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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Sports Investors Group ********NFL Football Week 10*******
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#1
Posted: 11/11/2010 7:04:33 PM
NFL Record: 2-4-2 ATS (-105.00 Units)


Here to post investments in all sports and have done pretty well capping the last 15 years. I only chose this name because it was catchy and nothing else was available after 20 minutes of trying different usernames and I am here to provide valuable information and valuable picks from my group of people. Enjoy the season and let's make some money off the books! That's the end goal for us handicappers.

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Baltimore Ravens +1

I don't have time to do some full research on this stat but I read somewhere that QB Matt Ryan is 17-1 SU lifetime at home and that alone makes it tough to join the some 60% of the betting public already on the Baltimore Ravens in this game. On that note, I think the Ravens cause all sorts of matchup problems for the Falcons coming out of their BYE WEEK and I am going to back the better football team. Atlanta comes into this game 4-0 SU at home this season but have they played all that well at home? No. Are they unbeatable in this place with QB Matt Ryan? I don't think so. The Falcons are only 2-2 ATS at home in their four games this season and they have allowed 18.5 points per home game on the year. Look at the last three games they have played and you'll see that the Falcons struggle on defense. They have allowed 28.0 points per game in those games, they have allowed 407.0 total yards of offense per game and it's hard to trust a shaky defense like that. Baltimore comes off their BYE WEEK at the same 6-2 SU record as Atlanta and the Ravens are 2-1-1 ATS in their four road games this season going to New England and losing 23-20 as a +3 point road underdog, going to Pittsburgh and beating the Steelers 17-14 as a +2 point road underdog and they also went to New York and beat the Jets 10-9 as a +1 point road underdog. That's an impressive 2-0-1 ATS this season as road underdogs and I have to go with the Ravens who average 27.7 points per game in their last three games and who should have no problems exposing this weak Atlanta secondary. I mean the Falcons have allowed an unreal 295.7 passing yards per game their last three games on 8.8 yards per pass attempt and the Ravens average 254.3 passing yards per game their last three games on 8.1 yards per pass attempt. Over the course of the last three games Baltimore has been the better defensive team and their offense has been a lot more effective than Atlanta's. The last regular season game between these two teams was back in 2006 and the Ravens beat the Falcons 24-10 at home. At this point in the season there is no rhyme or reason to going against a team like Baltimore who have shown that they are can win and cover spreads on the road. I mean they went to Pittsburgh, NY Jets and New England and came away without an ATS scratch. What I love about Baltimore is consistency and the Ravens have plenty going 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games coming off a straight up win the game before. We already talked about the Ravens and their ability to win on the road and cover spreads as an underdog. It's also worth noting that Baltimore is 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 road games as an underdog of 0.5 to 3 points. I would be the first to back Atlanta at home but I never back them against teams who know how to win on the road and Baltimore knows how to win away from home. The Falcons have covered the spread in only 8 of their last 28 home games versus a team with a winning record away from home and that's not good news for Falcons backers. This is the first Thursday Night Football game of 2010 and it's hard to anticipate how these teams are going to react but much like they did in PRIMETIME in their very first game of 2010, the Baltimore Ravens will come out on top in another impressive road win. RAVENS TO THE BANK TONIGHT!

RECOMMENDED INVESTMENT: 30 Units


Baltimore 28, Atlanta 25






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#2
Posted: 11/11/2010 7:05:04 PM
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#3
Posted: 11/11/2010 7:25:25 PM
tough start tout.
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#4
Posted: 11/11/2010 7:28:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sims_key:

tough start tout.



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#5
Posted: 11/11/2010 7:38:36 PM
2- 4 - 105 UNITS....Wow way to bury the avg better in 6 games..
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#6
Posted: 11/11/2010 7:42:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SInvestorsGroup:

NFL Record: 2-4-2 ATS (-105.00 Units)


Here to post investments in all sports and have done pretty well capping the last 15 years. I only chose this name because it was catchy and nothing else was available after 20 minutes of trying different usernames and I am here to provide valuable information and valuable picks from my group of people. Enjoy the season and let's make some money off the books! That's the end goal for us handicappers.

-----------------------------------------------------



Baltimore Ravens +1

I don't have time to do some full research on this stat but I read somewhere that QB Matt Ryan is 17-1 SU lifetime at home and that alone makes it tough to join the some 60% of the betting public already on the Baltimore Ravens in this game. On that note, I think the Ravens cause all sorts of matchup problems for the Falcons coming out of their BYE WEEK and I am going to back the better football team. Atlanta comes into this game 4-0 SU at home this season but have they played all that well at home? No. Are they unbeatable in this place with QB Matt Ryan? I don't think so. The Falcons are only 2-2 ATS at home in their four games this season and they have allowed 18.5 points per home game on the year. Look at the last three games they have played and you'll see that the Falcons struggle on defense. They have allowed 28.0 points per game in those games, they have allowed 407.0 total yards of offense per game and it's hard to trust a shaky defense like that. Baltimore comes off their BYE WEEK at the same 6-2 SU record as Atlanta and the Ravens are 2-1-1 ATS in their four road games this season going to New England and losing 23-20 as a +3 point road underdog, going to Pittsburgh and beating the Steelers 17-14 as a +2 point road underdog and they also went to New York and beat the Jets 10-9 as a +1 point road underdog. That's an impressive 2-0-1 ATS this season as road underdogs and I have to go with the Ravens who average 27.7 points per game in their last three games and who should have no problems exposing this weak Atlanta secondary. I mean the Falcons have allowed an unreal 295.7 passing yards per game their last three games on 8.8 yards per pass attempt and the Ravens average 254.3 passing yards per game their last three games on 8.1 yards per pass attempt. Over the course of the last three games Baltimore has been the better defensive team and their offense has been a lot more effective than Atlanta's. The last regular season game between these two teams was back in 2006 and the Ravens beat the Falcons 24-10 at home. At this point in the season there is no rhyme or reason to going against a team like Baltimore who have shown that they are can win and cover spreads on the road. I mean they went to Pittsburgh, NY Jets and New England and came away without an ATS scratch. What I love about Baltimore is consistency and the Ravens have plenty going 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games coming off a straight up win the game before. We already talked about the Ravens and their ability to win on the road and cover spreads as an underdog. It's also worth noting that Baltimore is 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 road games as an underdog of 0.5 to 3 points. I would be the first to back Atlanta at home but I never back them against teams who know how to win on the road and Baltimore knows how to win away from home. The Falcons have covered the spread in only 8 of their last 28 home games versus a team with a winning record away from home and that's not good news for Falcons backers. This is the first Thursday Night Football game of 2010 and it's hard to anticipate how these teams are going to react but much like they did in PRIMETIME in their very first game of 2010, the Baltimore Ravens will come out on top in another impressive road win. RAVENS TO THE BANK TONIGHT!

RECOMMENDED INVESTMENT: 30 Units


Baltimore 28, Atlanta 25






Sniperswife is with you. Good luck with your investment. 30 rupees for me please.
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#7
Posted: 11/11/2010 7:47:19 PM
Why 30 units? Why not 140 units
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#8
Posted: 11/11/2010 10:03:16 PM
oh my look who has return to covers its ........mistaflava did you pay everybody back yet from the contest there tout boy?
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#9
Posted: 11/14/2010 12:37:07 AM
will add this one...



Detroit Lions +1

If you combine the record of these two teams this season you have a pitiful 2-14 SU disaster but both teams have been decent on the point spread and that has to be worth something when going up against each other. More so for the Detroit Lions who are the most profitable team in the NFL in 2010 at 7-1 ATS so far this year and although they have won only 2 games on the season (should be three with that highway robbery in Week 1 at Chicago), the Lions are a lot better than the Bills and it's going to show in this game today. If the Bills are going to win a game in 2010 it's probably going to come on the road where they are 3-1 ATS on the season as opposed to 0-3 ATS at home. They haven't just lost those home games either. The Bills were outyarded by 130 total yards in their 15-10 home loss to Miami, the Bills were outyarded by 221 total yards in their 38-14 home loss to the Jets and the Bills were outyarded by 75 total yards in their 36-26 home loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars. Now they have to deal with the #7 ranked scoring offense in the NFL.

Some injury news this week. Buffalo WR Roscoe Parrish who is a punt return specialist and who was the star of the Bills offense last week in Toronto, is OUT for the season. Also back from injury is Detroit QB Shaun Hill who has completed 61.6% of his passes in 2010 for 1309 passing yards on the year, 6.1 yards per pass attempt, 9 touchdown passes and 7 interceptions with a QB Rating of 79.6. Having said that, don't expect the interceptions to be a problem seeing how Buffalo went from one of the most prolific and solid secondaries in the league to having only 1 interception so far in their first eight games of the season. The oddsmakers are not stupid. They know that the betting public is going to be split in this game and week in and week out some of the top handicappers around predict the Bills to finally break through and win a game for once but someone please tell me what has changed from any of their eight games in 2010? I mean this is the same Bills team that couldn't beat Chicago in Toronto and the same Bills team that couldn't beat Jacksonville at home. That would also be why BUFFALO IS 1-6 ATS IN THEIR LAST SEVEN HOME GAMES VERSUS A TEAM WITH A LOSING RECORD ON THE SEASON. Detroit has equally struggled against teams with a losing record going 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven but how can you not love the Lions as an underdog where they have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games as a dog? They are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five road games as an underdog and it's hard to believe that the guys down on The Strip still don't believe they can win games yet they are 7-1 ATS on the season. BUFFALO HAS COVERED THE SPREAD IN ONLY 5 OF THEIR LAST 21 HOME GAMES. What is that all about? One of the big x-factors in this game is the fact that Detroit converts 41.3% of their third down chances away from home in 2010 while Buffalo has managed to convert only 17.1% of their third down chances at home this season.

The Lions have forced 12 turnovers in four road games believe it or not (7 interceptions and 5 fumble recoveries) and the last thing the Bills need is to play against an aggressive defense that takes a lot of chances in a risk/reward system. The Lions have covered the spread in five straight games now, the betting public and oddsmakers have yet to catch onto this trend and since everyone is split there is no choice but to back the team that has been cashing in all season and that's the Detroit Lions. Another tough home loss for Buffalo although this game stays close and probably comes down to the very final drive of the game.

RECOMMENDED INVESTMENT: **20 Units**


Detroit 24, Buffalo 21






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#10
Posted: 11/14/2010 12:41:57 AM
I think your money management is psychotic but I like the Lions pick some...
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#11
Posted: 11/14/2010 1:21:14 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BurningPlanet26:

I think your money management is psychotic but I like the Lions pick some...



GOOD LUCK BP26!
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#12
Posted: 11/14/2010 1:37:03 AM
will add this one...



Chicago Bears +1

TRAP! and you better believe it this time. The Minnesota Vikings are favored by some 65% of the betting public in this game and that's a HUGE ALERT in my eyes. I mean this is the same Minnesota team that is 3-5 SU on the season and that is coming off a come from behind 27-24 overtime home win over the struggling Arizona Cardinals last weekend. The same Vikings who don't like their Head Coach and the same Vikings who so far in 2010 have lost at New Orleans, at NY Jets, at Green Bay and most recently at New England. Don't get me wrong, the Chicago Bears are by no means on the same level as those other four road opponents of the Vikings but right now the Bears sit one game behind the Packers for the NFC North lead and both teams have a significant advantage over both the Vikings and the Lions as we enter the second half of the season. Before you place this wager please consider that the Vikings have not won in Chicago since the 2007 and in their last five trips to Chicago they managed to win only once and it was that one time in 2007. How about QB Brett Favre against the Bears? I can tell you that yes he had the best statistical game of his career last weekend against the Cardinals but in eight previous games against Arizona, Favre entered last weekend's game with a career +100.0 QB Rating against the Cardinals. In his career Brett has played against Chicago 33 times and has a QB Rating of 87.7.

It would be tough to find a healthier team in the NFL than the Chicago Bears and the fact that they were able to pull out that win in Toronto last weekend on the road against the hungry Buffalo Bills, was impressive to say the least. What's strange is that the Bears are 2-2 SU at home in 2010 but their two wins have come against Division rivals as they beat both Detroit and Green Bay at home and it's pretty obvious that the Bears are not going to give away home field against opponents from their own division. One of the big issues I have with betting on Minnesota away from home is that they have forced only 2 turnovers total in four away games in 2010 while the Bears have forced 8 turnovers in their four home games this season. With WR Percy Harvin lacking practice time this week and with WR Sidney Rice only half okay to go this week, the onus is now on QB Brett Favre and RB Adrian Peterson to carry this team but the Chicago Bears have allowed only 78.8 rushing yards per home game this season and have allowed only 3.3 yards per carry in those games.

I would hope by now that everyone has learned their lesson when betting on Minnesota away from home. The lesson here is that the Vikings seasons hangs by a thread each and every week they play. The Vikings have a Head Coach that has lost his locker room and that is one loss away from being fired. Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in their last six road games as a favorite of 0.5 to 3 points and the Vikings have covered the spread in only 8 of their last 26 road games versus a team with a .500 record or better at home and the don't forget the Bears are 2-0 SU and 2-0 ATS this season at home versus Division opponents. Chicago is also 4-1 ATS in their last five home games as an underdog of 0.5 to 3 points and I still don't really know how so many can be on a team that is 0-4 ATS and SU away from home this season and a team that is having so many problems on and off the field. Minnesota barely beat Arizona last weekend, Brad Childress is down to his final hours as Head Coach of this team and the recommendation here is INVESTMENT OF THE WEEK ON CHICAGO TO WIN AND COVER! Get this done please.

RECOMMENDED INVESTMENT: ***50 Units***


Chicago 25, Minnesota 15






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#13
Posted: 11/14/2010 1:41:55 AM

Tomorrow Oughtta Uplift Tailers of yours....

 

 

 

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#14
Posted: 11/14/2010 1:57:51 AM
will add this one...



New York Jets -3

This is interesting guys because anyone who was on the Jets last weekend is either going a) completely give up on them and go with the Browns or b) back them again anticipating a much better showing than in Detroit and expecting Cleveland to have a bigger letdown than the Jets. In terms of letdown I obviously mean that Cleveland is coming off one of their biggest wins of the last five seasons as they beat New England at home and now move to 3-5 SU on the season but much like other teams (Minnesota is one of them), every game the Browns play hangs in the balance of their season playoff hopes and my personal opinion is that asking for another home win is a bit too much. Sure QB Colt McCoy brings a new swag to Cleveland, a swag that has not been present for the last decade on this football field but will it be enough? The Jets come into this game having won 6 of their last 7 games, they pulled off an amazing come from behind win at Detroit last weekend, the type of win that makes a team a lot closer in terms of TEAM UNITY and I really like the matchup for New York.

The Jets have played a lot better away from home than they have at home for some reason as they average 29.0 points per road game in 2010 and average 397.2 total yards of offense per road game. Cleveland on the other hand, and with the exception of their game against the Patriots last weekend, have been pedestrian offensively at home managing to average only 20.2 points per game this season and averaging 316.8 total yards of offense per game in those games. NOT SO FAST! The Jets have the #3 ranked points defense in the NFL and more importantly they are the #4 ranked run defense in the NFL. We all know that the Browns offense revolves around RB Peyton Hillis and his ability to move the chains and get the ball moving in the right direction but the Jets have allowed only only 105.2 rushing yards per road game in 2010 and they have allowed 4.0 yards per carry in those games. The point is somewhat moot seeing how the Browns are almost just as good against the run and the Jets feed off their run game more than most teams in the NFL but this game will come down to the passing game and I give the edge to QB Mark Sanchez who goes up against a Browns defense that has allowed 7.0 yards per pass attempt in 2010 and who have allowed 269.3 passing yards per game in their last three games. With both teams putting forward decent run defenses you have to look at the more effective running game and that would be that of the Jets who average 4.8 yards per carry on the road compared to 3.7 yards per carry at home for the Browns.

Let me break this down properly for those who don't understand an investment on the Jets. Cleveland has been a profitable spread team all season long and they seem to always play well against AFC Conference opponents but having said that the matchups are bad for the Browns, they won't be able to establish Peyton Hillis as much as they have in the past and I am not going against a Jets team that is 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite seeing how they are coming off a spread loss at Detroit last weekend as a favorite. The Jets rarely disappoint when playing on the road and although we lost money on them last weekend, don't fear backing them again. New York has covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 road games and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games played on natural grass. Obviously the turf was somewhat of a problem for these guys in Week 9 at Detroit but they put together one of their most impressive wins in the Rex Ryan era and I don't see this game being all that close in the end. Jets never disappoint in two straight road games. NEVER HAVE, NEVER WILL! Invest with confidence and the profits will reflect success.

RECOMMENDED INVESTMENT: **20 Units**


NY Jets 26, Cleveland 17






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#15
Posted: 11/14/2010 1:59:12 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BigNiner:

Tomorrow Oughtta Uplift Tailers of yours....

 

 

 




I don't understand? I post hockey picks (no touts do that), I discuss my picks, I read other threads. Not sure how much more I can say but there seems to be an obsession with touts around here. I created my username to have a bit of fun, there was nothing else available after 20+ minutes of trying to find a decent username and that's that. Get over it and let's make some cash!



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#16
Posted: 11/14/2010 2:01:57 AM
down -105 units you should try another sport
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#17
Posted: 11/14/2010 2:03:38 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by SInvestorsGroup:




I don't understand? I post hockey picks (no touts do that), I discuss my picks, I read other threads. Not sure how much more I can say but there seems to be an obsession with touts around here. I created my username to have a bit of fun, there was nothing else available after 20+ minutes of trying to find a decent username and that's that. Get over it and let's make some cash!



 

Um....okay

 

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#18
Posted: 11/14/2010 2:12:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BigNiner:

Tomorrow Oughtta Uplift Tailers of yours....

 

 

 


Ok..the main forums arent for stalking posters. If you desire to attack someone, feel free to post in the penalty box. If you have information regarding this member soliciting others or being a tout, feel free to PM a moderator with details and specifics. Outside that, feel free to stop posting in threads, especially in this fashion.

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#19
Posted: 11/14/2010 2:20:35 AM
will add this one...



Tennessee Titans +1

Chad Pennington? Really? What a complete joke the Miami Dolphins have become. I mean the season is not over, they are 4-4 SU after eight games this season yet they feel that making a QB change at this point of the season is an advantage. Well not so much. I mean Pennington has not thrown a single pass all season long and over the course of the last two seasons he has played in only three total games throwing 1 touchdown pass and also throwing 2 interceptions. Tennessee did not look good at San Diego two weeks ago as they had their three game win streak snapped but let's make one thing clear, the Titans are one of the toughest away teams in the NFL and you can just ask the New York Giants, Jacksonville Jaguars and Dallas Cowboys what they think of these guys as Tennessee is now 3-1 SU away from home this season. The Dolphins are coming off a 26-10 road loss at Baltimore last weekend and they have not won consecutive games since winning the first two games of the 2010 season at Buffalo and then at Minnesota the following week. Despite the loss at San Diego, Tennessee is still 3-1 ATS on the road this season while Miami is now 1-2 ATS at home and they have struggled in general.

What catches my eye right away is the 29.5 points per road game Tennessee is scoring away from home in 2010 and they surprising part of that is that they have averaged only 321.5 total yards of offense per game in those games. Miami on the other hand is averaging 19.7 points per home game in 2010 but they average 383.0 total yards of offense per home game yet they cannot put the points on the board. So what's going on here? We all know the Dolphins rely heavily on their passing attack at home averaging more than 300 passing yards per home game this season and that could be a problem for a Tennessee team that was torched for some 400 total yards against San Diego their last time out and who have allowed 300+ passing yards per away game this season. On that note, the Titans have allowed only 233.3 passing yards per game their last three games on only 5.8 yards per pass attempt and they have improved. Tennessee has WR Randy Moss to throw the ball to for the remainder of the season and I think this pass offense with QB Kerry Collins starting this game, has the potential to take off as they average 7.6 yards per pass attempt away from home this season and Miami has given up a ton of huge passing plays at home in 2010 allowing an NFL worst 8.8 yards per pass attempt at home this season. The Dolphins have allowed 230.7 passing yards per home game this season and in what could eventually turn into a shootout, I think I prefer a Titans defense that has allowed 5.8 yards per pass attempt their last five games compared to a Dolphins secondary allowing 8.8 yards per pass attempt at home. Can you say Randy Moss HUGE GAME?

Some teams play well early on in the season and some teams make their run in November and I think Tennessee is the latter. The Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games coming off a straight up loss but they are also 5-1 ATS in their last six games played in the Month of November and it was this time last season that Tennessee really started playing for this year. I almost never recommend investing on the Dolphins at home because MIAMI HAS COVERED THE SPREAD IN ONLY 16 OF THEIR LAST 58 HOME GAMES and teams who cannot stop good passing offenses like Tennessee are not going to win games. Don't forget there is a huge advantage for the Titans here having had the entire BYE WEEK to prepare for this game and more importantly the full BYE WEEK to get QB Kerry Collins up to date with the offense and to get acquainted with newly acquired WR Randy Moss. The connection is hit or miss but at this point and knowing that Miami has allowed 8.8 yards per pass attempt in four home games this season, I have to think the Titans are going to take some shots downfield and have some serious success doing it. I also heard that unlike Brad Childress in Minnesota, Jeff Fisher has really opened his ears to Randy Moss who has been playing in the same Division as the Dolphins for quite a few years now and we will probably see the difference. Go with Tennessee in a bounce back game. I think things are only going to get uglier in Miami with Pennington starting this game. BLOWOUT CITY as the Titans win this game big.

RECOMMENDED INVESTMENT: **20 Units**


Tennessee 34, Miami 16






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#20
Posted: 11/14/2010 2:21:36 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:


Ok..the main forums arent for stalking posters. If you desire to attack someone, feel free to post in the penalty box. If you have information regarding this member soliciting others or being a tout, feel free to PM a moderator with details and specifics. Outside that, feel free to stop posting in threads, especially in this fashion.




I don't mind it but I would rather hear an objective opinion on the games I just posted or a good reason not to bet it. I want discussions, I want to pick winners and the end goal is for all of us to make cash.
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#21
Posted: 11/14/2010 2:35:02 AM
Like your picks but Vikes D is playing better and I am not impressed by the Bears in anyway
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#22
Posted: 11/14/2010 2:40:38 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by swope19:

Like your picks but Vikes D is playing better and I am not impressed by the Bears in anyway



Are you not concerned at all that Chicago beat both Green Bay and Detroit at home this season (both divisional rivals) and that they have beat Minnesota at home 4 of the last 5 seasons? Nonetheless should be a good game and enjoy!
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#23
Posted: 11/14/2010 3:00:18 AM
will add this one...



Houston Texans +1

I don't like to play mind games and I am getting a bit psyched out by all the +1 wagers I have going so far today but this is a MUST BET OF THE DAY although it might also fall in the category of SUCKER BET OF THE DAY. I hope for the first one. It's been a rough ride for Houston who were picked by many to challenge the Indianapolis Colts for the AFC South Division in 2010 and even with all the injuries to the Colts the Texans have struggled to step up and they are losers of two straight and three of their last four games. Jacksonville is also making a pitch for the AFC South Division with their 4-4 SU record (same as Houston's) and both teams know that another loss tacked onto that record is probably not going to do much for them once the Colts start getting healthy again. The only concern is that Houston has not won a game in Jacksonville since the 2006 season and their last three trips here have been ugly losses of 20 points in 2007, 3 points in overtime in 2008 and 5 points in 2009 as a -1 point favorite. Having said that, if one of these two team is overrated it has to be Jacksonville who despite winning four games this season have managed to outyard only one of their opponents (that was the Bills in Buffalo). Their only home wins of the season have been against Indianapolis and Denver as they lost to Philadelphia and Tennessee but their last home outing was a 27 point home loss to those Titans and I'll be surprise if Jacksonville comes out with the same type of effort.

DO NOT FALL ASLEEP if you like high scoring games. We are talking about two of the worst secondaries and pass defenses in the NFL this season as Houston has allowed 298.2 passing yards per game this season on 7.9 yards per pass attempt while Jacksonville has allowed 267.1 passing yards per game this season and have allowed 8.3 yards per pass attempt. For those interested in starting some of the players on these teams for Fantasy purposes, this is the time to do it. With both teams having huge games in the air, the evaluation and analysis for a winner comes down to the running games and RB Arian Foster has been a stud in 2010 while RB Maurice Jones Drew has been somewhat of a dud. Foster has led this team to 5.3 yards per carry on the road this season while averaging 138.3 rushing yards per game. Jones-Drew and the Jaguars are averaging only 4.0 yards per carry at home this season and I don't expect that to get much better against a Texans defense that has actually allowed only 3.5 yards per carry away from home and that has allowed only 81.0 rushing yards per game the last three games. The difference between these two teams is Houston has the #18 ranked points scored defense in the NFL while Jacksonville has the #30 ranked points defense in the NFL and in what should be a decent shootout of sorts, I have to go with a Houston team that is desperate right now. Having said that I wouldn't expect as many points as everyone thinks and believe me the difference in this game will be the ability to move the ball on the ground effectively for the Texans. Great matchup.

Alright so this look like a TRAP right? Yes it does and it probably is but how in the world can anyone seriously drop a hard earned dollar on Jacksonville knowing that THE JAGUARS ARE 1-10 ATS IN THEIR LAST 11 HOME GAMES AS A FAVORITE?  Overall Jacksonville is only 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite both on the road and at home and they are only 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games coming off a straight up win the game before. Houston has been cash money as a short point road underdog the last two seasons going 4-0 ATS in their last four road games as an underdog of 0.5 to 3 points and they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games as an underdog. Jacksonville is coming off a huge win and the Texans are coming off a huge loss but Jacksonville is only 5-15 ATS in their last 20 home games, they are 8-27 ATS in their last 35 games played on natural grass and the Jaguars are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games coming off a straight up win of 14+ points in their previous game. This is one team Houston has always had success playing against covering the spread in 11 of the last 16 meetings and the UNDERDOG has covered the spread in 8 of the last 11 meetings now. Both teams have very good pass attacks and weak secondaries but it's Houston's ability this season to utilize the run against teams dropping back in coverage and I think they get enough done in the air and on the ground to win this game. Neither one of these teams wants to lose this week so expect fireworks of sorts and expect Houston to come out a winner this week.

RECOMMENDED INVESTMENT: *10 Units*


Houston 29, Jacksonville 19






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m3dicineman send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
m3dicineman
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#24
Posted: 11/14/2010 3:17:27 AM
BOL
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cutebrute send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#25
Posted: 11/14/2010 6:11:42 AM
gl appreciate the writeups always a good read. 
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