Messages

Forum Index : NFL Betting : Messages Page 1 of 6  1 2 3 4 5   »
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Conference Championship Sunday: A day of Atonement & Reckoning
TRAIN69
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetOnline.ag |
TRAIN69
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Oct 2002
Posts: 38635
Location: Missouri
#1
Posted: 1/15/2013 9:33:59 PM

ATONEMENT:

SF has scored more than 30 points 5 times this year. @ Jets, NO and NE & home vs Chic and Buff. After 3 of those games, they came out and laid an egg. After Buff/NO/NE, the 49ers scored 29 combined points in 3 games. Atl has given up more than 21 points only 5 times this year (only once at home),and havent given up over 30 points all season, and havent really lost at home (last game vs TB was meaningless to Atl).

So, do I believe SF and a rookie qb are gonna walk into Hotlanta and run wild over the Falcons or do I think Matty Ice and his crew come to play? Seems most people think SF is an awesome squad that cant be beat based on what they did last saturday. I was at the game they lost @ the Rams. I see things more clearly. Gore doesnt have breakaway speed, their receivers are mediocre at best and SF already played their trump card letting Kaep loose. We've all seen it before. What looks amazing one week gets stuffed the next. Atl secondary is better than GBs and I expect them to move safeties up and make a rookie read defenses in probably the loudest environment of his career.

Falcons +4.5 & U49.5

 

RECKONING:

 

Baltimore had last years game in the palm of Lee Evans hands. Fail. Flacco has a few more weapons around him and Brady has less. Welker/Lloyd/Edelman dont strike fear and Gronk is out. Of course Brady will dink and dunk, but with Lewis covering the middle I wouldnt be surprised to see some alligator arms and Brady will be weary of Ed Reed ball hawking.

If not for 2 special teams tds by NE, they might be watching this game. Of course Baltimore had a lapse of their own, so i dont expect the return games of either team to be a factor this week. Ray Rice is the best back on the field and the Pats should get a steady dose of him. Torrey Smith has been great all year and Boldin is a great target. If Pitta and Dickson can get in the mix it would benefit the Ravens greatly. Its not like the Pats have a stellar defense. I mean, look at New England schedule this year.....atrocious. Miami x2, Tenn, Jets x2, Jacksonville, Buff x2, Zona and Stl.....Very unimpressive. They only have 2 wins vs playoff teams (SF/Sea).....Yes, Balt only has 2 as well.....but much tougher schedule (weekness being Clev x2, KC, Oak).....

Ray Lewis brings an emotion no other player does.This could be his last game. I know I wouldnt want to go over the middle.

Ravens +10.5 -130 & U53

 

Atl/Balt ML parlay +1027

Atl ML/Balt ML & both unders parlay +4009

 

I'm sure the NFL really wants a NE/SF SB....much more exciting from the normal fans p.o.v. Wont be surprised if there are some shady calls that go against me. Such is life.

 

quote
NOboy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
NOboy
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 3803
Location:
#2
Posted: 1/15/2013 9:37:32 PM
good write ups. i love the storyline of 2 future HoF in the SB both with 1 shot to get a ring before the retire. still thinking about playing a ML parlay though. but most likely will be on the points. BOL to us 
quote
HolyBull send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
HolyBull
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 5906
Location: Massachusetts
#3
Posted: 1/15/2013 9:48:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

ATONEMENT:

SF has scored more than 30 points 5 times this year. @ Jets, NO and NE & home vs Chic and Buff. After 3 of those games, they came out and laid an egg. After Buff/NO/NE, the 49ers scored 29 combined points in 3 games. Atl has given up more than 21 points only 5 times this year (only once at home),and havent given up over 30 points all season, and havent really lost at home (last game vs TB was meaningless to Atl).

So, do I believe SF and a rookie qb are gonna walk into Hotlanta and run wild over the Falcons or do I think Matty Ice and his crew come to play? Seems most people think SF is an awesome squad that cant be beat based on what they did last saturday. I was at the game they lost @ the Rams. I see things more clearly. Gore doesnt have breakaway speed, their receivers are mediocre at best and SF already played their trump card letting Kaep loose. We've all seen it before. What looks amazing one week gets stuffed the next. Atl secondary is better than GBs and I expect them to move safeties up and make a rookie read defenses in probably the loudest environment of his career.

Falcons +4.5 & U49.5

 

RECKONING:

 

Baltimore had last years game in the palm of Lee Evans hands. Fail. Flacco has a few more weapons around him and Brady has less. Welker/Lloyd/Edelman dont strike fear and Gronk is out. Of course Brady will dink and dunk, but with Lewis covering the middle I wouldnt be surprised to see some alligator arms and Brady will be weary of Ed Reed ball hawking.

If not for 2 special teams tds by NE, they might be watching this game. Of course Baltimore had a lapse of their own, so i dont expect the return games of either team to be a factor this week. Ray Rice is the best back on the field and the Pats should get a steady dose of him. Torrey Smith has been great all year and Boldin is a great target. If Pitta and Dickson can get in the mix it would benefit the Ravens greatly. Its not like the Pats have a stellar defense. I mean, look at New England schedule this year.....atrocious. Miami x2, Tenn, Jets x2, Jacksonville, Buff x2, Zona and Stl.....Very unimpressive. They only have 2 wins vs playoff teams (SF/Sea).....Yes, Balt only has 2 as well.....but much tougher schedule (weekness being Clev x2, KC, Oak).....

Ray Lewis brings an emotion no other player does.This could be his last game. I know I wouldnt want to go over the middle.

Ravens +10.5 -130 & U53

 

Atl/Balt ML parlay +1027

Atl ML/Balt ML & both unders parlay +4009

 

I'm sure the NFL really wants a NE/SF SB....much more exciting from the normal fans p.o.v. Wont be surprised if there are some shady calls that go against me. Such is life.

 

I don't understand the special teams comment, can you explain.  Also, Pats lost to both Sea and SF, which I guess makes your point.  They did have wins over Denver, Houston x 2, and Indy which are all playoff teams.

HB

quote
kahuna57 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
kahuna57
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 1083
Location: Hawaii
#4
Posted: 1/15/2013 9:48:09 PM
Ummmm....
New England did not beat Seattle and San Fran. They lost both.
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
bigslick24ak send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
bigslick24ak
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 607
Location: Texas
#5
Posted: 1/15/2013 9:52:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

ATONEMENT:

SF has scored more than 30 points 5 times this year. @ Jets, NO and NE & home vs Chic and Buff. After 3 of those games, they came out and laid an egg. After Buff/NO/NE, the 49ers scored 29 combined points in 3 games. Atl has given up more than 21 points only 5 times this year (only once at home),and havent given up over 30 points all season, and havent really lost at home (last game vs TB was meaningless to Atl).

So, do I believe SF and a rookie qb are gonna walk into Hotlanta and run wild over the Falcons or do I think Matty Ice and his crew come to play? Seems most people think SF is an awesome squad that cant be beat based on what they did last saturday. I was at the game they lost @ the Rams. I see things more clearly. Gore doesnt have breakaway speed, their receivers are mediocre at best and SF already played their trump card letting Kaep loose. We've all seen it before. What looks amazing one week gets stuffed the next. Atl secondary is better than GBs and I expect them to move safeties up and make a rookie read defenses in probably the loudest environment of his career.

Falcons +4.5 & U49.5

 

RECKONING:

 

Baltimore had last years game in the palm of Lee Evans hands. Fail. Flacco has a few more weapons around him and Brady has less. Welker/Lloyd/Edelman dont strike fear and Gronk is out. Of course Brady will dink and dunk, but with Lewis covering the middle I wouldnt be surprised to see some alligator arms and Brady will be weary of Ed Reed ball hawking.

If not for 2 special teams tds by NE, they might be watching this game. Of course Baltimore had a lapse of their own, so i dont expect the return games of either team to be a factor this week. Ray Rice is the best back on the field and the Pats should get a steady dose of him. Torrey Smith has been great all year and Boldin is a great target. If Pitta and Dickson can get in the mix it would benefit the Ravens greatly. Its not like the Pats have a stellar defense. I mean, look at New England schedule this year.....atrocious. Miami x2, Tenn, Jets x2, Jacksonville, Buff x2, Zona and Stl.....Very unimpressive. They only have 2 wins vs playoff teams (SF/Sea).....Yes, Balt only has 2 as well.....but much tougher schedule (weekness being Clev x2, KC, Oak).....

Ray Lewis brings an emotion no other player does.This could be his last game. I know I wouldnt want to go over the middle.

Ravens +10.5 -130 & U53

 

Atl/Balt ML parlay +1027

Atl ML/Balt ML & both unders parlay +4009

 

I'm sure the NFL really wants a NE/SF SB....much more exciting from the normal fans p.o.v. Wont be surprised if there are some shady calls that go against me. Such is life.

 


I bet the loudest environment would be Seattle Seahawks  game they played this year.. That stadium was atrocious that night.
quote
TRAIN69
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetOnline.ag |
TRAIN69
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Oct 2002
Posts: 38635
Location: Missouri
#6
Posted: 1/15/2013 10:02:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by HolyBull:

I don't understand the special teams comment, can you explain.  Also, Pats lost to both Sea and SF, which I guess makes your point.  They did have wins over Denver, Houston x 2, and Indy which are all playoff teams.

HB

Meant Denv/Hou, not SF/Sea (overlooked the Colts)

The special teams part was supposed to say: The 2 special teams tds by Denver almost had Balt at home watching this game. Was basically trying to say I think special teams will be a non factor.

Man, I really should proof read my stuff. Mind thinking one thing....hands type another.

 

Sorry all. More sleep needed.

quote
TRAIN69
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetOnline.ag |
TRAIN69
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Oct 2002
Posts: 38635
Location: Missouri
#7
Posted: 1/15/2013 10:03:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bigslick24ak:


I bet the loudest environment would be Seattle Seahawks  game they played this year.. That stadium was atrocious that night.

I agree, Up until sunday.

quote
Supat125 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
Supat125
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 51
Location: Thailand
#8
Posted: 1/15/2013 10:23:35 PM
Win BIg Bro
quote
ActionMagnet send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
ActionMagnet
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1411
Location: United States
#9
Posted: 1/15/2013 10:30:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

I agree, Up until sunday.

Too funny 
Making a case for Atlanta, ewww scary powerhouse Atlanta falcons.. 
quote
hawgpix send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: MGM Grand |
hawgpix
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 1917
Location: Arkansas
#10
Posted: 1/15/2013 10:32:07 PM
Good luck Train 
quote
saigon
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
saigon
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 1924
Location:
#11
Posted: 1/15/2013 10:39:13 PM
Like your play.

GL Train66


quote
The_BigDog
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
The_BigDog
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 3400
Location: Georgia
#12
Posted: 1/15/2013 10:44:32 PM
I would love to see you cash those parlays  
quote
TRAIN69
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetOnline.ag |
TRAIN69
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Oct 2002
Posts: 38635
Location: Missouri
#13
Posted: 1/15/2013 10:45:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:

Too funny 
Making a case for Atlanta, ewww scary powerhouse Atlanta falcons.. 

Wasnt making a case for Atlanta, they are the prosectution. San Fran is the defendent......

Last time San Fran was a powerhouse the SF qb wasnt alive......

quote
insatiable send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
insatiable
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 23611
Location: California
#14
Posted: 1/15/2013 11:06:19 PM
Good luck buddy 
quote
DaBestEver24 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
DaBestEver24
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 2486
Location: Hawaii
#15
Posted: 1/15/2013 11:12:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Wasnt making a case for Atlanta, they are the prosectution. San Fran is the defendent......

Last time San Fran was a powerhouse the SF qb wasnt alive......

really dumbass. R u saying kaep is 17 years old cuz last time i check sf won in 94 u stupid fu ck. stop trying to b a sharp and watch the niners roll these scrubs
quote
DaBestEver24 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
DaBestEver24
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 2486
Location: Hawaii
#16
Posted: 1/15/2013 11:15:52 PM
Excuse me ur not trying to b a sharp cuz atl is not a sharp play. U wanna b the "go against the public" wannabe smart guy 
quote
TRAIN69
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetOnline.ag |
TRAIN69
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Oct 2002
Posts: 38635
Location: Missouri
#17
Posted: 1/15/2013 11:29:30 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by DaBestEver24:

really dumbass. R u saying kaep is 17 years old cuz last time i check sf won in 94 u stupid fu ck. stop trying to b a sharp and watch the niners roll these scrubs

Powerhouse doesnt mean one lucky year. We all know Dallas was the better team who had 1 bad quarter in 1994. Dallas was a powerhouse 91-95, NE was a powerhouse early 2000-2005, Steelers late 70s.... SF was a powerhouse late 80s......

Not sure where your read the words public or sharp in my thread.....oh wait, it was only in your post.....

Get some pubes then come chat with me kid.

quote
TRAIN69
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetOnline.ag |
TRAIN69
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Oct 2002
Posts: 38635
Location: Missouri
#18
Posted: 1/15/2013 11:30:02 PM
"Da"bestever
quote
DoubleUp4Life
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
DoubleUp4Life
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 32750
Location: New York
#19
Posted: 1/15/2013 11:32:46 PM
Best of Luck 

Like Both Dogs as well

So sick of Bellicheat ... would Love to see Ray Lewis and his Boyz dance into the SuperBowl 

Not as sure about the Dirty Birds , but nice catching more than 4 at home vs a West Coast squad ....

a All BIRD BOWL sounds nice 

...ML parlay would be 



quote
DaBestEver24 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
DaBestEver24
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 2486
Location: Hawaii
#20
Posted: 1/15/2013 11:34:37 PM
Yeah right "lucky". Niners spread on that superbowl was -20 which was the largest spread in superbowl history! What was the score? 55-10! Lucky u say? Stfu wannabe smart guy
quote
CalBear send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
CalBear
Participation Meter
MVP
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 19680
Location: California
#21
Posted: 1/15/2013 11:37:48 PM
quote
DaBestEver24 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
DaBestEver24
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 2486
Location: Hawaii
#22
Posted: 1/15/2013 11:43:38 PM
Im telling u that ur write up is sh!t. Not sharp like at all. Full of bullsh!t stats that any smart better will not use for this game. Atl is weak and niners r favored, with a "17 year old" qb on the road vs the "so called" #1 team in the nfc. Vegas knows y the line is high and I Know Why, u dont 
quote
TRAIN69
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetOnline.ag |
TRAIN69
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Oct 2002
Posts: 38635
Location: Missouri
#23
Posted: 1/16/2013 12:02:40 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by DaBestEver24:

Yeah right "lucky". Niners spread on that superbowl was -20 which was the largest spread in superbowl history! What was the score? 55-10! Lucky u say? Stfu wannabe smart guy

A) Lucky to get to the game. Dallas was far superior.

B) Lucky to play a crappy SD squad

 

"Da" best EVA playa for realz. I be Da man y'all

quote
DaBestEver24 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
DaBestEver24
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 2486
Location: Hawaii
#24
Posted: 1/16/2013 12:09:38 AM
Plus all those games niners lost this year were classic letdown games.  Blowouts mean nothing when they dont give a damn about losing it. Losing to min cuz it was the first road game of a road trip, classic. Losing to nyg after blowing out 2 teams by 30, classic. Tieing stl after beating seattle and smashing ari on primetime mnf, classic. losing to stl cuz kaep had his first blowup (fumbling on an option and stl pickin it up for 6pts) a game after kaep manhandled no in the superdome,  classic. And finally losing to sea in sea after owning brady in ne, classic. Whats going to b the classic reason y atl should beat the niners sunday??????  Pubes? How bout these deez nutz son!
quote
hawgpix send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: MGM Grand |
hawgpix
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 1917
Location: Arkansas
#25
Posted: 1/16/2013 12:10:57 AM
Train.....calm down.  You gotta cut this guy some slack.  Obvious he's not a wiz. He lost me with the 1994 and 17yrs old stuff.  1994-2013 How you get 17 outta that?  The same way you bet SF on the road after their best GOY.  
quote
Forum Index : NFL Betting : Messages Page 1 of 6  1 2 3 4 5   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.