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NBA FRI 022009 early thoughts - value hunting

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Posted: #1
My oh my...Where did this number come from?

[868] TOTAL u233-110 
(OKLAHOMA CITY vrs PHOENIX)


 
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Posted: #2
That line is ridiculoussss. But after the firing of terry porter the phoenix suns are back to their old style of playing the run n gun basketball. With Shaq not in there, they can put up points in bunches. I'm scared to take any unders in phoenix games. bol 
 
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Posted: #3
they could score above 140 again.
 
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Posted: #4
LOL...yeah, it's a rhetorical question.  

This number is based off the last 2 games vs. LAC and if you compare the P.A. of OKC and LAC, there's only  a diff of .2

103.3 and 103.5 respectively.  A safe assumption is that if PHO can score 140 b2b vs. LAC, they can do the same with OKC.

That's a huge leap for me.  Still capping and looking at the wole board but I'm not sold on PHO scoring 140 on OKC.

Thoughts anyone?

 
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Posted: #5
Charlotte
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:

Charlotte

caveat: I know nothing about sides!

Not a bad play after a quick look over the published numbers.  Looking at both teams' play of late, I'm thinking that CHA should be a home fav in this one specially on a FRI night.  But Vegas needs both sides so they're giving CHA 2.5?  I'm thinking it should be -1 or pk.  GL 
 
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Posted: #7
looks like an over play to me --140 again for the suns
 
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Posted: #8
charlotte at home is no real home court edge
 
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Posted: #9
Here's my angle on this:

Bobcats at home on Friday nights are 3-1 SU and ATS this season.
 
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Posted: #10
I'm with you on the UNDER FOR PHOENIX -233 o/u game
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by enzok20:

I'm with you on the UNDER FOR PHOENIX -233 o/u game

We may be the only two...




...collecting after the game.   GL, I think it's the right play on this one.
 
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Posted: #12
yall probably the only two,

oh my oh... dnt have to mention last 2 phoenix games, its sky high.
this game will not be that different. Will OKA have better D than Clippers, uhmm... maybe not. their offense? way better ppl.

Suns back to run and gun, and i dnt c OKA will change their style especially in Phoenix.

doubting about the cover, but not the over!!!

GLTA
 
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Posted: #13
Anyone that takes the Under in the Phoenix game has balls 'o steel.
 
(  )  (  )
 
...seriously, the Suns are back to the 'fun' and gun so this could get ugly.
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by Jerry Garcia1:

Anyone that takes the Under in the Phoenix game has balls 'o steel.
 
(  )  (  )
 
...seriously, the Suns are back to the 'fun' and gun so this could get ugly.



 
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Posted: #15
they've been a scoring machine lately
 
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Posted: #16
PLUS THUNDER PLAYS BAD DEFENSE BUT PLAYS GOOD OFFENSE
 
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Posted: #17
excellent feedback fellas...that's what this is all about.

do I buy my bet back???  I think i'll let it ride.  it's one game and i like it.  

GL 
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


We may be the only two...




...collecting after the game.   GL, I think it's the right play on this one.

 

 

GL bro. There is a rumor saying that amare is not playing, If he is not I like OKC and UNDER. I don't see phoenix scoring 140 or 142 in a while. the o/u 233, phoenix vs clippers game totall was 240/242 thats only 7/9 points more. Close.... I'll take the UNDER tonight. they have to atleast score 59 or more to have over 233. GL Everyone.

 
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Posted: #19
I played the under 233 as soon as it came out ... then I read that Stoudemire is out with an eye injury ... bad break for him but certainly a plus for an under play !!!  
 
Sleep well y'all !!!
 
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Posted: #20
I think the story  I read about Stoudemire is bull ... must verify in the morning ... regardless the under 233 is a good play !!!
 
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Posted: #21
OKC's defense is just as bad as LAC, and on top of it, their offense is way better.  when they are medium-big dog on the road they always keep it close and play games at a really fast pace.  this one SSSSOOOOAAAARRRRSSSS OOOVVVEEERRR the total my friends.  even w no amare, maybe even better without him,  i.e. no big presence in the middle = more layups for OKC.
 
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Posted: #22
3 words for PHX-OKC

NO D FENCE Total will hit 240!!!!

 
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Posted: #23
If you are the OKC coach -- why would you run with Phoenix?   You are not going to outscore them.  Hope your defense can contain them and take your time on the offensive end.  Not to mention OKC is rested and will show up tonight.  I think the UNDER is the right play....if at all.  I am more interested in Cleveland and Charlotte.
 
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Posted: #24
Betting over on extremely high lines and under on extremely low lines in NBA has been profitable last seasons. Wouldn't make the same bet you did but gl
 
 
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Posted: #25
gl ax. u may be sweating this game out.   

looking forward to the new york and denver lines.

sry bout the celtics last night. that ending was painful to watch. whats the word on garnet anyway? hope its not too bad. that would really screw things up like manu did to my spurs.
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