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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB system plays
homedogs77 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 3/2/2011 9:25:11 AM

I wanted to share these systems. I want to make it very clear that I am not the creator of these systems nor did I find them or track them.  I am sharing these from another site that another poster started. I will not share the website or the creator in here but will try to keep the systems updated.  If you want to know the website or creator you can PM me.

 

SYSTEM 1:

Bet Against a team off scoring 0 runs. This is a 6gm Chase. We will OMIT the following teams. (LAD , OAK , C.SOX).. Everyone else is a go. I like this system the best due to the fact it has only had 3 losses in 3 yrs and we only omit 3 teams.

Results previous 3 years:

2010: 280-1 +264 UNITS

Gm1- 141 wins
Gm2- 76 wins
Gm3- 35 wins
Gm4- 12 wins
Gm5- 9 wins
Gm6- 7 wins

1 loss- Detroit Tigers

2009: 228-1 +198 UNITS

Gm1- 125 wins
Gm2- 52 wins
Gm3- 28 wins
Gm4- 14 wins
Gm5- 5 wins
Gm6- 4 wins

1 Loss- NYY

2008: 219-1 +150 UNITS

Gm1- 117 wins
Gm2- 42 wins
Gm3- 28 wins
Gm4- 19 wins
Gm5- 7 wins
Gm6- 6 wins

1 Loss- TB
 
SYSTEM 2:

Bet On a team off allowing 0 runs. This is a 5gm Chase. We will OMIT the following teams. (LAD , BALT, KC, CLEV, WASH).. Everyone else is a go. As you can ses, the teams we are omitting are mostly lower tier teams.. There are not many wins generated from these teams and alot of risk for a loss.


Results previous 3 years:

2010: 269-2 +204 UNITS

Gm1- 148 wins
Gm2- 67 wins
Gm3- 29 wins
Gm4- 13 wins
Gm5- 12 wins

2 losses- Oakland,Colorado

2009: 227-1 +183 UNITS

Gm1- 133 wins
Gm2- 45 wins
Gm3- 29 wins
Gm4- 14 wins
Gm5- 6 wins

1 Loss- Cincy


2008: 202-4 +101 UNITS

Gm1- 118 wins
Gm2- 44 wins
Gm3- 25 wins
Gm4- 8 wins
Gm5- 7 wins

4 Losses- SD,PITT,HOU,ATL
 
SYSTEM 3:

Bet Against a team off LOSING by 5 runs or more. This is a 6gm Chase. We will OMIT the following teams. (LAD , NYY, CINCY, COL, ANA, WASH, MIL, CUBS, TB, KC).. Everyone else is a go. This generates the most amt of plays, but I would say it is the riskiest or lowest ROI. I have omitted alot of teams to avoid losses.

Results previous 3 years:

2010: 431-2 +322 UNITS

Gm1- 232 wins
Gm2- 101 wins
Gm3- 49 wins
Gm4- 30 wins
Gm5- 13 wins
Gm6- 6 wins

2 losses- Miny, Mets


2009: 454-2 +285 UNITS

Gm1- 257 wins
Gm2- 99 wins
Gm3- 67 wins
Gm4- 29 wins
Gm5- 9 wins
Gm6- 3 wins

2 Losses- SD,Oakland


2008: 428-6 +56 UNITS

Gm1- 211 wins
Gm2- 113 wins
Gm3- 62 wins
Gm4- 23 wins
Gm5- 13 wins
Gm6- 6 wins

6 Losses- HOU, FLO, BOST,DET, CLEV, C.SOX
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Dutch1976 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#2
Posted: 3/2/2011 8:12:21 PM
Looks promising.

Are there filters or let's say System 1 - 4 teams are off scoring 0 runs, do you pick the team with the worst record, the team who lost by the most runs, road/home etc.?
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#3
Posted: 3/2/2011 11:02:59 PM
Looks like we can make some green with these systems...thanks for the post HD77


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#4
Posted: 3/3/2011 4:11:09 PM
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#5
Posted: 3/4/2011 10:56:21 AM
GREAT information Home Dogs!

Do you chase these by Flat bet, Marty, Labby, etc.. ?

Just some random thoughts here....

Not sure how what the avg. juice is on this system, but just looking at a handful of teams it appears to be very random.

While chase systems are a real turn off to some people, I think we all know you need to employ smart money management to gain any kind of edge against the books.

Any thoughts on labbying these plays?  

At first I thought about having a labby line per team, but that might take too long to close out a line.   Would it make sense to manage the plays by teams in the Same Division, so you would have 6 separate sets of Labby lines, rather than 30 different labby lines?

Just looking to create a plan of action, that employs the lowest risk.


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#6
Posted: 3/6/2011 9:48:33 AM
Thanks for posting these, Home.  I will try these with $5 bets at first and ramp up as warranted.   But I just want to caution people who have never done a 5 or 6 game chase before.  You will need balls of steel when it comes down to betting on a 4th, 5th or 6th game, especially if you are using Martingale.  If you play Martingale to win 1 unit, you would be risking 32 units on game #6.   Using Lab. is less painful, but still requires a decent bankroll dedicated to this system.  But you MUST bet the required units for these systems to work, and these that Home has posted look like they will work well. GLTA
                                              
                                          
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#7
Posted: 3/6/2011 11:10:30 AM
It's at cappersmall  in the mlb section
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#8
Posted: 3/6/2011 11:18:45 AM
How come you don't eliminate the teams that have system losses.  Like in System 1 Detroit lost last year.  It would be smart to eliminate them as well this year.
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#9
Posted: 3/6/2011 11:33:45 AM
You can also have the same plays for each system.  On day 1 say it's DET 0  NYY 7.   So you would bet on NYY for all 3 systems.
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#10
Posted: 3/6/2011 9:24:36 PM
what happens if theres two games going at once do u stick to one line or do use another line for another series..(for labbY)
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#11
Posted: 3/8/2011 4:09:43 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Snappa:

Thanks for posting these, Home.  I will try these with $5 bets at first and ramp up as warranted.   But I just want to caution people who have never done a 5 or 6 game chase before.  You will need balls of steel when it comes down to betting on a 4th, 5th or 6th game, especially if you are using Martingale.  If you play Martingale to win 1 unit, you would be risking 32 units on game #6.   Using Lab. is less painful, but still requires a decent bankroll dedicated to this system.  But you MUST bet the required units for these systems to work, and these that Home has posted look like they will work well. GLTA
                                              
                                         

Would you be kind enough to explain this? Still not sure how you would follow System 1? Does this mean you don't start this system till the 2nd game of the season?

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#12
Posted: 3/8/2011 7:47:56 AM
Just wait for a team to have a game when they score no runs and bet aginst them for the next 6 games.
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#13
Posted: 3/25/2011 12:21:35 AM
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#14
Posted: 3/30/2011 4:20:57 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

Just wait for a team to have a game when they score no runs and bet aginst them for the next 6 games.

Thanks! Now since this is a chase system, how does the units betting go? Is this one of those systems that you double up every game or just play 1 unit per game up till game6?

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#15
Posted: 3/30/2011 11:32:00 PM
who do you suggest to omit for your plays this season? or do you wait a bit into the season first?
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#16
Posted: 3/31/2011 3:59:43 AM

added u as a friend awaiting to PM u 
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#17
Posted: 3/31/2011 4:38:59 PM

If I'm reading this correctly, so far we have:

System #1: Nats Chase 6 games

System #2: Braves Chase 5 games

 

Lmk if I'm misunderstanding the systems.

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#18
Posted: 3/31/2011 4:39:56 PM
And anyone know if these bets are ML or RL bets?
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#19
Posted: 3/31/2011 7:17:17 PM
i interpret only game is atl...no washington...it's bet AGAINST the team who scored 0 runs...and FOR the team that shutout the opposing team
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#20
Posted: 4/1/2011 1:44:31 AM

Since Atl falls under System #1 and System #2, does this mean you play 2 units on Atl till game 5 (end of system2) then 1 unit on game 6?

 

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#21
Posted: 4/1/2011 12:16:04 PM
Look good.
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#22
Posted: 4/4/2011 10:03:19 PM

bet against this clown I won w wash and pitt tonite 142-3 now

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#23
Posted: 4/6/2011 12:12:42 PM
Anyone know if this is RL or ML bets??
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#24
Posted: 4/6/2011 2:52:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rubberneck:

bet against this clown I won w wash and pitt tonite 142-3 now



We are not even 7games into the season.....
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#25
Posted: 4/11/2011 10:57:40 PM

Anyone know if this is RL or ML?

Also, what happens when a Team Shuts a team out 2 games in a row? Does the 6/5 games chase start over and chase 6/5games more after that second shutout game? 

Or do you OMIT the final scores during the chases?

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