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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Streak Strategies
Burly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#1
Posted: 12/25/2011 11:44:03 PM

Have started researching teams that have a three or more game winning streak and then lose one game will lose the next game.

More info to come the Eastern Conf so far would be 17 correct 8 wrong. (68%)

Also have some filters to add to increase accuracy.

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#2
Posted: 12/26/2011 8:55:39 PM

Forgot to say this is for NHL, but with filter can work for NFL not sure about NBA.

Western Conf was 15 correct 11 wrong. (57%)

Record is much better with filters

West: 14 correct 4 wrong (78%)

East: 15 correct 5 wrong (75%)

Filters are do not bet against top 5 teams (points not rank) in each conference when home, and do not bet on bottom 5 teams in each conference when on road. 

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#3
Posted: 12/26/2011 9:08:34 PM

Gonna start tracking this system now

No Filter: 32 correct 19 wrong (63%)

With Filter: 29 correct 9 wrong (76%)

Todays Plays:

No Filter: Edm

Filter: No Play

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#4
Posted: 12/27/2011 7:36:22 AM

Gonna track the filters different starting now, ive noticed when both filters are used fading the system is very profitable.

Filter A:Home team is in East or West top 5 points

Filter B: Away team is in East or West bottom 5 points

Last night the play would have fit both filters so the play would have been Van not Edm.

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#5
Posted: 12/27/2011 7:40:38 AM

No Filter: 0-1

Filter A: 0-0

Filter B: 0-0

A+B (fade system):1-0

Todays Plays

No Filter: Mtl (Ott ended Streak)

Filter: No Play (B)

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#6
Posted: 12/27/2011 11:43:09 PM

Changing Filter B to bottom 3 teams but will still track as a Filter B loss.

Mtl

No Filter 1-1

Filter A: 0-0

Filter B: 0-1

A+B: 1-0

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#7
Posted: 12/28/2011 9:36:05 PM

Plays today:

No Filter: Van (SJ streak ended)

Van in top 5 SJ is not no filters so

With Filters: Van (SJ streak ended)

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#8
Posted: 12/29/2011 8:20:26 PM

Updated Record

No Filter: 2-1

With Filter: 1-1

Both Filters( fade system ): 1-0

Plays today:

No Filter: Phoenix ( Colorado ended streak )

With Filter: Phoenix ( Colorado ended streak )

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#9
Posted: 12/30/2011 4:15:00 PM

Pho

Adding Third Filter do not bet if non streak ending team is playing second game of a back to back

Updated Record

No Filter: 2-2

With Filter: 1-2

All Filters: (fade system) 1-0

Plays today:

No Filter: Florida (NYR ended streak), Ottawa (Calgary ended streak)

With Filter: Florida (NYR ended streak), Ottawa (Calgary ended streak)

 

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#10
Posted: 12/31/2011 12:54:25 AM

Florida

Ottawa

Adding fourth filter, do not bet if non streak losing team is starting backup goalie ( backup is considered 25% or less starts ), if both teams starting backups play will not be filtered.

Updated Record:

No Filter: 3-3

With Filters: 2-3

Filters A+B(fade system): 1-0

Year Record:

No Filter: 35-22 (61%)

With Filter: 31-12 (72%)

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#11
Posted: 12/31/2011 3:01:08 PM

Todays Plays:

No Filter: New Jersey ( Pittsburgh ended streak )

With Filters: New Jersey ( Pittsburgh ended streak )

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#12
Posted: 12/31/2011 4:59:21 PM
interesting system. a lot of filters haha

wonder how this system did in past nhl seasons?
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#13
Posted: 1/1/2012 1:03:49 PM

the reason i started looking into it was i saw it a couple years ago posted by someone else.

The reason for all the filters is because I play proline so any errors mean a loss, but I also back tracked for NFL and using the first two filters 14 correct 4 wrong 4 no plays and 4 reverse (fade) winners so 82%. 

Just wanna win some

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#14
Posted: 1/1/2012 1:26:51 PM

Also forgot NJ

No Filter: 4-3

With Filters: 3-3

Filters A+B(fade system): 1-0

Year Record

No Filter: 36-22 (62%)

With Filters: 32-12 (73%)

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#15
Posted: 1/1/2012 1:31:29 PM

Also will start a new thread for this new NFL season but here are the two plays in the NFL system today

Oakland ( SD ended streak)

Seattle ( Arizona ended streak)

Seattle also ended a streak but a filter I use is the loss to end the streak must be by at least 4 points, if not then it becomes a reverse play, so thats why the play is on Seattle.

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#16
Posted: 1/2/2012 2:28:34 AM

Bad Ending to the NFL system

Oakland

Seattle

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#17
Posted: 1/3/2012 12:01:54 AM

Forgot to post this before puck drop

Plays Today:

No Filter: San Jose ( Vancouver ended streak )

With Filters : No Play ( Home Team Van top 5 in Conf )

 

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#18
Posted: 1/3/2012 12:07:22 AM

Updated Record:

No Filter: 5-3

With Filters: 3-3

Filters A+B (fade system): 1-0

Year Record:

No Filters: 37-22 (63%)

With Filters: 32-12 (73%)

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#19
Posted: 1/3/2012 12:45:03 AM

Teams on streaks: WIN, TB, WAS, OTT, NAS

Next Play: Jan 4

No Filter: New Jersey ( Boston ended streak )

With Filters: No Play ( Home team Bos Top 5 in Conf )

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#20
Posted: 1/4/2012 5:29:16 PM

Incorrect post about Boston being home team but the fifth and hopefully final filter is do not bet against top 2 teams in both conferences home/away.

Todays Play:

No Filter: New Jersey ( Boston ended streak )

With Filters: No Play ( Boston Top 2 in Conference )

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#21
Posted: 1/4/2012 10:57:58 PM

NJ

Updated Record:

No Filter: 5-4

With Filters: 3-3

Filters A+B (fade system): 1-0

Year Record:

No Filter: 37-23 (62%)

With Filters: 32-12 (73%)

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#22
Posted: 1/4/2012 11:47:16 PM

Upcoming Plays:

Tomorrow: No Filter: Ottawa (Tampa Bay ended streak), Toronto (Winnipeg ended streak)

With Filters: Ottawa (Tampa Bay ended streak), Toronto (Winnipeg ended streak)

Also removing backup goalie filter as Top 2 filter fixes loss that backup filter fixed

Teams on streaks: WAS, NYI, OTT, NAS, COLO

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#23
Posted: 1/5/2012 11:15:55 PM

TOR

OTT  

Finally a good night since ive posted, lets get some more!

Updated Record:

No Filter: 7-4

With Filters: 5-3 ( added filters would make 5-0)

Filters A+B(fade system): 1-0

Year Record:

No Filter: 39-22 (64%)

With Filters: 34-12 (74%)

 

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#24
Posted: 1/7/2012 12:29:42 AM

Upcoming Plays:

Tomorrow: No Filter: Carolina ( Nashville ended streak ) Phoenix ( New York Islanders ended streak )

With Filters: Phoenix ( New York Islanders ended streak )

Carolina no play as they are bottom three in east conf

Teams on streaks: WAS, OTT, COLO, NYR, SJ

 

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#25
Posted: 1/7/2012 11:43:59 PM

PHO  with filters

CAR no filter

Five in a row with added filters now, looking good!!

Updated Record:

No Filter: 8-5

With Filters: 6 -3 ( 6-0 with C+D filters added)

Yearly Record:

No Filter: 40-23 (63%)

With Filters: 35-12 (74%)

 

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