| Author: |
[NFL Betting] Topic: Weeble's Week 6 Picks |
|
weeble5672 |
RSI   View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports | |
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 61729
Location: Ontario |
#1 Posted: 10/10/2008 8:37:21 PM Squeaked out a win on the Phi/Wsh
under thanks to Washington being able to run out the final 8
minutes. A late TD and INT by Tennessee and a grim early start turned into
3-1 start.
2 punts returned for a TD, a blocked FG returned for a TD, a TD pass by a RB,
and 2 FGs of 50+ yards. And thus, I got royally hosed on Monday night. Started
the weekend 4-1-1 on straight bets and ended with an
0-4 run.
Last Week’s Results
Eagles/Redskins Under 42.5, -117 W
Titans -1, -120 W
Chargers/Dolphins Over 44.5, -110 L
Packers/Falcons Over 40.5, -110 W
Broncos -3, -120 P
Bengals/Cowboys Over 44.5, -109 W
Jaguars/Steelers Under 19 (1st half), -105 L
Jaguars/Steelers Over 20 (2nd half), -109 L
Saints/Vikings Under 23.5 (1st half), +105 L
Saints/Vikings Under 47, -104 L
4-Team 13-Point Teaser -140 L
Ten +12, SD/Mia O31.5, Den +9.5, Phi/Wsh U54.5
4-Team 13-Point Teaser -140 L
KC +22.5, Dal -3, Buf +14, Sea +20
3-Team 10-Point Teaser -130 L
SD/Mia O34.5, Den +6.5, Ten +9
3-Team 7-Point Teaser +120 L
SD/Mia O37.5, GB/Atl O33.5, Cin/Dal O37.5
All picks = 1 unit. 1 unit = whatever the hell you want it to be.
Straight Bets
ATS: 4-2-1, +1.72 units
O/U: 19-15, +3.42 units
Straight Total: 23-17-1, +5.14 units
Teasers
Regular Teasers: 2-5, -3.50 units
Super Teasers: 4-6, -4.20 units
Teaser Total: 6-11, -7.70 units
Colts/Ravens Under 38.5, -110: Indy can’t run the ball, and Baltimore is
allowing an average of only 63 rushing yards this season, and haven’t allowed a
100-yard rusher in 23 straight games. As well, the Ravens lead the league with
the most amount of incomplete passes thrown against. These are not the Colts of
the recent past and this whole deal with Harrison
being sued might pose as a distraction. The Ravens have allowed an average of
14 points per game. This sounds like a recommendation to take the Ravens ATS,
but THEY can’t score either, averaging 18.75 per game. They have a mediocre
rushing attack and Joe Flacco is still Joe Flacco. I think the under is the
safer play.
Raiders +7.5, -119: Two seasons ago, the Raiders stopped me from winning
$2000 in an office pool. I promised myself that I’d never bet them again. And since that time I’ve held true to this
statement. However, the Saints turned the ball over 4 times against the
Vikings, and had a blocked kick returned for a touchdown. Patten’s
questionable, Shockey’s doubtful, and Colston will be limited if he plays at
all. Star rookie DT Ellis is out too, while Oakland
might be at full strength with Fargas and McFadden expected to play. That’s
enough for me to take the non-conference road dog here.
Panthers/Bucs Under 36.5, -103: Carolina
has only given up two offensive touchdowns in their last four games. They’ve
held Turner, Johnson, Peterson, Forte, and Tomlinson ALL under 100 yards. That
should continue as Tampa
likes to run the ball. The Bucs will be forced to throw the ball which will be
tough as they’ve only averaged 215 yards this season through the air, and
Griese and Garcia have completed only 59% of their passes. But they won’t be
able to score either with both of their OTs out with inuries.
Chargers -5, -101: Huge revenge spot for San
Diego here. They lost 21-12 to New
England in last year’s conference championships, and
24-21 in the 2006 divisional playoffs (with Kaeding missing a FG on the last
play of the game). The loss of Tom Brady has noticeably affected the
play of Randy moss who has only 274 yards and 2 TDs in 4 games this season. The
Pats passing game as a whole have only produced 184.5 yards per game. The
Chargers have averaged 30 points per game (even after scoring only 10 last week
vs Miami). Rivers
has a QB rating of 103, and has thrown for 11 TDs already, while LT is just
about at 100% now.
|
|
quote |
|
weeble5672 |
RSI |
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 61729
Location: Ontario |
#2 Posted: 10/10/2008 8:39:06 PM
Cardinals +5, -109: Too
much distraction going on in Cowboyland. Owens is crying on the sidelines while
Pacman Jones refuses to stay out of trouble. The Cards have won both of their
home games this season by a combined score of 72-17. The Arizona
defense will see the return of Gabe Watson and Adrian Wilson. Warner has thrown
for 1472 yards and 10 TDs with a 69.4 completion % this season. Surprisingly,
Romo has thrown for 104 yards less than that.
3-Team 7-Point Teaser +120: Oak +14.5, StL +20.5, Arz +12
Possibly more later...
As always, GL to all. 
|
|
quote |
|
bidmerun |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 677
Location: Texas |
#3 Posted: 10/10/2008 10:04:53 PM
|
|
quote |
|
Aussieguy |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Banned
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 2982
Location: Australia |
#4 Posted: 10/10/2008 10:11:24 PM We are in agreeance yet again  You've picked Cardinals +5????? Shall I count my selection as a loss then 
Nah mate, this is W no matter whether we agree or dissagree. Cards cover!  BOL to you
ps. it's still 5.5 with MOST books here. I'm surprised once again that you guys get raw deals up yonder! Cheers |
|
quote |
|
BigEv617 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 1663
Location: Massachusetts |
#5 Posted: 10/11/2008 3:34:32 AM
what do you think aussie?
obv you took arizona before, but look at the line movement.
|
|
quote |
|
|
|
StopDropNRoll |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Covers Rehab
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 6
Location: |
#6 Posted: 10/11/2008 3:40:03 AM
|
|
quote |
|
weeble5672 |
RSI |
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 61729
Location: Ontario |
#7 Posted: 10/11/2008 11:12:13 AM
aussie This is funny. I just went into your post and said the same thing.
bigev Arizona is 4.5 now because Dallas is a public team. The public will continue to pound the Cowboys. Line movement is hard to judge when the Boys are involved.
stopdrop
|
|
quote |
|
weeble5672 |
RSI |
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 61729
Location: Ontario |
#8 Posted: 10/11/2008 11:14:48 AM
Broncos/Jaguars Over 48, -103: An average of 56 points have been scored
in Denver games this season, while 49 have been averaged in Jacksonville’s last
3. Denver
passes for about 300 yards per game, and Jacksonville’s
secondary is depleted with injuries. But Denver
has a weak run defense. Jags will definitely take advantage of this fact with
the duo of Jones-Drew and Taylor. |
|
quote |
|
tito40 |
RSI |
MVP
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 18845
Location: Connecticut |
#9 Posted: 10/11/2008 11:18:11 AM |
|
quote |
|
weeble5672 |
RSI |
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 61729
Location: Ontario |
#10 Posted: 10/11/2008 11:18:13 AM
Packers/Seahawks Under 44.5, -102: An
average of 51.75 points have been scored in Seattle games this season, while an
average of 52.2 points have been scored in Green Bay games. 62 points were
scored when these teams faced off against each other in the playoffs. Over, right? Wrong!
Hasselbeck,
Branch, and Morris are all questionable. Charlie Frye will have his work cut out for him if Matt can't play. Rodgers injury didn’t seem to affect
him last game (313 yards, 3 TDs, and 1 TD) but that was the Falcons secondary
and his arm is still VERY sore. I’m sure Seattle
will be better prepared after last playoff’s 42-20 drubbing.
|
|
quote |
|
weeble5672 |
RSI |
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 61729
Location: Ontario |
#11 Posted: 10/11/2008 11:18:27 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by tito40: gl weeble - on SD as well -
|
|
quote |
|
HowWinWolf |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Captain
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 7637
Location: New Jersey |
#12 Posted: 10/11/2008 7:57:32 PM Weebs - just some support  |
|
quote |
|
BigEarnie |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 2103
Location: Mississippi |
#13 Posted: 10/11/2008 8:11:58 PM |
|
quote |
|
madashman |
RSI |
Captain
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 7415
Location: New York |
#14 Posted: 10/11/2008 9:21:40 PM
|
|
quote |
|
weeble5672 |
RSI |
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 61729
Location: Ontario |
#15 Posted: 10/11/2008 11:38:38 PM
bigearnie
madash
|
|
quote |
|
sjewell29 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 1750
Location: Utah |
#16 Posted: 10/11/2008 11:52:49 PM Thanks weeble!!!!! Hope your NFL picks match you NHL, 'cause we'll be  again. Sittin' at 4out of 6 in hockey today, with 1 still pending. Thanks again for takin' the time.  |
|
quote |
|
mvp12331233 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes | |
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 2467
Location: Ohio |
#17 Posted: 10/12/2008 12:14:32 AM |
|
quote |
|
skinfan2121 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 689
Location: Texas |
#18 Posted: 10/12/2008 12:24:14 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by weeble5672: Rams +14. -120 (Bought the hook): St. Louis is rested following a bye week, and Washington is coming off of two HUGE divisional wins against Dallas and Philly. Talk about a giant letdown spot. Washington’s best cornerback in Shawn Springs is expected to return, but also isn’t expected to see much action. Pass rusher Jason Taylor will most likely be in the same situation. Bulger will start for the Rams, and will definitely be poised to prove that he should be the starter for the rest of the season. An almost two-touchdown spread is just too much in this spot in my opinion.
Cardinals +5, -109: Too much distraction going on in Cowboyland. Owens is crying on the sidelines while Pacman Jones refuses to stay out of trouble. The Cards have won both of their home games this season by a combined score of 72-17. The Arizona defense will see the return of Gabe Watson and Adrian Wilson. Warner has thrown for 1472 yards and 10 TDs with a 69.4 completion % this season. Surprisingly, Romo has thrown for 104 yards less than that.
3-Team 7-Point Teaser +120: Oak +14.5, StL +20.5, Arz +12
Possibly more later...
As always, GL to all.
mr.weeble , same exact word i was thinkin, couldnt have put that better myself , sound good! |
|
quote |
|
amd |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Hall of Fame
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 27665
Location: Michigan |
#19 Posted: 10/12/2008 12:27:15 AM Good luck Weebs....on a few with you |
|
quote |
|
weeble5672 |
RSI |
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 61729
Location: Ontario |
#20 Posted: 10/12/2008 12:27:41 AM
mvp
skinfan GL to you, sir.
|
|
quote |
|
weeble5672 |
RSI |
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 61729
Location: Ontario |
#21 Posted: 10/12/2008 12:27:55 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by amd: Good luck Weebs....on a few with you
|
|
quote |
|
thejudge1000 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports | |
Veteran
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 1814
Location: California |
#22 Posted: 10/12/2008 4:17:11 AM GL Sunday Weebs. I'm already on the Cards myself. |
|
quote |
|
weeble5672 |
RSI |
Covers Linesmen
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 61729
Location: Ontario |
#23 Posted: 10/12/2008 9:50:31 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by thejudge1000: GL Sunday Weebs. I'm already on the Cards myself.
|
|
quote |
|
Jim_Tressel |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
All-Star
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 12338
Location: United States |
#24 Posted: 10/12/2008 9:53:09 AM |
|
quote |
|
badlands |
RSI  |
Legend
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 40857
Location: Rhode Island |
#25 Posted: 10/12/2008 9:54:23 AM gl weebs |
|
quote |