Wow...it seems like the break in professional football gets longer and longer every year...maybe I didn't get up to Lake Tahoe as much as I should have this Summer...to at least take some of my gambling obsessions out on the black jack tables!!! I also did not bet any Pre-season football...just like last year...hoping to have a successful run during the regular NFL season this year and BOL to everyone out there!
So far here's what I'm toying with taking week #1:
Thursday night ...INDY -6...trend play>>>Super Bowl winners from the previous year are 5-0-1 ATS week # 1 the following year.
Sunday...BUFF +3.5...fits into a system play>>>play against a non-division fav of more than 3 points but less than 7 before a division contest in next game and a non-division contest in game after that or before 3 division contests in its next 3 games.
PITT -4.5...no real system or trend play>>>I just think PITT is a much superior team and should easily be able to handle CLEV.
JAX -6.5...same reasoning used here as in my PITT pick above.
SD -6...system play in effect>>>Super Bowl losers from the previous year are now 0-9 ATS in week # 1 of the following year.
I'll be posting my final picks and lines here...but you can pretty much count the above as my initial wagers come Thursday and Sunday.
GLTA,
SLD
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Hi Guys and Gals...
Wow...it seems like the break in professional football gets longer and longer every year...maybe I didn't get up to Lake Tahoe as much as I should have this Summer...to at least take some of my gambling obsessions out on the black jack tables!!! I also did not bet any Pre-season football...just like last year...hoping to have a successful run during the regular NFL season this year and BOL to everyone out there!
So far here's what I'm toying with taking week #1:
Thursday night ...INDY -6...trend play>>>Super Bowl winners from the previous year are 5-0-1 ATS week # 1 the following year.
Sunday...BUFF +3.5...fits into a system play>>>play against a non-division fav of more than 3 points but less than 7 before a division contest in next game and a non-division contest in game after that or before 3 division contests in its next 3 games.
PITT -4.5...no real system or trend play>>>I just think PITT is a much superior team and should easily be able to handle CLEV.
JAX -6.5...same reasoning used here as in my PITT pick above.
SD -6...system play in effect>>>Super Bowl losers from the previous year are now 0-9 ATS in week # 1 of the following year.
I'll be posting my final picks and lines here...but you can pretty much count the above as my initial wagers come Thursday and Sunday.
Really like the Colts. i just do not believe they will be let down because of winning the SB. I do think they are suspect on the defensive side of the ball. AFC vs NFC superiority comes into play here though.
Also like SD. They are just too talented for Turner to mess it up.
Staying away from the others.
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Really like the Colts. i just do not believe they will be let down because of winning the SB. I do think they are suspect on the defensive side of the ball. AFC vs NFC superiority comes into play here though.
Also like SD. They are just too talented for Turner to mess it up.
welcome back SLD, looking forward to your MNF picks again, your week #1 picks look solid as well, as they say, "befriend the trend"... LOVE PITT and SD especially...
cheers and GL
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welcome back SLD, looking forward to your MNF picks again, your week #1 picks look solid as well, as they say, "befriend the trend"... LOVE PITT and SD especially...
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