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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: Eureka!!...hopefully it holds |
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CoRe81 |
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#1 Posted: 12/21/2012 2:21:12 PM So I’ve got something working right now that is showing good
return. It’s based on an algorithmic approach applicable to market investment
utilizing RSI and MACD indicators. By redefining the variables (the sportsbook
as a brokerage market, the bet as the commodity, and bettor as the consumer
interest), there appears to be a true correlation in Moneyline prediction
within a set parameter. So far this has been successful with NBA, NCAAB, NFL,
and NCAAF, with foreseeable success in MLB/NHL (beta testing pending seasons starting).
With it being based on parametered ML betting, there is a heightened revenue
margin at 75%, but currently it has been holding firm at 91% going 20-2. I’ll
post wager selections (based on an arbitrary $100 bet) from this algorithm for
anyone interested in following it, or until it embarrasses itself to the scrap
heap of fallen betting systems…
12/21/2012 Pick: NBA: Memphis $100 at ML of (-720)
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jaime2309 |
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#2 Posted: 12/21/2012 3:00:17 PM So thats $100 to win $13? 
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CoRe81 |
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#3 Posted: 12/21/2012 3:16:00 PM It's a fair observation, but a bit premature given only one wager prediction. The algorithm averages a ML of around -300 in regards to wagers that fall within its parameters, representing the 75% revenue margin noted originally. I went back and forth about going live using this as the initial wager, given the high ML, but figured I might as well get the ball rolling. Give it a few picks to see if it backs up the claim...
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Kohler |
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#4 Posted: 12/21/2012 3:42:45 PM Ok, I'm interested and will follow. |
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CoRe81 |
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#5 Posted: 12/22/2012 1:01:22 PM A positive start, albeit a modest one...Here is today's pick:
Current Record: 1-0 Earnings: $13.89
12/22/2012 Pick: NCAAB: ULLafayette (-155)
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CoRe81 |
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#6 Posted: 12/23/2012 10:20:09 AM Current Record: 2-0Earnings: $78.41
12/23/2012 Picks: NFL: Carolina (-380) NCAAB: Fordham (-300) |
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CoRe81 |
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#7 Posted: 12/25/2012 12:51:49 PM Current Record: 4-0Earnings: $138.06
12/25/2012 Pick:
NBA: Clippers (-290) |
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CoRe81 |
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#8 Posted: 12/26/2012 10:56:32 AM Current Record: 5-0 Earnings: $172.54
12/26/2012 Pick:
NCAAF: Western Kentucky (-235) NBA: Memphis (-500)
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jay1234 |
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#9 Posted: 12/26/2012 11:45:01 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by CoRe81:
Current Record: 5-0 Earnings: $172.54
12/26/2012 Pick:
NCAAF: Western Kentucky (-235) NBA: Memphis (-500)
the only promblem when you lose 1 you will wipe out your bank roll and it will happen |
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gotnogame1 |
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#10 Posted: 12/26/2012 3:18:50 PM tried something similar in NBA previously with some success.....will watch with interest, and thx for posting it |
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therizz |
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#11 Posted: 12/26/2012 6:38:24 PM  |
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Trigg |
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#12 Posted: 12/26/2012 7:11:43 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by jay1234:
the only promblem when you lose 1 you will wipe out your bank roll and it will happen
I might be wrong but it appears that he is flat betting $100 every wager so don't see how he would wipe out his bank roll.
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jay1234 |
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#13 Posted: 12/27/2012 9:24:03 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Trigg:
I might be wrong but it appears that he is flat betting $100 every wager so don't see how he would wipe out his bank roll.
just like that it takes to manny wins to make money and in 1 game you lose way to much |
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MITkid |
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#14 Posted: 12/27/2012 5:55:11 PM Take your unit size, divide by 10, and bet the opposite right before the game and you will make more money. |
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seer8 |
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#15 Posted: 12/29/2012 6:35:10 PM sent a friend request...what is the algorithm based on? |
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jay1234 |
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#16 Posted: 12/31/2012 10:37:51 AM did scrape your system havent had any picks |
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jay1234 |
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#17 Posted: 1/12/2013 10:25:28 AM so its in the junkyard |
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