Posted: 12/5/2012 7:36:57 AM
6 plays for week 14 all locked and loaded
oakland +10.5 -120 (1 unit)
obviously oakland are a very bad team but this game sets up beautifully for them. they catch denver on a short week with a big lookahead game vs the ravens knowing they have already blown this team away in week 4. oakland have an emotional angle with the fathers coach dying and we saw last week how that can motivate teams plus this is only their 2nd primetime game this year (san diego week 1 the other) and i think they treat it like their superbowl and leave it all on the field. mcfadden being back is also a big plus whether that is enough to win the game is debatable but i think keep this game close.
cleveland -5.5 -110 (1.5 units)
my favourite play of the week !! im 5-0 betting on kc games this year they are my cash cow and i go to the well again. people will say how can you lay that many points with a crappy team and i will reply cos its about as good a spot as it gets. obviously last week kc played inspired due to the circumstances but its virtually impossible to see how they dont come out completely flat this week in a game that means nothing to them especially after all the distractions they will face during the week. they also have a revenge divisional game on deck against the raiders so i think they will be a complete no show this week. cleveland is playing their best ball of the season and are extremely motivated to keep their little run going and wont want to lose to an ex quarterback off the team. big home win imo.
washington -1.5 -110 (1 unit)
the redskins saved their season on monday and i think they ride that momentum here. baltimore lost a physical war last week against their arch enemy and that has to have taken it out of them. now an already fragile road team with their star defender either out or playing with one arm has to get up for a local rivalry against a team thats flying with a massive play off seeding game on deck. i dont see it.
carolina +3.5 -115 (1 unit)
atlanta sealed the division and basically the number 1 seeding last week so what motivation do they have going on the road to play a 3-9 team they have already beaten. carolina was in an impossible spot last week but they have big time revenge on their mind here cos they had atlanta beat in the dome until that late fumble. they come out fired up here and get a rare home victory.
minnesota +3 -115 (1 unit)
this is the season for the vikings lose here and they are done but i think we get them inspired here as they catch a chicago team that is having to deal with multiple injuries (including their defensive leader) and who has a possibly season defining game on deck vs green bay. sprinkle in a bit of revenge for that 18 point loss 2 weeks ago and its not hard to see minnesota keeping their hopes alive.
detroit +7 -120 (1 unit)
detroits season ended last week with that last second loss and it wouldnt surprise me in the least if they come out here and play fast and loose and give green bay all they can handle.they should have beaten them at home 3 weeks ago and since then green bay has looked decidely unimpressive in one win and a loss. the injury situation seems to have caught up to them and with that massive game vs the bears next week in the back of their minds i can see them taking their eye of the ball here and detroit at worst covering the spread here.
considered new orleans but with that loss on mnf the giants will be extra focused on this game so i passed.
good luck to all this week