Messages

Forum Index : Covers NBA Betting : Messages
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: CrazyMilkMan's NBA Sunday
CrazyMilkMan
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
CrazyMilkMan
Participation Meter
MVP
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 17497
Location:
#1
Posted: 11/28/2010 2:27:05 AM
4-1 Saturday. We have 3 winning weeks in 4 pushing our NBA tally to 99-65-5 (60% ). Anyway, let's keep winning and on with Sunday games:

If I would have to pick a team and wager on them on any afternoon games, then I'd pick the Raptors. I don't know why but I always notice that the stars aligned by their side and get them either a cover or the SU win. I know Atlanta looked themselves their last two games and was in control of both games. I'm also aware that the Hawks is currently better on the road than they are at home. I also noticed that the Hawks matches and plays well when against the Raptors. The Toronto Raptors +1.0 play here is more of my gut play which has been hitting well as of late. No idea with the total. It's all about who controls the game. If Atlanta is in control of this game and is on its way to a 3rd win then this afternoon game will definitely go UNDER. But if it were to go OVER, Toronto is to call the tempo of the game and thrive on their fast offense.

I like the UNDER 205.5 in the Detroit game. The Knicks should still be tired and not cope with the 2nd afternoon game in a row. Detroit is rested and just had a good overall game against the Bucks. Both teams are a combined 11-6-0 over under home/road record which should say a lot but on an afternoon game and matchup shows 7 unders in 10 games. As for the side, I like Detroit -1.5 at home here. Knicks looked tired running the floor against the Hawks plus the Pistons plays well against running teams this season.

We were on the crazy amount of ML on the Hornets when both teams last played each other. Spurs' streak finally ended against the Mavericks while the Hornets came home from a disappointing road travel. They are perfect at home with a 7-0 card going against a perfect 6-0 road team in the Spurs. I love the San Antonio Spurs +1.0 in this spot. I see revenge here for the Spurs not to mention that they always play well against the Hornets. I think they'll pull through on this one now that they finally had their offensive system working well. New Orleans leave for OK City the next day so possible look ahead if ever they would. As for the total, it's an easy UNDER 194.5. New Orleans control the tempo of the game but will fall short in the last quarter. Should have a pace of the NOH@LAC game, fast and high in the early going till they cool down and keep it tight in the 4th.

Utah Jazz -6.0 blow out the Clippers here. Griffin and Gordon scores 50+ for the Clippers but the Jazz' defense will milk them with Turnovers. Clippers is a young team and momentum will be both their best and worst friend. If they had one game today, they'd more or less carry over the momentum in the next. I think that's the main reason why they can't get much consistency going for them. The only fear I have for the Jazz is if they'll have a let down after a good win against the defending champion.

As much as I'd like to bet on the Rockets, I think they really suck now until they get Brooks back. Until then, they're on my fade list. Sorry KD, but i'm riding on the Westbrook Express! Oklahoma City Thunders -2.0 here for me.

No play for the Nets and the Blazers game. I like the Blazers but they are on a slump their last 10 games and the Nets will stay competitive but I don't see them making a tremendous jump from last year. Getting Avery Johnson is a big plus though.

Indiana Pacers +8.5 / ML here. I think I remember seeing something like this script from the Lakers before. They opened as a short fave (3 or less) the night before, get the L and play a decent team as a 8 or more point fave and not cover or something would even go and lose the game SU.

Earlier this season they are -3 against Denver then lost again the next day as a 8-point fave against the Suns. Last season 4/11 and 4/13, Lost both ATS as 3-point fave against the Blazers and didn't cover against the Kings as an 8-point fave. 3/12 and 3/15, they covered as -2 against the Suns but didn't the next game against the Warriors at -8.5. But this is just me probably brewing up some more conspiracies.



What do you think fellas?




BOL.

quote
heartlessgod send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
heartlessgod
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 89
Location:
#2
Posted: 11/28/2010 2:38:29 AM
on all of them CMM except the Craptors. I think that they have improved their bench alot with the addition of Peja and bayless. The hawks are on a roll right now, they have an impressive road ATS record.

Its really a toss up to me

BOL 
quote
Tugztugz send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Tugztugz
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 77
Location:
#3
Posted: 11/28/2010 2:41:38 AM
Like the pk...
quote
aireent777 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
aireent777
Participation Meter
All-Star
Joined: May 2009
Posts: 13286
Location:
#4
Posted: 11/28/2010 2:58:41 AM
Same opinion on Utah, San Antonio and Oklahoma Milk, but got to go with the Hawks, I know Toronto always plays great on Sundays, made a lot money with Sunday home games with them last season but I think those were the times where they have Chris Bosh. Atlanta is really pushing to bounce back those loosing streaks before finally winning 2 in a row against Washington and New York. They really wanted 3 in a row here, just my 2 cents. I'm not touching Det-Nyk game as the Knicks got their rare streak right now before losing to Atlanta last night and we really don't know how long they can hold on to it when playing an up-and-down team like  Detroit. Portland may seem to be okey with that line giving Jersey on a b2b and 1-3 when playing b2bs. I'm also not touching Lakers-Pacers game as Lakers were in a mood to bounce back after a road loss to Utah the other night and they are at home, pumped up and loves to blow out team at home in front of their home crowd. But we'll never know, if Granger, Collison and Rush will show up, then maybe they have a chance to cover. Hope my insights helps. GL to your plays CMM
quote
keepitstrict send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
keepitstrict
Participation Meter
All-Star
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 11113
Location: Ontario
#5
Posted: 11/28/2010 2:58:57 AM
BOL cmm! with ya on okc and lean both total/side in hornets/sa. also liking the under in detroit, good luck!


quote
shaun18 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
shaun18
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Apr 2010
Posts: 37
Location: Philippines
#6
Posted: 11/28/2010 6:21:00 AM
hey, pinoy here, do you have one sure pick that will cover for tomorrow's game?
quote
McAlpine send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: SBGEuro.com |
McAlpine
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 2400
Location: Colorado
#7
Posted: 11/28/2010 7:11:34 AM
Like your thoughts on San Antonio, but think that game is a "stay off" for me. NO is deep and playing great ball.

The Indiana game is interesting. If I were going to play it, I would play Indy for the first half.

Utah will pound the Clippers. Probably the best bet on the board

Oh, yeah. Denver has a revenge game against Phoenix. I'm going to be on that one.  Don't have a line yet, but if it's around -4 or -5 for Denver, I'm taking it.

quote
ripkarl send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
ripkarl
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Apr 2010
Posts: 932
Location: Philippines
#8
Posted: 11/28/2010 7:41:05 AM
Big play SAS ML tomorrow. double revenge factor. coming from a loss to the mavericks, and their only loss that before that came against the Hornets. I think the spurs win this one. GL! 
quote
dimeplayer68 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
dimeplayer68
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 7888
Location:
#9
Posted: 11/28/2010 8:41:46 AM
GL M&M
quote
D-Town send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
D-Town
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Jul 2002
Posts: 120365
Location: Michigan
#10
Posted: 11/28/2010 9:14:23 AM
Good luck CMM. 
quote
BURTS send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BURTS
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 2802
Location: Philippines
#11
Posted: 11/28/2010 10:22:00 AM
quote
lts41 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
lts41
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 24519
Location: Philippines
#12
Posted: 11/28/2010 10:23:48 AM
raps & spurs 
quote
lts41 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
lts41
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 24519
Location: Philippines
#13
Posted: 11/28/2010 10:26:32 AM
quote
bookieVDC send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker |
bookieVDC
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 60
Location: Iceland
#14
Posted: 11/28/2010 10:35:53 AM
Mabuhay ka CMM! 
quote
keepontailing send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
keepontailing
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 135
Location: Philippines
#15
Posted: 11/28/2010 10:38:23 AM
good job milkman.

on the other side on your raptors.
GL

with you on the spurs okc and uj.
quote
knoxcr
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
knoxcr
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 1043
Location: Massachusetts
#16
Posted: 11/28/2010 10:54:36 AM
Great info... like those early unders and may tail some of your sides... good luck!  
quote
KktdocT
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
KktdocT
Participation Meter
Covers Rehab
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 60701
Location: United Kingdom
#17
Posted: 11/28/2010 11:21:02 AM
quote
mrFLIZ
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
mrFLIZ
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 94
Location: New York
#18
Posted: 11/28/2010 11:21:59 AM

AGREE WITH EVERY PICK!

quote
captainfyr
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
captainfyr
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 270
Location: Nevada
#19
Posted: 11/28/2010 2:26:02 PM
Good luck Milk, Thanks for the write ups.
quote
jcshelton78 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: betED.com |
jcshelton78
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 141
Location: Michigan
#20
Posted: 11/28/2010 2:39:03 PM
GL bro, I'm with you on UTAH
quote
aireent777 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
aireent777
Participation Meter
All-Star
Joined: May 2009
Posts: 13286
Location:
#21
Posted: 11/28/2010 3:11:31 PM
Utah
quote
neander100 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
neander100
Participation Meter
All-Star
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 11790
Location:
#22
Posted: 11/28/2010 4:14:59 PM
whats your lean on the total LAkers pacers
quote
Mikado send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
Mikado
Participation Meter
All-Star
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 10092
Location: Colorado
#23
Posted: 11/28/2010 5:32:12 PM
Liking the Pacers ML.
quote
XhuegoX send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
XhuegoX
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Mar 2005
Posts: 11016
Location: California
#24
Posted: 11/28/2010 5:35:19 PM
quote
Forum Index : Covers NBA Betting : Messages
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.