Basketball Association Plays (Fri Edition)

The worlds most popular men's league will take the floor again today and when it does I will certainly be wagering on it.

Playing on the Knicks & Celtics UNDER 207.5

According to the New York Time "Kinck's Dream Week ends tonight." They are referring to the Broadway style scheduling that has consecutively brought the Lakers, Cavs and Celtics to Madison Square Garden all in a row.

We all saw what happened  the first two night s of the show, satrring Kobe (63 pts) and Lebron (52 points) but tonight I wouldn't be too quick to grab the kid]dies and the camera and head to the game

This is a rivalary game, and th Knicks and fans will certainly be on their worst behavior tonight for the Celtics that they despise so much . (Nothing brings out the worst in New Yorkers more then a team from Boston.)

As far as the actuall game and angles, I really think that this a perfect spot to snag the UNDER. A quick peek at the Celtics history shows a signifigant drop off in thier overall poinst for and against when playing the 2nd half of a back to back. Since March of 2008, the Celtics have played 17 back to back situations, 14 of them have gone UNDER the total. In fact if you include Boston & their opponent in these situations...only 5 times over the 17 game span did either the Celtics or the opposition score more then 100 points in a  game. (To make matters more intersting 2 of the 5 times this happened were when the Celtics played the Raptors earilier this year and it went OVERTIME.) If we throw out that overtime game and just deal in regulation games, just 3 times out of 16 games did either the Celtics or thier opponent score over a 100 in this situation.

The Celtics on they yaer are averaging 101 points for per game and 91 against (a total of 192), however in back to back situations their averages drop substantialy to an eye popping 93 points for nad 84 against (177 points). Thats a 24 point drop off.


Now we can pile all this data onto the fact the the Knicks crown is not going to be thier for autgraphs and "star gazing" tonight as the Daily News called it, tonight its back to drunken heckiling of a hated Boston Rival, a war.

This won''t suit a Boston team well that is off an extremely physical OT loss to the Lakers on national TV and also on the heels of a buzzer beating shot versus the 76ers the game before that. Remeber the last time the Celtics played the Lakers on Christmas the very next day the played at run and gun @ Golden State L 89-99. Or the day after the Wizards on Dec. 12 New Orleans W 94-82 , or the Day after Philly on Nov. 29th @ Charlotte W 89-84, etc...

Tonight I lok for the Celtics to do what they always do in back to back situation, slow it down and play tight.  The Knicks stirve for defensive redemption in a rivalry situation. It goes way UNDER 207.5.

Play the Knicks/Celtics UNDER 207.5

this one we got.

good write up!

Yeah last night was tough one. But I'll take push over loss anytime. We'll get 'em tonight for sure.

"Its a marathon, not a sprint" - The Tortise

Good luck!!

HEY m15 ...i like your write ups, you seem like the type of guy that knows what they are talking about. i already like the celtics/nyk under the posted total, knowing the fact that nyk went over thier last 4 games and boston went over thier last 3 games. usually teams that play over 4 or more times bound to go under the 5 time. any ways good luck! and do you post everyday?

I try and post when I can. Depending on the card I usually play more games then I actually post (that aren't mentioned). I don't really believe in posting a play without an  explanation. Posting without a reason  really adds nothing to the community. Anyone can post teams and claim they have a system.

I like to post where my pick comes from, so that way we can have a discussion as to the reasoning I post or something that the reader thinks they can add or contest. If I just post a pick it leaves no details to discuss.

So to answer your question, I try to post everyday, but only when I have time to do it right.

Always enjoy your insight.  Thank you.  

all my plays are the same 1 unit... on a rare occasion, I will got to 1.1 units. This is a case where I did play 1.1.

My play ranking and money management philosophy is this.... I live by these 5 Golden Rules.

1) No play is ever worth more then 2.5% of my total bankroll

2) No play is ever too important that I have to stop the rest of my life to watch or get scores (serious sign your in it for action, not cash, this leads to problems)

3) Remember its a marathon not a sprint, there will be good streaks and there will be bad streaks. You never know when they will occur so don't adjust bet sizes or you'll get cleaned out.

4) Never bet a bad line just to "get something in" or lay -110 if you have to (too many -105 books now).

5) Never bet scared (AKA chasing it) always handicap on the attack with confidence. If your only going 1 unit per game then you should never really be chasing.

u will be surprised how quickly your overall strategy and attitude changes by following the 5 rules.

This thing can be beaten, especially if you only lay -105 and you don't piss away money on action plays..Value, value, value!

GL My play of the day as well.