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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: CrazyMilkMan's NBA Tuesday
CrazyMilkMan
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CrazyMilkMan
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#1
Posted: 12/27/2011 1:00:28 AM
3-5-1 Monday night. 7-7. Not the start I'm looking for but we still have a long week ahead. Let's do this!


Atlanta Hawks -5.0
Hawks have guard problems in their rotation but I still fancy them over the Nets. I know it's early in the season but IMO, fatigue can still get the players. I'm going ahead and make use of back to back as a reason to go against the Nets. All three big contributors for their win over the Wizards went on to register almost 36+ minutes and they should feel it against a Hawks team that will frustrate you with their pace and defense. Not really crazy with this play as Jersey actually can take the fight to the supposedly better Hawks team. They did split last season 2-2 with the home team getting away with the win and cover.


Miami Heat 
Okay this one should be tricky. If the spread is anywhere above 8.5-points, I seriously will give the Celtics a shot to cover. Boston is the only other team who can dictate Miami the tempo of the game and they still play really good defense with or without Pierce. Anything below 6.5 is a play on Miami, anything in between is most likely a pass.


Minnesota Timberwolves +6.0
Both teams playing back to back and both off a narrow loss. T'Wolves battled a fast paced game with the minutes spread around evenly (except for Beasley and Love). Bucks' starters logged heavy minutes and had to grind it out against Charlotte. I'm looking at possibly a close game here with the points coming in handy. They did had a good run at each other during the preseason and I'm basing this play majorly on that one.


Sacramento Kings +8.0
This is another match up where both teams are playing back to back games. I don't know why the line is set so high but with the way the Kings played against the Lakers tonight, they should have enough confidence to come out and firing again in this game. Kings cancels out the Blazers' front court with their size and IMO Kings boast in guard play with all 3 guards in their starting 5 able to score. This should be another high scoring affair that gives the visiting team an even better advantage if they tempo came to their favor.


Utah Jazz +4.5
Lakers playing the first back-to-back-to-back of the season with their core guys logging almost 60+ minutes of game time the last 2 games. Kobe has been shouldering the offense so far this season getting little help outside their first 6 guys. I'm seeing a game where both teams have to grind it out. I'm looking at the Jazz team and I noticed that they do not have any real perimeter threat. Lakers will have an easier time defending with their size. Let's see if it will be profitable fading teams in such bad spots as this one. Kobe will most likely make this interesting and probably score 25+ points.


BOL.

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#2
Posted: 12/27/2011 1:03:13 AM
u like the under in the laker/jazz game?
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CrazyMilkMan
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Posted: 12/27/2011 1:07:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by youngmoney23:

u like the under in the laker/jazz game?


I was debating with myself on that one but will probably give it a go. Both teams will probably score around 85-90 each in a close contest.
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#4
Posted: 12/27/2011 1:07:45 AM
best of luck milk!
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#5
Posted: 12/27/2011 1:10:03 AM
good write up
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#6
Posted: 12/27/2011 1:10:34 AM
gl cmm
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CrazyMilkMan
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Posted: 12/27/2011 1:12:32 AM
Thanks fellas. Hope you had a better Monday night than I did.
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Posted: 12/27/2011 1:13:29 AM
like the wolves and kings tomorrow
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Posted: 12/27/2011 1:25:03 AM
hey cmm, do you count the moneyline wagers? not trying to be a jerk but i had you at 3 and 7
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#10
Posted: 12/27/2011 1:27:33 AM
hawks 
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#11
Posted: 12/27/2011 1:27:53 AM
BOL milkman 
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#12
Posted: 12/27/2011 1:33:03 AM
hey milk will follow you on this one except for the kings,, good luck to us! 
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#13
Posted: 12/27/2011 1:37:11 AM
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#14
Posted: 12/27/2011 1:38:03 AM
like them all
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CrazyMilkMan
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Posted: 12/27/2011 1:38:11 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dkite22:

hey cmm, do you count the moneyline wagers? not trying to be a jerk but i had you at 3 and 7




3-6-1
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#16
Posted: 12/27/2011 1:46:18 AM
Posted my plays and saw you did to. My leans are the same as yours as of now. Good luck! Whats your thoughts on Heat over? I think i'm going to ride Heat overs and maybe Team Total for awhile. This team is no longer a half court based team, and I think the Celtics are a changed team this year who can play somewhat fast. I was not impressed by the Celtics in their Knicks game defensively, and I think LeBron and D.Wade will have their way. Is Pierce playing tomorrow?
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#17
Posted: 12/27/2011 1:48:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dkite22:

hey cmm, do you count the moneyline wagers? not trying to be a jerk but i had you at 3 and 7

on that same note weren't you 4-3 sunday... bos (W), Heat (W), Bulls (L), Under (W), Magic (L), Clips (W), Over (L)
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#18
Posted: 12/27/2011 1:57:51 AM
ATL 
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#19
Posted: 12/27/2011 2:19:06 AM
Milkman, not to be a person or anything but I have you at 3-14-1 last 18 games.  Care to explain?
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Posted: 12/27/2011 2:28:23 AM
don't you think the Lakers will cover? i don't think Kobe will let his team start 0-3.
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Posted: 12/27/2011 2:45:47 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Fishscale:

Milkman, not to be a person or anything but I have you at 3-14-1 last 18 games.  Care to explain?

lol do you know how to count? hahah idiot
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#22
Posted: 12/27/2011 2:47:44 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mcao:

don't you think the Lakers will cover? i don't think Kobe will let his team start 0-3.

I don't think Kobe has a magic wand to "let" his team win. 
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#23
Posted: 12/27/2011 2:53:22 AM
Took the Wolves @ +6 as well.  I'm from Northern Wisconsin so I was able to watch both games, switching back and forth.  Your write-up makes me feel more confident and I see this line dropping to +5, +4.5 by game time.  Good Luck and thanks for your insight!!
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CrazyMilkMan
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#24
Posted: 12/27/2011 2:55:11 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by AgainstDaConsen:


on that same note weren't you 4-3 sunday... bos (W), Heat (W), Bulls (L), Under (W), Magic (L), Clips (W), Over (L)


Magic game was push.
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#25
Posted: 12/27/2011 2:57:27 AM
Wrote this in its41 thread. 

Hawks will be a shell of themselves. 

Their bench looks like this.  This is the Hawks 2nd Unit.

PG-Jannero Pargo
SG-Tracy McGrady
SF-Jerry Stackhouse
PF-Ivan Johnson
C-Zaza Pachulia


Nets 2nd Unit

PG-Jordan Farmar
SG-Stevenson and Brooks
SF-Shawne Williams
PF-Sheldon Williams
C-Mehmet Okur

You tell me which bench you rather have? 
Hawks may be the better starting 5, but the Hawks have a game the next night and won't be able to play the starters a ton of minutes. 
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