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Author: [Mixed Martial Arts] Topic: UFC on Fuel 2
sawman send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 4/11/2012 10:15:51 PM

I have Gustafsson and Stann in some previous parlays, but I have not made any plays on this card yet. Here's some thoughts:

Silva/Gustafsson - if silva didn't have a 15 month layoff, i would like his chances more, but i still probably not enough to derail the momentum gustafsson has going. his size reminds me of Bones, and his all round skill set is awesome. He's a finisher, and I think he continues his streak by finishing Silva inside the distance

Stann/Sakara - I like Stann to win a decision. Possibly a TKO. I got him at -365. The -400 he's at now is pretty chalky

Nunes/Siver - I think the younger Nunes takes out Siver. Prob by decision. I always thought Siver was a beefy LW, so this first fight at 145 will be interesting. Siver's striking is world class, but his stock dropped a little for me last fight getting taken out so quickly by Cerrone.

Thiago/Bahad... - Thiago has been the vistem of losing several fights against slightly better opponents. He has had to fight all tough guys and has lost some close ones. Thiago should be the better fighter

Page/Pickett - I like Picket to rebound from that quick loss to barao

Carmont/cedenblad -carmont really impressed me last fight. and while not knowing his opponent, I don't see this "minor leaguer" beating carmont in his home country

still working on some research, but just want to get some dialogue goin!

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#2
Posted: 4/12/2012 8:43:47 AM
Agree with all your picks SM.

BOL
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#3
Posted: 4/12/2012 1:19:14 PM
Agree with all of your picks besides the fact that if Stann wins it will probably be by devastating KO in the 1st round.  Because Sakara really doesn't have a chin.

I like Demarques Johnson as the dog now.  A lot of people backed the British dude as the opening dog.  But I think Johnson is well-rounded enough to be a good dog play here.  +140 I see now.

GL

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sawman send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#4
Posted: 4/12/2012 3:07:40 PM

I think you are right about a Stann KO.

I've been affected by bad/unsuccessful weight cuts a couple times lately... To add to what I said before, No one should touch the Siver/Nunes line until you see Siver at the weigh in

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#5
Posted: 4/12/2012 3:22:59 PM
I think I like Nunes either way.  I doubt I will bet it.  But he is faster and throws more strikes.  He is also better on the ground, and has good cardio.  I think he takes a UD and I think he is at a fair price now.

As for Siver and his weight cut.  I have no clue.  But if I were to guess I'd say it will slow him down.  He was never that fast for a 155er.  He was a muscled up dude.  I think 145 he will be even slower in a faster division and that ultimately will hurt.
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ctm1985 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#6
Posted: 4/12/2012 3:24:10 PM
I'll be pulling for the Stann KO as well   Stylistically, it really SHOULD happen, but eh we'll see.

Good call on Carmont, I'm going to play him whenever 5dimes releases the lines.  And I still like Nunes but I'm kind of hesitant now, may just wait for the weigh-ins as well..

This main event should be good, feels like Gus is going to get the KO with his striking accuracy, but Silva looked so damn huge at their press conference staredown, haha and Gus looked like a skinny kid.  I'm taking 'won't go distance' myself, 2 finishers and Silva has been out for 15 months, I think he'll go all-out attack and "kill or be killed" as he says.  can't bring myself to bet a side!

But yeah I'm pumped the UFC is back, GL sawman
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#7
Posted: 4/13/2012 9:35:06 AM

Carmont (-250) and Abedi (-250) $50 wins $48

Pickett (-225) and Stann (-400) $80 wins $65

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#8
Posted: 4/13/2012 10:36:48 AM
Siver weighed a pound over, nekkid. 

Nunes is such a great line.
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#9
Posted: 4/13/2012 12:32:43 PM
GL
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sawman send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#10
Posted: 4/13/2012 2:43:59 PM
Carmont and nunes $50 wins $56
All my lines are getting bet up quickly
Posted using a mobile device.
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#11
Posted: 4/13/2012 10:55:36 PM

Canadian Fight fans... Do you know if the prelims are televised on Sportsnet?

I pick up 4 different sportsnet channels and none show the prelims. Only starting at 1pm MST on the main channel

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MR219 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
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#12
Posted: 4/13/2012 11:26:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sawman:

Canadian Fight fans... Do you know if the prelims are televised on Sportsnet?

I pick up 4 different sportsnet channels and none show the prelims. Only starting at 1pm MST on the main channel

The prelims are only available on facebook, starting at 1230p eastern.  The main card is on Sportsnet One at 3pm eastern.

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deserted send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#13
Posted: 4/14/2012 12:29:24 AM
ty for info on card!
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sawman send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#14
Posted: 4/14/2012 10:49:49 AM

Carmont (-250) and Abedi (-250) $50 wins $48

Pickett (-225) and Stann (-400) $80 wins $65

Carmont  (260)and nunes (190) $50 wins $56

stann (450)and gustafsson (210) $50 wins $40

stann wins ITD $60 wins $33 (-180)

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sharpstick send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: M Resort |
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#15
Posted: 4/14/2012 10:54:23 AM
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#16
Posted: 4/14/2012 10:54:54 AM
lets get the !!
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