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All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

STARTED $10K. NEW BALANCE $17969. Lost today $3750 on tonights pick..My MNF pick do or die!!!

Addicted4Gamble
Beckwith
TheColorPurple
lewlew
Hooter5
...
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Addicted4Gamble
Addicted4Gamble
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 12:09 AM ET #1


2nd half bail
NEW Orleans -0.5 risking $1050 to win $1000

Over 27.5 risking $2100 to win $2000
parlay the two for $500

DET +9 RISKING $105 TO WIN $100

total lost $3750

win $0.00

Old balance $21619
New balance $17969

Even though I won my top play, I still found ways to lose on the Night game.  Horrible decision on my part by switching plays from Bal to Cleveland. I even over reacted on second half and got suckered for New Orleans pick. Detroit shot themselves in the foot and weren't disciplined enough as a young team.  It wouldve been closer if it wasnt for all the penalties.  Im pissed off that Vegas didnt set this game up.  How can you let the public win on prime time?? 

  Well, on the bright side, Im still up despite my lost today.  Hope Monday brings good fortune.  Screw God.  He told me to play SD.  I will fade Gods play tomorrow. 

My Pick:

1st half Under 19.5 risking $550 to win $500
Under 39.5 risking $525 to win $500
Jacksonville +3 risking $525 to win $500
Jacksonville+ under risking $100 to win $350

I want to put $5k on Jacksonville.  Rivers seems like he has an offshore account being paid off my Caribbean mafia. He is the choke of the year and the public has a short term memory and still backing them up.  Is Vegas Oddsmaker really this dumb to let another public team cover on prime time?  We will see...what you think?   

Hope I get lucky again...winner winner chicken dinner???


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To remove first post, remove entire topic.

2nd half bail
NEW Orleans -0.5 risking $1050 to win $1000

Over 27.5 risking $2100 to win $2000
parlay the two for $500

DET +9 RISKING $105 TO WIN $100

total lost $3750

win $0.00

Old balance $21619
New balance $17969

Even though I won my top play, I still found ways to lose on the Night game.  Horrible decision on my part by switching plays from Bal to Cleveland. I even over reacted on second half and got suckered for New Orleans pick. Detroit shot themselves in the foot and weren't disciplined enough as a young team.  It wouldve been closer if it wasnt for all the penalties.  Im pissed off that Vegas didnt set this game up.  How can you let the public win on prime time?? 

  Well, on the bright side, Im still up despite my lost today.  Hope Monday brings good fortune.  Screw God.  He told me to play SD.  I will fade Gods play tomorrow. 

My Pick:

1st half Under 19.5 risking $550 to win $500
Under 39.5 risking $525 to win $500
Jacksonville +3 risking $525 to win $500
Jacksonville+ under risking $100 to win $350

I want to put $5k on Jacksonville.  Rivers seems like he has an offshore account being paid off my Caribbean mafia. He is the choke of the year and the public has a short term memory and still backing them up.  Is Vegas Oddsmaker really this dumb to let another public team cover on prime time?  We will see...what you think?   

Hope I get lucky again...winner winner chicken dinner???


 
Beckwith
Beckwith
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 12:13 AM ET #2

Is God with you this time? I think God can not spread himself across that many plays. Maybe God will be with you with one or two plays, but not all of the plays.
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Is God with you this time? I think God can not spread himself across that many plays. Maybe God will be with you with one or two plays, but not all of the plays.
 
TheColorPurple
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 12:14 AM ET #3

Worst Bankroll management ever.. You'll be down to 0 in no time..
No offense
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Worst Bankroll management ever.. You'll be down to 0 in no time..
No offense
 
lewlew
lewlew
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 12:17 AM ET #4

it was over for this guy before he even started..............thank god he not running the usa.
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it was over for this guy before he even started..............thank god he not running the usa.
 
Addicted4Gamble
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 12:19 AM ET #5

Watch me..all you "pro" that thinks slow grind is the best way to win...I am here to prove that you can bankrupt a bookie because of my betting technique.  I will never go broke.
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Watch me..all you "pro" that thinks slow grind is the best way to win...I am here to prove that you can bankrupt a bookie because of my betting technique.  I will never go broke.
 
Addicted4Gamble
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 12:24 AM ET #6

I never lose on my top play guarantee!!  You watch next week how much I will win on my top play.  When I win, the bookie will hurt.  But when I lose, its just a scrap.  Look, I started with ten thousand bucks, and still up like seven thousand.  I will double up on my profit next week on my top pick...watch.  You need confidence in your picks.  Cant be a box if you want to win.  We are here to gamble while the season is almost over.  Go big or go home.  Fuck the slow and grind method.  If I never lose more then 10 in a row, my chances are good.  Keep an eye on my technique..I will bankrupt the books..and audit all my plays also.  Its well documented.
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I never lose on my top play guarantee!!  You watch next week how much I will win on my top play.  When I win, the bookie will hurt.  But when I lose, its just a scrap.  Look, I started with ten thousand bucks, and still up like seven thousand.  I will double up on my profit next week on my top pick...watch.  You need confidence in your picks.  Cant be a box if you want to win.  We are here to gamble while the season is almost over.  Go big or go home.  Fuck the slow and grind method.  If I never lose more then 10 in a row, my chances are good.  Keep an eye on my technique..I will bankrupt the books..and audit all my plays also.  Its well documented.
 
Hooter5
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 12:29 AM ET #7

"Go big or go home" BOL on your technique
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"Go big or go home" BOL on your technique
 
lewlew
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 12:30 AM ET #8

he can change his id and always try again
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he can change his id and always try again
 
Addicted4Gamble
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 12:38 AM ET #9

Quote Originally Posted by lewlew:

he can change his id and always try again


Here to stay unless Covers block me again like always.  I will never go broke.  Im too skilled.  Im on another level.  I will show you whats up with my top picks..Go check out my forums since my top picks are always hitting.  I dont care if I lose this week, I will bounce back with my top plays.  Watch ...just watch haters..I will win....do you recall a screen name BigBadBookie?  He got banned because you know why?  Big picks on hot streaks ended his account.  And I bet you anything, by playoff, I might get banned from Covers.  Watch..you dont know shit bro...Covers has
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Quote Originally Posted by lewlew:

he can change his id and always try again


Here to stay unless Covers block me again like always.  I will never go broke.  Im too skilled.  Im on another level.  I will show you whats up with my top picks..Go check out my forums since my top picks are always hitting.  I dont care if I lose this week, I will bounce back with my top plays.  Watch ...just watch haters..I will win....do you recall a screen name BigBadBookie?  He got banned because you know why?  Big picks on hot streaks ended his account.  And I bet you anything, by playoff, I might get banned from Covers.  Watch..you dont know shit bro...Covers has
 
Addicted4Gamble
Addicted4Gamble
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 12:41 AM ET #10

[Quote: Originally Posted by Addicted4Gamble]

Here to stay unless Covers block me again like always.  I will never go broke.  Im too skilled.  Im on another level.  I will show you whats up with my top picks..Go check out my forums since my top picks are always hitting.  I dont care if I lose this week, I will bounce back with my top plays.  Watch ...just watch haters..I will win....do you recall a screen name BigBadBookie?  He got banned because you know why?  Big picks on hot streaks ended his account.  And I bet you anything, by playoff, I might get banned from Covers.  Watch..you dont know shit bro...Covers has
[/Quote
been blocking good cappers.  We are on a movement called Vegas Files Chapter 11.  On superbowl, we want 1 million people to go down to Vegas and bet our pick that day and disrupt the spread inflating the numbers so casual bettors world wide can spot it and cash for easy pick.  I lost tonight so I must lost some confidence on some people, but, I promise I will have a Top Play this Sunday.  One pick or Two.  watch!!!!!!!
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[Quote: Originally Posted by Addicted4Gamble]

Here to stay unless Covers block me again like always.  I will never go broke.  Im too skilled.  Im on another level.  I will show you whats up with my top picks..Go check out my forums since my top picks are always hitting.  I dont care if I lose this week, I will bounce back with my top plays.  Watch ...just watch haters..I will win....do you recall a screen name BigBadBookie?  He got banned because you know why?  Big picks on hot streaks ended his account.  And I bet you anything, by playoff, I might get banned from Covers.  Watch..you dont know shit bro...Covers has
[/Quote
been blocking good cappers.  We are on a movement called Vegas Files Chapter 11.  On superbowl, we want 1 million people to go down to Vegas and bet our pick that day and disrupt the spread inflating the numbers so casual bettors world wide can spot it and cash for easy pick.  I lost tonight so I must lost some confidence on some people, but, I promise I will have a Top Play this Sunday.  One pick or Two.  watch!!!!!!!
 
904HotPlay
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 1:08 AM ET #11

hey addicted who u use for betting sports?
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hey addicted who u use for betting sports?
 
lewlew
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 1:16 AM ET #12

we not hating.............just ?ing your methodology!
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we not hating.............just ?ing your methodology!
 
bunny651
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 1:29 AM ET #13

Quote Originally Posted by Addicted4Gamble:

Quote Originally Posted by Addicted4Gamble:



Here to stay unless Covers block me again like always.  I will never go broke.  Im too skilled.  Im on another level.  I will show you whats up with my top picks..Go check out my forums since my top picks are always hitting.  I dont care if I lose this week, I will bounce back with my top plays.  Watch ...just watch haters..I will win....do you recall a screen name BigBadBookie?  He got banned because you know why?  Big picks on hot streaks ended his account.  And I bet you anything, by playoff, I might get banned from Covers.  Watch..you dont know shit bro...Covers has
[/Quote
been blocking good cappers.  We are on a movement called Vegas Files Chapter 11.  On superbowl, we want 1 million people to go down to Vegas and bet our pick that day and disrupt the spread inflating the numbers so casual bettors world wide can spot it and cash for easy pick.  I lost tonight so I must lost some confidence on some people, but, I promise I will have a Top Play this Sunday.  One pick or Two.  watch!!!!!!!

"block you again like always"? So in fact, this is your new screen name. What are your old ones?

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Quote Originally Posted by Addicted4Gamble:

Quote Originally Posted by Addicted4Gamble:



Here to stay unless Covers block me again like always.  I will never go broke.  Im too skilled.  Im on another level.  I will show you whats up with my top picks..Go check out my forums since my top picks are always hitting.  I dont care if I lose this week, I will bounce back with my top plays.  Watch ...just watch haters..I will win....do you recall a screen name BigBadBookie?  He got banned because you know why?  Big picks on hot streaks ended his account.  And I bet you anything, by playoff, I might get banned from Covers.  Watch..you dont know shit bro...Covers has
[/Quote
been blocking good cappers.  We are on a movement called Vegas Files Chapter 11.  On superbowl, we want 1 million people to go down to Vegas and bet our pick that day and disrupt the spread inflating the numbers so casual bettors world wide can spot it and cash for easy pick.  I lost tonight so I must lost some confidence on some people, but, I promise I will have a Top Play this Sunday.  One pick or Two.  watch!!!!!!!

"block you again like always"? So in fact, this is your new screen name. What are your old ones?

 
themob
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 1:33 AM ET #14

Quote Originally Posted by lewlew:

it was over for this guy before he even started..............thank god he not running the usa.



he probably is with the way the economy is going.


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Quote Originally Posted by lewlew:

it was over for this guy before he even started..............thank god he not running the usa.



he probably is with the way the economy is going.


 
dgnerate
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 1:35 AM ET #15

Quote Originally Posted by Addicted4Gamble:


2nd half bail
NEW Orleans -0.5 risking $1050 to win $1000

Over 27.5 risking $2100 to win $2000
parlay the two for $500

DET +9 RISKING $105 TO WIN $100

total lost $3750

win $0.00

Old balance $21619
New balance $17969

Even though I won my top play, I still found ways to lose on the Night game.  Horrible decision on my part by switching plays from Bal to Cleveland. I even over reacted on second half and got suckered for New Orleans pick. Detroit shot themselves in the foot and weren't disciplined enough as a young team.  It wouldve been closer if it wasnt for all the penalties.  Im pissed off that Vegas didnt set this game up.  How can you let the public win on prime time?? 

  Well, on the bright side, Im still up despite my lost today.  Hope Monday brings good fortune.  Screw God.  He told me to play SD.  I will fade Gods play tomorrow. 

My Pick:

1st half Under 19.5 risking $550 to win $500
Under 39.5 risking $525 to win $500
Jacksonville +3 risking $525 to win $500
Jacksonville+ under risking $100 to win $350

I want to put $5k on Jacksonville.  Rivers seems like he has an offshore account being paid off my Caribbean mafia. He is the choke of the year and the public has a short term memory and still backing them up.  Is Vegas Oddsmaker really this dumb to let another public team cover on prime time?  We will see...what you think?   

Hope I get lucky again...winner winner chicken dinner???



hey bro',

i really have no problem with your style of betting, i do have a little concern with how you handle the haters. you should not let these losers get under your skin or tell you what to do. the reason i say that is because, i notice that you got carried away a few times because of this 'pros' as you call them and then you piss your winnings to shit. you can only play so many on one game and so you should really just stick to your top picks. 

***if i have your bankroll, i would bet that $1700 all on CHARGERS  -3***

bol!
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Quote Originally Posted by Addicted4Gamble:


2nd half bail
NEW Orleans -0.5 risking $1050 to win $1000

Over 27.5 risking $2100 to win $2000
parlay the two for $500

DET +9 RISKING $105 TO WIN $100

total lost $3750

win $0.00

Old balance $21619
New balance $17969

Even though I won my top play, I still found ways to lose on the Night game.  Horrible decision on my part by switching plays from Bal to Cleveland. I even over reacted on second half and got suckered for New Orleans pick. Detroit shot themselves in the foot and weren't disciplined enough as a young team.  It wouldve been closer if it wasnt for all the penalties.  Im pissed off that Vegas didnt set this game up.  How can you let the public win on prime time?? 

  Well, on the bright side, Im still up despite my lost today.  Hope Monday brings good fortune.  Screw God.  He told me to play SD.  I will fade Gods play tomorrow. 

My Pick:

1st half Under 19.5 risking $550 to win $500
Under 39.5 risking $525 to win $500
Jacksonville +3 risking $525 to win $500
Jacksonville+ under risking $100 to win $350

I want to put $5k on Jacksonville.  Rivers seems like he has an offshore account being paid off my Caribbean mafia. He is the choke of the year and the public has a short term memory and still backing them up.  Is Vegas Oddsmaker really this dumb to let another public team cover on prime time?  We will see...what you think?   

Hope I get lucky again...winner winner chicken dinner???



hey bro',

i really have no problem with your style of betting, i do have a little concern with how you handle the haters. you should not let these losers get under your skin or tell you what to do. the reason i say that is because, i notice that you got carried away a few times because of this 'pros' as you call them and then you piss your winnings to shit. you can only play so many on one game and so you should really just stick to your top picks. 

***if i have your bankroll, i would bet that $1700 all on CHARGERS  -3***

bol!
 
bishop69
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 1:57 AM ET #16

HEY!!! you are doing great and no need to explain to them. great picks in the morning games
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HEY!!! you are doing great and no need to explain to them. great picks in the morning games
 
PIDI
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 2:02 AM ET #17

Got a strong feeling that the Chargers flat out roll in this one.  It is December and that is when this team always decides to wake up and make their push.  The shitty division they play in has allowed them to do this year after year.  Definately see a Chargers cover and would not be suprised at all to see this one sail over.  This could vey easily be a 39-10 Chargers win.
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Got a strong feeling that the Chargers flat out roll in this one.  It is December and that is when this team always decides to wake up and make their push.  The shitty division they play in has allowed them to do this year after year.  Definately see a Chargers cover and would not be suprised at all to see this one sail over.  This could vey easily be a 39-10 Chargers win.
 
slapper
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 2:10 AM ET #18

Chargers pull out a win tomorrow. Sd-3 is the play
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Chargers pull out a win tomorrow. Sd-3 is the play
 
Addicted4Gamble
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 2:22 AM ET #19

Quote Originally Posted by 904HotPlay:

hey addicted who u use for betting sports?


honestly, we dont use online website for our books.  We got screwed in the past.  We hit big $$$ and they made it very difficult for us to withdraw.  Normally you would have atleast  5 or more bookies to deal with for the best lines.  If you dont have the resource, the only suggestion for online that a lot of people use are bodog.eu and sbgglobal and 5dimes are credible.  Its an offshore account so when you win in the 100k level, I wouldnt trust them because our account got reset to our normal deposit money after a winning streak.  but those are my top three if you are considering.  they have bonus when you sign up and good on underdog spreads..even covers have a list that you can go by.
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Quote Originally Posted by 904HotPlay:

hey addicted who u use for betting sports?


honestly, we dont use online website for our books.  We got screwed in the past.  We hit big $$$ and they made it very difficult for us to withdraw.  Normally you would have atleast  5 or more bookies to deal with for the best lines.  If you dont have the resource, the only suggestion for online that a lot of people use are bodog.eu and sbgglobal and 5dimes are credible.  Its an offshore account so when you win in the 100k level, I wouldnt trust them because our account got reset to our normal deposit money after a winning streak.  but those are my top three if you are considering.  they have bonus when you sign up and good on underdog spreads..even covers have a list that you can go by.
 
Addicted4Gamble
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 2:39 AM ET #20

Quote Originally Posted by lewlew:

we not hating.............just ?ing your methodology!


  I understand..my style is totally goes against all the professional rule of thumb money management.  If you never lose 10 in a row on a top pick, its very easy to roll your losing on to your next top picks.  Kelly Criterion or as my method, "chaser".  If you never lose ten in a roll, you can chase your lost on the next top play. 

  Next week, if I lose , I will chase on my top play in NCAAF and NFL.  I will keep it rolling because I know my top pick will atleast hit.  My small wager are leans so I will bet them because I dont want to miss out on an opportunity if they win.  I will make it up easily..small bet this monday..look for top pick on ncaaf and nfl next week.

  SD looks to blow out and are due.  Rivers is hurt and Jags coach just got fired.  Its gonna be ugly but, I like the under play a lot.  This line sits firm on 3 and I would be scared to bet heavy on SD because Vegas can bait SD pick.  Just like Oakland, Mia, Chi, Cinci, which the line stayed firm from opening untill kick off in most books.  with the public at 80% on SD, this line should be Jacksonville +4 or 4.5 by kick off, but I bet it will sit firm on 3.  I think Vegas banks on casual bettors that won on a public play today on New Orleans giving them the confidence to put big unit on San Diego, another public play.  I dont know but Vegas Oddsmaker is stupid lately.  They do let public plays hit a lot lately or only because there are a lot of money coming from the pro's versus the average Joe's bet and they are capitalizing on it.   Lets say the public bets are a total of 1 million dollar with 100k people betting.  The pro's are a total of $5million dollar but only has 10k people betting.  Vegas will bank on it all day and let public win.  They figured out that they anticipate these moves so they will mess with the lines.  The key number to look for in big line movement that is significant is 3 and 7.  if the line move that much, that means either oddsmaker made a mistake, or big money pushing the line.  thats just my opinion but Oddsmaker had it figured out. 
  Many good cappers use to bank on public fade siding on Vegas with the underdog.  Now its a whole new ball game.  Either Odds maker figured it out, or the lock out early in the season messed everything up. 
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Quote Originally Posted by lewlew:

we not hating.............just ?ing your methodology!


  I understand..my style is totally goes against all the professional rule of thumb money management.  If you never lose 10 in a row on a top pick, its very easy to roll your losing on to your next top picks.  Kelly Criterion or as my method, "chaser".  If you never lose ten in a roll, you can chase your lost on the next top play. 

  Next week, if I lose , I will chase on my top play in NCAAF and NFL.  I will keep it rolling because I know my top pick will atleast hit.  My small wager are leans so I will bet them because I dont want to miss out on an opportunity if they win.  I will make it up easily..small bet this monday..look for top pick on ncaaf and nfl next week.

  SD looks to blow out and are due.  Rivers is hurt and Jags coach just got fired.  Its gonna be ugly but, I like the under play a lot.  This line sits firm on 3 and I would be scared to bet heavy on SD because Vegas can bait SD pick.  Just like Oakland, Mia, Chi, Cinci, which the line stayed firm from opening untill kick off in most books.  with the public at 80% on SD, this line should be Jacksonville +4 or 4.5 by kick off, but I bet it will sit firm on 3.  I think Vegas banks on casual bettors that won on a public play today on New Orleans giving them the confidence to put big unit on San Diego, another public play.  I dont know but Vegas Oddsmaker is stupid lately.  They do let public plays hit a lot lately or only because there are a lot of money coming from the pro's versus the average Joe's bet and they are capitalizing on it.   Lets say the public bets are a total of 1 million dollar with 100k people betting.  The pro's are a total of $5million dollar but only has 10k people betting.  Vegas will bank on it all day and let public win.  They figured out that they anticipate these moves so they will mess with the lines.  The key number to look for in big line movement that is significant is 3 and 7.  if the line move that much, that means either oddsmaker made a mistake, or big money pushing the line.  thats just my opinion but Oddsmaker had it figured out. 
  Many good cappers use to bank on public fade siding on Vegas with the underdog.  Now its a whole new ball game.  Either Odds maker figured it out, or the lock out early in the season messed everything up. 
 
shrewdie
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 3:35 AM ET #21

Im sorry sir but u are talking the most unbelievable shit I have ever seen on here and u are against stiff competition.

U say u never lose ten in a row? It would be hard to lose ten but not impossible but as the numbers show if u doubled ur bet ten times u would have to have a thousand unit bet to break even - that not allowing for juice.

If u just lost 5 in a row u would have to then bet 64 units.

 

I aint buying it. As South Park said

 

IM CALLING SHENANIGANS!!!!!

 

 

2, 4 ,8,16,32,64,128,256,512,1024

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Im sorry sir but u are talking the most unbelievable shit I have ever seen on here and u are against stiff competition.

U say u never lose ten in a row? It would be hard to lose ten but not impossible but as the numbers show if u doubled ur bet ten times u would have to have a thousand unit bet to break even - that not allowing for juice.

If u just lost 5 in a row u would have to then bet 64 units.

 

I aint buying it. As South Park said

 

IM CALLING SHENANIGANS!!!!!

 

 

2, 4 ,8,16,32,64,128,256,512,1024

 
Kiboski
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 3:40 AM ET #22

BOL 

Love the first half UNDER 19.5, if ur playing jax and under why not play for  teaser for 7pts same game?
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BOL 

Love the first half UNDER 19.5, if ur playing jax and under why not play for  teaser for 7pts same game?
 
Addicted4Gamble
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 2:46 PM ET #23

Quote Originally Posted by shrewdie:

Im sorry sir but u are talking the most unbelievable shit I have ever seen on here and u are against stiff competition.

U say u never lose ten in a row? It would be hard to lose ten but not impossible but as the numbers show if u doubled ur bet ten times u would have to have a thousand unit bet to break even - that not allowing for juice.

If u just lost 5 in a row u would have to then bet 64 units.

 

I aint buying it. As South Park said

 

IM CALLING SHENANIGANS!!!!!

 

 

2, 4 ,8,16,32,64,128,256,512,1024



 Your absolutely right.  However, Ive never lost more then 3 times in a row on my top plays.  Never!  And if you have a significant amount of bankroll, doubling up or just trying to break even.  Like this technique for example

L  L  L   W  L  L  L   L  W  W W
2, 4, 8 , 16, 2, 4, 6, 12, 25, 2, 2    .....you can either go for the even chase, or go on top for profit. Depending on how confident you feel about your guarantee pick.  Im very confident with my pick so thats why its easier for me to double up.  Also, I play with my profit.  I use my profit like a second bank roll hoping I wont have to dig into my original bankroll.  Once my profit starts to decline, then maybe thats when I will start to be more conservative as I would be on a losing streak.  But I wont be on a losing streak as I said before, my top single or double pick will most likely hit 90% guarantee! Im not trying to convince anyone that Im the best, but Im here to demonstrate how Investors like us can flip this $10k.  All of our picks are documented for all you if your doubtful of what we can do.  I challenge all you haters and go audit our technique of betting style on all our forum.  This lost wont hurt us as bad because I know chasing this lost on our top pick, we will get it right back because thats how confident we are.
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Quote Originally Posted by shrewdie:

Im sorry sir but u are talking the most unbelievable shit I have ever seen on here and u are against stiff competition.

U say u never lose ten in a row? It would be hard to lose ten but not impossible but as the numbers show if u doubled ur bet ten times u would have to have a thousand unit bet to break even - that not allowing for juice.

If u just lost 5 in a row u would have to then bet 64 units.

 

I aint buying it. As South Park said

 

IM CALLING SHENANIGANS!!!!!

 

 

2, 4 ,8,16,32,64,128,256,512,1024



 Your absolutely right.  However, Ive never lost more then 3 times in a row on my top plays.  Never!  And if you have a significant amount of bankroll, doubling up or just trying to break even.  Like this technique for example

L  L  L   W  L  L  L   L  W  W W
2, 4, 8 , 16, 2, 4, 6, 12, 25, 2, 2    .....you can either go for the even chase, or go on top for profit. Depending on how confident you feel about your guarantee pick.  Im very confident with my pick so thats why its easier for me to double up.  Also, I play with my profit.  I use my profit like a second bank roll hoping I wont have to dig into my original bankroll.  Once my profit starts to decline, then maybe thats when I will start to be more conservative as I would be on a losing streak.  But I wont be on a losing streak as I said before, my top single or double pick will most likely hit 90% guarantee! Im not trying to convince anyone that Im the best, but Im here to demonstrate how Investors like us can flip this $10k.  All of our picks are documented for all you if your doubtful of what we can do.  I challenge all you haters and go audit our technique of betting style on all our forum.  This lost wont hurt us as bad because I know chasing this lost on our top pick, we will get it right back because thats how confident we are.
 
bunny651
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 2:57 PM ET #24

That's exactly why it doesn't make sense. If what you said is true, there's absoultely no reason for you to chase at all, let alone on the other picks.
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That's exactly why it doesn't make sense. If what you said is true, there's absoultely no reason for you to chase at all, let alone on the other picks.
 
 
jkels87
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Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 7:38 PM ET #25

Quote Originally Posted by Addicted4Gamble:



  I understand..my style is totally goes against all the professional rule of thumb money management.  If you never lose 10 in a row on a top pick, its very easy to roll your losing on to your next top picks.  Kelly Criterion or as my method, "chaser".  If you never lose ten in a roll, you can chase your lost on the next top play. 

  Next week, if I lose , I will chase on my top play in NCAAF and NFL.  I will keep it rolling because I know my top pick will atleast hit.  My small wager are leans so I will bet them because I dont want to miss out on an opportunity if they win.  I will make it up easily..small bet this monday..look for top pick on ncaaf and nfl next week.

  SD looks to blow out and are due.  Rivers is hurt and Jags coach just got fired.  Its gonna be ugly but, I like the under play a lot.  This line sits firm on 3 and I would be scared to bet heavy on SD because Vegas can bait SD pick.  Just like Oakland, Mia, Chi, Cinci, which the line stayed firm from opening untill kick off in most books.  with the public at 80% on SD, this line should be Jacksonville +4 or 4.5 by kick off, but I bet it will sit firm on 3.  I think Vegas banks on casual bettors that won on a public play today on New Orleans giving them the confidence to put big unit on San Diego, another public play.  I dont know but Vegas Oddsmaker is stupid lately.  They do let public plays hit a lot lately or only because there are a lot of money coming from the pro's versus the average Joe's bet and they are capitalizing on it.   Lets say the public bets are a total of 1 million dollar with 100k people betting.  The pro's are a total of $5million dollar but only has 10k people betting.  Vegas will bank on it all day and let public win.  They figured out that they anticipate these moves so they will mess with the lines.  The key number to look for in big line movement that is significant is 3 and 7.  if the line move that much, that means either oddsmaker made a mistake, or big money pushing the line.  thats just my opinion but Oddsmaker had it figured out. 
  Many good cappers use to bank on public fade siding on Vegas with the underdog.  Now its a whole new ball game.  Either Odds maker figured it out, or the lock out early in the season messed everything up. 



i have thought this a lot myself .... since the internet makes it alot easier to cap games solely on reverse line moves..

not working so good this year!
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Quote Originally Posted by Addicted4Gamble:



  I understand..my style is totally goes against all the professional rule of thumb money management.  If you never lose 10 in a row on a top pick, its very easy to roll your losing on to your next top picks.  Kelly Criterion or as my method, "chaser".  If you never lose ten in a roll, you can chase your lost on the next top play. 

  Next week, if I lose , I will chase on my top play in NCAAF and NFL.  I will keep it rolling because I know my top pick will atleast hit.  My small wager are leans so I will bet them because I dont want to miss out on an opportunity if they win.  I will make it up easily..small bet this monday..look for top pick on ncaaf and nfl next week.

  SD looks to blow out and are due.  Rivers is hurt and Jags coach just got fired.  Its gonna be ugly but, I like the under play a lot.  This line sits firm on 3 and I would be scared to bet heavy on SD because Vegas can bait SD pick.  Just like Oakland, Mia, Chi, Cinci, which the line stayed firm from opening untill kick off in most books.  with the public at 80% on SD, this line should be Jacksonville +4 or 4.5 by kick off, but I bet it will sit firm on 3.  I think Vegas banks on casual bettors that won on a public play today on New Orleans giving them the confidence to put big unit on San Diego, another public play.  I dont know but Vegas Oddsmaker is stupid lately.  They do let public plays hit a lot lately or only because there are a lot of money coming from the pro's versus the average Joe's bet and they are capitalizing on it.   Lets say the public bets are a total of 1 million dollar with 100k people betting.  The pro's are a total of $5million dollar but only has 10k people betting.  Vegas will bank on it all day and let public win.  They figured out that they anticipate these moves so they will mess with the lines.  The key number to look for in big line movement that is significant is 3 and 7.  if the line move that much, that means either oddsmaker made a mistake, or big money pushing the line.  thats just my opinion but Oddsmaker had it figured out. 
  Many good cappers use to bank on public fade siding on Vegas with the underdog.  Now its a whole new ball game.  Either Odds maker figured it out, or the lock out early in the season messed everything up. 



i have thought this a lot myself .... since the internet makes it alot easier to cap games solely on reverse line moves..

not working so good this year!
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