((( CFL WEEK 11 )))

Forum: CFL
Author: [CFL] Topic: ((( CFL WEEK 11 )))
44-dimes PM 44-dimes
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Posted: 9/5/2012 8:38:37 PM
YTD  18-6  ( +17.30 units )

5u  0-1
4u  3-0
3u  1-0
2u  3-4
1u  11-1

Week 11 is a very interesting card. Every team is playing a Home and Home and after last week's results my immediate lean is to fade all of last weeks winners ( ONLY IF THE SPREAD IS TO MY LIKING ) I like 3 out of the 4 sides and 1 total.

EDMONTON -2 ( 2 units )
WINNIPEG +4 ( 2 units )
BC -5 ( 1 unit )
HAM / TOR OVER 53 ( 1 unit )

gl
aerojackel PM aerojackel
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Posted: 9/5/2012 11:26:58 PM
Wow, doing great.  Keep it up 44!!
thirdperson PM thirdperson
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Posted: 9/6/2012 10:39:10 AM
Easy to agree that home teams often win in back-to-back series.  Losers normally win the second game.  Rare for two games sweep.  Perhaps, possibly Saskatchewan?  When a team wins overwhelmingly, high probability of winning again ATS next week.
pinballwizard PM pinballwizard
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Posted: 9/6/2012 11:00:41 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by aerojackel:

Wow, doing great.  Keep it up 44!!

He sure is doing great; although he lost the one game I'm sure he didn't want to lose a few weeks back.

potvin PM potvin
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Posted: 9/6/2012 3:56:10 PM
good luck 44! keep it going!
andarmac99 PM andarmac99
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Posted: 9/6/2012 4:56:27 PM
Keep raping the man buddy. On the Peg as well.
spottie2935 PM spottie2935
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Posted: 9/6/2012 7:05:49 PM
Topshelf12 PM Topshelf12
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Posted: 9/7/2012 12:48:17 AM

You're the Man 44 but I hate to say it, I'm not feelin the Winnipeg pick. Thought the spread woulda been more even though the Bombers are much tougher at home. No QB and a defense with no swagger is a bad combination. I might avoid that game and hope you prove me wrong.

Other than that, I'm lovin the picks. Good Luck guys.

bold27 PM bold27
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Posted: 9/7/2012 2:14:39 PM
GOOD LUCK
jezhead PM jezhead
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Posted: 9/7/2012 5:36:49 PM
44-dimes PM 44-dimes
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Posted: 9/7/2012 6:18:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Topshelf12:

You're the Man 44 but I hate to say it, I'm not feelin the Winnipeg pick. Thought the spread woulda been more even though the Bombers are much tougher at home. No QB and a defense with no swagger is a bad combination. I might avoid that game and hope you prove me wrong.

Other than that, I'm lovin the picks. Good Luck guys.

That is exactly my point !! How high should the spread be ? If Saskatchewan was -6.5 at home last week then getting +4 is well worth the value and I'm only talking from a  point spread perspective. Saskatchewan is probably the best home field advantage in the CFL and the differential here is only 2.5 points. Com'on this is obviously an inflated line . Albeit the 52-0 score aside.

DDH420 PM DDH420
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Posted: 9/7/2012 7:09:58 PM
Glad you're roll'in buddy.........Stay hot DIMES
jayfan PM jayfan
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Posted: 9/7/2012 8:48:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by thirdperson:

Easy to agree that home teams often win in back-to-back series.  Losers normally win the second game.  Rare for two games sweep.  Perhaps, possibly Saskatchewan?  When a team wins overwhelmingly, high probability of winning again ATS next week.


Not sure that's true.  Especially with something ridiculous like 52-0.  Human nature tends to intervene with an unavoidable letdown.  And then add the fact that your next opponent is the team you just beat 52-0!  Which also means that the team preparing for you just lost a game 52-0.  To be succinct, I'll be shocked if Saskatchewan covers tomorrow.

GL 
Topshelf12 PM Topshelf12
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Posted: 9/10/2012 12:50:51 AM
I'll never question your wisdom again. Nice job.
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