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Season Finale 4 team 13 point teaser (8-7-1 on season)

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Posted: #1
Well this year has probably been one of my most difficult and yet at the same time fun.  I had alot of bad breaks in numbers and double digit favs going down...

But probably in terms of participation and momentum this was one of the best years so far...  I hope that this thread made you money...

So I am looking at a 2 unit play to end the season as I am basically even and I am shooting my preseason winnings...

So this is what I am thinking...

ATL -2.5

This is a game that ATL needs to win and in their last game at home against CAR this is a nice situation... weather will not be a variable because it is inside and the starters will be playing... decent number also i hope that it does not go up...

IND +3

Another game with a superior team playing at home in a dome with starters playing and taking it seriously...

BAL +3

Another similar scenario but outdoors... like ATL, BAL is 15-0 this season +13 points ATS...

and then considering...

CLE +18
SF +6.5
STL +10.5

Any more ideas or suggestions?



 
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Posted: #2
I like the Rams at +10.5
Thinking of playing...

Atl -1.5
GB +3
Stl +10.5
Pit +7.5

I really dont like SF +6.5...I think Arizona has a decent shot to win SU. Cle +18 looks good and STL too.
 
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Posted: #3
seahawks +16
tampa +21

why touch san fran or arizona, dont do it
teaxans +10 at home
 
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Posted: #4
I think CLE is undefeated with 13pt teasers.
 
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Posted: #5
 
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Posted: #6
GL
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by jeremydraul:

I think CLE is undefeated with 13pt teasers.


You are correct sir...

GB, BAL and ATL are also on that list...
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by Stiln:

GL


Thanks Stiln, you are a covers bro....
 
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Posted: #9
Agree w/ Tiger about SF/Ari - Both out of play-off and new HC for SF so too many unknowns.

Andermac brought up good pt about Indy...  A win will get them in but a loss by Jac will do same.  Jac's Garrard is out/MJD is questionable so if Jac is losing big to Hous, Caldwell could start pulling his starters, Indy w/o Manning is pretty scary.

Bal +3 is same scenerio, Pitts winning does nothing for them so they can start pulling starters if Pitts winning big and Cinci looking better last 2 wks.

IMO, just lay off this wk as too many unknowns.  But if playing, I'd go w/...

Atl -2.5
Pitts +7.5  - Very motivated to get 2nd seed to get extra wk rest and 1st game at home
GB +3 -Not great # but since taking Atl -2.5, Chi have nothing to play for by time their game starting, Lovie have pulled his starters early last 2 times they have nothing to play for last wk of yr, GB need win to guarantee play-off.

Did they cancel your Philly game last wk when they moved game?  Another SU lost, unbelievable, I don't think other yrs are as bad as this
 
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Posted: #10
Worst week every to do this type of bet bud. My advice is to stand pat.
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by gmitran:

Agree w/ Tiger about SF/Ari - Both out of play-off and new HC for SF so too many unknowns.

Andermac brought up good pt about Indy...  A win will get them in but a loss by Jac will do same.  Jac's Garrard is out/MJD is questionable so if Jac is losing big to Hous, Caldwell could start pulling his starters, Indy w/o Manning is pretty scary.

Bal +3 is same scenerio, Pitts winning does nothing for them so they can start pulling starters if Pitts winning big and Cinci looking better last 2 wks.

IMO, just lay off this wk as too many unknowns.  But if playing, I'd go w/...

Atl -2.5
Pitts +7.5  - Very motivated to get 2nd seed to get extra wk rest and 1st game at home
GB +3 -Not great # but since taking Atl -2.5, Chi have nothing to play for by time their game starting, Lovie have pulled his starters early last 2 times they have nothing to play for last wk of yr, GB need win to guarantee play-off.

Did they cancel your Philly game last wk when they moved game?  Another SU lost, unbelievable, I don't think other yrs are as bad as this


My PHI bet got cancelled, but I agree horrible year for the +13 points teaser down to 2.5 or less...

I am removing the SF bet... 

GB make sense as a play in terms of situaiton...

ATL, IND, GB are in nice situation to win SU...

What do you think about the CLE play?
 
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Posted: #12
So I am looking at 3 10 point spreads and wondering if going with a 3 team 10 point teaser would make more sense...

BAL pick
GB pick
IND  pick

and perhaps looking at ATL -4 even though it is a bad number...

any more ideas or suggestions?

 
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Posted: #13
also NO would fit the 3 team 10 point teaser...
 
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Posted: #14
i would take cle plus the points, they dont want pitt getting the 2nd seed, they will fight them all the way i believe , i actually plan to have some on the ml


 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

Worst week every to do this type of bet bud. My advice is to stand pat.


I think you are on to something...
 
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Posted: #16
I have Ind+3 Pit+7 GB+3 ATL-1.5...IND and G have to win to make playoffs and ATL and Pit need wins to clinch division and get bye, with ATL playing for home field throughout playoffs. These 4 should be motivated against teams that have nothing to play for.
 
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Posted: #17
Lets break it down...

I like ATL and IND to win SU... I like GB to win SU also...

Beyond that I am considering...

SEA +16
NO +4
BAL +3

Any more ideas or suggestions?


 
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Posted: #18
Ok I am actually considering this...

3 team 10 point teaser...

IND pick
GB pick
ATL -4 (looking for more then a TD win)
 
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Posted: #19
Teasers are sucker bets.  
 
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Posted: #20
keep crossing 0, thats y ur 8-7 on year
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by JohanSantana:

keep crossing 0, thats y ur 8-7 on year


true when you do 6-7 and 10 pointers... but on 13 pointers then youa re look for covering numbers...

what is your record this season?
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by dl36:

Ok I am actually considering this...

3 team 10 point teaser...

IND pick
GB pick
ATL -4 (looking for more then a TD win)


Im rolling with this one for 2 units...

GL on what you play this week...
 
 
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Posted: #23

Looks good to me DL! BOl buddy!

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