Hey Fellas. So I don't usually post my plays just cause usually the ones I post are the ones I go big on and I just feel like it's bad luck or something but since I've been on pt recently and I already wrote out my early leans for next week I figure I may as well post em since it's always good to hear input from people on the same side or against..
By no means are these my final plays for next week, they are purely leans based on my first thoughts of the way each team matches up with each other. Some of them aren't even really leans more just teams I would even consider. I almost never flip to the other side, I'd rather just not touch the game in that case.. Will update my leans as I get closer to playing them or takin' em off the card. Lets get EM
CHI?* - Tebow has been on fire and now when everyone will probably jumps on the Broncos after Chi lost 2 in a row including an embarrassing one at home vs chiefs they get Tebow vs a real strong def front and solid lbs. This will be the first time Tebow will be playing vs a strong run d (He's played Mia (was given the game), Det (bad run d), Oak, KC, Jets, SD, Min). Chi is def. the toughest defense he will have faced. Den only has 1 good corner in Champ and Chi has 4 solid wrs that can all get open. People will also probably fade Bears since Forte will be out but Marion has been playing solid all year and will def. step up being given a chance to start. I def. don't see Tebow being able to move the ball on the ground in this game and the rb's should have some trouble too. Chi will be heated after 2 straight losses and will have their pride to be playing for vs the golden boy. I expect Chi to step up this game. This may be one of my top leans for now. And that coming from some1 who has a pending play on Den to win the AFC west and already cashed Den over 5.5 wins.
NYJ**** - Match up perfectly vs KC and KC beat Chi in Chi so ppl will be more prone to consider betting on Chiefs. Orton is out too so only have Palko who will be going up against Revis and Cromartie. Jets are off big win over Wash and have LT back which is big as a 3rd down back that's a dependable pass catcher. They should just pound it up the middle and hit TE which KC cant cover. Plus KC will only be able to run vs Jets but Jets should be able to stop TJones and Battle. Also KC has no TE which is a weakness of the Jets. Palko won't be able to hit Bowe much on Revis island and Baldwin probably covered by Cromartie (if not, Breaston would be shut down). If KC starts losing and has to abandon the run they're fucked - I never like to bet the Jets either. Is a big lean.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Hey Fellas. So I don't usually post my plays just cause usually the ones I post are the ones I go big on and I just feel like it's bad luck or something but since I've been on pt recently and I already wrote out my early leans for next week I figure I may as well post em since it's always good to hear input from people on the same side or against..
By no means are these my final plays for next week, they are purely leans based on my first thoughts of the way each team matches up with each other. Some of them aren't even really leans more just teams I would even consider. I almost never flip to the other side, I'd rather just not touch the game in that case.. Will update my leans as I get closer to playing them or takin' em off the card. Lets get EM
CHI?* - Tebow has been on fire and now when everyone will probably jumps on the Broncos after Chi lost 2 in a row including an embarrassing one at home vs chiefs they get Tebow vs a real strong def front and solid lbs. This will be the first time Tebow will be playing vs a strong run d (He's played Mia (was given the game), Det (bad run d), Oak, KC, Jets, SD, Min). Chi is def. the toughest defense he will have faced. Den only has 1 good corner in Champ and Chi has 4 solid wrs that can all get open. People will also probably fade Bears since Forte will be out but Marion has been playing solid all year and will def. step up being given a chance to start. I def. don't see Tebow being able to move the ball on the ground in this game and the rb's should have some trouble too. Chi will be heated after 2 straight losses and will have their pride to be playing for vs the golden boy. I expect Chi to step up this game. This may be one of my top leans for now. And that coming from some1 who has a pending play on Den to win the AFC west and already cashed Den over 5.5 wins.
NYJ**** - Match up perfectly vs KC and KC beat Chi in Chi so ppl will be more prone to consider betting on Chiefs. Orton is out too so only have Palko who will be going up against Revis and Cromartie. Jets are off big win over Wash and have LT back which is big as a 3rd down back that's a dependable pass catcher. They should just pound it up the middle and hit TE which KC cant cover. Plus KC will only be able to run vs Jets but Jets should be able to stop TJones and Battle. Also KC has no TE which is a weakness of the Jets. Palko won't be able to hit Bowe much on Revis island and Baldwin probably covered by Cromartie (if not, Breaston would be shut down). If KC starts losing and has to abandon the run they're fucked - I never like to bet the Jets either. Is a big lean.
HOU*** - Another tough defense to play against for Cin.. Now Cin knows for sure that they aren't going to be able to win the division and most likely even missed out on wildcard after going 0-3 vs Pitt and Balt. last 4 weeks. Hou d can definitely contain Ced Ben and they also have J Joseph going up vs his old team covering AJ Green and a not too shabby 2nd CB on Jerome Simpson in either K Jackson or Jared Allen. Cin should be exhausted after playing such physical games the last 4 weeks (lost by 7 to pitt, then by 7 in a game they maybe could have won vs Balt, then only won by 3 in a tough division game vs Cle, then now a beating by Pitt to stomp on their season). Meanwhile, ppl will most likely be fading Hou after thinking it was a fluke that they beat Atl with TJ Yates at qb but they may not even need him since Arian and B Tate should be able to carve up that d. If Andre is out people will be tempted to fade the Texans even more, but the thing is they obviously know how to win without Andre going 4-2 without him and will use the TEs well as they have previously. Cin's CB’s are all hurt so even though J Jones, K Walter, and D Mason are nothing special they should be able to get open at times. Is also one of my bigger leans at least at 1st glance.
Falcons CB https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/rapid-reports/player/493042/dunta-robinsonDunta Robinson on Texans rookie QB https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/rapid-reports/player/1823918/tj-yatesT.J. Yates: "I thought he was very poised as a rookie. He came in and managed the game well. The best thing to do was let his playmakers make plays and that's what he did."
Rookie QB https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/rapid-reports/player/1823918/tj-yatesT.J. Yates on his 1st start: "I thought I played all right. There's def some things, some mistakes I could delete and get our team in better situations. The int. (that was called back) was totally on me. Making plays like that is definitely going to hurt our team. That's something I have to get better at." - seems like he's growing up quick..
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HOU*** - Another tough defense to play against for Cin.. Now Cin knows for sure that they aren't going to be able to win the division and most likely even missed out on wildcard after going 0-3 vs Pitt and Balt. last 4 weeks. Hou d can definitely contain Ced Ben and they also have J Joseph going up vs his old team covering AJ Green and a not too shabby 2nd CB on Jerome Simpson in either K Jackson or Jared Allen. Cin should be exhausted after playing such physical games the last 4 weeks (lost by 7 to pitt, then by 7 in a game they maybe could have won vs Balt, then only won by 3 in a tough division game vs Cle, then now a beating by Pitt to stomp on their season). Meanwhile, ppl will most likely be fading Hou after thinking it was a fluke that they beat Atl with TJ Yates at qb but they may not even need him since Arian and B Tate should be able to carve up that d. If Andre is out people will be tempted to fade the Texans even more, but the thing is they obviously know how to win without Andre going 4-2 without him and will use the TEs well as they have previously. Cin's CB’s are all hurt so even though J Jones, K Walter, and D Mason are nothing special they should be able to get open at times. Is also one of my bigger leans at least at 1st glance.
Falcons CB https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/rapid-reports/player/493042/dunta-robinsonDunta Robinson on Texans rookie QB https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/rapid-reports/player/1823918/tj-yatesT.J. Yates: "I thought he was very poised as a rookie. He came in and managed the game well. The best thing to do was let his playmakers make plays and that's what he did."
Rookie QB https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/rapid-reports/player/1823918/tj-yatesT.J. Yates on his 1st start: "I thought I played all right. There's def some things, some mistakes I could delete and get our team in better situations. The int. (that was called back) was totally on me. Making plays like that is definitely going to hurt our team. That's something I have to get better at." - seems like he's growing up quick..
ATL??*** - Lost to Houston and TJ Yates so ppl will be reaaaaal heated about that since I'm sure a lot of people took Atlanta in that game Also carolina is off 2 wins in a row and now playing division home game and people saw Cam go crazy. Atlanta matches up much better w Carolina though than Houston and Carolina matches up much worse w Atlanta than TB. Atlanta should be able to contain D Will and J Stewart at least a little and will most likely keep spy on Cam and force him to throw. Atl has pretty decent corners who should be able to capitalize on some of Cam's errant throws that I've seen in the past but this game isn't really about Carolina's offense or Atlanta's defense as much as it is about Carolina's defense. Atlanta offense will tear up that Carolina d. No one at all can stay with Roddy or Julio or Tony G and Turner n Jacquizz should be able to pound the shit out of that defense. Harry Douglas will even be open. This is a huge game for Atlanta too after losing to Houston and now playing division game. One of my bigger leans.
MIA AGAIN? - match up well w Bush n D Thomas and Fasano. B marsh should ball if Namdi out again. DJax will be covered by Vontae and S Smith on Avant or R Cooper. D should be able to contain VY and do decent job vs Lesean. Huge momentum too and game will be sold out probably. MIA staying at home while Philly is traveling now str8 from Seattle all the way down to Mia after knowing for sure that their season is over now. Ppl may hop on Philly thinking will rebound after a loss and phins will let down after huge W.. Philly does have extra rest playing on Thurs tho
Cle? - Idk mainly only based on Cincy getting rocked. Ppl will most likely hop on Pitt after that b/c is a division game and Cincy just beat Cle be4 they got worked by Pitt. Only thing pushing me this way is that Cle got rocked, Pitt rocked Cinc, Cle is a team no one really likes taking, and Pitt doesn't run much anymore which is good for Cle since Cle's big weakness is their run d
Balt? - Indy looked solid today against the Pats but this match up is horrible for indy's defense with R Rice and Ricky pounding it up the gut and Indy CB’s wont be able to stay with Boldin and Torrey. Balt TEs should be able to chop em up too. Indy plays home division game next week vs Tenn also but then again Indy has no w’s so no reason to be looking past the week right in front of them. Spread will probably be too high though and Balt isn't really a team that blows other teams out. We'll see what the spread comes out at, maybe a teaser.
Wash? - Should be able to put up pts on NE defense with Helu, Santana back, Fred Davis and Gaffney. Wash defense isn't terrible and Wash coming off a loss and not a popular team so most likely not many people will want to play them
Oak GB over? - Tough spot for Oak now traveling to GB after going all the way to Miami and getting waxed. Then again didn't have to play too hard in that Phins game. I most likely will stay away from playing either side in this one but Oakland should be able to score or cause scores for GB's d and GB will def. score on oakland. Idk I usually don't play totals.
Buff? bleh
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ATL??*** - Lost to Houston and TJ Yates so ppl will be reaaaaal heated about that since I'm sure a lot of people took Atlanta in that game Also carolina is off 2 wins in a row and now playing division home game and people saw Cam go crazy. Atlanta matches up much better w Carolina though than Houston and Carolina matches up much worse w Atlanta than TB. Atlanta should be able to contain D Will and J Stewart at least a little and will most likely keep spy on Cam and force him to throw. Atl has pretty decent corners who should be able to capitalize on some of Cam's errant throws that I've seen in the past but this game isn't really about Carolina's offense or Atlanta's defense as much as it is about Carolina's defense. Atlanta offense will tear up that Carolina d. No one at all can stay with Roddy or Julio or Tony G and Turner n Jacquizz should be able to pound the shit out of that defense. Harry Douglas will even be open. This is a huge game for Atlanta too after losing to Houston and now playing division game. One of my bigger leans.
MIA AGAIN? - match up well w Bush n D Thomas and Fasano. B marsh should ball if Namdi out again. DJax will be covered by Vontae and S Smith on Avant or R Cooper. D should be able to contain VY and do decent job vs Lesean. Huge momentum too and game will be sold out probably. MIA staying at home while Philly is traveling now str8 from Seattle all the way down to Mia after knowing for sure that their season is over now. Ppl may hop on Philly thinking will rebound after a loss and phins will let down after huge W.. Philly does have extra rest playing on Thurs tho
Cle? - Idk mainly only based on Cincy getting rocked. Ppl will most likely hop on Pitt after that b/c is a division game and Cincy just beat Cle be4 they got worked by Pitt. Only thing pushing me this way is that Cle got rocked, Pitt rocked Cinc, Cle is a team no one really likes taking, and Pitt doesn't run much anymore which is good for Cle since Cle's big weakness is their run d
Balt? - Indy looked solid today against the Pats but this match up is horrible for indy's defense with R Rice and Ricky pounding it up the gut and Indy CB’s wont be able to stay with Boldin and Torrey. Balt TEs should be able to chop em up too. Indy plays home division game next week vs Tenn also but then again Indy has no w’s so no reason to be looking past the week right in front of them. Spread will probably be too high though and Balt isn't really a team that blows other teams out. We'll see what the spread comes out at, maybe a teaser.
Wash? - Should be able to put up pts on NE defense with Helu, Santana back, Fred Davis and Gaffney. Wash defense isn't terrible and Wash coming off a loss and not a popular team so most likely not many people will want to play them
Oak GB over? - Tough spot for Oak now traveling to GB after going all the way to Miami and getting waxed. Then again didn't have to play too hard in that Phins game. I most likely will stay away from playing either side in this one but Oakland should be able to score or cause scores for GB's d and GB will def. score on oakland. Idk I usually don't play totals.
Removing my Cleveland lean from the list, just don't like that they'll have to play Pitt on a short week with Colt and P Hillis nursing injuries and the team most likely a little worn out from the Ravens game. Pitt also didn't have to try very hard in that game vs Cincy so they should be pretty fresh for the Thursday tilt. Def. won't be playing Pitt since the spread will be inflated but even if I did play Cleveland it would only be for very small simply to have a reason to watch the Thursday game.
Also putting Miami lean on hold as I readjust my thoughts considering Vick potentially starting instead of VY.
"Michael Vick (ribs) participated in Eagles practice Monday, and said he expects to start Sunday's game against the Dolphins."
If I have a play on tonight's MNF game it will only be small but I'll post it in here..
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Removing my Cleveland lean from the list, just don't like that they'll have to play Pitt on a short week with Colt and P Hillis nursing injuries and the team most likely a little worn out from the Ravens game. Pitt also didn't have to try very hard in that game vs Cincy so they should be pretty fresh for the Thursday tilt. Def. won't be playing Pitt since the spread will be inflated but even if I did play Cleveland it would only be for very small simply to have a reason to watch the Thursday game.
Also putting Miami lean on hold as I readjust my thoughts considering Vick potentially starting instead of VY.
"Michael Vick (ribs) participated in Eagles practice Monday, and said he expects to start Sunday's game against the Dolphins."
If I have a play on tonight's MNF game it will only be small but I'll post it in here..
Still getting used to this whole posting thing before the game starts but since it's still only 7-0 so far I just want to record that I had chargers for $50.. Gonna try to start counting my record and total for now on since I've never really done that so figured I'd post it.. Leggo Chargers. Will post the rest of my plays in here throughout the week. GL every1
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Still getting used to this whole posting thing before the game starts but since it's still only 7-0 so far I just want to record that I had chargers for $50.. Gonna try to start counting my record and total for now on since I've never really done that so figured I'd post it.. Leggo Chargers. Will post the rest of my plays in here throughout the week. GL every1
As we discussed earlier I really like the Bears and Dolphins even if Vick comes back because they have athletic LBs to contain him and force turnovers, Balty should beat Indy comfortably, I lean Jets just not sure if I can lay 9 with that team
I don't necessarily agree that Cincy thinks they are done- they are still tied with the Jets and Titans for that 6th seed and play some mediocre teams coming up so I think they are going hard obviously want to make sure Dalton is healthy I also think Cincy can stop the run but then again HOU has burned me badly before so I might lay off.
I also wouldn't touch the Redskins. They put a lot into that Jets game only to lose by double digits. I know they are playing hard but I can just see Brady torching that secondary. The Skins can pass the ball but are not very elite in that category so NE's D will do alright here. But then again 8.5 is a lot of points just depends how pumped Washington will be for this game, as Shanahan has had success against Bellichick before when he was in Denver.
BOL and I'll check in here a bit later as I start to look into the games in more detail
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As we discussed earlier I really like the Bears and Dolphins even if Vick comes back because they have athletic LBs to contain him and force turnovers, Balty should beat Indy comfortably, I lean Jets just not sure if I can lay 9 with that team
I don't necessarily agree that Cincy thinks they are done- they are still tied with the Jets and Titans for that 6th seed and play some mediocre teams coming up so I think they are going hard obviously want to make sure Dalton is healthy I also think Cincy can stop the run but then again HOU has burned me badly before so I might lay off.
I also wouldn't touch the Redskins. They put a lot into that Jets game only to lose by double digits. I know they are playing hard but I can just see Brady torching that secondary. The Skins can pass the ball but are not very elite in that category so NE's D will do alright here. But then again 8.5 is a lot of points just depends how pumped Washington will be for this game, as Shanahan has had success against Bellichick before when he was in Denver.
BOL and I'll check in here a bit later as I start to look into the games in more detail
Hey guys sorry I didn't post my final plays for today, as I said not used to posting and always put in my plays late so its tough for me. Didn't get my final plays in until literally 12:59 today. Did incredible today, won't bother naming who I took since its pointless at this point but my leans were chicago, jets, houston, atlanta, balt, wash, oak gb over, and "buffalo (bleh)" including removing cleveland and miami as I had said which all would of gone 6-1-1. Promise I'll get the plays up next time.
I'll be on dallas small tonight though so just throwing that out there. Kenny Phillips will be missing
Giants rookie S Tyler Sash is expected to see significant playing time with Kenny Phillips (MCL sprain) ruled out this week.
Sash, a sixth-round pick, saw limited action in last week's game against Green Bay, but looks to be the preferred option to Deon Grant in pass coverage. After primarily playing on special teams this season, he'll matchup with Jason Witten and be spelled on obvious running downs.
Graded out as the eighth-best safety in the league through the season's first 13 weeks by Pro Football Focus, Phillips should be replaced by a combo of Deon Grant and Tyler Sash. Almost as effective in coverage as he is against the run, his absence is good news for both Tony Romo and DeMarco Murray.
Phillips has played every game so far this season.. Osi is also out along with David Baas their center. Giants are missing 3 starting o lineman and coming off a depressing loss to the pack that they should of pulled out. Mark Herzlich is also out who has been playing well and Miles Austin is back. Witten, Murray, and Felix should all be on pt today with weak LBs and Phillips out at safety and from what I see tonnsss of people on giants bc dallas lost to zona last week and giants got close with the pack. I expect dallas to put tons of pressure on Eli with the Oline hurting and Dallas to be able to move the ball and convert 3rd downs to Witten or Murray. I'll take the boys. GL
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Hey guys sorry I didn't post my final plays for today, as I said not used to posting and always put in my plays late so its tough for me. Didn't get my final plays in until literally 12:59 today. Did incredible today, won't bother naming who I took since its pointless at this point but my leans were chicago, jets, houston, atlanta, balt, wash, oak gb over, and "buffalo (bleh)" including removing cleveland and miami as I had said which all would of gone 6-1-1. Promise I'll get the plays up next time.
I'll be on dallas small tonight though so just throwing that out there. Kenny Phillips will be missing
Giants rookie S Tyler Sash is expected to see significant playing time with Kenny Phillips (MCL sprain) ruled out this week.
Sash, a sixth-round pick, saw limited action in last week's game against Green Bay, but looks to be the preferred option to Deon Grant in pass coverage. After primarily playing on special teams this season, he'll matchup with Jason Witten and be spelled on obvious running downs.
Graded out as the eighth-best safety in the league through the season's first 13 weeks by Pro Football Focus, Phillips should be replaced by a combo of Deon Grant and Tyler Sash. Almost as effective in coverage as he is against the run, his absence is good news for both Tony Romo and DeMarco Murray.
Phillips has played every game so far this season.. Osi is also out along with David Baas their center. Giants are missing 3 starting o lineman and coming off a depressing loss to the pack that they should of pulled out. Mark Herzlich is also out who has been playing well and Miles Austin is back. Witten, Murray, and Felix should all be on pt today with weak LBs and Phillips out at safety and from what I see tonnsss of people on giants bc dallas lost to zona last week and giants got close with the pack. I expect dallas to put tons of pressure on Eli with the Oline hurting and Dallas to be able to move the ball and convert 3rd downs to Witten or Murray. I'll take the boys. GL
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