All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

Bodio's NFL 2011 -- Week 1

...

Participants:

Search

Posts: 118

PTOTOUR

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 1222

Posted: Sep. 10, 2011 - 9:54 PM ET #51

GREAT JOB AS ALWAYS!! GOOD LUCK THIS YEAR!

0

ArtSchlichterJr

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2009

Posts: 3420

Posted: Sep. 10, 2011 - 9:57 PM ET #52

Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

Yeah, the secondary is the 'weakest' point of the D but they're not that bad. They've been together for awhile and that gives them an advantage. Also Polamalu healthy is HUGE. Ravens O-line tends to give up sacks and we'll see if they've improved in the off-season in this game. Besides, if PIT secondary is the weak link, Ravens' secondary is even weaker. They're starting a number of 'new' starters there and I think Pittsburgh's aerial attach should be able to exploit that. With Wallace and Brown flying up and down the field, and Ward working the underneath stuff, it might be a long day for this Ravens D. We shall see. GL this weekend bud and thanks for your thoughts

Can only quess that Steeler fan.. a poor one ... Was eluding to the fact that Pitt gave up the THRID fewest TD passes in the NFL and was FIRST in points allowed last year.. With Troy out for most of the year.. Must have watched a different team then me.. Only soft spot is McFadden.. Ike Taylor is a top five in the NFL corner.. Bend but dont break ... The untrained eye skips over those slight details.. LOL terrrible secondary... wait teams forgot to score on them..opps...

Be careful with the axe Eugene.

0

nbird33

Prospect

Joined: Feb, 2011

Posts: 398

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 9:36 AM ET #53

BOL Bodio, big football season ahead !!

0

McAlpine

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2006

Posts: 2400

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 9:51 AM ET #54

Nice write-up.

I'm on Pitt and the Rams.

Good luck.

0

phark

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 5187

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 9:53 AM ET #55

GL today Bodio

0

play2winthagame

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 4902

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 10:18 AM ET #56

On Pitt and Tenn w/ ya and don't disagree w/ SF. Best of luck this season Bodio

0

andreagassi6969

Hall of Fame

Joined: Nov, 2006

Posts: 20312

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 10:24 AM ET #57

0

andreagassi6969

Hall of Fame

Joined: Nov, 2006

Posts: 20312

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 10:26 AM ET #58

0

KenoLounge

Prospect

Joined: Aug, 2011

Posts: 293

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 10:27 AM ET #59

Lets go 3-0 today Bodio

0

princeofasia

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2010

Posts: 4010

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 10:28 AM ET #60

0

Skanless1

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 5940

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 10:36 AM ET #61

GL bodio... like the pitt and sf plays. i'm also liking buff. + pts.

0

xxMARTINIxx

Veteran

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 2587

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 10:37 AM ET #62

0

Czar_10

Prospect

Joined: May, 2010

Posts: 288

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 10:38 AM ET #63

GL

Bodio

for a great season...!

0

jo14014

Captain

Joined: Nov, 2009

Posts: 5199

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 11:06 AM ET #64

Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

2011-2012 NFL Record:
0 - 1 @ 0% for -1.1 Units

Week 1

#1: Pittsburgh Steelers +1

Well, I picked the Steelers to win the SuperBowl this year and this game will provide me with an opportunity to back them for the first time this season. I'll be honest, if this game @ Baltimore was not the first game of the season, I probably would have passed on it. But since it is, I feel this is worth a wager. I truly don't think that home-field advantage is as significant in the first game. Both teams are healthy, both are ready to start their seasons with a win, and both will be looking to kick the crap out of one another. Since you can pretty much throw all the motivational and emotional angles out for this one, it's safe to say that the best team should win this one. Well, I feel that Pittsburgh is the better team. Steelers are a better defensive team than Baltimore, and have all their starters returning on that side of the ball. Ravens have some changes, the most significant being in their secondary, where they have a number of new starters. At the same time I feel that Pittsburgh's offense is better as well. With Mendenhall getting over 400 touches last season during the SuperBowl run, I expect this PIT offense to utilize the pass much more in 2011. Roethlisberger is in his prime and he has a number of solid receivers at his disposal: Wallace, Ward, Brown, Sanders, and even Heath Miller, who will spend more time blocking than running routes though. Again, all these offensive weapons are back from last season and the cohesiveness of the group can't be over-stated here. Baltimore on the other hand, has parted ways with Mason and Heap, and brought in Lee Evans and Ed Dickson will take over at TE after having 13 catches in his rookie season. There's a reason why Buffalo gave away Evans for scraps! In any case, I don't see this Ravens passing offense being 'sharp' to start the season as they'll need some time to 'gel'. Finally, I want to point out that Steelers are 7-0 against Baltimore in Roethlisberger's last 7 starts against them. The guy just knows how to win against this team. I see a hard fought battle here, but Pittsburgh's aerial attack will be too much for the Ravens in the end.

#2: Tennessee Titans +1

Again, I'm backing a better team regardless of home-field. Titans have a veteran QB in Matt Hasselback, who should be able to exploit one of the worst defenses in the league from 2010. He has Chris Johnson, Kenny Britt, Nate Washington, and Jared Cook at his disposal. Titans also have a pretty solid O-line, which might have an even easier day if Aaron Kampman is out. He's listed as questionable but is coming off a major knee surgery so should be limited regardless. For the Jags, Garrard is gone and in his place is Luke McCown who has 260 passing attempts in his 8 years in the league. I expect Cortland Finnegan to lock-down MIke Thomas, enabling the safeties to concentrate on Mercedes Lewis. Besides these two there really isn't much left in the receiving department. MoJo, of course, but he's coming off an off-season surgery and was limited in pre-season. It will be interesting to see how he performs in his first game of the season, as he didn't look very impressive in his lone preseason appearance. (Keep in mind it was only a few carries). Titans have more play-makers, better defense, and a veteran QB. I expect them to win this one comfortably.

#3: San Francisco 49ers -5.5

Another team that I have a 'future' wager on. I know that Alex Smith sucks, I know that CRAPtree hasn't played all of preseason, and I know that San Fran under-achieved last year. Well, none of it will matter in this game. What will matter here is 49ers' ability to run the ball against a pretty mediocre run-D of Seattle (bottom 10 last year). I expect Niners' O-line to improve this year (they have too much talent there not to) and both Gore and Hunter (he looked great in pre-season) to run very well in this one. At the same time, San Fran's run game will open up play-action passing for Smith, who will have Edwards, Crabtree, Morgan, and Davis at his disposal. Trufant is not the same player he once was and opposite him Seattle is starting a 27-year old CB who played in the Canadian Football League last year. I expect San Fran's offense to be able to move the ball fairly easily in this one. On the other side, Seattle's O-line has some injury concerns and I don't see them being very successful against a San Fran run D that ranked 6th last year. Why is running the ball important for Seattle? Well because Tarvaris Jackson might be the only starting QB in the NFL who is worse than Smith. The fact that Sidney Rice is out for this game doesn't help the matters. Sure, Seattle has Zach Miller now but San Fran is pretty good at defending TE's and I don't see him being a big factor. Bottom line here is that Seattle will not be able to stop this San Fran running game, while I don't see them doing much offensively either. Niners win this one by at least a TD.

0

Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

2011-2012 NFL Record:
0 - 1 @ 0% for -1.1 Units

Week 1

#1: Pittsburgh Steelers +1

Well, I picked the Steelers to win the SuperBowl this year and this game will provide me with an opportunity to back them for the first time this season. I'll be honest, if this game @ Baltimore was not the first game of the season, I probably would have passed on it. But since it is, I feel this is worth a wager. I truly don't think that home-field advantage is as significant in the first game. Both teams are healthy, both are ready to start their seasons with a win, and both will be looking to kick the crap out of one another. Since you can pretty much throw all the motivational and emotional angles out for this one, it's safe to say that the best team should win this one. Well, I feel that Pittsburgh is the better team. Steelers are a better defensive team than Baltimore, and have all their starters returning on that side of the ball. Ravens have some changes, the most significant being in their secondary, where they have a number of new starters. At the same time I feel that Pittsburgh's offense is better as well. With Mendenhall getting over 400 touches last season during the SuperBowl run, I expect this PIT offense to utilize the pass much more in 2011. Roethlisberger is in his prime and he has a number of solid receivers at his disposal: Wallace, Ward, Brown, Sanders, and even Heath Miller, who will spend more time blocking than running routes though. Again, all these offensive weapons are back from last season and the cohesiveness of the group can't be over-stated here. Baltimore on the other hand, has parted ways with Mason and Heap, and brought in Lee Evans and Ed Dickson will take over at TE after having 13 catches in his rookie season. There's a reason why Buffalo gave away Evans for scraps! In any case, I don't see this Ravens passing offense being 'sharp' to start the season as they'll need some time to 'gel'. Finally, I want to point out that Steelers are 7-0 against Baltimore in Roethlisberger's last 7 starts against them. The guy just knows how to win against this team. I see a hard fought battle here, but Pittsburgh's aerial attack will be too much for the Ravens in the end.

#2: Tennessee Titans +1

Again, I'm backing a better team regardless of home-field. Titans have a veteran QB in Matt Hasselback, who should be able to exploit one of the worst defenses in the league from 2010. He has Chris Johnson, Kenny Britt, Nate Washington, and Jared Cook at his disposal. Titans also have a pretty solid O-line, which might have an even easier day if Aaron Kampman is out. He's listed as questionable but is coming off a major knee surgery so should be limited regardless. For the Jags, Garrard is gone and in his place is Luke McCown who has 260 passing attempts in his 8 years in the league. I expect Cortland Finnegan to lock-down MIke Thomas, enabling the safeties to concentrate on Mercedes Lewis. Besides these two there really isn't much left in the receiving department. MoJo, of course, but he's coming off an off-season surgery and was limited in pre-season. It will be interesting to see how he performs in his first game of the season, as he didn't look very impressive in his lone preseason appearance. (Keep in mind it was only a few carries). Titans have more play-makers, better defense, and a veteran QB. I expect them to win this one comfortably.

#3: San Francisco 49ers -5.5

Another team that I have a 'future' wager on. I know that Alex Smith sucks, I know that CRAPtree hasn't played all of preseason, and I know that San Fran under-achieved last year. Well, none of it will matter in this game. What will matter here is 49ers' ability to run the ball against a pretty mediocre run-D of Seattle (bottom 10 last year). I expect Niners' O-line to improve this year (they have too much talent there not to) and both Gore and Hunter (he looked great in pre-season) to run very well in this one. At the same time, San Fran's run game will open up play-action passing for Smith, who will have Edwards, Crabtree, Morgan, and Davis at his disposal. Trufant is not the same player he once was and opposite him Seattle is starting a 27-year old CB who played in the Canadian Football League last year. I expect San Fran's offense to be able to move the ball fairly easily in this one. On the other side, Seattle's O-line has some injury concerns and I don't see them being very successful against a San Fran run D that ranked 6th last year. Why is running the ball important for Seattle? Well because Tarvaris Jackson might be the only starting QB in the NFL who is worse than Smith. The fact that Sidney Rice is out for this game doesn't help the matters. Sure, Seattle has Zach Miller now but San Fran is pretty good at defending TE's and I don't see him being a big factor. Bottom line here is that Seattle will not be able to stop this San Fran running game, while I don't see them doing much offensively either. Niners win this one by at least a TD.

Ham3381

Captain

Joined: Dec, 2008

Posts: 5092

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 11:12 AM ET #65

Bodio like the card...im on the titans ...I have the titans PK first half..

0

Ltrain14

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 7520

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 11:14 AM ET #66

0

cliff8380

Prospect

Joined: Aug, 2011

Posts: 468

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 11:19 AM ET #67

0

bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 11:51 AM ET #68

Quote Originally Posted by spixelpew:

Hey Bodio, do you see any value in Bears +6? I can't get them at bodog, they don't offer teasers for us at the co.uk website.

Bears +6? That's tremendous VALUE!!!!

0

DOVJAK

Hall of Fame

Joined: Dec, 2008

Posts: 26036

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 11:53 AM ET #69

0

bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 11:53 AM ET #70

Quote Originally Posted by THA-GODROD:

Hey Bodio sup man? First of all, good 2 c ya and best of luck this season cause im excited as hell about football starting again!! Im just gonna put this out there so do with it what u want. And i'll b the first 2 tell ya that im not a big fan of trends, but, does it not bother u at all about that nasty trend of the team that loses in the super bowl the previous year not covering in the first week of the next season? Im sure u have heard about it a million times but its kinda sick how accurate its been over the past 10 years or so for whatever reason. Im too lazy 2 look it up but i know its been money. Just sayin. Anyways, best of luck 2 ya and hope 2 hear from ya often

nope...those trends don't bother me at all. Some people pointed it out in my "Preview/Futures" thread.

Steelers are bringing most of their players back (superbowl teams tend to lose 'key' players for the most part...GB also brought a majority back) and this team is full of veterans who will be very hungry this season. At the same time I feel that Pitt's O is going to really improve this year! I expect them to be very dynamic. We shall see today.

0

bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 11:54 AM ET #71

Quote Originally Posted by mrbigstuff2466:

I dont see the Steelers winning in any way shape or form in Baltimore. Flaco is now a seasoned veteran quarterback with a very fine arsenal of weapons. Rice also has Vonta Leach as a lead blocker who made a star out of Arian Foster last year in Houston. Baltimore has climbed the mountain. Watch for the Ravens to win and cover.

ravens - 1

Good luck everyone

'

That's a common misconception, but Houston's O-Line made the star out of Foster and not so much his full-back. Leach is good but O-line is the key to running game, and Baltimore's O-line is not even close to how good Houston's is.

0

Imakeplays

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2010

Posts: 1826

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 11:55 AM ET #72

Bodio,

I like your card, Check out mine if you got a minute... https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101128247

I cant fathom why you do teasers with such a good straight up record, but I will concede to your expertise on the subject.... I just know my mom is the biggest teaser bettor on the planet and she loses something like 6K a year in NFL lol.... but i digress.

0

bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 11:55 AM ET #73

Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:

Hey, fellow Bears fan!

Arizona's O-line cannot POSSIBLY be worse than Chicago though!

hehe..yes it is! :)

0

bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 11:56 AM ET #74

Quote Originally Posted by mini_boss:

ravens

bucs

bears

bills

Bucs and Bears are very good picks IMO

0

bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Sep. 11, 2011 - 11:56 AM ET #75

Quote Originally Posted by HungerforMoney:

Tampa, rams, San Fran

Here we go!!

nice card. Like 'em all!

0

All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

About Us

Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials

Betting Guides

Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming

Betting Sites

Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps

Contests

Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools

The Covers community has

810,221

lifetime members worldwide

Join our community today

Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.

Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.

Bodio's NFL 2011 -- Week 1

Hot Forum Topics