YTD: 2-4 (DEN pending)........A couple really bad bets and a tough loss on San Diego.
Pittsburgh -12.5
I think this is a very soft line and don't see it going anywhere but up. Pittsburgh won't play nice in this one and it isn't a midseason game where they can sleepwalk after a tough game. This is a home opener where they come in off their worst loss in years. 35 points allowed, 7 turnovers. Tomlin was enraged after the game. Asking Seattle to travel all the way east for a 1:00 against a team looking to beat somebody up is a very tall task. I will be shocked if Tavaris Jackson leads this offense to 10 points here, they will need some special teams and defensive TD bullshit. This game reeks of 35-3.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD: 2-4 (DEN pending)........A couple really bad bets and a tough loss on San Diego.
Pittsburgh -12.5
I think this is a very soft line and don't see it going anywhere but up. Pittsburgh won't play nice in this one and it isn't a midseason game where they can sleepwalk after a tough game. This is a home opener where they come in off their worst loss in years. 35 points allowed, 7 turnovers. Tomlin was enraged after the game. Asking Seattle to travel all the way east for a 1:00 against a team looking to beat somebody up is a very tall task. I will be shocked if Tavaris Jackson leads this offense to 10 points here, they will need some special teams and defensive TD bullshit. This game reeks of 35-3.
YTD: 2-4 (DEN pending)........A couple really bad bets and a tough loss on San Diego.
Pittsburgh -12.5
I think this is a very soft line and don't see it going anywhere but up. Pittsburgh won't play nice in this one and it isn't a midseason game where they can sleepwalk after a tough game. This is a home opener where they come in off their worst loss in years. 35 points allowed, 7 turnovers. Tomlin was enraged after the game. Asking Seattle to travel all the way east for a 1:00 against a team looking to beat somebody up is a very tall task. I will be shocked if Tavaris Jackson leads this offense to 10 points here, they will need some special teams and defensive TD bullshit. This game reeks of 35-3.
love this play as well. unfortunately bodog doesn't post week 2 plays till wednesday FFS. i'll prolly get it at -14
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Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
YTD: 2-4 (DEN pending)........A couple really bad bets and a tough loss on San Diego.
Pittsburgh -12.5
I think this is a very soft line and don't see it going anywhere but up. Pittsburgh won't play nice in this one and it isn't a midseason game where they can sleepwalk after a tough game. This is a home opener where they come in off their worst loss in years. 35 points allowed, 7 turnovers. Tomlin was enraged after the game. Asking Seattle to travel all the way east for a 1:00 against a team looking to beat somebody up is a very tall task. I will be shocked if Tavaris Jackson leads this offense to 10 points here, they will need some special teams and defensive TD bullshit. This game reeks of 35-3.
love this play as well. unfortunately bodog doesn't post week 2 plays till wednesday FFS. i'll prolly get it at -14
This line is now up to -15. I have -12.5 -104 and -110.
What an absolute JOKE of an opener that was. It should have opened -14.5.
I do like Atlanta. I doubt we'll see a 3 but I want to just see what these teams say this week. Often when a big time player goes back to a place he left on bad terms not only does he play well but the whole team steps up big for him (see McNabb last year, Favre the year before that).
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This line is now up to -15. I have -12.5 -104 and -110.
What an absolute JOKE of an opener that was. It should have opened -14.5.
I do like Atlanta. I doubt we'll see a 3 but I want to just see what these teams say this week. Often when a big time player goes back to a place he left on bad terms not only does he play well but the whole team steps up big for him (see McNabb last year, Favre the year before that).
I think its real difficult to lay 2 td's plus in the NFL period, especially this early in the year, and with the lockout...Who knows how good any of these teams are
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I think its real difficult to lay 2 td's plus in the NFL period, especially this early in the year, and with the lockout...Who knows how good any of these teams are
I think its real difficult to lay 2 td's plus in the NFL period, especially this early in the year, and with the lockout...Who knows how good any of these teams are
i for sure would of bet a lot on pitt if i got them under 14, but that was no available to me... i think seattle will get smoked.
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Quote Originally Posted by Lenny77:
I think its real difficult to lay 2 td's plus in the NFL period, especially this early in the year, and with the lockout...Who knows how good any of these teams are
i for sure would of bet a lot on pitt if i got them under 14, but that was no available to me... i think seattle will get smoked.
I think its real difficult to lay 2 td's plus in the NFL period, especially this early in the year, and with the lockout...Who knows how good any of these teams are
Oh there's no question it is tough to lay this much but this game has all the ingredients needed for a blowout.
1. Pittsburgh has a big play quick-strike offense. This team is loaded with young receivers and threw it deep many times in the preseason and they should be able to here against a bad Seattle defense. I don't see this as a game where they hand it off 40 times, play D and win by 10.
2. Pittsburgh's defense should play a lot better. Maybe they have taken a step back and aged a little but is that going to show up against Seattle? These guys are 14-5 ATS under Lebeau with Polamalu playing at home off a SU loss surrendering 21+ points. They've only given up an average of 14 points in those games and most came against teams better than Seattle. The Seahawks won't be able to run and like I said before if Tavaris Jackson leads this offense to 10 points it will be quite the accomplishment. Jackson sucked yesterday. He completed 57% of his passes for a pathetic 5.3 YPA and that was despite a 55 yard TD where the receiver had about 50 yards after the catch.
3. Bad spot for Seattle. 1:00 game out east against a team that I believe will look to beat somebody up. The Seahawks lost by 16 on the road in Week 1 and their road losses last year came by 17, 17, 30, 15, 19, 23, and 11. Pittsburgh was also 4-0 ATS as a home fav of over a TD last year winning and covering as -9, -9, -14, and -14 with three of those games coming after a loss. The Seahawks know they aren't going to win this game, if they get down big I think they throw in the towel as they've done so many times on the road and look to keep everyone healthy for their home open next week against division rival Arizona.
4. The chance of a backdoor cover is greatly reduced. It's tough to lay more than a FG against a good offense because they generally are very capable of getting a garbage time TD. But I don't see that at all with this Seattle offense that is going to be one of the worst in the league. Many mediocre QB's have been benched against Lebeau's schemes in the past because they were too tough to read. Jackson might not even finish the game.
Blow. Out. City.
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Quote Originally Posted by Lenny77:
I think its real difficult to lay 2 td's plus in the NFL period, especially this early in the year, and with the lockout...Who knows how good any of these teams are
Oh there's no question it is tough to lay this much but this game has all the ingredients needed for a blowout.
1. Pittsburgh has a big play quick-strike offense. This team is loaded with young receivers and threw it deep many times in the preseason and they should be able to here against a bad Seattle defense. I don't see this as a game where they hand it off 40 times, play D and win by 10.
2. Pittsburgh's defense should play a lot better. Maybe they have taken a step back and aged a little but is that going to show up against Seattle? These guys are 14-5 ATS under Lebeau with Polamalu playing at home off a SU loss surrendering 21+ points. They've only given up an average of 14 points in those games and most came against teams better than Seattle. The Seahawks won't be able to run and like I said before if Tavaris Jackson leads this offense to 10 points it will be quite the accomplishment. Jackson sucked yesterday. He completed 57% of his passes for a pathetic 5.3 YPA and that was despite a 55 yard TD where the receiver had about 50 yards after the catch.
3. Bad spot for Seattle. 1:00 game out east against a team that I believe will look to beat somebody up. The Seahawks lost by 16 on the road in Week 1 and their road losses last year came by 17, 17, 30, 15, 19, 23, and 11. Pittsburgh was also 4-0 ATS as a home fav of over a TD last year winning and covering as -9, -9, -14, and -14 with three of those games coming after a loss. The Seahawks know they aren't going to win this game, if they get down big I think they throw in the towel as they've done so many times on the road and look to keep everyone healthy for their home open next week against division rival Arizona.
4. The chance of a backdoor cover is greatly reduced. It's tough to lay more than a FG against a good offense because they generally are very capable of getting a garbage time TD. But I don't see that at all with this Seattle offense that is going to be one of the worst in the league. Many mediocre QB's have been benched against Lebeau's schemes in the past because they were too tough to read. Jackson might not even finish the game.
I usually don't like big favorites but a 2 touchdown favorite is way above my norm. After seeing part of the Sea/SF game, I have to say, Tarvaris Jackson didn't have time to throw even against SF, a mid-tier defense. When he has time, it's a dink dunk for 2 yards or at someone's feet. The one TD was a miss assignment by SF secondary.
Pit did play a very good defense, This is a hammer game on Pit. They show up after a lost like this.
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I usually don't like big favorites but a 2 touchdown favorite is way above my norm. After seeing part of the Sea/SF game, I have to say, Tarvaris Jackson didn't have time to throw even against SF, a mid-tier defense. When he has time, it's a dink dunk for 2 yards or at someone's feet. The one TD was a miss assignment by SF secondary.
Pit did play a very good defense, This is a hammer game on Pit. They show up after a lost like this.
I wrote a long post last night that seemingly never made it to here.
Just locked up SD +7.
So did I even after that fisting the Chargers gave me last week. I actually think that was a good game from the Chargers. An unbelievable sequence of bullshit was required for the Vikings to come. I'm not gonna go over it but it was a tough loss. Most importantly San Diego showed me a ton of resiliency. Yes they did have their fuckups in the 1st half but if this was last year they would have lost that game SU no question. Instead they came out after halftime kept their composure and were all business as they just dominated the game. It really showed me a lot and maybe they have changed after all.
I'm still not sold on New England's defense. I think Rivers will have success. This is a very balanced San Diego offense and they should be able to score. The Chargers stink as favs and fuck up almost every game in that role but they are pretty good as underdogs. If you bet the Chargers blindly as a dog every season Rivers was the starter you'd be up money at the end of every year. They are 12-6 ATS over that run as dogs and only 1 time under Rivers in the regular season have they been a +7 dog (won the game outright). Is being up the Dolphins on Monday Night really worth this much? I was expecting 3.5 or 4 max but 7? I could be wrong but this isn't the 2007 Pats all over again, their defense isn't nearly that good.
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Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:
I wrote a long post last night that seemingly never made it to here.
Just locked up SD +7.
So did I even after that fisting the Chargers gave me last week. I actually think that was a good game from the Chargers. An unbelievable sequence of bullshit was required for the Vikings to come. I'm not gonna go over it but it was a tough loss. Most importantly San Diego showed me a ton of resiliency. Yes they did have their fuckups in the 1st half but if this was last year they would have lost that game SU no question. Instead they came out after halftime kept their composure and were all business as they just dominated the game. It really showed me a lot and maybe they have changed after all.
I'm still not sold on New England's defense. I think Rivers will have success. This is a very balanced San Diego offense and they should be able to score. The Chargers stink as favs and fuck up almost every game in that role but they are pretty good as underdogs. If you bet the Chargers blindly as a dog every season Rivers was the starter you'd be up money at the end of every year. They are 12-6 ATS over that run as dogs and only 1 time under Rivers in the regular season have they been a +7 dog (won the game outright). Is being up the Dolphins on Monday Night really worth this much? I was expecting 3.5 or 4 max but 7? I could be wrong but this isn't the 2007 Pats all over again, their defense isn't nearly that good.
So did I even after that fisting the Chargers gave me last week. I actually think that was a good game from the Chargers. An unbelievable sequence of bullshit was required for the Vikings to come. I'm not gonna go over it but it was a tough loss. Most importantly San Diego showed me a ton of resiliency. Yes they did have their fuckups in the 1st half but if this was last year they would have lost that game SU no question. Instead they came out after halftime kept their composure and were all business as they just dominated the game. It really showed me a lot and maybe they have changed after all.
I'm still not sold on New England's defense. I think Rivers will have success. This is a very balanced San Diego offense and they should be able to score. The Chargers stink as favs and fuck up almost every game in that role but they are pretty good as underdogs. If you bet the Chargers blindly as a dog every season Rivers was the starter you'd be up money at the end of every year. They are 12-6 ATS over that run as dogs and only 1 time under Rivers in the regular season have they been a +7 dog (won the game outright). Is beating up the Dolphins on Monday Night really worth this much? I was expecting 3.5 or 4 max but 7? I could be wrong but this isn't the 2007 Pats all over again, their defense isn't nearly that good.
Umm.....yeah. Should read: An unbelievable sequence of bullshit was required for the Vikings to cover.
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Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
So did I even after that fisting the Chargers gave me last week. I actually think that was a good game from the Chargers. An unbelievable sequence of bullshit was required for the Vikings to come. I'm not gonna go over it but it was a tough loss. Most importantly San Diego showed me a ton of resiliency. Yes they did have their fuckups in the 1st half but if this was last year they would have lost that game SU no question. Instead they came out after halftime kept their composure and were all business as they just dominated the game. It really showed me a lot and maybe they have changed after all.
I'm still not sold on New England's defense. I think Rivers will have success. This is a very balanced San Diego offense and they should be able to score. The Chargers stink as favs and fuck up almost every game in that role but they are pretty good as underdogs. If you bet the Chargers blindly as a dog every season Rivers was the starter you'd be up money at the end of every year. They are 12-6 ATS over that run as dogs and only 1 time under Rivers in the regular season have they been a +7 dog (won the game outright). Is beating up the Dolphins on Monday Night really worth this much? I was expecting 3.5 or 4 max but 7? I could be wrong but this isn't the 2007 Pats all over again, their defense isn't nearly that good.
Umm.....yeah. Should read: An unbelievable sequence of bullshit was required for the Vikings to cover.
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way mac. seahawks roll this week. dont underestimate the power of petey carrol and t jack 
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