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Alright, I'll start by saying that this is the most challenging finals contest to cap thusfar. Indy-3 has me a bit nervous. They obviously outplayed Phoenix in both games out in the desert, now its back home where their numbers are solid.
Here we go:
Side (Indy-3)- Lean to Indiana. Despite the fact that the favorite in WNBA finals games has only covered 2 of the last 10 contests datig back to 2007. Thats the X factor today. My reasoning for Indy is that the fever are an outstanding 20-4SU at home their last 24 games off a road win. This amounts to an impressive 18-6 versus the spread in those games. Solid.
I am concerned that the split gets them relaxed enough to fall into an early hole here, we'll see what happens.
To add to the numbers above, Phoenix is an undisputable 7-23 in their last 30 road games off a home loss. 7-23!!!
As stated above, hate laying points in the finals, but could see a 4 or 5 point sweat out game here.
O/U (179)- Per the above scenario, Indy is 6-16-2 under to the spread in this return home scenario. I think they slow it enough to keep it in the 170's. Lean to under.
Good luck to all, Mollydog
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