JackedUp- I can't believe another site had 8.5!!! Under that for sure. Question: What do they have Pierre Thomas at?
Simon- I know trust me these bets are more for shits and giggles. It's the only time of year I play them. The real will be on the Colts with ya!!
nc1capper- I can't put money on something that can't be capped, but I would almost guarantee they show Archie's face more then 3 times. GL
JackedUp- I can't believe another site had 8.5!!! Under that for sure. Question: What do they have Pierre Thomas at?
Simon- I know trust me these bets are more for shits and giggles. It's the only time of year I play them. The real will be on the Colts with ya!!
nc1capper- I can't put money on something that can't be capped, but I would almost guarantee they show Archie's face more then 3 times. GL
Hey Ice - I just finished watching the NFC Championship again and did a little scouting for propositions. I don't think Greer will be getting much help. Clearly the Vikings intended to attack Porter the most and Gay when they were in a Nickel or Dime package. The big plays and gains in the Vikings passing came against these guys.
Greer in Man to Man saw 9 balls thrown his way.
1) Incomplete pass intended for Rice
2) 1 yard gain Harvin
3) 5 yard gain Rice
4) Incomplete pass Rice
5) 15 yard gain Berrian
6) Incomplete pass Harvin
7) -2 yard gain Berrian
8) Dropped pick undercutting Rice..incomplete
9) Incomplete pass Rice
So really the question is as the starting LCB how many times will he be matched up on Wayne. I know they will move him around, so rethinking how many opportunities he will be matched against Greer. All in all this not a prop I am interested in being involved with.
Hey Ice - I just finished watching the NFC Championship again and did a little scouting for propositions. I don't think Greer will be getting much help. Clearly the Vikings intended to attack Porter the most and Gay when they were in a Nickel or Dime package. The big plays and gains in the Vikings passing came against these guys.
Greer in Man to Man saw 9 balls thrown his way.
1) Incomplete pass intended for Rice
2) 1 yard gain Harvin
3) 5 yard gain Rice
4) Incomplete pass Rice
5) 15 yard gain Berrian
6) Incomplete pass Harvin
7) -2 yard gain Berrian
8) Dropped pick undercutting Rice..incomplete
9) Incomplete pass Rice
So really the question is as the starting LCB how many times will he be matched up on Wayne. I know they will move him around, so rethinking how many opportunities he will be matched against Greer. All in all this not a prop I am interested in being involved with.
JackedUp: I'm not surprised by that, 8.5 is a lot of attempts for Bush. I also wouldn't play Pierre Thomas at 14.5 as that seems spot on. That's why I like my line
BustinPiles: thanks for the info. I will most likely lay off the Wayne receiving yards prop.
JackedUp: I'm not surprised by that, 8.5 is a lot of attempts for Bush. I also wouldn't play Pierre Thomas at 14.5 as that seems spot on. That's why I like my line
BustinPiles: thanks for the info. I will most likely lay off the Wayne receiving yards prop.
Ice- I have a future on New Orleans at 15-1 that i have not hedged at any point this postseason. I want to see a weather forecast midweek as I may decide to protect my investment and assure some + gain with a Colts pick and Over. People say Manning is going to carve up this defense.. and in the times the Colts have played the Saints he has had his way(big time) but on the other side of the coin there is not that much I think that is intimidating about this Colts defense aside form Freeney and Mathis either.... for crying out loud they brought in Jason David
and McKenzie for a look see at Cb's this week.
Unsure if I pull the trigger on the hedge at this point. But will be looking to narrow down some prop plays
Ice- I have a future on New Orleans at 15-1 that i have not hedged at any point this postseason. I want to see a weather forecast midweek as I may decide to protect my investment and assure some + gain with a Colts pick and Over. People say Manning is going to carve up this defense.. and in the times the Colts have played the Saints he has had his way(big time) but on the other side of the coin there is not that much I think that is intimidating about this Colts defense aside form Freeney and Mathis either.... for crying out loud they brought in Jason David
and McKenzie for a look see at Cb's this week.
Unsure if I pull the trigger on the hedge at this point. But will be looking to narrow down some prop plays
Sorry just getting back to reading this thread
Jabari Greer very underrated CB and great free agent acquistion doesn't get the pub of other cornerbacks in the league. Played very well against some elite WR's this season including Fitzgerald, TO, and Calvin Johnson.
Article
Sorry just getting back to reading this thread
Jabari Greer very underrated CB and great free agent acquistion doesn't get the pub of other cornerbacks in the league. Played very well against some elite WR's this season including Fitzgerald, TO, and Calvin Johnson.
Article
actually... if those numbers are any indication... O/U 74.5 yds for Reggie Wayne seems like a gimme...
actually... if those numbers are any indication... O/U 74.5 yds for Reggie Wayne seems like a gimme...
I said I would be narrowing this list down. Here's what I'm thinking after all of your help.
1. Will the game ever be tied after 0-0? Yes +110 (still like it and keeping it.)
2. Saints total 3rd down Conversions: Over 5.5 -125 (Laying off this one. I'll be so drunk by 2nd half I don't want to count.)
3. Saints total rushing yards: Over 100.5 -115 (Still on the fence. Leaning to a play but will make a final decision later this week.)
4. Colts total rushing yards: Under 99.5 -115 (No play)
5. Will there be a score in the first 5 1/2 minutes? Yes +105 (on the fence too. Colts can take a lot of time on opening drives.)
6. Reggie Bush rushing attempts: Over 4.5 -115 (laying off, sorry JackedUp but I like Thomas better.)
7. Pierre Thomas rushing attempts: Over 11.5 -115 (playing for sure.)
8. Joseph Addai longest rush: Over 12.5 yards -115 (playing for sure. Just look at each game, 12 overs 6 unders. The unders were against Bal, Den, Tenn twice, Sea, Stl.)
9. Reggie Wayne total receiving yards: Over 74.5 -115 (no play, I'm seeing better value in others.)
10. Pierre Garcon total receptions: Over 4.5 -115 (Not a recommended play but I've hit it both times this post season so I'll bite.)
So far I'm on #1, #7, #8, and #10 for sure. Might play #3 and/or #5, still looking into them. Thanks again for your help everyone, one more week til Gametime!!!!!
I said I would be narrowing this list down. Here's what I'm thinking after all of your help.
1. Will the game ever be tied after 0-0? Yes +110 (still like it and keeping it.)
2. Saints total 3rd down Conversions: Over 5.5 -125 (Laying off this one. I'll be so drunk by 2nd half I don't want to count.)
3. Saints total rushing yards: Over 100.5 -115 (Still on the fence. Leaning to a play but will make a final decision later this week.)
4. Colts total rushing yards: Under 99.5 -115 (No play)
5. Will there be a score in the first 5 1/2 minutes? Yes +105 (on the fence too. Colts can take a lot of time on opening drives.)
6. Reggie Bush rushing attempts: Over 4.5 -115 (laying off, sorry JackedUp but I like Thomas better.)
7. Pierre Thomas rushing attempts: Over 11.5 -115 (playing for sure.)
8. Joseph Addai longest rush: Over 12.5 yards -115 (playing for sure. Just look at each game, 12 overs 6 unders. The unders were against Bal, Den, Tenn twice, Sea, Stl.)
9. Reggie Wayne total receiving yards: Over 74.5 -115 (no play, I'm seeing better value in others.)
10. Pierre Garcon total receptions: Over 4.5 -115 (Not a recommended play but I've hit it both times this post season so I'll bite.)
So far I'm on #1, #7, #8, and #10 for sure. Might play #3 and/or #5, still looking into them. Thanks again for your help everyone, one more week til Gametime!!!!!
Sorry just getting back to reading this thread
Jabari Greer very underrated CB and great free agent acquistion doesn't get the pub of other cornerbacks in the league. Played very well against some elite WR's this season including Fitzgerald, TO, and Calvin Johnson.
HIgh praise indeed!
Sorry just getting back to reading this thread
Jabari Greer very underrated CB and great free agent acquistion doesn't get the pub of other cornerbacks in the league. Played very well against some elite WR's this season including Fitzgerald, TO, and Calvin Johnson.
HIgh praise indeed!
Do not but would be willing to be that it is 48-52%.
Do not but would be willing to be that it is 48-52%.
Hey guys pretty nice thread here. I still believe that Wayne has a big day, but am not 100% convinced. Just went through all the Colt playoff games over the last couple of years and save one or two, he has not hit any home runs. The Colts save the superbowl year, have also not been a great playoff team. I think the Aints do look to stop Wayne and make the Colts spread it around. This prop is very very tough because MANNING WILL TAKE WHAT IS THERE!
Boy (manning) will not force anything and who knows what will be there. Have to admit if they go Greer and do not move him with Wayne then those opposing number one stats stated above look pretty dead on. Wayne should beat the 2 and 3 corners easy. This one looks tough though and I like others much more after reconsidering.
Overall, I am going to make a little wager on Reggie. I will make a large prop wager on Brees over 279.5, this has much more appeal to me. Manning is at 300 and Brees who leads him most years in yards thrown but does not get the name is 20 yards less. The Colts have faced four top caliber qbs this year....Schaub twice, Brady and Warner all have gone over this number. In a game with the over at 57 (!) and to me no Dwight Freeney, this is the prop of the game to me. If the Colts get the lead (as everyone thinks) Brees may get 45 attempts and should go well over this number.
IMHO
GLA
Crash
Hey guys pretty nice thread here. I still believe that Wayne has a big day, but am not 100% convinced. Just went through all the Colt playoff games over the last couple of years and save one or two, he has not hit any home runs. The Colts save the superbowl year, have also not been a great playoff team. I think the Aints do look to stop Wayne and make the Colts spread it around. This prop is very very tough because MANNING WILL TAKE WHAT IS THERE!
Boy (manning) will not force anything and who knows what will be there. Have to admit if they go Greer and do not move him with Wayne then those opposing number one stats stated above look pretty dead on. Wayne should beat the 2 and 3 corners easy. This one looks tough though and I like others much more after reconsidering.
Overall, I am going to make a little wager on Reggie. I will make a large prop wager on Brees over 279.5, this has much more appeal to me. Manning is at 300 and Brees who leads him most years in yards thrown but does not get the name is 20 yards less. The Colts have faced four top caliber qbs this year....Schaub twice, Brady and Warner all have gone over this number. In a game with the over at 57 (!) and to me no Dwight Freeney, this is the prop of the game to me. If the Colts get the lead (as everyone thinks) Brees may get 45 attempts and should go well over this number.
IMHO
GLA
Crash
Scooter: GL with that Addai over, sucks your juice is so high but I still like it.
Crash: I like that Brees over prop, that's the only way to go if your playing the QB yards. Only reason I'm not is because I think the only way Saints win is to slow the game down and keep Colts offense off the field. And the only way to do that is with long drives, which is why I've liked both Thomas and Bush rushing attempts over from the start.
Scooter: GL with that Addai over, sucks your juice is so high but I still like it.
Crash: I like that Brees over prop, that's the only way to go if your playing the QB yards. Only reason I'm not is because I think the only way Saints win is to slow the game down and keep Colts offense off the field. And the only way to do that is with long drives, which is why I've liked both Thomas and Bush rushing attempts over from the start.
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