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[NFL Betting] Topic: Get ready for the football season with these simple systems: |
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WinAllSports |
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#1 Posted: 7/16/2012 12:58:29 PM
Favorites of 5 points or less after a dog win of 3 points or less:
45-92 ATS
A similar version of this system is very good in NCAA as well:
Teams with line from +2 to -2.5 are 46-83 ATS after a dog win of 3 points or less. They are also 75-114 ATS if their dog win was by 5-16 points.
Check this thread daily for more football systems !
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WinAllSports |
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#2 Posted: 7/17/2012 4:29:03 AM
Teams after scoring 7-9 points and covering by 2.5 or more at home are 48-22 ATS in the NFL.
Slightly different system applies to the NCAA:
Teams after scoring 3-9 points away and covering by 1.5 or more are 43-19 ATS. |
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GunShard |
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#3 Posted: 7/17/2012 8:22:14 PM |
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SlumdogPicks |
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#4 Posted: 7/17/2012 10:07:15 PM
Wondering where everyone is getting these ATS facts...
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WinAllSports |
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#5 Posted: 7/18/2012 1:47:01 AM
NFL home dogs after a road dog win are 77-36 ATS if their opponent won at home last week.
NCAA:
Home dogs after a road dog win are 40-17 ATS if their opponent played at home last week and either won as dog or lost as favorite.
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WinAllSports |
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#6 Posted: 7/18/2012 2:15:23 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by SlumdogPicks:
Thanks for this.
Wondering where everyone is getting these ATS facts...
I have thousands of them...
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Niners13 |
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#7 Posted: 7/18/2012 7:06:27 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by GunShard:
Betting on every Packers, Patriots and 49ers ATS game could be useful system.
Niners might get inflated spreads and not cover them.
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wallstreetcappers |
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#8 Posted: 7/18/2012 7:32:06 PM
Something like..
Play on a team who rushes for more than 200 yds and has 50 more rushing yards than the opponent and cover as a road dog..
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misshatfield |
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#9 Posted: 7/18/2012 8:29:48 PM |
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Posted using a mobile device.quote |
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misshatfield |
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#10 Posted: 7/18/2012 8:29:49 PM |
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Posted using a mobile device.quote |
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#11 Posted: 7/18/2012 11:00:51 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by misshatfield:
49ers 9-7 team this year. Last year was a lucky year. Seahawks will win the West.
I would argue the inverse. They were very unlucky not to make it to the Super Bowl due to a pair of special teams blunders.
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WinAllSports |
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#12 Posted: 7/19/2012 12:49:42 AM
NFL favorites with 6 or less days of rest after OT game as a dog:
38-64 ATS
NCAA OT system: NCCA road teams with 6 or less days of rest after home OT win:
39-64 ATS |
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mafioso |
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#13 Posted: 7/19/2012 5:23:14 AM
The reasoning for this is that a team that is favored by this much is generally a bit better than their opponent. They don't want to go into practice for 2 weeks listening to their coach how they barely beat a weaker opponent or, God forbid, how they got beat by a weaker opponent.
Since week 7 2007 home dogs with an over/under line of 44 or greater
are 0-9 ATS vs. divisional opponents
Since 1990 week 1 AFC teams favored by not more than 4 points are 10-0
ATS vs. divisional opponents.
Since 1997 week 1 away teams getting 10 points or more are 6-0 ATS vs.
conference opponents.
Play on: Chiefs +15.5
Since 2000 week 1 losers of the previous Super Bowl are 0-10 ATS
Since 1998 week 1 divisional away favorites of greater than 3 points
with an over/under line of not more than 43 are 6-0 ATS |