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Author: [Rugby] Topic: Super 15 Week 7
snake2710
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#1
Posted: 4/4/2012 3:28:54 PM

Super 15 YTD 24-27 +1.40 units

Well had a very good week last week finally getting back into the positive and the black and lets continue that trend this week and really liking that we get a game tonight.

Pick:

Rebels +8.0 1 unit @ $1.90

Well these are 2 teams that have struggled all season. The Rebels at home have been good in there last couple games were they should have got both Su wins but got robbed by the cheetahs after the buzzer. The Rebels are 2-3-0 ATS on the season and the Blues are 1-4-0 ATS with the only cover against the Bulls in a game they should have never won. I do believe that the Blues should win this game but with Danny back at 10 for the Rebels will strenghten there attack and after O'connor and Beale have a game now together under their belt expect them to better for it.

Not sure i like the total at 53.5. This game as all the makings of being high scoring as both teams are very undisaplinned but at the same time could also see both just wanting to get back to basics and play good hard D. In saying that both teams are 4-1 on totals so lean towards the over at the moment.

BOL

 

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#2
Posted: 4/4/2012 4:49:43 PM
Might be a good game to in play! Do like the play though.. bookies still on the hype of the Blues just because they have All Blacks
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snake2710
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#3
Posted: 4/4/2012 7:06:45 PM
Yea have to agree with you Phatty. Hence just the 1 unit play but i do like the Rebels a lot. Blues called meetings this week but really they are just trying to hard to fast to make things happen and the Rebels aint to bad at home and should have enough to cover the points.
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#4
Posted: 4/5/2012 12:24:26 AM
Good luck Snake - should be a guy!
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snake2710
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#5
Posted: 4/5/2012 12:31:38 AM

Surfarosa 

Cheers bud the more i look at this play the more and more i like it and starting to think a play on the over is worth while as well with both teams being involved in so many high scorers.

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snake2710
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#6
Posted: 4/5/2012 12:34:06 AM

Well right after making the above post have got a good feeling about the game tonight so going with this,

Pick:

Blues/Rebels over 53.5 2 units @ $1.90

Love the over here tonight. Both teams are 4-1 on totals and think should have a high scorer on our hands tonight. Also both teams are 2-0 on totals in games outside their confrence so adds further more to the fact we should see some points here tonight.

BOL

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#7
Posted: 4/5/2012 12:38:02 AM
What I really do like but is only paying 1.72 is Rebels Over 1.5 Tries 
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snake2710
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#8
Posted: 4/5/2012 1:35:00 AM

Come on Phatty take the over fella. Should be a few points tonight and im hoping to repeat my drunkn work last weekend so already been on the piss for a few hours.

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snake2710
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#9
Posted: 4/5/2012 5:34:03 AM
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snake2710
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#10
Posted: 4/5/2012 5:52:51 PM

Super 15 YTD 26-27 +4.10 units

Rebels

Over

Well yet again the Blues prove just how bad they are this year and i cant see them being favs in a game for a while but will continue to fade them as it has been very profitable. Looking over the 3 games tonight and will be back with my plays.

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snake2710
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#11
Posted: 4/5/2012 6:06:48 PM

Well good night last night because i won and the Blues lost.

Picks:

Hurricanes Su 1 unit @ $2.00

Well like the Canes a lot tonight at home. They have been a good young side this year and been playing some very good rugby. The Sharks are playing their 3rd game of the raod trip and expect them to be tired going into those last 20 mins and the Canes will be looking to bounce back after the home loss to the Cheetahs last week.

Hurricanes/Sharks over 48.5 2 units @ $1.90

Well really like the fact that there should be some points scored in this game tonight. Sharks are 4-2 on totals and 3-0 on totals in games against teams outside their confrence. The Hurricanes are 5-1 on totals and 4-0 in games outside their confrence on totals. So has all the goods for a high scorer.

Chiefs -6.0 1 unit @ $1.90

Well have lost a bit of play with the lline going out by 1.5 points, but still really like the chiefs get the job done over in perth tonight. They have looked good so far on attack and i just dont see that the force have the points in them to keep up with the might Mooloos. I expect them to get the win by 10-15 points.

Really cant get a feel for the Brumbies and Reds match but i would say that thr Reds are fade material at the moment.

BOL

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#12
Posted: 4/5/2012 7:18:53 PM
do you reckon Reds/Brumbies can pull out 50 points? centrebets is offering 3.50 for that
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#13
Posted: 4/5/2012 7:29:00 PM
Like the Chiefs, wishing I had hit them at 4.5. Canes Over looks pretty good too
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snake2710
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#14
Posted: 4/5/2012 7:41:55 PM

Richmound

Yea i would think there would be a good chance of that. But do keep in mind after the beating the REDS got last game im thinking they are going to focus on D more than attack.

Phatty

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snake2710
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#15
Posted: 4/5/2012 8:42:28 PM

Have been looking over the Chiefs game and reckon can add another play,

Pick:

Chiefs/Force over 48.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Have had a look at this total and think should go over tonight. The force are 4-2 on totals for the season and 1-0 on totals outside their confrence. The Chiefs are 2-3 on totals and are 1-1 outside their confrence. The force should have a few points in them and i expect to the see the Chiefs put up a lot of points tonight.

BOL

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snake2710
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#16
Posted: 4/6/2012 4:28:22 AM
Have been watching the Canes game and reckon the Sharks +18.5 looks good value as they wil have the win in the 2nd half and should be able to close the gap and i would think will be raining 3's.
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snake2710
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#17
Posted: 4/6/2012 4:30:08 AM

Hmmm the Degen that i am im going to pull the trigger they should be the better team in the 2nd half.

Half Time Pick:

Sharks +18.5 1 unit @ $1.90

BOL

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snake2710
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#18
Posted: 4/6/2012 5:22:45 AM

Super 15 YTD 28-28 +5.90 units

Over

Hurricanes

HT Sharks In the Damn last minute really

Have fianlly got my record back to .500 so lets look to keep the improving going with a good high scoring match in the chiefs game.

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snake2710
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#19
Posted: 4/6/2012 5:29:09 AM

Well going to have a little fun with the remaining games tonight,

Parlay:

Brumbies 1-12 winning Margin

Chiefs -6.5

Broncos Su 0.5 units @ $10.00

BOL

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snake2710
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#20
Posted: 4/6/2012 7:24:44 AM

Super 15 YTD 28-29 +5.40 units

Parlay, Brumbies

Come on the chiefs to cap off a good night

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snake2710
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#21
Posted: 4/6/2012 3:06:34 PM

Super 15 YTD 29-30 +5.30 units

Chiefs

Over

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snake2710
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#22
Posted: 4/7/2012 1:35:55 AM

Have been out all day at the D1NZ final round and there was some awsome drifting all day and had an awsome day in the sun. Now down to business.

Picks:

Highlanders/Stomers under 42.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Have been thinking about this game all arvo and think should be a low scorer in which D wins the game and not attack. The Stomers are the last unbeatn team and have had to travel a long way after a tough game with the bulls last week. They shouldnt have heaps on attack but always give 100% on D.

Highlanders -1.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Like the highlanders tonight after a good win last week and a great 2nd half. Also on the top of this the stomers are coming off a long trip to get to NZ and played a hard match with the bulls last week.

BOL

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snake2710
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#23
Posted: 4/7/2012 2:07:25 AM

Have had a think and going to have another go at a checky parlay,

Parlay:

Highlanders HTFT

Chooks HTFT

Cheetahs HTFT 0.5 units @ $10.50

BOL

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#24
Posted: 4/7/2012 4:12:25 AM
I'm the kiss of death, especially for Union games. Highlanders have dominated this entire match but missed 2 penalties and gave up 2 dumb tries to be down 3-15 when they should be up 9-8. Let's hope for a comeback tonight despite me being like 1-10 at Super 15 picks 
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snake2710
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#25
Posted: 4/7/2012 4:19:50 AM

Parlay

Well have to agree not sure how the Highlanders lost that half really at all and not sure how the chooks are 6-6 at halftime but just got to hope for 2 good 2nd halfs

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