Messages

Forum Index : Covers NFL Betting : Messages Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Weeble's Week 6 Picks
weeble5672
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
weeble5672
Participation Meter
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 66515
Location: Ontario
#1
Posted: 10/10/2008 8:37:21 PM

Squeaked out a win on the Phi/Wsh under thanks to Washington being able to run out the final 8 minutes. A late TD and INT by Tennessee and a grim early start turned into 3-1 start.

2 punts returned for a TD, a blocked FG returned for a TD, a TD pass by a RB, and 2 FGs of 50+ yards. And thus, I got royally hosed on Monday night. Started the weekend
4-1-1 on straight bets and ended with an 0-4 run.



Last Week’s Results  
Eagles/Redskins Under 42.5, -117 W
Titans -1, -120 W
Chargers/Dolphins Over 44.5, -110 L
Packers/Falcons Over 40.5, -110 W

Broncos -3, -120 P
Bengals/Cowboys Over 44.5, -109 W

Jaguars/Steelers Under 19 (1st half), -105 L
Jaguars/Steelers Over 20 (2nd half), -109 L
Saints/Vikings Under 23.5 (1st half), +105 L
Saints/Vikings Under 47, -104 L


4-Team 13-Point Teaser -140 L
Ten +12, SD/Mia O31.5, Den +9.5, Phi/Wsh U54.5

4-Team 13-Point Teaser -140 L
KC +22.5, Dal -3, Buf +14, Sea +20

3-Team 10-Point Teaser -130 L
SD/Mia O34.5, Den +6.5, Ten +9

3-Team 7-Point Teaser +120 L
SD/Mia O37.5, GB/Atl O33.5, Cin/Dal O37.5



All picks = 1 unit.  1 unit = whatever the hell you want it to be.

Straight Bets
ATS:
4-2-1, +1.72 units
O/U: 19-15, +3.42 units
Straight Total: 23-17-1, +5.14 units

Teasers
Regular Teasers: 2-5, -3.50 units
Super Teasers: 4-6, -4.20 units
Teaser Total: 6-11, -7.70 units


Colts/Ravens Under 38.5, -110: Indy can’t run the ball, and Baltimore is allowing an average of only 63 rushing yards this season, and haven’t allowed a 100-yard rusher in 23 straight games. As well, the Ravens lead the league with the most amount of incomplete passes thrown against. These are not the Colts of the recent past and this whole deal with Harrison being sued might pose as a distraction. The Ravens have allowed an average of 14 points per game. This sounds like a recommendation to take the Ravens ATS, but THEY can’t score either, averaging 18.75 per game. They have a mediocre rushing attack and Joe Flacco is still Joe Flacco. I think the under is the safer play.

Raiders +7.5, -119: Two seasons ago, the Raiders stopped me from winning $2000 in an office pool. I promised myself that I’d never bet them again.  And since that time I’ve held true to this statement. However, the Saints turned the ball over 4 times against the Vikings, and had a blocked kick returned for a touchdown. Patten’s questionable, Shockey’s doubtful, and Colston will be limited if he plays at all. Star rookie DT Ellis is out too, while
Oakland might be at full strength with Fargas and McFadden expected to play. That’s enough for me to take the non-conference road dog here.

Panthers/Bucs Under 36.5, -103:
Carolina has only given up two offensive touchdowns in their last four games. They’ve held Turner, Johnson, Peterson, Forte, and Tomlinson ALL under 100 yards. That should continue as Tampa likes to run the ball. The Bucs will be forced to throw the ball which will be tough as they’ve only averaged 215 yards this season through the air, and Griese and Garcia have completed only 59% of their passes. But they won’t be able to score either with both of their OTs out with inuries.

Chargers -5, -101: Huge revenge spot for
San Diego here. They lost 21-12 to New England in last year’s conference championships, and 24-21 in the 2006 divisional playoffs (with Kaeding missing a FG on the last play of the game). The loss of Tom Brady has noticeably affected the play of Randy moss who has only 274 yards and 2 TDs in 4 games this season. The Pats passing game as a whole have only produced 184.5 yards per game. The Chargers have averaged 30 points per game (even after scoring only 10 last week vs Miami). Rivers has a QB rating of 103, and has thrown for 11 TDs already, while LT is just about at 100% now.
quote
weeble5672
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
weeble5672
Participation Meter
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 66515
Location: Ontario
#2
Posted: 10/10/2008 8:39:06 PM
Rams +14. -120 (Bought the hook): St. Louis is rested following a bye week, and Washington is coming off of two HUGE divisional wins against Dallas and Philly. Talk about a giant letdown spot. Washington’s best cornerback in Shawn Springs is expected to return, but also isn’t expected to see much action. Pass rusher Jason Taylor will most likely be in the same situation. Bulger will start for the Rams, and will definitely be poised to prove that he should be the starter for the rest of the season. An almost two-touchdown spread is just too much in this spot in my opinion.

Cardinals +5, -109: Too much distraction going on in Cowboyland. Owens is crying on the sidelines while Pacman Jones refuses to stay out of trouble. The Cards have won both of their home games this season by a combined score of 72-17. The Arizona defense will see the return of Gabe Watson and Adrian Wilson. Warner has thrown for 1472 yards and 10 TDs with a 69.4 completion % this season. Surprisingly, Romo has thrown for 104 yards less than that.

3-Team 7-Point Teaser +120: Oak +14.5, StL +20.5, Arz +12

Possibly more later...

As always, GL to all.
quote
bidmerun send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
bidmerun
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 677
Location: Texas
#3
Posted: 10/10/2008 10:04:53 PM
We're on the same page this week.


quote
Aussieguy send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
Aussieguy
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 2982
Location: Australia
#4
Posted: 10/10/2008 10:11:24 PM
We are in agreeance yet again You've picked Cardinals +5?????  Shall I count my selection as a loss then
Nah mate, this is W no matter whether we agree or dissagree. Cards cover!   BOL to you
ps. it's still 5.5 with MOST books here. I'm surprised once again that you guys get raw deals up yonder! Cheers    
quote
BigEv617 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BigEv617
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 1663
Location: Massachusetts
#5
Posted: 10/11/2008 3:34:32 AM
arizona +4.5 now.... seems like a cowboys play to me.

what do you think aussie?

obv you took arizona before, but look at the line movement.
quote
StopDropNRoll send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
StopDropNRoll
Participation Meter
Covers Rehab
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 6
Location:
#6
Posted: 10/11/2008 3:40:03 AM
GREAt PICKSS
quote
weeble5672
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
weeble5672
Participation Meter
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 66515
Location: Ontario
#7
Posted: 10/11/2008 11:12:13 AM
bidme
aussie This is funny. I just went into your post and said the same thing.
bigev Arizona is 4.5 now because Dallas is a public team. The public will continue to pound the Cowboys. Line movement is hard to judge when the Boys are involved.
stopdrop
quote
weeble5672
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
weeble5672
Participation Meter
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 66515
Location: Ontario
#8
Posted: 10/11/2008 11:14:48 AM
Adding...

Broncos/Jaguars Over 48, -103:
An average of 56 points have been scored in Denver games this season, while 49 have been averaged in Jacksonville’s last 3.
Denver passes for about 300 yards per game, and Jacksonville’s secondary is depleted with injuries. But Denver has a weak run defense. Jags will definitely take advantage of this fact with the duo of Jones-Drew and Taylor.
quote
tito40 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
tito40
Participation Meter
MVP
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 18946
Location: Connecticut
#9
Posted: 10/11/2008 11:18:11 AM
gl weeble - on SD as well - 
quote
weeble5672
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
weeble5672
Participation Meter
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 66515
Location: Ontario
#10
Posted: 10/11/2008 11:18:13 AM
Adding...

Packers/Seahawks Under 44.5, -102:
An average of 51.75 points have been scored in Seattle games this season, while an average of 52.2 points have been scored in Green Bay games. 62 points were scored when these teams faced off against each other in the playoffs. Over, right? Wrong!

Hasselbeck, Branch, and Morris are all questionable. Charlie Frye will have his work cut out for him if Matt can't play. Rodgers injury didn’t seem to affect him last game (313 yards, 3 TDs, and 1 TD) but that was the Falcons secondary and his arm is still VERY sore. I’m sure
Seattle will be better prepared after last playoff’s 42-20 drubbing.

quote
weeble5672
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
weeble5672
Participation Meter
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 66515
Location: Ontario
#11
Posted: 10/11/2008 11:18:27 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by tito40:

gl weeble - on SD as well - 



quote
HowWinWolf send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
HowWinWolf
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 7729
Location: New Jersey
#12
Posted: 10/11/2008 7:57:32 PM
Weebs - just some support
quote
BigEarnie send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BigEarnie
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 2766
Location: Mississippi
#13
Posted: 10/11/2008 8:11:58 PM
quote
madashman
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
madashman
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 8558
Location: New York
#14
Posted: 10/11/2008 9:21:40 PM
GL Weeble
quote
weeble5672
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
weeble5672
Participation Meter
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 66515
Location: Ontario
#15
Posted: 10/11/2008 11:38:38 PM
wolfie Thanks for stopping by. How you doing?
bigearnie
madash
quote
sjewell29
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
sjewell29
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 1785
Location: Utah
#16
Posted: 10/11/2008 11:52:49 PM
Thanks weeble!!!!! Hope your NFL picks match you NHL, 'cause we'll be again. Sittin' at 4out of 6 in hockey today, with 1 still pending. Thanks again for takin' the time.
quote
mvp12331233 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
mvp12331233
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 2468
Location: Ohio
#17
Posted: 10/12/2008 12:14:32 AM
quote
skinfan2121 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
skinfan2121
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 689
Location: Texas
#18
Posted: 10/12/2008 12:24:14 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by weeble5672:

Rams +14. -120 (Bought the hook): St. Louis is rested following a bye week, and Washington is coming off of two HUGE divisional wins against Dallas and Philly. Talk about a giant letdown spot. Washington’s best cornerback in Shawn Springs is expected to return, but also isn’t expected to see much action. Pass rusher Jason Taylor will most likely be in the same situation. Bulger will start for the Rams, and will definitely be poised to prove that he should be the starter for the rest of the season. An almost two-touchdown spread is just too much in this spot in my opinion.

Cardinals +5, -109: Too much distraction going on in Cowboyland. Owens is crying on the sidelines while Pacman Jones refuses to stay out of trouble. The Cards have won both of their home games this season by a combined score of 72-17. The Arizona defense will see the return of Gabe Watson and Adrian Wilson. Warner has thrown for 1472 yards and 10 TDs with a 69.4 completion % this season. Surprisingly, Romo has thrown for 104 yards less than that.

3-Team 7-Point Teaser +120: Oak +14.5, StL +20.5, Arz +12

Possibly more later...

As always, GL to all.

 

mr.weeble , same exact word i was thinkin,    couldnt have put that better myself   , sound good!

quote
amd send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
amd
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 29424
Location: California
#19
Posted: 10/12/2008 12:27:15 AM
Good luck Weebs....on a few with you
quote
weeble5672
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
weeble5672
Participation Meter
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 66515
Location: Ontario
#20
Posted: 10/12/2008 12:27:41 AM
sjewell Always a pleasure.
mvp
skinfan GL to you, sir.
quote
weeble5672
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
weeble5672
Participation Meter
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 66515
Location: Ontario
#21
Posted: 10/12/2008 12:27:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by amd:

Good luck Weebs....on a few with you



quote
thejudge1000 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
thejudge1000
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 1814
Location: California
#22
Posted: 10/12/2008 4:17:11 AM
GL Sunday Weebs.  I'm already on the Cards myself. 
quote
weeble5672
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
weeble5672
Participation Meter
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 66515
Location: Ontario
#23
Posted: 10/12/2008 9:50:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by thejudge1000:

GL Sunday Weebs.  I'm already on the Cards myself. 



quote
Jim_Tressel send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
Jim_Tressel
Participation Meter
All-Star
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 12391
Location: United States
#24
Posted: 10/12/2008 9:53:09 AM
Best of luck today, I'm leaning Seattle myself
quote
badlands
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
badlands
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 47099
Location: Rhode Island
#25
Posted: 10/12/2008 9:54:23 AM
gl weebs
quote
Forum Index : Covers NFL Betting : Messages Page 1 of 2  1 2  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.