Quote Originally Posted by jedimaster:
23-12YTD
Seatlle-9.5-These two teams played on Jul 3 with the storm winning by 10 on the road. Mystics have lost their last 3 games by 10+ on the road. If you are watching these games like me, you will notice that seatle is a great defensive team..especially at home. Washington is one of the top turnover prone teams in the league and I dont think they score more thab 65points this game. However...Alana Beard and Christine Langhorne might play this time around and if they do this should bring down the spread and increse the game total. I will wait for confirmation if these 2 play.
Sparks/Silver Stars O161-
Silver Stars-8
These are 2 of the top 3point shooting teams in the league. The sparks are currently in a 5game losing streak(all road games) and now play SanAntonio without Candis Parker who had 25points in the first matchup. NO team wants to lose 6 in a row so the sparks will compete for a bit and but dont have the conditioning to keep up as the game goes on.
Not great forum etiquette to post different picks + write ups within other people forum.....but since we're brainstorming on how to beat the books....I guess it's okay.
on to more important issues.....
The line at the greek was +10 a few minutes ago....and didn't 44dimes say on Sunday that no team has covered a DD spread as a favorite...until phoenix did just that over Tulsa....
so I'm sure what to make of the flip flop from +10 to +9.5.
Alana beard needed to be held out of at least 10 games as part of WNBA roster hardship exemption stipulations.
We also know that she is recovering from an injury. I think she will play this game since the 10 game requirement was fullfilled in the last game against Indiana.
With that being said....if only one game covered as DD favorite...then the odds are generally against Seattle, when the spread was at Was +10.
If Beard plays....do you really think the spread reflects it?
I think if you are on Washington...now is the time to pick them.
Washington has been slumping with the last 3 games...so I expect the line to reflect the consecutive losses.
Other things to consider....Revenge factor since Washington lost by 10 at home against seattle.
The boost factor if Alana returns back to the line up.
Seattle just finish murdering LA....so I think that would attract the public....which is even more reason to lean towards Washington.
For at least the foregoing reasons, I think Washington @10 is the play.