Titans vs. Colts, A Lesson To Be Learned

Quote Originally Posted by m15525:

The funny thing about sports betting is the odds, and how wildly undesrtood their purpose is misunderstood.

I always chuckle when I see people say that all bets are 50/50. They are absolutely not 50/50.

Odds are not made for splitting opinion, they are made for splitting money. That means that 100 people could be on the Colts at $100 each for a grand total of $10,000, but it takes one wise guy on the other side playing the Titans for roughly $9,300 to balance the book.

So why am I making this point? ...And more importantly why am I making this point tonight? Here is why..

Walk up to any 100 office workers at the  water cooler today and ask someone who they would put their money on tonight with the Colts -3 at Titans.

My point lies not with the answer these people give you, but more importantly what they do before they answer.

How many of these people tell you to sit tight for a minute (before answering you) so they can run to grab a newspaper or (go online) to check an injury report. I am going to 0 out of a 100.

This is how the point spread operates, if you or I played runnning back for the Colts tonight the line would still favor the Colts. Funny as this may sound, its a fact, in most cases, the uniform makes the spread, not the players in it.

Now a tie in my point for the evening. The Colt's barely have a NFL roster right now on offense. This is not the Colts of a year ago, and frankly without Peyton Manning this team is the Carolina Panthers.

However, if we stop for one moment to look at the consensus play on the covers home page now. Guess who is numero uno, you guessed it 82% of the action on Indy tonight.

Before you play, take a second to look at the injury report and make it a part of your routine for every game you take for any sport. trust me it helps:

https://www.covers.com/pageloader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nfl/matchups/g1_summary_1.html

Titans +3

Quote Originally Posted by toastmaster20:

Hey M,

Always enjoy your write-ups. Many of my Jonah friends love Indy

Most of my plays are NBA situations, where you can always find 3-4 games a week where teams don't feel like playing. Plus, under 2nd half bets.

Look forward to seeing you in the NBA forum.

Quote Originally Posted by m15525:

The funny thing about sports betting is the odds, and how wildly undesrtood their purpose is misunderstood.

I always chuckle when I see people say that all bets are 50/50. They are absolutely not 50/50.

Odds are not made for splitting opinion, they are made for splitting money. That means that 100 people could be on the Colts at $100 each for a grand total of $10,000, but it takes one wise guy on the other side playing the Titans for roughly $9,300 to balance the book.

So why am I making this point? ...And more importantly why am I making this point tonight? Here is why..

Walk up to any 100 office workers at the  water cooler today and ask someone who they would put their money on tonight with the Colts -3 at Titans.

My point lies not with the answer these people give you, but more importantly what they do before they answer.

How many of these people tell you to sit tight for a minute (before answering you) so they can run to grab a newspaper or (go online) to check an injury report. I am going to 0 out of a 100.

This is how the point spread operates, if you or I played runnning back for the Colts tonight the line would still favor the Colts. Funny as this may sound, its a fact, in most cases, the uniform makes the spread, not the players in it.

Now a tie in my point for the evening. The Colt's barely have a NFL roster right now on offense. This is not the Colts of a year ago, and frankly without Peyton Manning this team is the Carolina Panthers.

However, if we stop for one moment to look at the consensus play on the covers home page now. Guess who is numero uno, you guessed it 82% of the action on Indy tonight.

Before you play, take a second to look at the injury report and make it a part of your routine for every game you take for any sport. trust me it helps:

https://www.covers.com/pageloader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nfl/matchups/g1_summary_1.html

Titans +3

Quote Originally Posted by m15525:

The funny thing about sports betting is the odds, and how wildly undesrtood their purpose is misunderstood.

I always chuckle when I see people say that all bets are 50/50. They are absolutely not 50/50.

Odds are not made for splitting opinion, they are made for splitting money. That means that 100 people could be on the Colts at $100 each for a grand total of $10,000, but it takes one wise guy on the other side playing the Titans for roughly $9,300 to balance the book.

So why am I making this point? ...And more importantly why am I making this point tonight? Here is why..

Walk up to any 100 office workers at the  water cooler today and ask someone who they would put their money on tonight with the Colts -3 at Titans.

My point lies not with the answer these people give you, but more importantly what they do before they answer.

How many of these people tell you to sit tight for a minute (before answering you) so they can run to grab a newspaper or (go online) to check an injury report. I am going to 0 out of a 100.

This is how the point spread operates, if you or I played runnning back for the Colts tonight the line would still favor the Colts. Funny as this may sound, its a fact, in most cases, the uniform makes the spread, not the players in it.

Now a tie in my point for the evening. The Colt's barely have a NFL roster right now on offense. This is not the Colts of a year ago, and frankly without Peyton Manning this team is the Carolina Panthers.

However, if we stop for one moment to look at the consensus play on the covers home page now. Guess who is numero uno, you guessed it 82% of the action on Indy tonight.

Before you play, take a second to look at the injury report and make it a part of your routine for every game you take for any sport. trust me it helps:

https://www.covers.com/pageloader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nfl/matchups/g1_summary_1.html

Titans +3

Wow! What a waste of time your analysis has been. What does the injury report have to do with this game and line. There is no new injuries to report for Indy, and in fact Dominic Rhodes is supposed to start tonight against a team that gives up 123 ypg. which will hopefully free up Manning. The Indy D-line will be pumped tonight and I'll bet they get at least 2 sacks if not more. In addition, Manning is probably the Top rated quarterback in the NFL (I'm a Patriots Fan), and he was embarrassed last week. Stop chuckling Santa as Indy (Manning) wins this one.

Quote Originally Posted by BigUnit:

I did, Vince Young is gone and the Tenn defensive line is toast!  Also look at who they have played the last 3 games.  Tenn has played Wash, Jax and Houston.  In those 3 games they have scored 1 TD and it was a punt return.  You can slant an write-up to justify the pick.  Buyers beware! 

Quote Originally Posted by m15525:

Colts, 2 games in 5 days off home OT loss.

Colts will have 3 un drafted rookies in the rotation tonight at D back. Good luck with that laying 3 on the road.

Quote Originally Posted by numbersbuster:

I see lots of people doing lots of gyrations to try to justify Ten +3 tonight.  I expect this to be a lot like last year's visit to Nashville.  Slaughter.  Colts must win.  Titans are on vacation.  Usually would lean home dog in a spot like this, but the Titans have been even worse than the Colts lately, I see no compelling reason to back the home team tonight. 

Quote Originally Posted by Crusher13:



Best OBJECTIVE analysis fot tonite NFL matchup. Thru first 20 minutes you are DEAD on!

Quote Originally Posted by BigUnit:

Touchdown Indy!

Quote Originally Posted by MossPaysCash:

You can look an the injury report before a game?  Really
So if 82% of covers is on Indy, must mean they lose?

what a waste of time even reading this post.  Oh and your water cooler example is about the dumbest thing I have ever read