Looks like you used a lot of your allotted luck on that last pick. Next?
Was it luck or skilled handicapping,hmmm??? Considering i may have been the only person to pull the trigger on C.Lee in his season debut, im goin to lean on the skill side of that question. Anyhow, it really doesnt matter, the charts said take texas at -1.5 and thats what i did and it worked out, on to the next one.
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Quote Originally Posted by smitler:
Looks like you used a lot of your allotted luck on that last pick. Next?
Was it luck or skilled handicapping,hmmm??? Considering i may have been the only person to pull the trigger on C.Lee in his season debut, im goin to lean on the skill side of that question. Anyhow, it really doesnt matter, the charts said take texas at -1.5 and thats what i did and it worked out, on to the next one.
WOW, thats AWSOME!!! 1 right!!! How much do you charge? It's proably worth $1000/month but I can pay just $250/week and if I order now you will knock off 1 payment of $250. But I will still have to pay shipping and handling.
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WOW, thats AWSOME!!! 1 right!!! How much do you charge? It's proably worth $1000/month but I can pay just $250/week and if I order now you will knock off 1 payment of $250. But I will still have to pay shipping and handling.
Simmer down Hectar. You have to admit that Tex -1.5 was a successful original pick. Never saw anybody else with that crazy-ass pick. Let's see what he got up his sleeve next.
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Simmer down Hectar. You have to admit that Tex -1.5 was a successful original pick. Never saw anybody else with that crazy-ass pick. Let's see what he got up his sleeve next.
Simmer down Hectar. You have to admit that Tex -1.5 was a successful original pick. Never saw anybody else with that crazy-ass pick. Let's see what he got up his sleeve next.
Considering Texas has 20 more runs scored then Sea and a .035 higher rpi, the pick was not really that crazy. Now he must of smoked crack before making todays pick, but hey when you give yourself 7 chances to win you can take some risks before playing it safe.
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Quote Originally Posted by smitler:
Simmer down Hectar. You have to admit that Tex -1.5 was a successful original pick. Never saw anybody else with that crazy-ass pick. Let's see what he got up his sleeve next.
Considering Texas has 20 more runs scored then Sea and a .035 higher rpi, the pick was not really that crazy. Now he must of smoked crack before making todays pick, but hey when you give yourself 7 chances to win you can take some risks before playing it safe.
I wouldnt neccessarily classify a broll mistake as corruption, im not perfect you know, but almost. Hopefully these White Sox will keep this lead on these Yanks. If so, im going to find that crack i smoked like you said and make more picks...
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Quote Originally Posted by HECTAR:
Corruption already.
I wouldnt neccessarily classify a broll mistake as corruption, im not perfect you know, but almost. Hopefully these White Sox will keep this lead on these Yanks. If so, im going to find that crack i smoked like you said and make more picks...
I respect you posting your plays and can tell you have done a lot of research before you make them. The concern everyone has is when someone comes on the board making unsubstantiated claims and trying to acquire money from others it is very suspicious. The question will be what you do when you prove your success. Will you continue to want to remain part of the community and work together to beat the books or will you try to extort money from the rest of us???
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JP,
I respect you posting your plays and can tell you have done a lot of research before you make them. The concern everyone has is when someone comes on the board making unsubstantiated claims and trying to acquire money from others it is very suspicious. The question will be what you do when you prove your success. Will you continue to want to remain part of the community and work together to beat the books or will you try to extort money from the rest of us???
I respect you posting your plays and can tell you have done a lot of research before you make them. The concern everyone has is when someone comes on the board making unsubstantiated claims and trying to acquire money from others it is very suspicious. The question will be what you do when you prove your success. Will you continue to want to remain part of the community and work together to beat the books or will you try to extort money from the rest of us???
I probably wouldnt use the word extort, in my opinion, time is money, if im going to take the time to do the math, plot the charts, do the fundamentals and such, thats alot of my time out of my temporary life. I do want to help everyone, why not, but in saying that i want to help everyone includes myself too, especially if i have leverage, and by the way theres goes my lead in the white sox game, as soon as danks leaves, sox implode, oh well, level 1 and 2, are always high rtr wagers
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Quote Originally Posted by therizz:
JP,
I respect you posting your plays and can tell you have done a lot of research before you make them. The concern everyone has is when someone comes on the board making unsubstantiated claims and trying to acquire money from others it is very suspicious. The question will be what you do when you prove your success. Will you continue to want to remain part of the community and work together to beat the books or will you try to extort money from the rest of us???
I probably wouldnt use the word extort, in my opinion, time is money, if im going to take the time to do the math, plot the charts, do the fundamentals and such, thats alot of my time out of my temporary life. I do want to help everyone, why not, but in saying that i want to help everyone includes myself too, especially if i have leverage, and by the way theres goes my lead in the white sox game, as soon as danks leaves, sox implode, oh well, level 1 and 2, are always high rtr wagers
The brew crew leaves 12 men stranded,got 9 hits, only 2 runs, wow,thats baseball for you,on the charts they are due to revert to the mean average so if somebody wanted to chase them the next few games, technical analysis shows that they have reached a double bottom,so logically you can expect them to start scoring soon, so a chase could be taking them over or -1.5 for the next few games. As far as that Chicago game goes, nothing really showed on the charts for the Sox, but i noticed that the Sox had a good OBP on Vasquez compared to the OBP for Danks and the Yanks(that rhymes).Plus Vasquez has been struggling since joining the Yanks, thats that mental aspect (pressure)of being the new Yankee pitcher,especially at home. Burnett had similar issues last year. KC came through as a 2+to1 dog, for that game i noticed tampa bay has been over their mean avg on the charts, so thats a tech indicator to say they will revert back down to the mean, from tuesday to thursday 3 games they scored 8,10,11 respectively, now they face KC and they cant swing and they are yet to see Greinke, is that just because or is that for a reason, who knows, but i notice that trend with every team and i take advantage every time. All teams, all sports, will always revert to the mean average, only thing is you just cant gage exactly the game, you gage moreso the zone or range of games, thus why i only do progressive betting,but with enough levels of entry.
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The brew crew leaves 12 men stranded,got 9 hits, only 2 runs, wow,thats baseball for you,on the charts they are due to revert to the mean average so if somebody wanted to chase them the next few games, technical analysis shows that they have reached a double bottom,so logically you can expect them to start scoring soon, so a chase could be taking them over or -1.5 for the next few games. As far as that Chicago game goes, nothing really showed on the charts for the Sox, but i noticed that the Sox had a good OBP on Vasquez compared to the OBP for Danks and the Yanks(that rhymes).Plus Vasquez has been struggling since joining the Yanks, thats that mental aspect (pressure)of being the new Yankee pitcher,especially at home. Burnett had similar issues last year. KC came through as a 2+to1 dog, for that game i noticed tampa bay has been over their mean avg on the charts, so thats a tech indicator to say they will revert back down to the mean, from tuesday to thursday 3 games they scored 8,10,11 respectively, now they face KC and they cant swing and they are yet to see Greinke, is that just because or is that for a reason, who knows, but i notice that trend with every team and i take advantage every time. All teams, all sports, will always revert to the mean average, only thing is you just cant gage exactly the game, you gage moreso the zone or range of games, thus why i only do progressive betting,but with enough levels of entry.
AHH yes...mean reversion..that has broken many a trader. Good luck w/ that. Your sample size is WAY too small and too varied. Technical analysis in sports wagering can be successful but not in baseball this early in the season. Best of luck, but im a skeptic.
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AHH yes...mean reversion..that has broken many a trader. Good luck w/ that. Your sample size is WAY too small and too varied. Technical analysis in sports wagering can be successful but not in baseball this early in the season. Best of luck, but im a skeptic.
AHH yes...mean reversion..that has broken many a trader. Good luck w/ that. Your sample size is WAY too small and too varied. Technical analysis in sports wagering can be successful but not in baseball this early in the season. Best of luck, but im a skeptic.
Cdmop, logically, how is my sample size small and too varied. You should not assume what you dont know because you know what they say. The 4 picks ive posted for baseball all were winners via the ML and of those, three were underdogs, and two were at leasst 2to1 dogs, sure i took the more riskier lines, bc im running a 7 entry progressive system, i can afford to have two levels of high RTR's and not sweat, but you have to know that i have other systems to hedge even those risks,Obviously you know something about technical analysis. Obviously i know something about technical analysis. For any data to become "significant" via technical analysis, you need at least 30 different trials or situations.("Trade for a Living", Alexander Elder) Just to fill you in, my charts are from data collected starting in 2006-2007 for NBA and 2007 MLB. So by you saying its too early is somewhat uneducated in your part because with tech analysis just because a new season starts is irrelevant to the analysis, only though, if you keep a running track of data, because even if the players change or coaching changes,which seems to be the most logical reason as to why you seem to want to "wait it out" before you begin playing your indicators,i believe when the new season begins, the line is to be believed to already factor those changes in. Thats pretty much the oddsmakers main job. For example, thats why lines arent the same for exact situations but in different times. Boston celtics opened the season at Cleveland cavs and the line was i believe -4 Cleveland and Boston won outright i believe, but now Boston played Cleveland yesterday and the line was -7,what really changed, same arena, same coaches, pretty much the same players, so why the 3 point difference (cant believe Antwan Jamison would have 3 point effect), all due to tech analysis (psychology)by the oddsmaker, trust me. To comment on your "broke many a trader remark", many a trader doesnt know when to enter, many a trader doesnt know when to exist, many a trader doesnt know that you have to enter with already knowing when to exist, thus you give yourself the zone of entry and a sufficient enough range before exist, all based of previous, past, historic data. I highly recommend you google or utube Dr. Alexander Elder or buy his two books Trade For A Living and Come into My Trading Room
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Quote Originally Posted by cdmop:
AHH yes...mean reversion..that has broken many a trader. Good luck w/ that. Your sample size is WAY too small and too varied. Technical analysis in sports wagering can be successful but not in baseball this early in the season. Best of luck, but im a skeptic.
Cdmop, logically, how is my sample size small and too varied. You should not assume what you dont know because you know what they say. The 4 picks ive posted for baseball all were winners via the ML and of those, three were underdogs, and two were at leasst 2to1 dogs, sure i took the more riskier lines, bc im running a 7 entry progressive system, i can afford to have two levels of high RTR's and not sweat, but you have to know that i have other systems to hedge even those risks,Obviously you know something about technical analysis. Obviously i know something about technical analysis. For any data to become "significant" via technical analysis, you need at least 30 different trials or situations.("Trade for a Living", Alexander Elder) Just to fill you in, my charts are from data collected starting in 2006-2007 for NBA and 2007 MLB. So by you saying its too early is somewhat uneducated in your part because with tech analysis just because a new season starts is irrelevant to the analysis, only though, if you keep a running track of data, because even if the players change or coaching changes,which seems to be the most logical reason as to why you seem to want to "wait it out" before you begin playing your indicators,i believe when the new season begins, the line is to be believed to already factor those changes in. Thats pretty much the oddsmakers main job. For example, thats why lines arent the same for exact situations but in different times. Boston celtics opened the season at Cleveland cavs and the line was i believe -4 Cleveland and Boston won outright i believe, but now Boston played Cleveland yesterday and the line was -7,what really changed, same arena, same coaches, pretty much the same players, so why the 3 point difference (cant believe Antwan Jamison would have 3 point effect), all due to tech analysis (psychology)by the oddsmaker, trust me. To comment on your "broke many a trader remark", many a trader doesnt know when to enter, many a trader doesnt know when to exist, many a trader doesnt know that you have to enter with already knowing when to exist, thus you give yourself the zone of entry and a sufficient enough range before exist, all based of previous, past, historic data. I highly recommend you google or utube Dr. Alexander Elder or buy his two books Trade For A Living and Come into My Trading Room
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