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UFC on Fox 2 Plays

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Captain
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Posts: 6706
Posted: #1
Updated YTD Record: 12-8, +3.65 Units
UFC: 9-6, -0.65 Units ,
Strikeforce: 3-2, +4.30 Units
Final 2011 Record: 148-132-3, +123.55 Units 
Final 2010 Record: 115-119-3, +11.25 Units 
Final 2009 Record: 80-82-1, +23.75 Units 
 
I had a very nice bounce back last weekend after getting my a$$ handed to me wagering of UFC Brazil.
 
I must say that this has been a very challenging card to try to cap.  I think we are going to see a lot of really close fights tomorrow night that could go either way.  As a result, there are very few fights where I am risking more than my standard 2 unit wager.
 
I am going to release my hammer play in the morning.  I am still hoping to get a bet line in the morning.
 
For anyone who cares, I really like Sharapova to beat A$$-arenka in the Australian Open Tennis finals tonight.
 
Here are the plays so far:
 
1.  TBA
 
2.  George Roop (+110) over Cub Swanson.  Risking 3 units to win 3.3 units.
 
3.  Chris Weidman (-150) over Demian Maia.  Risking 3 units to win 2 units.
 
4.  Jon Olav Einemo (+140) over Mike Russow.  Risking 2 units to win 2.8 units.
 
5.  Lavar Johnson (+187.5) over Joey Beltran.  Risking 2 units to win 3.75 units.  Joey Beltran favoured by this much?  Are you f*cking kidding me? 
 
6.  Phil Davis (+160) over Rashad Evans.  Risking 2 units to win 3.2 units.  If this were a 3 round fight, I would probably be leaning the other way, but we have seen Rashad gas after 2 rounds too often for me to trust laying heavy juice with him against a wrestler of Davis' quality.  Davis should be able to start scoring takedowns with more regularity as the fight goes deeper.
 
7.  Lavar Johnson - Joey Beltran over 2.5 rounds (+205).  Risking 1 unit to win 2.05 units.
 
8.  Jon Olav Einemo - Mike Ruosso over 2.5 rounds (+150).  Risking 1 unit to win 1.5 units.
 
BOL to everyone with your plays!!!
 
Captain
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Posted: #2
Glad to see were both on JOE and roop.
Now I'm antsy that I'm on rashad so heavy. And if you're waitin on bisping I'm really antsy.
Good luck
 
Captain
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Posted: #3
 
Captain
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Posted: #4

Quote Originally Posted by sawman:

Glad to see were both on JOE and roop.
Now I'm antsy that I'm on rashad so heavy. And if you're waitin on bisping I'm really antsy.
Good luck

The big plays is not on Bisping. 

 
Captain
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Posted: #5

Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:

Glad to see that we are pretty much on all the same plays!!!

 
Captain
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by MR219:

The big plays is not on Bisping. 



Nik Lentz
 
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Posted: #7
Seems like there's a few unanimous picks on the board for this card, hope we hit em.  I'm going to guess the big play is.. Sonnen and Dunham parlay? 

GL
 
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Posted: #8
I think you're right if you think bisping $ is gonna come in..which is odd I never thought we'd see any bisping $ come in after seeing how easy Mayhem was able to take bisping down ( in the first round ! ) ..
 
Captain
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Posted: #9
Sorry to anyone who tailed the Sharapova tennis play.  That was simply awful...
 
Captain
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Posted: #10
FYI anytime I caught some tennis I was thinking if you and checking you out on the tennis forum. But haven't yet. I caught the end if the djokovic semi. That was great tennis
 
Veteran
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Posted: #11
BOL tonight
 
Captain
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Posted: #12

FINAL CARD:

1.  Parlay of Shane Roller over Michael Johnson and Charles Oliveira over Eric Wisely.  Risking 10 units to win 6.45 units.

2.  Chael Sonnen by Decision or Technical Decision (-130) over Michael Bisping.  Risking 6.5 units to win 5 units.

3.  George Roop (+110) over Cub Swanson.  Risking 3 units to win 3.3 units.

 
4.  Chris Weidman (-150) over Demian Maia.  Risking 3 units to win 2 units.
 
5.  Jon Olav Einemo (+140) over Mike Russow.  Risking 2 units to win 2.8 units.
 
6.  Lavar Johnson (+187.5) over Joey Beltran.  Risking 2 units to win 3.75 units. 
 
7.  Phil Davis (+160) over Rashad Evans.  Risking 2 units to win 3.2 units. 
 
8.  Lavar Johnson - Joey Beltran over 2.5 rounds (+205).  Risking 1 unit to win 2.05 units.
 
9.  Jon Olav Einemo - Mike Ruosso over 2.5 rounds (+150).  Risking 1 unit to win 1.5 units.
 
10.  Parlay of Chris Camozzi over Dustin Jacoby and Evan Dunham over Nik Lentz.  Risking 2 units to win 2 units.
 
BOL to everyone with  your plays!!!
 
Captain
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Posted: #13

Alright, I lied.  Two more plays:

11.  Shane Roller - Michael Johnson over 2.5 rounds (+165).  Risking 1 unit to win 1.65 units.

12.  Phil Davis - Rashad Evans over 3.5 rounds (+110).  Risking 1 unit to win 1.1 units.

 
Captain
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Posted: #14

Quote Originally Posted by frank the tank:



Nik Lentz

Not a chance!

 
Captain
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Posted: #15

Quote Originally Posted by ctm1985:

Seems like there's a few unanimous picks on the board for this card, hope we hit em.  I'm going to guess the big play is.. Sonnen and Dunham parlay? 

GL

Nope, but I like Sonnen a lot to win by decision, as my play would dictate...

 
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Posted: #16

Quote Originally Posted by deserted:

I think you're right if you think bisping $ is gonna come in..which is odd I never thought we'd see any bisping $ come in after seeing how easy Mayhem was able to take bisping down ( in the first round ! ) ..

Bisping is going to be on the wrong end of 15 minute lay and pray losss.  I think the money that is coming in on Bisping are those "Value" line bettors who believe the line on Sonnen is overinflated, which IMO, is by a tad...

 
Captain
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Posted: #17

Quote Originally Posted by sawman:

FYI anytime I caught some tennis I was thinking if you and checking you out on the tennis forum. But haven't yet. I caught the end if the djokovic semi. That was great tennis

Unfortunately, I have missed most of the men's tennis since a lot of the key games started at 330am my time...

At least the woman's quaters and semi started at a decent hour so I could watch those.  I PVR'd the Sharapova - A$$-arenka game and skimmed through it.  Sharapova really seemed to lose it after she had breakpoint with a 2-0 lead in the first set and squandered it.  From what I saw, A$$-arenka played the best game of her life as well.

I have pretty much stopped posting in the tennis forum.  Other than a guys named Professional1 and some of the other MMA regulars who post in the tennis forum, most of the rest of the guys in there are absolute clueless morons who do not know a thing about anything!

 
Captain
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Posted: #18

Quote Originally Posted by whipton:

BOL tonight

 
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Posted: #19

 
Veteran
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by MR219:

Bisping is going to be on the wrong end of 15 minute lay and pray losss.  I think the money that is coming in on Bisping are those "Value" line bettors who believe the line on Sonnen is overinflated, which IMO, is by a tad...

you'll find that UK(british and english) money is loyal money. like mexicans, they will back their fighters with little ryhme or reason.

this explains why hatton was a slight dog to pbf at fight time as well as haye being a +170 against against wk in germany. even lennox said that haye would not beat wlad and could not back his fellow countryman.

if anything, the true bisping odds will favor sonnen come fight time.

 
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Posted: #21
Good luck tonight man, I'm big on Evans so I definitely don't like seeing you on Davis.  Sweep the board on the rest of them 
 
Captain
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by Qncyk1:

you'll find that UK(british and english) money is loyal money. like mexicans, they will back their fighters with little ryhme or reason.

this explains why hatton was a slight dog to pbf at fight time as well as haye being a +170 against against wk in germany. even lennox said that haye would not beat wlad and could not back his fellow countryman.

if anything, the true bisping odds will favor sonnen come fight time.

You do have a very valid point there.  I also get great value fading England in World Cup and Euro Cup in the latter rounds...

 
Captain
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Posted: #23

Quote Originally Posted by bense197969:

Good luck tonight man, I'm big on Evans so I definitely don't like seeing you on Davis.  Sweep the board on the rest of them 

Hope you did not go to big on Evans...

 
Captain
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Posted: #24

I said right from the beginning that this was one of the more difficult cards to cap, so I feel a little bit fortunate to only lose 1 unit, with the plays going 7-5.  Here is the recap:

1.  Parlay of Shane Roller  and Charles Oliveira 

2.  Chael Sonnen by Decision or Technical Decision

3.  George Roop

4.  Chris Weidman
 
5.  Jon Olav Einemo ,
 
6.  Lavar Johnson
 
7.  Phil Davis
 
8.  Lavar Johnson - Joey Beltran over 2.5 rounds
 
9.  Jon Olav Einemo - Mike Ruosso over 2.5 rounds
 
10.  Parlay of Chris Camozzi and Evan Dunham 

11.  Shane Roller - Michael Johnson over 2.5 rounds

12.  Phil Davis - Rashad Evans over 3.5 rounds

 
 
Captain
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Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 6706
Posted: #25
Updated YTD Record: 19-13, +2.65 Units
UFC: 16-11, -1.65 Units ,
Strikeforce: 3-2, +4.30 Units
Final 2011 Record: 148-132-3, +123.55 Units 
Final 2010 Record: 115-119-3, +11.25 Units 
Final 2009 Record: 80-82-1, +23.75 Units 
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