THE 1pm TEASER-------> gb - 4, sea/gb ov 31.5, nyg +1.5
THE INFO:
-------> sea has been outscored 58-14 the last 2wks
-------> sea on the road on avg allows 30ppg on D (only 2 outta 7 road games where opponent didnt score 30+pts were @stl and @sf)
-------> sea avg 15ppg on the road
-------> gb avg 24ppg at home this season, and allows 18ppg
-------> gb avg margin of victory at home(losses included) is 6ppg, (wins only is 12ppg)
-------> nyg is 4-3 at home this year (losses came to phi, sd, az - all close games and all vs div leaders/playoff teams) (wins vs atl, dal, was, oak)
-------> car is 2-5 on the road this season (wins vs az and tb)
THE REASON-------> nyg are playing their last home game at the meadowlands this week.... couple that with the fact that they are in the thick of the playoff hunt and i love their chances to win this game.... i may make a small play on nyg -7.5 as well...... as for the sea/gb game, sea blows and gb has weapons on offense to go along with a top 10 D..... im not in love with any 1pm games so ill be playing this 3 teamer
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
ytd on covers (5-5)
THE 1pm TEASER-------> gb - 4, sea/gb ov 31.5, nyg +1.5
THE INFO:
-------> sea has been outscored 58-14 the last 2wks
-------> sea on the road on avg allows 30ppg on D (only 2 outta 7 road games where opponent didnt score 30+pts were @stl and @sf)
-------> sea avg 15ppg on the road
-------> gb avg 24ppg at home this season, and allows 18ppg
-------> gb avg margin of victory at home(losses included) is 6ppg, (wins only is 12ppg)
-------> nyg is 4-3 at home this year (losses came to phi, sd, az - all close games and all vs div leaders/playoff teams) (wins vs atl, dal, was, oak)
-------> car is 2-5 on the road this season (wins vs az and tb)
THE REASON-------> nyg are playing their last home game at the meadowlands this week.... couple that with the fact that they are in the thick of the playoff hunt and i love their chances to win this game.... i may make a small play on nyg -7.5 as well...... as for the sea/gb game, sea blows and gb has weapons on offense to go along with a top 10 D..... im not in love with any 1pm games so ill be playing this 3 teamer
-------> nyj is 7-7 ATS, 4-3 SU on the road, 2-2 ATS as a dog, 1-1 ATS as a road dog
-------> nyj on road on avg allows 16ppg, and scores 22ppg
-------> indy is 10-3-1 ATS, 7-0 SU at home, 3-3-1 ATS at home
-------> indy avg 25ppg at home, and allows 18ppg
-------> indy avg margin of vicory at home is 7pts
-------> only top Ds has faced are den(3), n.e.(10), and hou(12).... next best is 19 or lower (nyj has
THE REASON-------> i like the nyj in this spot... teddy bruschi was just on nfl network saying that the pressure of being undefeated really starts to be felt around week 14 (indy beat jax by 4 wk14)... peyton also isnt known to light up really good Ds... remember, indy has the #1 seed locked up and imho i dont believe there is any reason to dig deep into the playbook these last 2wks... i anticipate indy to wanna win this game but be handcuffed to do it with a vanilla offensive game plan.... not to mention that the indy starters most likely will not play the entire game... if thats the case, i dont care if painter(indy backup qb) plays just 1qtr, cuz in that qtr the nyj D will feast on him... also sanchez seems to love himself and love the spotlight... the spotlight will be on him this game and he'll wanna perform.... so give me the leagues best rushing attack and the leagues best D +6...... oh and it doesnt hurt that 87% of the public is on indy and the line dropped from -7 to -6.... J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS
last pick on the way.....
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i have 2 4pm games i like:
THE PICK-------> nyj +6
THE INFO:
-------> nyj is 7-7 ATS, 4-3 SU on the road, 2-2 ATS as a dog, 1-1 ATS as a road dog
-------> nyj on road on avg allows 16ppg, and scores 22ppg
-------> indy is 10-3-1 ATS, 7-0 SU at home, 3-3-1 ATS at home
-------> indy avg 25ppg at home, and allows 18ppg
-------> indy avg margin of vicory at home is 7pts
-------> only top Ds has faced are den(3), n.e.(10), and hou(12).... next best is 19 or lower (nyj has
THE REASON-------> i like the nyj in this spot... teddy bruschi was just on nfl network saying that the pressure of being undefeated really starts to be felt around week 14 (indy beat jax by 4 wk14)... peyton also isnt known to light up really good Ds... remember, indy has the #1 seed locked up and imho i dont believe there is any reason to dig deep into the playbook these last 2wks... i anticipate indy to wanna win this game but be handcuffed to do it with a vanilla offensive game plan.... not to mention that the indy starters most likely will not play the entire game... if thats the case, i dont care if painter(indy backup qb) plays just 1qtr, cuz in that qtr the nyj D will feast on him... also sanchez seems to love himself and love the spotlight... the spotlight will be on him this game and he'll wanna perform.... so give me the leagues best rushing attack and the leagues best D +6...... oh and it doesnt hurt that 87% of the public is on indy and the line dropped from -7 to -6.... J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS
-------> az is 8-6 ATS, 3-3 ATS at home, 3-3 SU at home (all az ATS losses are also SU losses, therefore when they win they cover)
-------> stl is 7-7 ATS, 4-3 ATS on the road, 1-6 SU on the road
-------> stl is ranked 30th in the league in sacks with 20, ranked 27 vs the run and 22nd vs the pass
THE REASON-------> its crunch time and the playoffs are quickly approaching... az just 4 outta their last 5 games on the road losing 2 and playing 2 other close games.... the 1 home game they had mixed in there was a 30-17 win over min... its obvious that az likes playing in front of their home crowd.... and keep in mind, az has 5 losses on the year.... 2 losses are to sf (sf obviously has az's #)... 2 other losses were to indy and a red hot ten team during a 7-1 tear.... like i said before, its crunch time and az still has a shot at the #3 seed in the playoffs.... az is ranked 5th in the league in sacks and will dialing up pressure vs a weak o-line.... this a blowout in the making fellas
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THE PICK-------> az -14
THE INFO:
-------> az is 8-6 ATS, 3-3 ATS at home, 3-3 SU at home (all az ATS losses are also SU losses, therefore when they win they cover)
-------> stl is 7-7 ATS, 4-3 ATS on the road, 1-6 SU on the road
-------> stl is ranked 30th in the league in sacks with 20, ranked 27 vs the run and 22nd vs the pass
THE REASON-------> its crunch time and the playoffs are quickly approaching... az just 4 outta their last 5 games on the road losing 2 and playing 2 other close games.... the 1 home game they had mixed in there was a 30-17 win over min... its obvious that az likes playing in front of their home crowd.... and keep in mind, az has 5 losses on the year.... 2 losses are to sf (sf obviously has az's #)... 2 other losses were to indy and a red hot ten team during a 7-1 tear.... like i said before, its crunch time and az still has a shot at the #3 seed in the playoffs.... az is ranked 5th in the league in sacks and will dialing up pressure vs a weak o-line.... this a blowout in the making fellas
-------> n.o. clinches home field throughout playoffs with win today
-------> tb 5-9 ATS, 2-1 ATS as double digit dog (loss @ phi)
THE REASON-------> drew brees is a true leader and will get his team back on track today, and #1 seed in the playoffs is plenty of motivation.... freeman is a rookie, bodes well for a n.o. D trying to reestablish themselves.... n.o. rolled this team 38-7 in their first meeting this yr and i dont see much changing this time around, especially after n.o. got embarrassed on the national stage last wk.... n.o. leaves no doubt today so they can rest guys like bush, shockey, and a few DBs next week and during the bye week so theyre going into the playoffs at full strength..... only thing im worried about honestly is a backdoor cover late if n.o. happens to bench players after being ahead.... we'll see
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THE PICK-------> n.o. -14
THE INFO:
-------> n.o. avg 38ppg at home
-------> n.o. clinches home field throughout playoffs with win today
-------> tb 5-9 ATS, 2-1 ATS as double digit dog (loss @ phi)
THE REASON-------> drew brees is a true leader and will get his team back on track today, and #1 seed in the playoffs is plenty of motivation.... freeman is a rookie, bodes well for a n.o. D trying to reestablish themselves.... n.o. rolled this team 38-7 in their first meeting this yr and i dont see much changing this time around, especially after n.o. got embarrassed on the national stage last wk.... n.o. leaves no doubt today so they can rest guys like bush, shockey, and a few DBs next week and during the bye week so theyre going into the playoffs at full strength..... only thing im worried about honestly is a backdoor cover late if n.o. happens to bench players after being ahead.... we'll see
-------> jax avg 14ppg on the road (1gm was a fluke 41-0 loss @ sea... eliminate that game and jax avg 17ppg)
-------> ne 4-9-1 o/u this yr, 3-3-1 o/u at home
-------> ne avg 31ppg at home (1gm was a fluke 59-0 win vs ten.... eliminate that game and ne avg 26ppg)
THE REASON-------> ne is a totally different scoring team at home and they wrap up div with a win today.... jax is still motivated by the playoffs as well (bet they wish they had that sea game back).... both teams have good ground game (jax 128ypg, ne 118ypg) and both are leaky vs the run as well (jax 103ypg, ne 109ypg) which should open up play action passes all game.... bottom line, ne is due for an over and jax is balanced enough to put up pts
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THE PICK-------> jax/ne over 44
THE INFO:
-------> jax 7-7 o/u this yr, 2-4 o/u on the road
-------> jax avg 14ppg on the road (1gm was a fluke 41-0 loss @ sea... eliminate that game and jax avg 17ppg)
-------> ne 4-9-1 o/u this yr, 3-3-1 o/u at home
-------> ne avg 31ppg at home (1gm was a fluke 59-0 win vs ten.... eliminate that game and ne avg 26ppg)
THE REASON-------> ne is a totally different scoring team at home and they wrap up div with a win today.... jax is still motivated by the playoffs as well (bet they wish they had that sea game back).... both teams have good ground game (jax 128ypg, ne 118ypg) and both are leaky vs the run as well (jax 103ypg, ne 109ypg) which should open up play action passes all game.... bottom line, ne is due for an over and jax is balanced enough to put up pts
-------> den 5-9 o/u this yr, 4-3 o/u on the road, 3-0 o/u last 3 (but 1gm was vs indy, another den scored 44 @ kc, another they gave up 27pts @ was)
-------> den avg 22ppg on the road (eliminate 44pts @ kc and avg drops to 18ppg)
-------> den avg 18ppg last 8gms, 14ppg if you again eliminate that 44pt debacle @ sorry ass kc, 13ppg on the road
-------> phi 9-5 o/u , 5-2 o/u at home
-------> phi avg 28ppg at home, however oppenents include n.o., kc, tb, nyg (phi put up 40+pts in both gms vs nyg), and was.... not exactly stellar Ds mixed in there except for maybe was
THE REASON-------> phi D has been leaky lately, atleast for their standards.... theyre among the league leaders in sacks (as usual) and imho orton is a sitting duck with no scrambling ability.... den relies on the run game to open up passing lanes which means theyll try to establish the run..... being a lifetime eagles fan, i know andy wants to sure up his D going into the playoffs, cuz lets be honest, phi offense and special teams are explosive..... today is a good oppenent to get some D momentum going..... i like the fact that 93% of the public is on the over and line actuall went up from 41.5 to 42...... birds 24 den 13
E-A-G-L-E-S EAGLES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
all
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THE PICK-------> den/phi un 42
THE INFO:
-------> den 5-9 o/u this yr, 4-3 o/u on the road, 3-0 o/u last 3 (but 1gm was vs indy, another den scored 44 @ kc, another they gave up 27pts @ was)
-------> den avg 22ppg on the road (eliminate 44pts @ kc and avg drops to 18ppg)
-------> den avg 18ppg last 8gms, 14ppg if you again eliminate that 44pt debacle @ sorry ass kc, 13ppg on the road
-------> phi 9-5 o/u , 5-2 o/u at home
-------> phi avg 28ppg at home, however oppenents include n.o., kc, tb, nyg (phi put up 40+pts in both gms vs nyg), and was.... not exactly stellar Ds mixed in there except for maybe was
THE REASON-------> phi D has been leaky lately, atleast for their standards.... theyre among the league leaders in sacks (as usual) and imho orton is a sitting duck with no scrambling ability.... den relies on the run game to open up passing lanes which means theyll try to establish the run..... being a lifetime eagles fan, i know andy wants to sure up his D going into the playoffs, cuz lets be honest, phi offense and special teams are explosive..... today is a good oppenent to get some D momentum going..... i like the fact that 93% of the public is on the over and line actuall went up from 41.5 to 42...... birds 24 den 13
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kittsd
way to show up nyg
misread that one bad
degenerate play last min (didnt post tho)
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