| Author: |
[CFL] Topic: ((( CFL WEEK 1 ))) |
|
44-dimes |
RSI   View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports | |
Captain
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 6509
Location: Quebec |
#1 Posted: 6/27/2012 10:19:09 PM  I'd like to wish everyone here good luck for the upcoming 2012 CFL season. This will be my 4th year on Covers capping the CFL.
I will post all my plays here in the Cfl forum . All my wagers will be between 1 and 5 UNITS.
I'm looking forward to discussion and constructive opinions.
 HERE'S TO A SUCCESSFUL SEASON
2009 34-30 ( +16.6 units )
2010 32-21 ( +19.8 units )
2011 36-25 ( +3.6 units )------Tanked on large wagers last year , but still managed to show a profit.
2012 0-0
 SASK / HAM OVER 48.5 ( 1 unit )
I'm not big on betting totals in football, but I'll occasionally throw a bet when i feel the O/U is soft. My guess is that 90% of posted totals in CFL games fall between the number 47 and 55. You'll rarely see anything above or below these digits.
I do feel this total is low. TiCats were 5th overall in passing last year with an average 263 yards per game. With the addition of Henry Burris complimenting a very strong receiving corps , arguably the best in football, I see the Tabbies improving on their 26.7 PPG of last season.
BC -7 ( 1 unit )
Don't like laying significant chalk on opening day, but I just can't see a letdown by the BC LIONS. No disrespect to Calvillo or Ray but Travis Lulay is the best QB in the CFL today..
I think Swagerville is a thing of the past and with Bombers losing RB Chris Garrett to a season ending lower leg injury this week that doesn't bode well for Buck Pierce. Winnipeg didn't renew Fred Reid's contract this year so this team is very thin in the backfield. Despite what people think, you gotta be able to run the ball in this league. The Bombers were one of the worst teams in the league last season on 2nd down.
TORONTO +1.5 ( 2 units )
This is my largest bet on opening week. I'm going 2 units here and I think that the Argos might end up being the favorite by game time. The Argos finally have a QB in Ricky Ray. Scott Milanovich is eager to prove himself worthy of being a head coach in this league. He was the brain trust of B2B Grey Cups for the Alouettes. He's certainly got the credentials and a great football mind to go along with it.
CALGARY -2.5 ( 1 unit )
I'll gladly take the home team here , laying less than a FG. Tate no longer looking behind his shoulder. He's been solidified as the #1 QB in Calgary. Montreal secondary is very vulnerable.
 GOOD LUCK EVERYBODY,
|
|
quote |
|
bobano350 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports | |
Prospect
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 14
Location: Ontario |
#2 Posted: 6/27/2012 11:12:14 PM
I wanted to post in here so that everyone is armed with this knowledge for Week 1 that all underdogs in Week 1 of the CFL season are 17-3 ATS over the last 5 years dating back to 2007. That's a stat at least worth knowing.
|
|
quote |
|
44-dimes |
RSI |
Captain
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 6509
Location: Quebec |
#3 Posted: 6/27/2012 11:36:57 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by bobano350:
GL this season to you 44 dimes!
I wanted to post in here so that everyone is armed with this knowledge for Week 1 that all underdogs in Week 1 of the CFL season are 17-3 ATS over the last 5 years dating back to 2007. That's a stat at least worth knowing.
I've said this many times before. I think trends dating back outside the current season is LAZY way to Cap. The information is just non pertinent. There are so many changes from one year to the next that it's almost impossible just to create a rivalry in this league. I Know many people in the West might disagree with me, but it's a reality. A franchise player like Ricky RAY going to the Argos is a perfect example.
GL
|
|
quote |
|
coldsnap55 |
RSI  |
Captain
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 8600
Location: Canada |
#4 Posted: 6/28/2012 2:02:33 AM I already bet your 1,3,4 picks yesterday and just looking at who to 6 point tease with B.C....Perhaps Tor./Edm. under.
Glad to see you on the same side on these games.
Hamilton losing the home opener last year to Winn. by 8 as a big fav. scares me from laying points on them with the line opened so low IMO......Even though it went up a point. More comfortable with the Over.
Laying 7 with B.C. is a little risky too since they always seem to get out of the gate a little slow the past few years.
Love the Stamps...MY biggest bet this week.
I totally agree with your Stats Theory for CFL.
I have an issue with Covers so I won't be making any threads at this time....Hope you don't mind me putting in my 2 cents worth from time to time. 
Have a great year. |
|
quote |
|
CoverLane |
RSI  |
Banned
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 6903
Location: |
#5 Posted: 6/28/2012 3:26:30 AM
Any thoughts on the Blue Bombers / Lions Total?
|
|
quote |
|
|
|
cmac29 |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 2740
Location: New Brunswick |
#6 Posted: 6/28/2012 2:24:26 PM I'm really strong on picks 1 & 3,
BOL this week |
|
quote |
|
44-dimes |
RSI |
Captain
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 6509
Location: Quebec |
#7 Posted: 6/28/2012 7:40:49 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by coldsnap55: I already bet your 1,3,4 picks yesterday and just looking at who to 6 point tease with B.C....Perhaps Tor./Edm. under.
Glad to see you on the same side on these games.
Hamilton losing the home opener last year to Winn. by 8 as a big fav. scares me from laying points on them with the line opened so low IMO......Even though it went up a point. More comfortable with the Over.
Laying 7 with B.C. is a little risky too since they always seem to get out of the gate a little slow the past few years.
Love the Stamps...MY biggest bet this week.
I totally agree with your Stats Theory for CFL.
I have an issue with Covers so I won't be making any threads at this time....Hope you don't mind me putting in my 2 cents worth from time to time.
Have a great year.
As always good luck Cold Snap55
We've had several discussions concerning teasers. I'm not a big fan when it comes to betting teasers, you already know this. Here's the problem !! . If i come up with the first team i usually have trouble finding a second team to go along with it. Not always the case but in week 1 it is.
I love the LIONS in a tease this week  ( YOU ALSO SPOTTED THIS )
 I don't like anything else though !!! Perhaps the Argos not sure. IF I HAVE TO THINK ABOUT THEN I TELL MYSELF JUST PASS
|
|
quote |
|
badlands |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 40193
Location: Rhode Island |
#8 Posted: 6/28/2012 8:23:42 PM |
|
quote |
|
potvin |
RSI  |
MVP
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 16745
Location: United States |
#9 Posted: 6/28/2012 9:42:54 PM |
|
quote |
|
tom-jerry |
RSI |
Captain
Joined: May 2007
Posts: 6844
Location: California |
#10 Posted: 6/28/2012 10:29:47 PM   CFL
|
|
quote |
|
andarmac99 |
RSI |
MVP
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 16694
Location: |
#11 Posted: 6/29/2012 12:13:19 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by 44-dimes:
IF I HAVE TO THINK ABOUT THEN I TELL MYSELF JUST PASS
Words every gambler should abide by.
Nice grab on that Hammy Over. Not sure why the total dropped so much early but it is pushing 50.5 now.
|
|
quote |
|
dcgmt |
RSI  |
Captain
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 5542
Location: |
#12 Posted: 6/29/2012 12:30:00 PM |
|
quote |
|
bold27 |
RSI  |
Captain
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 8268
Location: Canada |
#13 Posted: 6/29/2012 1:50:43 PM
|
|
quote |
|
CanadaCup |
RSI |
Captain
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 6530
Location: Canada |
#14 Posted: 6/29/2012 9:33:51 PM Nice start 44-dimes with the Over 48.5.
BOL this year |
|
quote |
|
SirBruce |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 | |
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 1087
Location: British
Columbia |
#15 Posted: 6/30/2012 12:40:33 PM
Good luck this year dimes
|
|
quote |
|
wmi799 |
RSI |
All-Star
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 10111
Location: United States |
#16 Posted: 6/30/2012 4:22:32 PM |
|
quote |
|
coldsnap55 |
RSI |
Captain
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 8600
Location: Canada |
#17 Posted: 7/1/2012 9:47:36 PM CFL 3-1
WNBA 3-1
|
|
quote |
|
monterreymexico |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: May 2006
Posts: 1210
Location: Mexico |
#18 Posted: 7/1/2012 9:57:55 PM |
|
quote |
|
SirBruce |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 | |
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 1087
Location: British
Columbia |
#19 Posted: 7/1/2012 9:58:48 PM |
|
quote |
|
potvin |
RSI |
MVP
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 16745
Location: United States |
#20 Posted: 7/1/2012 10:10:12 PM |
|
quote |
|
44-dimes |
RSI |
Captain
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 6509
Location: Quebec |
#21 Posted: 7/2/2012 1:36:48 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by coldsnap55: CFL 3-1
WNBA 3-1
Thanks CS------------Could of should of went 4-0 in the CFL. Argos took way too many penalties. Game changers.
|
|
quote |
|
CoverLane |
RSI |
Banned
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 6903
Location: |
#22 Posted: 7/2/2012 5:57:07 AM
keep the hot streak up, I'm tuning in. |
|
quote |