Mak's Wednesday Weaponry

Forum: NBA Betting Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: Mak's Wednesday Weaponry
makaveli23 PM makaveli23
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Posted: 1/19/2011 2:27:11 PM

What’s up gents.  A proper night on Tuesday going 3-1 racking up a few benjamins.  Cats ended up winning the game straight up.  3 straight gutsy performances on the road by Silas’s team and they deserved to come out with a W.  Dwayne Wade was excellent offensively and had close to 30 at the end of regulation to cash my prop, however, his turnovers cost Miami the game.  Lebron needed OT to cash my prop, he was excellent down the stretch, but once again his inability to take care of the rock cost the Heat a home victory over the Hawks.

Large slate of games tonight, a lot of games scream no value to me.  A lot of intangibles, situational aspects and roster inconsistencies swirl around a lot of games on today’s card.  Trying to find value, hoping I did.  2 straight wagers tonight.  Will also be playing my second poster teaser of the season.  1-0 poster, 3-1 on the season overall on 6 – 8 pt teasers.  Hoping I picked the correct games in a large slate with quite a few leans.  As always fellas, best of luck on your wagers today.  Peace - - - MAK

INDIANA PACERS @ GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS

PICK: GOLDEN STATE – 3.0 (-120) - - - 3 UNITS

PICK: GOLDEN STATE MONEYLINE (-160) - - - 3 UNITS

The Golden State Warriors are the real deal.  They can outscore any team in the NBA.  I hear countless talks about All-Star nominations for individuals on non-playoff teams.  I think it is about time Mont Ellis gets some recognition and that is why I voted for him for the all-star team.  Obviously that vote won’t mean anything but I really do hope the coaches recognize a guy who is currently outplaying Kobe and Dwayne.  Yes it is true, statistically...Monta Ellis is the best shooting guard in the NBA.  He is averaging more points than Kobe and Wade, more assists, twice more steals and is shooting at a much better percentage from beyond the arc.  Ellis is a Ninja, an assassin.  His crossover is one of the best in the league, his quickness and shot making ability makes him very difficult to guard.  Sag off him a bit and he will shoot the J in your face, crowd him and he will blow by you.  Ellis is a legitimate star and one of the best offensive threats in the NBA.  Monta loves playing vs Indy, last time these two met Ellis put up 45 points.  Encore presentation tonight.  Curry has been playing with injuries but is a “warrior” and continues to play and produce.  Wright is the fantasy sleeper of the year, putting up big numbers.  He is the best 3 point shooter in the NBA in terms of makes and will battle with Danny all game long.  Don;t underestimate the lanky forward, he could go toe-to-toe with Granger.  David Lee and Andris Biedrins will eat Tyler and Roy alive.  Roy has been really struggling, no confidence in his game at all.  Off a 4 and 4 performance look for the struggles to continue.  Off the bench a strict rotation has cause Lou and Udoh to get minimal minutes.  Buzz-kill, but Radmanovic, Reggie and Law have been playing decent and with the GS starters playing a majority of minutes, their lack of bench punch doesn’t scare me.  The fact is Indiana struggles to win against teams with a high octane offense.  When the tempo increases, Indiana lacks the ability to keep up offensively.  Indiana is 4-10 this season when teams score over 100 points.  GS is 8th in the NBA in offense, they have scored over 100 points in all but 4 of their home games, of the Warriors 16 wins this season all but two have come when they score over the century mark.  The Indiana Pacers are a lottery team and a dismal road team.  They rank in the bottom 20 in the NBA in points, assists, steals and turnovers....yikes.  Golden State is starting to implement  a steady rotation, Ellis is on a mission to make the All-Star team.  Curry’s ankles are getting better, the big man Andris is back and capable of consistent double-double games.  Wright is a gem and a 3 point cerebral assassin and David Lee changes the complexity of this team.  Win or lose this game, give me the Warriors at home for 1 possession against a mediocre Eastern lottery team...I’ll bite every time. 

LOS ANGELES LAKERS @ DALLAS MAVERICKS

PICK: TYSON CHANDLER OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS (-120) - - - 2.5 UNITS

Watching the Dallas @ Detroit game was excruciatingly painful.  Looking at the boxscore, you probably thought Dirk played an excellent game...incorrect.  darn his 30 points, he was a waste of space on the basketball court.  He played little to no defense and did not box out on one single play...he was on the court for 35+, I did not count one box out.  It cost them as Detroit got to every loose ball, every long rebound.  All the hustle plays in the painted area belonged to Detroit.  Tonight Tyson returns, it still hurts to know Toronto could have had Tyson as their starting 5 man this year if it wasn’t for MJ.  I will always be bitter about that.  Tyson is a beast, a defensive guru in the post.  Excellent timing, blocks shots and changes a lot of decisions at the rim.  He is a game-changer and tonight no one else will influence their presence in the post for Dallas, so Tyson should gobble up all the loose balls and clean up the glass easy.  He may even have about 6-7 at the half.  Like this prop, Tyson should cash.


makaveli23 PM makaveli23
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Posted: 1/19/2011 2:27:26 PM
DETROIT PISTONS @ BOSTON CELTICS & TORONTO

RAPTORS @ SAN ANTONIO SPURS

PICK: 2 TM TEASER - BOSTON – 5.0 & SPURS – 5.0 (-133) - - - 2.5 UNITS

Both these squads could easily cover their respective spreads.  Boston looking to avenge a loss at Detroit.  They suffered it without KG.  I recently heard the Miami Heat announcer compare Kevin’s defensive mindset and ability to Alonzo...I felt like throwing my mug at the television set but it had some Johnny Walker Blue Label and that stuff isn’t cheap.  KG is a first ballot hall-of-famer.  One of the best to have ever done it at the 4 position, Alonzo is nothing compared to KG.  Kevin is the heart, hustle and soul of this team.  Shaq, Rondo, Ray and Truth round out one of the best starting 5’s in the NBA.  Off the bench Glen Davis strives.  Marquis is a defensive stopper and Nate is a solid PG backup.  This Celts team is still a powerhouse, losing Jermaine hurts i my opinion but with Perk starting to practice again and West on his way to recovery, Celts are ready.  Look for the Celts to make one more subtle move at the deadline and bring in a closer, someone to solidify their run for the crown this year.  Raps are resilient, love Julian and what he brings to the team and starting lineup.  Ed Davis has been spectacular and really opening my eyes.  The kid has potential to be something special.  Jose is playing the best basketball of his career, career high assist averages...nevertheless, Raps are depleted, going against the powerhouse of the NBA.  No one can guard Hill, Manu, Tony and Neal.  Guards will rip open Toronto early and often.  Bargnani is their only hope and with Antonio, Blair and Duncan, I doubt he goes off.  Both these teams have an excellent chance to win their games by double digits, I feel safer combining and shortening the number.   

UTAH JAZZ @ NEW JERSEY NETS

PICK: NEW JERSEY NETS + 6.5 (-110) - - - 1 UNIT

Ouch...picking the Nets??? What am I thinking.  First off it’s a good gamble, D Will being a game-time decision helps in pulling the trigger, but D Will is a champ and he will play through anything.  A flu shouldn’t stop this all-star PG but I do hope it does tonight.  If D Dub doesn’t suit up NJ has a good chance to win this straight up.  With D Will it may be difficult to obtain the cover but NJ has a chance.  Lopez has been playing some great ball as of late, a back to back 30 point performance on the road-trip showed him once again that he can dominate the post game vs many 5 men in this league.  If he gets Al Jefferson into early foul trouble, Utah could struggle.  Lopez has a tendency to draw fouls, he pushes his frame and chin upwards on the defender and gets to the line fairly often.  Harris off a horrible game should look to bounce back.  The NJ bench is key with Sasha, Farmer and Hump all playing exceptionally well as a 2nd unit.  Utah is by far the more superior team, they still have road poise despite their recent loss to Washington.  Washington dominated the post game and Utah could not keep up score.  If Favors, Hump and Lopez can control the paint and Harris and Outlaw can provide some sort of offense, than NJ has a chance to cover this spread at home.

TOOfaded PM TOOfaded
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Posted: 1/19/2011 2:33:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by makaveli23:

DETROIT PISTONS @ BOSTON CELTICS & TORONTO

RAPTORS @ SAN ANTONIO SPURS

PICK: 2 TM TEASER - BOSTON – 5.0 & SPURS – 5.0 (-133) - - - 2.5 UNITS

Both these squads could easily cover their respective spreads.  Boston looking to avenge a loss at Detroit.  They suffered it without KG.  I recently heard the Miami Heat announcer compare Kevin’s defensive mindset and ability to Alonzo...I felt like throwing my mug at the television set but it had some Johnny Walker Blue Label and that stuff isn’t cheap.  KG is a first ballot hall-of-famer.  One of the best to have ever done it at the 4 position, Alonzo is nothing compared to KG.  Kevin is the heart, hustle and soul of this team.  Shaq, Rondo, Ray and Truth round out one of the best starting 5’s in the NBA.  Off the bench Glen Davis strives.  Marquis is a defensive stopper and Nate is a solid PG backup.  This Celts team is still a powerhouse, losing Jermaine hurts i my opinion but with Perk starting to practice again and West on his way to recovery, Celts are ready.  Look for the Celts to make one more subtle move at the deadline and bring in a closer, someone to solidify their run for the crown this year.  Raps are resilient, love Julian and what he brings to the team and starting lineup.  Ed Davis has been spectacular and really opening my eyes.  The kid has potential to be something special.  Jose is playing the best basketball of his career, career high assist averages...nevertheless, Raps are depleted, going against the powerhouse of the NBA.  No one can guard Hill, Manu, Tony and Neal.  Guards will rip open Toronto early and often.  Bargnani is their only hope and with Antonio, Blair and Duncan, I doubt he goes off.  Both these teams have an excellent chance to win their games by double digits, I feel safer combining and shortening the number.   

UTAH JAZZ @ NEW JERSEY NETS

PICK: NEW JERSEY NETS + 6.5 (-110) - - - 1 UNIT

Ouch...picking the Nets??? What am I thinking.  First off it’s a good gamble, D Will being a game-time decision helps in pulling the trigger, but D Will is a champ and he will play through anything.  A flu shouldn’t stop this all-star PG but I do hope it does tonight.  If D Dub doesn’t suit up NJ has a good chance to win this straight up.  With D Will it may be difficult to obtain the cover but NJ has a chance.  Lopez has been playing some great ball as of late, a back to back 30 point performance on the road-trip showed him once again that he can dominate the post game vs many 5 men in this league.  If he gets Al Jefferson into early foul trouble, Utah could struggle.  Lopez has a tendency to draw fouls, he pushes his frame and chin upwards on the defender and gets to the line fairly often.  Harris off a horrible game should look to bounce back.  The NJ bench is key with Sasha, Farmer and Hump all playing exceptionally well as a 2nd unit.  Utah is by far the more superior team, they still have road poise despite their recent loss to Washington.  Washington dominated the post game and Utah could not keep up score.  If Favors, Hump and Lopez can control the paint and Harris and Outlaw can provide some sort of offense, than NJ has a chance to cover this spread at home.



....the DON....... missed ur thread yesterday...
nbafan88 PM nbafan88
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Posted: 1/19/2011 2:34:11 PM

solid write ups mak. I agree on the point about Tyson Chandler
kaponofor3 PM kaponofor3
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Posted: 1/19/2011 2:35:06 PM
I leaned heavily on Utah and Golden State as well mak but couldn't pull the trigger, will be hoping you hit them


mtbaker PM mtbaker
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Posted: 1/19/2011 2:40:39 PM
Warriors! bol
Islandstyle PM Islandstyle
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Posted: 1/19/2011 2:41:32 PM

 GL! tonight Mak

I like the Nets play...I hope DWill does play...He always brings out the best in Harris ever since college

 

LasVegasLord PM LasVegasLord
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Posted: 1/19/2011 2:48:19 PM
PapaShango PM PapaShango
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Posted: 1/19/2011 2:48:41 PM
On the Warriors and Nets Mak! 
KktdocT PM KktdocT
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Posted: 1/19/2011 3:09:38 PM
GL.
thatsagoodone PM thatsagoodone
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Posted: 1/19/2011 3:13:25 PM
Johnnynumbers PM Johnnynumbers
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Posted: 1/19/2011 3:14:00 PM

Mak---I feel you on the Tyson Chandler deal..as a Bobcats backer, MJ has had lots of questionable moves since taking control, as well as advice when he was just a "consultant".  The fact that Kwame Brown is still on the roster and getting regular minutes is proof that MJ is unwilling to admit a huge mistake by drafting him with the Wiz way back when.  The other one that's too easy to 2nd guess is the Adam Morrison pick.  Brandon Roy was on the board, but the Bob Johnson "blackcats" needed to lighten it up to sell tix and forgot that slow white guys don't really belong in this league (Larry legend excluded).  Sorry to rant, but anyway...

The warriors jumped off the board for me as well, and I'm always happy to open your thread and find you in agreement.  I think the entire league starts to lose value at this point every year, since Vegas has more stats history to draw on, and football is essentially over so they can focus on hoops.  Lines tighten up, and I try to be very selective. 

Great writeups as always bro, and go Warriors

deegen PM deegen
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Posted: 1/19/2011 3:43:38 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by makaveli23:

 

I felt like throwing my mug at the television set but it had some Johnny Walker Blue Label and that stuff isn’t cheap. 

I quote Aubery Huff 

"Dont WASTE the beer BRO!!"

WhySoSucK PM WhySoSucK
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Posted: 1/19/2011 4:03:55 PM
kaponofor3 PM kaponofor3
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Posted: 1/19/2011 4:13:10 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Johnnynumbers:

Mak---I feel you on the Tyson Chandler deal..as a Bobcats backer, MJ has had lots of questionable moves since taking control, as well as advice when he was just a "consultant".  The fact that Kwame Brown is still on the roster and getting regular minutes is proof that MJ is unwilling to admit a huge mistake by drafting him with the Wiz way back when.  The other one that's too easy to 2nd guess is the Adam Morrison pick.  Brandon Roy was on the board, but the Bob Johnson "blackcats" needed to lighten it up to sell tix and forgot that slow white guys don't really belong in this league (Larry legend excluded).  Sorry to rant, but anyway...

The warriors jumped off the board for me as well, and I'm always happy to open your thread and find you in agreement.  I think the entire league starts to lose value at this point every year, since Vegas has more stats history to draw on, and football is essentially over so they can focus on hoops.  Lines tighten up, and I try to be very selective. 

Great writeups as always bro, and go Warriors




Kevin Love takes offense to the bolded portion of your post!
sabia PM sabia
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Posted: 1/19/2011 4:16:01 PM
dendogg55 PM dendogg55
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Posted: 1/19/2011 4:17:17 PM
Best of Luck!!! Nice work!!!
TDUB888 PM TDUB888
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Posted: 1/19/2011 4:25:54 PM
Like the pics today Mak, good luck
evilelvis PM evilelvis
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Posted: 1/19/2011 4:31:00 PM
Good luck MAK and to all!
doliver517 PM doliver517
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Posted: 1/19/2011 4:47:03 PM

Mak---

Woke up this morning with the day off

So I rolled a log and logged onto Covers....decided today was the day I would post some plays and take the wrath of the community Glad to see you're on the Nets with me. I made 3 plays so far today...Nets +7, Wash +7, Minny +7...posted them in a thread and am waiting for the ridicual. Thought it was funny I decided to post plays and they happen to be 3 of the worst in the associationBut oh well....some call it gambling, today I'm calling it situational 

GL tonight and hope you had a hell of a hangover from your B-day

Dannyanddemon PM Dannyanddemon
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Posted: 1/19/2011 4:59:54 PM
What you think about the line golden state -4?
Dannyanddemon PM Dannyanddemon
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Posted: 1/19/2011 5:01:32 PM
sorry.. its moving.. now im getting 4.5. Do you think they can still do it?
Dannyanddemon PM Dannyanddemon
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Posted: 1/19/2011 5:14:23 PM
Screw it. I am from Oakland. They can do it! 
EVANTORR PM EVANTORR
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Posted: 1/19/2011 5:28:12 PM
Why is warriors game circled? anyone know?
CMJohnson1 PM CMJohnson1
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Posted: 1/19/2011 5:31:29 PM
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