|0-1-0 YTD on posted plays
Posted: 12/5/2012 7:05:54 PM
disclaimer: have played all season and up roughly 20 units (100 unit plays) - undocumented.
Lost on my first documented play with NO +3.5 v ATL. That game was just horrific to watch. 1) Brees throw 5 INTS first time ever; 2) Brees ends streak; 3) The first half clock management AND Graham penalty cost anywhere from 3-7 points .... and the list goes on. Realistically any one of these three scenarios turning out even remotely more reasonable than they did would have resulted in a Saints cover. But such is the game of sports picking.
Ill try and make up for this mishap with Week 14 plays. These are some Ive weeded out early on that I am picking:
Bal @ WSH -1.5: Pick WSH -1.5
ATL -3.5 @ Car: Pick ATL -3.5 (will buy hook)
Hou @ NE -3: Pick NE -3
Lean on: Indy -5, Giants -4.5