Looking at tonights card, there may be some diamonds in the rough to take a chance on. There is also a ton of Covers love for the Bobcats in LA tonight, & I believe rightfully so. There is one good system play tonight, but worries me that is also the other "popular" covers play so far.
2010 System Plays 31-23-1 (56%) +5 UNITS
2010 System POD 10-9 (53%) -17 units
2010 System POM 1-1 (50%) EVEN
2010 Non-System Plays 42-35-1 (54%) + 27 1/2 units
Thursday System Play
Thunder - 2 - We have used this angle before and it has worked well. The Hornets fall into the category of a team who scored over 30 points in the 1st qtr. of their last game only to score 20 or less in the second qtr. on their way to a SU loss. If they are playing their next game as an underdog, they only cover the spread 22.2% of the time.
Thursday Non-System Leans
Nets OVER 204
Hawks OVER 194
Jazz - 7 1/2
76ers -2
Heat + 5 1/2
Spurs - 4
Bobcats +9
Need to do a lot more homework before finalizing anything, gl today and comments welcome...........
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Looking at tonights card, there may be some diamonds in the rough to take a chance on. There is also a ton of Covers love for the Bobcats in LA tonight, & I believe rightfully so. There is one good system play tonight, but worries me that is also the other "popular" covers play so far.
2010 System Plays 31-23-1 (56%) +5 UNITS
2010 System POD 10-9 (53%) -17 units
2010 System POM 1-1 (50%) EVEN
2010 Non-System Plays 42-35-1 (54%) + 27 1/2 units
Thursday System Play
Thunder - 2 - We have used this angle before and it has worked well. The Hornets fall into the category of a team who scored over 30 points in the 1st qtr. of their last game only to score 20 or less in the second qtr. on their way to a SU loss. If they are playing their next game as an underdog, they only cover the spread 22.2% of the time.
Thursday Non-System Leans
Nets OVER 204
Hawks OVER 194
Jazz - 7 1/2
76ers -2
Heat + 5 1/2
Spurs - 4
Bobcats +9
Need to do a lot more homework before finalizing anything, gl today and comments welcome...........
Hawks - 9 1/2 & OVER - The hawks have only played twice this year where they lost on the front end of a B2B (away) and came home for the back end as a favorite. 1st time they rolled the Nuggets 125-100, and the second time they beat the Hornets 121-98. Looks like a good spot for them to cover BIG & play well OVER.
76ers -2 - In this scenario, the Bulls have played I believe 3 times this year where they lost as a home favorite SU and were B2B away the second game and lost each time. I know they have been plaing great the last few weeks especially on the road, but the line being what it is, it seems like money is being BEGGED for on the Bulls tonite. May have to go 76ers here...........
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Adding Leans & why
Hawks - 9 1/2 & OVER - The hawks have only played twice this year where they lost on the front end of a B2B (away) and came home for the back end as a favorite. 1st time they rolled the Nuggets 125-100, and the second time they beat the Hornets 121-98. Looks like a good spot for them to cover BIG & play well OVER.
76ers -2 - In this scenario, the Bulls have played I believe 3 times this year where they lost as a home favorite SU and were B2B away the second game and lost each time. I know they have been plaing great the last few weeks especially on the road, but the line being what it is, it seems like money is being BEGGED for on the Bulls tonite. May have to go 76ers here...........
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