Posted:
#1
YTD: 24-19 +13.95 Units
I normally don't do this but playing a big card, feeling good and I see some value.
Wawarinka -140 over Dogloplov (1unit)
Wawa came to play this tournament. He could've easily quit his last match but decided not to. Why not go with the hot player granted he might be a little tired. Dogy always finds way to mess up and I'm banking on that.
Verdasco +1.5 sets +160 over Ferrer (1 unit)
Verdasco has been playing much better and is more rested than Ferrer. Verdasco has played a match on the courts and I think he steals a set off of Ferrer who I think is hungover still from choking against Nadal. Verdasco is also always pumped up to play a fellow countryman.
Benoit Paire -140 over Benneteau (1.5 units)
I feel Benoit had a better 1st round win than Benne. Almagro was till feeling that loss against Youzhny and didn't have everything in him. Benoit has been playing some good ball this clay season only losing to Nadal twice, Gasquet, Robredo, and Hanescu.
Janowicz +1.5 sets -130 over Tsonga (1.25 units)
Jerzy had a pretty good win over Giraldo and Tsonga always starts slow in these situations. Tough loss to Wawa having to go play this masters now. Jerzy always puts his against top players and he should be able to steal a set
Jovanovski +1.5 sets +140 over Jankovic (1 unit)
Time for Jankovic to go into her annual period mode and start losing a bunch of matches she shouldn't. After starting out great on clay shes lost 3/5 matches. Jovanovski coming off a good win against Wozi should have confidence here
Mchale +1.5 sets +130 over Errani (1 unit)
They have played 3 times and two of the matches went to three. Mchale always plays tough and Errani can't blow Mchale off the court and Mchale will grind for hours.
Stephens -130 over Bertens (1.25 units)
Stephens won me some money yesterday so I'll go with her again. Had a solid win and I think she has a good tourney here
Gulbis -300 over Troicki (1unit)
Gulbis is my boy
Huge card, will either go well or I'll lose a ton of units
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