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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: week 14 situational plays ytd 26-17 (60.5%) + 10.7 units
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#1
Posted: 12/5/2012 7:36:57 AM

6 plays for week 14 all locked and loaded

oakland +10.5 -120 (1 unit)

obviously oakland are a very bad team but this game sets up beautifully for them. they catch denver on a short week with a big lookahead game vs the ravens knowing they have already blown this team away in week 4. oakland have an emotional angle with the fathers coach dying and we saw last week how that can motivate teams plus this is only their 2nd primetime game this year (san diego week 1 the other) and i think they treat it like their superbowl and leave it all on the field. mcfadden being back is also a big plus whether that is enough to win the game is debatable but i think keep this game close.

cleveland -5.5 -110 (1.5 units)

my favourite play of the week !! im 5-0 betting on kc games this year they are my cash cow and i go to the well again. people will say how can you lay that many points with a crappy team and i will reply cos its about as good a spot as it gets. obviously last week kc played inspired due to the circumstances but its virtually impossible to see how they dont come out completely flat this week in a game that means nothing to them especially after all the distractions they will face during the week. they also have a revenge divisional game on deck against the raiders so i think they will be a complete no show this week. cleveland is playing their best ball of the season and are extremely motivated to keep their little run going and wont want to lose to an ex quarterback off the team. big home win imo.

washington -1.5 -110 (1 unit)

the redskins saved their season on monday and i think they ride that momentum here. baltimore lost a physical war last week against their arch enemy and that has to have taken it out of them. now an already fragile road team with their star defender either out or playing with one arm has to get up for a local rivalry against a team thats flying with a massive play off seeding game on deck. i dont see it.

carolina +3.5 -115 (1 unit)

atlanta sealed the division and basically the number 1 seeding last week so what motivation do they have going on the road to play a 3-9 team they have already beaten. carolina was in an impossible spot last week but they have big time revenge on their mind here cos they had atlanta beat in the dome until that late fumble. they come out fired up here and get a rare home victory.

minnesota +3 -115 (1 unit)

this is the season for the vikings lose here and they are done but i think we get them inspired here as they catch a chicago team that is having to deal with multiple injuries (including their defensive leader) and who has a possibly season defining game on deck vs green bay. sprinkle in a bit of revenge for that 18 point loss 2 weeks ago and its not hard to see minnesota keeping their hopes alive.

detroit +7 -120 (1 unit)

detroits season ended last week with that last second loss and it wouldnt surprise me in the least if they come out here and play fast and loose and give green bay all they can handle.they should have beaten them at home 3 weeks ago and since then green bay has looked decidely unimpressive in one win and a loss. the injury situation seems to have caught up to them and with that massive game vs the bears next week in the back of their minds i can see them taking their eye of the ball here and detroit at worst covering the spread here.

considered new orleans but with that loss on mnf the giants will be extra focused on this game so i passed.

good luck to all this week

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#2
Posted: 12/5/2012 8:19:08 AM
BOL
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#3
Posted: 12/5/2012 10:37:18 AM
Like Oakland and Minnesota
Posted using a mobile device.
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#4
Posted: 12/5/2012 11:19:50 AM
good luck cc
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#5
Posted: 12/6/2012 8:26:30 AM
gl wuss
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#6
Posted: 12/6/2012 9:55:11 AM
Stellar card.. great analysis as usual. GL
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#7
Posted: 12/6/2012 12:35:50 PM
cheers magic appreciate it
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#8
Posted: 12/6/2012 12:46:48 PM
Good thinking = Good Luck
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#9
Posted: 12/6/2012 1:33:43 PM
topshow,

Felt Buff would be a certain play. Rams traveling versus a Bills team that was home last week, but most importantly, St L off nearly 5 full quarters versus a division foe.
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#10
Posted: 12/6/2012 1:39:23 PM
gotta be honest damonte didnt see any edge or advantage in that game at all. complete no play for me
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#11
Posted: 12/6/2012 1:57:33 PM
Nice read, don't agree with all your picks but that's what these forums are for, discussion.
on other side for tonights game, feel Denver is gonna play hard, they still have a shot at a first round bye and home field advantage and they will try their hardest to win out the season, they wont want to give Oakland a chance to upset them so they will try their to stay ahead by atleast 2 scores.

like you Cleveland pick much for the same reasons you stated.

 Leaning the Vikings myself also, I think Chicago D is getting old and are starting to wear down,their D just hasn't been as dominant as it was at start of season
 Washington still have playoffs in sight and will play hard and I feel the wheels are starting to fall off for the ravens,Redskins SU IMO other games I Just dunno yet
BOL topshow



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#12
Posted: 12/6/2012 2:22:29 PM
couldnt agree more idle i love hearing other peoples view especially when they disagree thats what the forums should be about discussing opinions. good luck with all your plays
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#13
Posted: 12/6/2012 3:33:51 PM
Best of Luck 
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#14
Posted: 12/6/2012 4:18:36 PM
TS,

You may indeed win the CLEV side, but not for the final reason you presented. Have to believe that the strongest motivation will be on Quinn's side. Wasn't he practically run out of town and his QB talents disparaged repeatedly?
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#15
Posted: 12/6/2012 5:54:18 PM
he was damonte and he himself maybe a little bit extra motivated but the rest of the team dont give a you know what for this game and im sure that the cleveland defense will be a little more amped up to make sure an ex teammate doesnt perform well against them
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#16
Posted: 12/6/2012 7:39:55 PM
Good Luck
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#17
Posted: 12/6/2012 7:53:24 PM
TS, I actually think Clev is the right side, as your assessment of KC emotional letdown hits the spot, meaning this is an anti-KC rather than a pro-Clev play for me.

Also strongly on MINN and will most likely pass the points and play the money line. Absence of Urlacher  will not hurt the Bears to me as he is an awful tackler [as a Chicagoan have watched most the games] but Minn still the side.

Return of McFadden sealed the deal for me on Oak tonite.

GL
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#18
Posted: 12/6/2012 8:25:32 PM
gl to you as well damonte lets get the money !!!!!!!!
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#19
Posted: 12/9/2012 4:36:01 PM
perfect 4-0 sunday to bounce back after the oakland tnf loss with detroit pending
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#20
Posted: 12/9/2012 4:46:28 PM
Tip of the hat to you. You were also correct about staying off my Bills. Looking forward to next weeks selections.
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#21
Posted: 12/9/2012 4:50:51 PM
cheers damonte appreciate it
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#22
Posted: 12/9/2012 5:05:53 PM

well done topshow..glad to see you around and well 

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#23
Posted: 12/9/2012 5:18:47 PM
Looking really good today bro, I hope you sweep the board today by also coming in with Detroit +7 tonight.
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#24
Posted: 12/9/2012 5:30:18 PM
hitter how are you my man long time no speak. yep all is good my friend having a very nice nfl season hope you are too and that all is well
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#25
Posted: 12/9/2012 5:31:15 PM
cheers no con yep looking for a sunday sweep go lions lol
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