I'm sure some of you have already made your plays or leaning one way or the other. I was just looking at the lines and had some thoughts.
BALT vs DENVER
Looking at the Balt line of 9 just seems too high. I get that Denver is a public favorite which is why the line seems high. From a Vegas standpoint that way Denver backers to pay a high price even putting it a very bad tease situation where you can get Balt +15. Forget manning and Flacco and all the crap Inbetween ...I'll take the 9 and just think Vegas is asking a steep price for a Denver play. FYI I am a raven homer but that has little to do with this play.
GB vs SF
This is an even match up. I think you can go either way and it is a good play. Two good teams but for me I am leaning SF. I think GB D will have problems with kapernick. SF D one of the best. Line seems low at 3. I'll take the home team
ATL vs SEATTLE
I am all over ATL here. Not impressed with Sea last week. If RG3 doesn't get hurt that is a different game. Also Sea has to. Travel across country for an east coast game. ATL has been bad in the playoffs recently. I think this yr will be different at least for this game. The line at -1 is gold. I see too much love for Sea in that line and it should be 3.
HOUSTON vs NE
Not impressed with Houston last week at all. Cincy was a disaster in that game and still had a shot to go ahead late in the game when Dalton missed a wide open AJ Green in the end zone. Houston has a been a horrible team the past month. They are no match for a team like NE. Hate laying so many points looks like 9.5 as of now.
So there you have it my leans/plays are..hmm lots of chalk
BALT +9
SF -3
ATL -1
NE -9.5
Any thoughts/comment would be great
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I'm sure some of you have already made your plays or leaning one way or the other. I was just looking at the lines and had some thoughts.
BALT vs DENVER
Looking at the Balt line of 9 just seems too high. I get that Denver is a public favorite which is why the line seems high. From a Vegas standpoint that way Denver backers to pay a high price even putting it a very bad tease situation where you can get Balt +15. Forget manning and Flacco and all the crap Inbetween ...I'll take the 9 and just think Vegas is asking a steep price for a Denver play. FYI I am a raven homer but that has little to do with this play.
GB vs SF
This is an even match up. I think you can go either way and it is a good play. Two good teams but for me I am leaning SF. I think GB D will have problems with kapernick. SF D one of the best. Line seems low at 3. I'll take the home team
ATL vs SEATTLE
I am all over ATL here. Not impressed with Sea last week. If RG3 doesn't get hurt that is a different game. Also Sea has to. Travel across country for an east coast game. ATL has been bad in the playoffs recently. I think this yr will be different at least for this game. The line at -1 is gold. I see too much love for Sea in that line and it should be 3.
HOUSTON vs NE
Not impressed with Houston last week at all. Cincy was a disaster in that game and still had a shot to go ahead late in the game when Dalton missed a wide open AJ Green in the end zone. Houston has a been a horrible team the past month. They are no match for a team like NE. Hate laying so many points looks like 9.5 as of now.
So there you have it my leans/plays are..hmm lots of chalk
This is an even match up. I think you can go either way...
I agree with this completely, which is why I think Green Bay and +145 is absolutely gold. At these odds, a bet like this can lose 59% of the time and STILL show a profit. I'll take the Pack, and Rodgers, and a team that was 15-1 in the regular season last year, and SB champs the year before, and +145 any day.
Good luck in your bets. I also like Atlanta -1 or -2.
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Quote Originally Posted by WilliamMunny:
GB vs SF
This is an even match up. I think you can go either way...
I agree with this completely, which is why I think Green Bay and +145 is absolutely gold. At these odds, a bet like this can lose 59% of the time and STILL show a profit. I'll take the Pack, and Rodgers, and a team that was 15-1 in the regular season last year, and SB champs the year before, and +145 any day.
Good luck in your bets. I also like Atlanta -1 or -2.
With you on 3 of 4, Seattle is young and have played pretty good on the road lately, i don't think the west to east travel will affect them much. A good running game and defense can prevail on the road plus Seattle has the size and speed at the corner positions to match up with Atlanta's main weapons J. Jones & R. White.
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With you on 3 of 4, Seattle is young and have played pretty good on the road lately, i don't think the west to east travel will affect them much. A good running game and defense can prevail on the road plus Seattle has the size and speed at the corner positions to match up with Atlanta's main weapons J. Jones & R. White.
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