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Author: [Rugby] Topic: Super 15 Week 11
snake2710
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snake2710
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#1
Posted: 5/3/2012 6:01:46 PM

Super 15 YTD 41-46 +1.50 units

Well have been leaking a lot of money lately so going to get back to basics and keep things simple with only plays i really like untill can get some confidence in my plays and start winning again.

Picks:

Hurricanes/Blues over 53.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Really like the over in this game tonight. Both teams have shown they can score points but also leak even more than they can score. Both teams are 7-2 on totals overall on the season so have been an overs best friend. The Blues are 3-1 in confrence games to the total and the Canes are 2-2 but still cant see this game staying under this high total tonight.

No play on the teams. I have a strong lean towards the Canes but they have not looked good in the last couple of weeks and surely the Blues will have to spark eventually. Just going to stay away from a side tonight.

Bulls/Rebels over 50.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Really this game should fly over as well. The Rebels can score points but leak twice as many. It is just crazy how bad they are with some of that talent in their team. The Bulls are 5-3 on totals over all and 3-0 in games outside their confrence. The Rebels are 6-2 on totals and 3-0 in games outside their confrence so reall all points towards a high scoring match tonight.

Have a weak lean towards the Bulls - but really cant trust what Rebels team will show up so just going to lay off the team.

BOL

 

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snake2710
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#2
Posted: 5/4/2012 1:07:50 AM

Well boys and girls i am never going to learn, im a degen gambler to the core and so here is a Parlay for tonight,

Parlay;

Bulls -6.5/Hurricanes H2H/Cowgurls H2H NRL

1 unit @ $3.50

BOL

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ChkChkBoom
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#3
Posted: 5/4/2012 1:18:33 AM
You love playing these Under/Over coin flips 
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snake2710
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#4
Posted: 5/4/2012 1:58:16 AM

Haha not a coin flip when you have the stats on your side BOOM

Hopefully i can have a good night and get the

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#5
Posted: 5/4/2012 3:26:16 AM
agreed they seem like a coin flip but they dont pay 50/50 hmmm
good to see a parlay tho GL mate 


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snake2710
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#6
Posted: 5/4/2012 3:30:21 AM

DARK

Couldnt resist mate im a degen at heart

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snake2710
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#7
Posted: 5/4/2012 5:30:25 AM

Super 15 YTD 42-46 +2.40 units

Over Mayby my luck is turning around and could expect some more winnings. Lets hope my luck has turned

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Rostos
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#8
Posted: 5/4/2012 5:33:32 AM

Did u see the last try that made it over?

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#9
Posted: 5/4/2012 5:39:04 AM
The LUCK factor
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#10
Posted: 5/4/2012 6:25:34 AM
nice work hitting the over before half time!!
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#11
Posted: 5/4/2012 6:34:23 AM
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snake2710
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#12
Posted: 5/4/2012 7:30:49 AM

Super 15 YTD 43-47 +2.30 units

Parlay 1 point i lose by really?

Over

Parhaps my luck may have not quite turned just yet but did hit both my overs one in lucky fashion and the other was over by the end of the first half.

Rostos

Yes i did see i was watching the game while having a few beers at the pub well a lot of beers.

ROD

Oil-Beef

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snake2710
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#13
Posted: 5/5/2012 12:24:51 AM

Have been out all day at golf but here goes my plays for tonight,

Picks:

Lions +19.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Well no question asked really the Chiefs should win the game tonight with plenty of room, but i think it could be one of them games were they just do enough to win and not a lot more. Could be a little bit of a flat spot for this very good team. This play is not based on stats at all just my feeling that perhaps the Chiefs dont show up 100% tonight.

Brumbies -1.0 1 unit @ $2.00

Love the Brumbies a lot tonight. They have been playing very well this year and i expect them to get a good win at home tonight. The Tahs have not been the same team as last few years and really think the brumbies have the talent to take care of them tonight. The Brumbies are 2-1-0 ATS in their confrence, the Tahs are 2-3-0 ATS in thier confrence so the Brumbies do have a small advantage there and just like them to get the job done tonight.

Cheetahs -7.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Well they should be far to good tomorrow morning for the force. The Cheetahs are 6-3-0 ATS overall and in games outside their confrence they are 5-1-0 ATS. The Force on the otherhand are 3-5-0 ATS and in games outside their confrence they are 0-2-0 ATS. So this is really a stats play and just think the force really stand no chance of winning.

BOL

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snake2710
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#14
Posted: 5/5/2012 5:23:53 AM

Super 15 YTD 44-47 +3.20 units

Lions

Well got there in the end but wasnt without its heart stopping moments. Both teams really played some very silly rugby at times but Chiefs still got their win and i got my win. Best of both worlds.

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snake2710
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#15
Posted: 5/5/2012 5:26:31 PM

Super 15 YTD 45-48 +3.10 units

Brumbies

Cheetahs

Will have a play for the saders game a bit later on. Have a good day people.

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snake2710
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#16
Posted: 5/5/2012 9:58:46 PM

Have just the one play on the game today.

Pick:

Reds +13.0 1 unit @ $1.90

The Reds have been a very up and down team all season to date but think they should be good enough to keep it close with the saders. The Saders have looked very good in patches for games and then they go back to sleep. The Saders are 4-5-0 ATS and 2-3-0 ATS in games out of confrence. The Reds are also 4-5-0 ATS and 2-3-0 ATS in games outside their confrence. So not really a lot there but just think the Reds should have enough to keep it close.

BOL

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snake2710
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#17
Posted: 5/6/2012 2:23:35 AM

Super 15 YTD 46-48 +4.00 units

Reds

Well turned out to be a good weekend for me getting things back to basics. Have a good week boys and girls.

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#18
Posted: 5/6/2012 2:50:24 AM
well done cobba 
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