hold on a second... so your argument here is that Baltimore (+1/2) -155 juice for the 1st quarter is an indication that SF (-3.5) for the game is a bad bet?
first of all, the 1Q line is only an indication of what is most likely to happen in the 1st quarter, in the eyes of the linesmakers... second of all, making SF a half point favorite in the 1st quarter, in a game where the line is only 3.5 for the game, with a team that has been better in the 2nd half in both playoff games... IS NOT anything that can be interpreted as a sign from the books that Baltimore is the correct play...
just have no idea how you are coming up with that perspective... Ravens colored glasses, i presume...
hold on a second... so your argument here is that Baltimore (+1/2) -155 juice for the 1st quarter is an indication that SF (-3.5) for the game is a bad bet?
first of all, the 1Q line is only an indication of what is most likely to happen in the 1st quarter, in the eyes of the linesmakers... second of all, making SF a half point favorite in the 1st quarter, in a game where the line is only 3.5 for the game, with a team that has been better in the 2nd half in both playoff games... IS NOT anything that can be interpreted as a sign from the books that Baltimore is the correct play...
just have no idea how you are coming up with that perspective... Ravens colored glasses, i presume...
for the record, these are current lines for each quarter at Bookmaker... with the possible exception of 5Dimes, Bookmaker is the online market that has the sharpest lines... and imo, they are actually sharper than 5Dimes, but it's splitting hairs either way...
1Q Balt (+0.5) -140 SF (-0.5) +110 2Q Balt (+0.5) -110 SF (-0.5) -120
3Q Balt (+0.5) -150 SF (-0.5) +120
4Q Balt (+0.5) -135 SF (-0.5) +105
perhaps the interpretation error you are making is that, because these lines only aggregate to an overall line of SF (-2), with some lines juiced towards Baltimore, that the books are tipping their belief that Baltimore is the better play...
problem is, quarter lines are not the same animal as a game line... you are giving Baltimore points in every single quarter... it is WAY too easy, if they DON'T juice some of those lines towards the Ravens, to just take Baltimore all 4 quarters, knowing you only need to TIE 2 of the quarters in order to get a split... in a game where the spread is under 4 points, you can't give people something that easy, with so little risk...
if you are going to get Baltimore GETTING POINTS in every quarter... you have to pay a fee... that is ALL these quarter lines are telling you, Gavin...
for the record, these are current lines for each quarter at Bookmaker... with the possible exception of 5Dimes, Bookmaker is the online market that has the sharpest lines... and imo, they are actually sharper than 5Dimes, but it's splitting hairs either way...
1Q Balt (+0.5) -140 SF (-0.5) +110 2Q Balt (+0.5) -110 SF (-0.5) -120
3Q Balt (+0.5) -150 SF (-0.5) +120
4Q Balt (+0.5) -135 SF (-0.5) +105
perhaps the interpretation error you are making is that, because these lines only aggregate to an overall line of SF (-2), with some lines juiced towards Baltimore, that the books are tipping their belief that Baltimore is the better play...
problem is, quarter lines are not the same animal as a game line... you are giving Baltimore points in every single quarter... it is WAY too easy, if they DON'T juice some of those lines towards the Ravens, to just take Baltimore all 4 quarters, knowing you only need to TIE 2 of the quarters in order to get a split... in a game where the spread is under 4 points, you can't give people something that easy, with so little risk...
if you are going to get Baltimore GETTING POINTS in every quarter... you have to pay a fee... that is ALL these quarter lines are telling you, Gavin...
i tend to think people put too much stock in trying to find "clues" from the books of which side to bet... basically what you are doing is putting your money on the belief that the books are foolish and careless, and that you are smart enough to find their mistakes... but the plethora of sportsbooks all over the world is a very strong indication that there mistakes are pretty few and far between...
i tend to think people put too much stock in trying to find "clues" from the books of which side to bet... basically what you are doing is putting your money on the belief that the books are foolish and careless, and that you are smart enough to find their mistakes... but the plethora of sportsbooks all over the world is a very strong indication that there mistakes are pretty few and far between...
yea real tough to back this niner team. best running attack in football great oline a qb whos impossible to game plan for a better defense not to mention resiliant coming back from a 17-0 deficit on the road. Other than that ravens are easy money i mean why are they underdogs i dont get it.
yea real tough to back this niner team. best running attack in football great oline a qb whos impossible to game plan for a better defense not to mention resiliant coming back from a 17-0 deficit on the road. Other than that ravens are easy money i mean why are they underdogs i dont get it.
Niners win save your money! Trust me I cant stand this fact but might as well own up to it! The only teams that can beats em are at home! We will get em next year Go Seahawks! Niners -3.5 for all the marbles! They will pound the rock and wait for ravens to get tired and then kappr will make them pay! GL
Niners win save your money! Trust me I cant stand this fact but might as well own up to it! The only teams that can beats em are at home! We will get em next year Go Seahawks! Niners -3.5 for all the marbles! They will pound the rock and wait for ravens to get tired and then kappr will make them pay! GL
Niners win save your money! Trust me I cant stand this fact but might as well own up to it! The only teams that can beats em are at home! We will get em next year Go Seahawks! Niners -3.5 for all the marbles! They will pound the rock and wait for ravens to get tired and then kappr will make them pay! GL
Niners win save your money! Trust me I cant stand this fact but might as well own up to it! The only teams that can beats em are at home! We will get em next year Go Seahawks! Niners -3.5 for all the marbles! They will pound the rock and wait for ravens to get tired and then kappr will make them pay! GL
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.