle work statistically?  It just seems to me that ATL is the better team this year, and it's not that close.  Memphis hasn't beaten a single team with a winning record on the road all season.  Do you think they're a classic "good bad team", where they spank the SACs and NOs, but lose to every good team?

Appreciate your thoughts and picks, thanks!
 
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Posted: #10
Love these two, plus utah!
 
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Posted: #11
BOL
 
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Gl
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by fiire:

Joke angle.
Hawks last 3 years after 4 or more road trip games:

11/15/08 vs New Jersey L 107-119 L -9.5
12/13/08 vs Cleveland W 97-92 W +4
02/27/09 vs Miami W 91-83 W -5.5
11/07/09 vs Denver W 125-100 W -3
12/29/09 vs Cleveland L 84-95 L -2.5
02/24/10 vs Minnesota W 98-92 L -12
01/08/11 vs Indiana W 108-93 W -7
03/02/11 vs Chicago W 83-80 W +4.5

So they are 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS, how you made money from this is not unclear.
And it's probably completely random if you look at the whole NBA, because there is little reasoning behind it.






Did 44 say this trend was Hawks specific?
 
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Posted: #14
BOL! 
 
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Posted: #15
Im worried it's a 2unit play again
 
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Posted: #16
grizzlies & nuggets 
 
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BOL! 
 
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Posted: #21

BOL DIMES!!!  

 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:


Did 44 say this trend was Hawks specific?


No, but did he provide any proof this angle is creating some kind of edge?
Sounds like a subjective opinion taken out of the blue.

Hawks are one of those teams, constantly getting underestimated when facing schedule adversity in case it has gone unnoticed.

They are yet again 5-1 SU and 6-1 ATS this season on b2bs and the last two years the were 24-18 SU and 25-17 ATS.

So good luck playing the tired legs angle against the Hawks.
 
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Posted: #25
memphis 
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