Posted: 12/24/2011 6:27:23 AM
Jets -3 (+103) to win 35 units
Lot of love for the Giants, but I think Gang Green back up their coaches’ trash talk once again. The Jets are a proven winner in underdog situations and this fits the bill. The Giants are a public dog but their offense is going to struggle against this Jets D.
The Jets have Revis and Cromartie to slow down the great aerial attack of the Giants. Nicks will get shut down by Revis, and Cromartie has the athleticism to compete with Viktor Cruz. The Giants won’t be able to run it on a stingy Jets run D that has been very solid of late.
On the other side of the ball the Jets will be able to pass on a porous Giants secondary and can get yards on the ground against a struggling Giants run D. The Jets will reduce the Giants pass rush with their decent blocking and short yardage situations. The Jets always step up in roles like this and I think they get it done here after having a slip-up in Philly before winning 3 in a row prior to that game.
Dolphins – Patriots Under 50 (-102) to win 30 units
When you think of Brady versus the Dolphins you think of him shitting on that secondary in Week 1 of this season with a 99-yard TD pass to Welker and in the past with deep bombs in blowouts to Randy Moss. Well guess what the Dolphins have improved their defense drastically since losing to Tim Tebow. They have shut down almost every quarterback since then and are pissed about the way the Pats have blown them out in the past.
“The Patriots limited Bush to 38 yards on 11 carries in the season opener while Brady stole the show, passing for a team-record 517 yards and four touchdowns in a 38-24 victory Sept. 12.
“Embarrassing,” Miami safety Yeremiah Bell said. “That can’t happen.”
I think with Branch questionable and banged up and Ochocinco doing garbage-all all year, Vontae Davis and Sean Smith, Bell and others in this secondary can slow down the Pats O. The Fish have been great against the run as well and can get pressure on the QB.
The Pats return to their successful 3-4 formation after the injury to Andre Carter. They are also expected to get Brandon Spikes, LB, back who’s one of their best run stoppers. The Dolphins can pass it on the Pats but I think they will have long drives and settle for many field goals against the Pats bend-but-don’t-break defense. The Dolphins will also want to chew up some clock to keep the game close and Brady off the field. At 50 in Foxboro, I like the Under here.