Posted:
#1
Last Week - 6-4
Regular Season - 98-74-4 (57%)Saturday
Cincinnati +4 - Going with the hotter team here. Cincy has won 7 of last 8 games and is 7-1 ATS in those games. Houston is just 2-5 ATS in last 7 games. Could be worth throwing a small bet on the moneyline as well.
Green Bay -7.5 - I don't like laying more than 7 in the NFL so maybe it's better to combine GB as part of a teaser bet. But I do think oddsmakers are pretty confident in the Packers winning this game when they set the line at more than a touchdown. GB hasn't lost at home since week 1 and it's an instant revenge game. Packers beat Minny at home by 9 so I think it will be close to that score. About a 10 point win for GB.
Sunday
Baltimore -6.5 - Baltimore is just a different team at home where they have a 6-2 record including wins over Cincy, New England, Giants, and Dallas. I'm still not sold on Indy despite the win last week. They are the only NFL playoff team who has been outscored by their opponents.
Washington +3 - I do think Seattle is the better team. I actually think the Seahawks are the 3rd best team in the NFL behind Denver and San Francisco. However, they still haven't proven they can consistently win on the road. They are only 37 percent ATS on road since 2002. This year they were only 3-5 on the road and none of the 3 wins were against playoff teams. And 4 of the 5 road losses were against non-playoff teams. So while I do like the way Seattle has played lately winning 5 in a row, the Skins are even hotter winning their last 7 and I will gladly take them as a home dog.
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