Playoff basketball brings the the table sudden-death basketball, which is a scenario perfect for the manifestation of Under results - tight players executing deliberate plays isn't the ground upon which liberal scoring is made.
*An elimination game is when at least 1 team faces an end to their post season should they lose the game concerned straight-up.
---------------------------------------------------------------------- All results based on opening lines.
Since keeping records starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated for all Elimination games total results are as follows:
Overall
All Elimination Games: U/O 65-44-2
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 25-23-1 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 40-21-1
1st Round of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 31-24-1
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 17-12-1 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 14-12
2nd Round & onwards of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 34-20-1
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O _8-11 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 26-9-1
Clearly the prime spots to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond (a losing % of only .250), when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.
The one team to prove the exception (whose results I haven't incl. in the above figures) is - no suprise - Phoenix....
Phoenix Suns
Elimination games they win SU: O/U 7-1 Elimination games they lose SU: O/U 2-3
For Phoenix it doesnt matter the nature of the game (4, 5, 6 or 7) they're playing in, or the Round they're playing it in, in relation to the final total result: it's down to their SU performance.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Playoff basketball brings the the table sudden-death basketball, which is a scenario perfect for the manifestation of Under results - tight players executing deliberate plays isn't the ground upon which liberal scoring is made.
*An elimination game is when at least 1 team faces an end to their post season should they lose the game concerned straight-up.
---------------------------------------------------------------------- All results based on opening lines.
Since keeping records starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated for all Elimination games total results are as follows:
Overall
All Elimination Games: U/O 65-44-2
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 25-23-1 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 40-21-1
1st Round of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 31-24-1
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 17-12-1 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 14-12
2nd Round & onwards of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 34-20-1
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O _8-11 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 26-9-1
Clearly the prime spots to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond (a losing % of only .250), when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.
The one team to prove the exception (whose results I haven't incl. in the above figures) is - no suprise - Phoenix....
Phoenix Suns
Elimination games they win SU: O/U 7-1 Elimination games they lose SU: O/U 2-3
For Phoenix it doesnt matter the nature of the game (4, 5, 6 or 7) they're playing in, or the Round they're playing it in, in relation to the final total result: it's down to their SU performance.
saw the line opened at 183.5 at lvsc. now up at 186/186.5 at a couple of books. my local has it at 186. will most definitely play this but might wait until at a later time before placing a bet.
great stuff as always bc.
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what's up bc?
saw the line opened at 183.5 at lvsc. now up at 186/186.5 at a couple of books. my local has it at 186. will most definitely play this but might wait until at a later time before placing a bet.
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