web info you may already know my thoughts this week Nfl

Carolina has been one of the more puzzling teams of this 2007 season, but the Panthers have usually been able to come out on top in the games in which they've received good quarterback play. Although that's not a given with Testaverde, it's still more of a certainty than if the skittish Carr is taking snaps on Sunday, and the old warhorse's participation in Wednesday's practice is a good sign. Carolina may not need a big day out of its quarterback anyway, considering how Foster and the running game have overpowered the Falcons in the past. Atlanta has been getting better and will be competitive, but the Falcons don't have enough game-changers on either side of the ball to win on the road against a Panthers squad that really needs a victory in this spot. It probably won't be thrilling, but Carolina will finally give the home crowd something to cheer about for the first time in a while.

I will buy down panthers -3

The Packers are still suspect in the eyes of many at 7-1, but their recent history of success against Minnesota and the fact that they'll be on home turf make them a legitimate favorite. Peterson may get his yards for the Vikings, but Favre will surely get his as well...and that should be enough.

Line -6 is tough to take Pack may cover but, I'm playing the over 40.5 on this game. I look forward to some bombs and runs

The Broncos have been one of the tougher teams in the NFL to figure out, beating a very good Pittsburgh club one week, not showing up in Detroit two Sundays later. And while Denver has a laundry list of problems, it remains one of the better-coached teams in the league, meaning Shanahan will likely find a way to cover up most of the team's warts both in this game and for the remainder of the season. Kansas City, meanwhile, can not gloss over its problem areas so easily. This team has no offensive identity, especially with Johnson on the shelf, and hasn't been so dominant defensively that it can afford to ride that side of the football to victory every week. In effect, the Chiefs have won some games without finding a winning formula.

 The Chiefs managed only 61 rushing yards and a 2.8-yard average last week, but should have more success against a Broncos defense that allowed 130 yards and 4.5 yards per attempt on the ground. Broncos RB Travis Henry had 9 yards on eight carries last week because of the offensive line, which has struggled due to injuries. The Broncos' rushing attack will be tested against a tough Chiefs defense.

This game is droolin under. This is why my play is the over 37.5

It's a pick em type game

If the Bills are really what their fans say they are - a playoff contender - they win this game, no ifs, ands or buts. If they're not, then they could be ripe for an upset that gets the Dolphins off their 0-for-2007 skid. The guess here is that it's more of the former than the latter. It may not be a breeze, but Losman, Lynch and friends should nonetheless get it done, leaving Miami's next-most-likely first-win victim (the New York Jets) to try and dodge the bullet on Dec. 2.

Bills QB J.P. Losman returned to the starting lineup last week and passed for 295 yards with one TD and one interception. Losman should have success against a Dolphins defense that has given up 15 passing touchdowns this season. The Dolphins are averaging 5.0 rushing yards per carry, second best in the NFL behind the Vikings. Miami's running game could struggle against a Bills defense that held the Bengals to a mere 28 rushing yards.

This is my ml game of the day. -2.5 looks tempting But we have seen these 1pt type games before. Bills -145 small play 

The lifeless Rams are running into the wrong team at the wrong time. New Orleans' offense is clicking on all cylinders, while St. Louis has been holstering an empty gun all season. It's very hard to imagine these Rams marching into an energized Superdome and putting up much of a fight. Until St. Louis' offensive line gets healthy, the Rams will continue to get shelled on the field. Coming off of a bye might help St. Louis a little, but not enough to curb the momentum of the streaking Saints, who win this one big.

For the second consecutive week, the Saints showed why they led the NFL in passing yards last season. Drew Brees passed for 445 yards with three touchdowns and should have success against a Rams defense that struggles against the pass. Rams QB Marc Bulger and Gus Frerotte have combined for a 58.4 passer rating and could struggle against a Saints defense that intercepted three passes last week.

Finally a game that should be closeml -600 ha ha ha

My play is buy down saints -9

This should be a fun game to watch this week, as both the Steelers and Browns have been lighting up the scoreboard. Cleveland is anxious to avenge its Week 1 loss at home, but faces a tough task. The Browns' poor defense should have Roethlisberger and company salivating at the mouth, while Cleveland's athletic aerial attack faces a stiff test in arguably the best defense in the league. For both teams' sake, hopefully the weather in the Steel City will be better than Monday so that both offenses can shine. Pittsburgh's defense will be the unit that decides this game, however.

Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger, who injured his ankle, had the second perfect passer rating of his career at 158.3 last week, but will have to be patient against a Browns defense that gives up short routes to protect against the big plays. Browns QB Derek Anderson didn't throw a touchdown for the first time this season, but still passed for 364 yards. Anderson could struggle against a Steelers defense that sacked Steve McNair five times and forced an interception, before he was pulled from the game.

Teaser game of the day

The people are chanting over over. My play is +10 and the under

also will tease +17 under 54

Tennessee is riding a three-game winning streak and keeping pace with the 7-1 Indianapolis Colts in the AFC South. The Titans know Jacksonville is right on their tail, and a win on Sunday would give them some much-needed breathing room. It's important for Tennessee to establish the run early so Young can dissect the Jaguars' defense. Young is due for a strong performance after stringing together consecutive meager showings. He's made it this far without a top wide receiver, although White has helped along the way with three straight 100-yard efforts. Jacksonville will rebound from its worst defensive performance in team history, only to come up short against the rival Titans. Jones-Drew and Taylor have to face Tennessee's tough run defense, leaving a lot of pressure on whoever plays at quarterback. Jacksonville suffers from the same problem as Tennessee with its lack of a go-to wide receiver. That will show this weekend.

Last week, Titans RB LenDale White got his third 100-yard game in a row and could have similar success against a Jaguars defense that allowed Reggie Bush to rush for 72 yards on 17 carries. Jaguars QB Quinn Gray threw for 354 yards, but also had three interceptions. The Jaguars' passing game could struggle against a Titans defense that had seven sacks, while limiting WR Steve Smith to just three catches for 15 yards.

This has the makings of a close game or a sleeper. My play take the +4.5 Poss small bet on +180ml

The striking thing about the Week 2 matchup between these teams was how much more physical the Redskins were than the Eagles, who were smacked around for 60 minutes and failed to match Washington's intensity. A seeming lack of focus and passion has been an almost weekly occurrence for this Philadelphia team, which makes it difficult to pick them to score a road upset against a quality opponent. Talent-wise, the Eagles match up well with the Redskins, but clearly, something's missing with this year's edition of the Birds. 

 Redskins RB Clinton Portis gained 196 rushing yards on 36 carries and should have similar success against an Eagles defense that has struggled against the run. Eagles QB Donovan McNabb turned the ball over twice in the first half last week, but should have more success against a Redskins defense that allowed Kellen Clemens to pass for 226 yards and a touchdown.

2 things here. The eagles have a game chance to earn the paycheck they make. Some big hits are in store for this game. My thoughts is a possible push game. That's why I will buy up to +3

The season is pretty much lost for the Bengals, The Ravens were toasted on Monday and the short week of preparation will be no problem. Even without cornerbacks Rolle and McAlister, the Ravens have plenty of veteran leadership to allow them to rebound this week. All-Pro linebacker Ray Lewis always has something to say, and you can bet the members of the defense heard a lot this week in practice. Reed must make sure the younger substitutes do not repeat their performance in Pittsburgh, though. If the secondary suffers through another breakdown, Palmer will eat the defensive backfield alive with three talented wide receivers at his disposal. McNair can hear the criticism, but the naysayers won't have much to say after this weekend. McGahee will take some of the pressure off of McNair, who has enjoyed much success against Cincinnati. Baltimore will also have the home crowd in its corner, making it even more difficult for the Bengals to establish much on offense.

Last week, Ravens RB Willis McGahee ran for 50 yards on 12 carries and broke a 33-yard run for a touchdown. McGahee should have more success against a Bengals defense that gave up 153 rushing yards on 29 carries to RB Marshawn Lynch. The Bengals rushed for just 28 yards on 17 carries and faces a Ravens defense that swarms to the ball and held Willie Parker to just 42 yards on 23 carries.

This is the bouceback game of the week After last week, The raven will hurt the bengals. The helmet to helmet rule may show its face today.

Buy down -3 and take the ml -190

The Detroit Lions aren't supposed to fall victim to the dreaded "trap game." They are the trap game, or at least they used to be, since there is a new energy around the men wearing Honolulu Blue and Silver. Still, from a talent perspective, they match up fairly evenly with an Arizona team that has been saddled by some bad luck and untimely injuries but will have every opportunity to take control of the NFC West in the second half. Already this year, two quality teams - Seattle and Pittsburgh - have come to Glendale and wilted in the heat. 

The Lions will not impress anyone with their overall ranks of 28th in NFL total defense (359.1 yards per game) or 30th against the pass (258 yards per game), but in a game where forcing turnovers and applying pressure leads directly to wins, Detroit has been among the top units in the league. Marinelli's club has forced a league-high 24 turnovers through eight games, including a fumble return for a touchdown by end Dewayne White (31 tackles, 5.5 sacks, 1 INT) and an interception return for a touchdown from tackle Shaun Rogers (20 tackles, 4.5 sacks, 1 INT) last Sunday. Detroit sacked Broncos quarterbacks five times in the contest, two-and-a-half of which went to the reigning NFL Defensive Player of the Week Rogers. From a statistical standpoint, the Lions' strength is stopping the run, as they rank 12th in the league in that category (101.1 yards per game). Linebackers Paris Lenon (65 tackles, 2 sacks) and Ernie Sims (71 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT) have shown consistent tackling ability behind interior lineman Rogers and Cory Redding (18 tackles).

Detroit holds a 31-22-5 lead in an all-time series that dates back to the 1930 season, when the then-Portsmouth Spartans faced off with the then-Chicago Cardinals. Arizona was a 17-10 home winner when the teams met in Week 11 of last season, snapping a three-game losing streak in the series. Detroit's last win in the series came in 2005, a 29-21 home affair. The Lions are 0-4 in Arizona since last winning there in 1993.

Detroit (6-2) at Arizona (3-5)

My mother always said: do not touch that! it's hot! That's what the lions are. HOT!

the cards are favored by 1.5? Look at the record. difficult game to call. But, The heat can burn. the under 45 is the only play I can do. 

The Giants are certainly a better team than the one that was steamrolled by Dallas in the season opener and should be a fired-up bunch playing at home in a divisional game with plenty of ramifications. New York's string of six straight wins has been built on three factors -- a strong running game, an ability to consistently pressure the quarterback, and a soft schedule. Four of those six victories (Jets, Falcons, 49ers, Dolphins) have come against some of the league's dregs, and it remains to be seen whether the Giants will be able to handle a clear step up in class. Dallas' offensive line has been stellar in pass protection all year long, while Romo has also shown a knack for getting rid of the ball quickly in the face of a rush. If New York can't generate the heat on defense that has been the key to the team's resurgence, Dallas' strong receiving corps should be able to exploit their one-on-one matchups with the secondary. The Giants will put up some points as well, but probably not enough to win a shootout with the NFC's most explosive team.

Cowboys QB Tony Romo completed 20 of 25 passes for 324 yards and three touchdowns last week, but could struggle against a Giants defense that leads the league with 30 sacks. Giants QB Eli Manning is on pace for 26 TD passes, which would be a career high. Manning faces a Cowboys defense that sacked Donovan McNabb three times and forced two interceptions.

This is the game to watch

this game screams over 49 anyone can win this one. The giants are due for a close 3pt lose. Hey six straight wins is great.

this is a teaser asking to be played. But i'll take the boys -1

This is really the last stand for both of these teams, who both need to open the second half with a win to have any hope of salvaging their respective seasons. Which is more capable of getting that done? It has to be the reigning NFC champs, who should come off the bye week in a better mental and physical frame of mind, and still have a good cross-section of talent left from their recent run of success. The Raiders have been competitive all year and will continue to be this week.

 Bears QB Brian Griese has moved the offense through the air at times, but he's also been intercepted 10 times in five starts. Griese could struggle against the Raiders' defense, which ranks forth in the league against the pass. The Raiders got their running game back on track with 153 yards on 33 carries and will attack a Bears defense that has been gashed repeatedly, including the 311 rushing yards allowed in Week 6.

This is the I lost my ass on the early games play. Dont bother with the ml. No over no under. ImoThe bears crush the raiders.

Lay the -3.5 I hope to hit big on this game.

 Stay the f$#k away I'll blast ya!

The Chargers hold a 13-8 advantage in the all-time regular season series with the Colts, including a 26-17 road upset when the teams last met, in Week 15 of the 2005 season. The Chargers lost the three previous head-to-head meetings, including a 34-31 overtime affair at the RCA Dome in 2004 and a 27-19 loss when the teams last met in San Diego, in 1999. The Bolts' last home win in the series came in 1997.

The Colts won the only postseason meeting between the teams, claiming a 35-20 win on the road in a 1995 AFC First-Round Playoff.

Dungy is 2-1 all-time against San Diego, including a win for his Buccaneers in the 1996 season. The Chargers' Norv Turner is 1-3 all-time against Indianapolis, including 1-2 while head coach in Washington (1994-2000). Turner is 0-2 head-to-head against Dungy, including a loss for his Raiders to Indy in 2004.

Recovering from a stinging loss may be the least thing on Dungy's mind heading into this matchup. Indianapolis is dealing with a number of injuries on both sides of the ball, with perennial All-Pro wide receiver Marvin Harrison the most notable of the team's walking wounded.

Harrison has sat out three of the Colts' last four contests with a sprained left knee and is highly questionable to return to action this week. His primary backup, Anthony Gonzalez, definitely won't face the Chargers after the first-year wideout dislocated a finger in last week's loss. Fellow rookie Tony Ugoh, Indianapolis' regular left tackle and the primary blindside protector of quarterback Peyton Manning, will likely miss a third straight game with a neck stinger.

Colts RB Joseph Addai rushed for 112 yards on 26 carries and should have similar success against a Chargers defense that allowed RB Adrian Peterson to rush for an NFL-record 296 yards. Chargers QB Philip Rivers completed just 19 of 42 passes for 197 yards, with an interception. Rivers could struggle against a Colts defense that sacked Tom Brady twice, pressured him four other times and intercepted two of his passes.

Well. good luck to the board. I hope we dont lose much. Be happy with a small positive day, Rather than a huge negative day.Time for some HOMEBREW