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Author:	[Tennis] Topic: 2012 WTA Charleston (gc); Davis Cup QF's
AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#1 Posted: 4/2/2012 10:56:25 PM (544-602 +86.85u) Overall 2012 (6-3 +3.7u) Charleston tues card: 4u Stosur 2-0* 2u Wickmayer -255 Wickmayer -4 -110 Wickmayer 2-0 -105 Tatishvilli +135 1u Vesnina +975 Vesnina Spread* Vesnina +1.5 Sets* * Plays are not in because line doesnt exist.... Will post what I get on my lunch Break tom... Hopefully Stosur 2-0 is no worse than -250 - I figure Stosur will make quick work of the very green Hampton... Keep in mind this is a gimmicky surface that no one really plays... Especially young american players... At least Stosur has the benefit of having alot of red clay experience... - Wickmayer and Tatishvilli follow my idea of playing girls who had success last year on this surface... - Vesnina made the final last year and despite her struggle in the first round I think she can win... I would be shocked to see Serena play a focused quality match... But with that said she can beat anyone even playing her worst... gl all and hail kentucky for bailing out every schmuck gambler in the universe tonight...
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kevinkim	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports \|
Veteran Joined: Oct 2005 Posts: 3317 Location: Quebec	#2 Posted: 4/3/2012 12:51:42 AM vesnina should have a shot to win tomorrow's weather in charleston is rain all day, i dont know but serena might not want to stay too long in that city. anyway +975 looks tempting.
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#3 Posted: 4/3/2012 12:28:43 PM 4-0 +8.7u start to the day forgot to post my futures from the previous thread in this thread.... 2u Stosur o win charleston +530 .5u Vesnina to win chareson +15070 All pending: 4u Stosur 2-0 -190 1u Vesnina +975 Vesnina +7 -115 Vesnina +1.5 Sets +340 gl all
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#4 Posted: 4/3/2012 4:55:02 PM thank goodness stosur got that done... little scary when she got broken serving for the match.... so far most everything has gone as planned and I am brimming with confidence which is probably not a good thing... it time to inflate the loss totals as I took Vesnina a little bigger and added a few plays.... I feel strongly that she has a chance and hopefully she will cash big time... (549-602 +99.55u) Overall 2012 (11-3 +16.4u) Charleston (5-0 +12.7u) Today Pending: 2u Vesnina +7 -115 Vesnina/Serena Over 17 -130 1u Vesnina +975 Vesnina First Set +550 Vesnina +1.5 Sets +340 Vesnina 2-0 +1600 Vesnina/Serena Over 2.5 Sets +400 If I lose I likely lose them all... but you gotta go for it sometimes... gl all
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#5 Posted: 4/3/2012 10:15:32 PM 2-6 -1.5u on vesnina play w/ a future loss (551-611 +98.05u) Overall 2012 (13-9 +14.9u) Charleston wed: 4u Petrova 2-0 -240 2u Mirza/Shvedova -140b, 140r Zahalova-Strycova +1.5 Set -135 Zahalova-Strycova +3.5 Games +115 Tatishvili +1.5 Sets* Tatishvili +4 +105 Shvedova +1.5 Sets +105 Shvedova +5 -120 1u Zahalova-Strycova +180 Zahalova-Strycova 2-0 +375 Tatishvili +210 Tatishvili 2-0* Shvedova +350 Shvedova 2-0* *Will post lines on these tomorrow at lunch... Petrova play not in yet but it is where the line is on pinny right now... - I love to fade craybas if she gets past the first round of any tourney... Petrova took out a solid clay courter with ease today... Dont see anything complicated here... - Mirza/Shvedova were champs here last year - Strycova and Tatshvilli are just continuing my theme of playing people who did decent last year... just give me a set ladies - Shvedova has a game that I think really fits the surface... I will be playing Venus 2-0... Already in for a little at +135 but waiting to post until I see how my day goes... GL ALL
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#6 Posted: 4/4/2012 6:03:33 PM tastishvilli +1.5 was -120, tashvilli 2-0 was +410 and shvedova 2-0 was +450 crappy day, petrova doing the lost puppy routine in the third and 2 of my dogs couldnt cl0se out 1st Sets that they were dominating... Tastishvilli lost 10 of 13 games to end the match.. If you are surprised at my Shvedova ML line then join the club but thats where pinny opened it last night... I had to double check my play but it was +348 last night... 4-9 -10.6u Today Pending and added: 5u Venus -170 Venus 2-0 +135 3u Venus -3 -120 2u Mirza/Shvedova -140b, -140r gl all
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#7 Posted: 4/4/2012 9:32:37 PM 8-9 +6.15u today would have been pissed if venus didn't get that first set given the finish... (559-620 +104.2u) Overall 2012 (21-18 +21.05) Charleston good week going but it's getting dicey
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#8 Posted: 4/5/2012 1:25:28 AM Simple, straight forward stuff thurs... all plays not it yet but these are lines available now... 3u Mirza/Vesnina over Pavly/Safarova -170, -160r Shvedova +150 1u Erakovic +800 Erakovic +1.5 +275 Erakovic +6.5 +100 Shvedova +1.5 -180 Shvedova +3 -115 - Mirza/Vesnina are my pick to reapeat as doubles champs, I will lay the juice all week with them - My thought that Shvedova's games suits this surface is coming through with a solid beatdown of Wickmayer, now it seems the books agree - Erakovic is a solid server and seems to be doing well, getting good odds here so I figured a stab was necessary GL ALL
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#9 Posted: 4/5/2012 11:10:03 PM will clean up tomorrow hopefully doubles gets it done Fri Card 2u Garrigues /Shvedova -105, +110r gonna play hercog ML tomorrow for 10-15u
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#10 Posted: 4/5/2012 11:28:21 PM Davis Cup ties... I see all chalk 5u France Over USA -240 Czech Rep Over Serbia -180 ** I am still working hard on getting these plays in... Just posting the lines as they stand on Pinnacle right now.. GL ALL
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PhatChineseDude	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 578 Location:	#11 Posted: 4/6/2012 1:20:04 PM good luck with your picks consen.. I also like the look of Hercog over Petrova..I didn't actually see their games, but Hercog beating Bartoli and Petrova going 3 sets with Craybas makes Hercog look awful tempting for the return shes giving
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#12 Posted: 4/6/2012 5:30:40 PM got Hercog at +100 last night.. sitting around -120 now... just gonna call it -115 10u Hercog -115 Havent liked Petrova all week... very inconsistent... I believe she will struggle against a relentless Hercog... GL ALL
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#13 Posted: 4/6/2012 8:44:56 PM 2-7 -1.8u Last 2 Days Could have been much worse, books bailed be out with that soft Hercog line... (561-627 +102.4u) Overall 2012 (23-25 +19.25u) Charleston still got Stosur future pending and Davis cup plays pending... Might make a parlay tomorrow, but otherwise no bets tomorrow... If Serena to win Charleston is at -120 or better I will probably hedge the Stosure Future... But otherwise thats about it... Slim pickens tomorrow... I like the Bryan Bros to get upset on the clay but I already have action with my France play... GL ALL
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kjrpat	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Nov 2007 Posts: 1695 Location:	#14 Posted: 4/7/2012 12:57:36 AM i think stoser will beat serena
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#15 Posted: 4/7/2012 8:32:28 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by kjrpat: i think stoser will beat serena i hope so, I have decided to let it ride... I just hate the fact that they are playing at 1pm... You woud think they woud at least push them to the 2nd match with stosur paying 5.5 sets yesterday and serena playing half a set...
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#16 Posted: 4/8/2012 1:53:14 AM -2u on stosur play will clean up after today 4u Isner/Tsonga Over 41.5, 42.5 -110, -105 2u Safarova +5.5 -110 Safarova +515
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Anent	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports \|
Captain Joined: Nov 2007 Posts: 9020 Location: California	#17 Posted: 4/8/2012 3:13:36 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by AgainstDaConsen: i hope so, I have decided to let it ride... I just hate the fact that they are playing at 1pm... You woud think they woud at least push them to the 2nd match with stosur paying 5.5 sets yesterday and serena playing half a set... sounds like the event organizers, sponsors, etc. are sliding the match toward the public favorite.
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PhatChineseDude	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 578 Location:	#18 Posted: 4/8/2012 3:25:05 AM I like the Isner/ Tsonga over.. I can definitly see it going at least 4 sets
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#19 Posted: 4/8/2012 9:40:24 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Anent: sounds like the event organizers, sponsors, etc. are sliding the match toward the public favorite. i think it was mainly a tv issue good stuff from isner i got burnt hard on my davis cup play... added: 5u delpo 3-0 -140 delpo 3-0
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#20 Posted: 4/8/2012 1:11:48 PM ADDED: 5u Garrigues/Shvedova -135, -130, -145, -140r, -125b
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#21 Posted: 4/9/2012 2:52:12 AM crappy finish to the week (564-632 +91.45u) Overall 2012 (3-1 +2u) Davis Cup QF (23-29 +6.3u) Charleston will start new thread later... plays for tomorrow.. GL ALL 2u Berlocq -4 -140 Berlocq 2-0 -115 Babos -210 Sadikovic +240, +220b Halep + GGL +115 1u Soeda +120r Gutierrez-Ferrol +200 Phau 2-0 +110 Hving rotten luck lately... My big play is on Berlocq who I think should dispose of Blake easily... they take the court at 7pm ET so depending on how the day goes and the line, I might make firly large play on Berlocq ML... riht now its -300 which is more than a little pricey... Futures: 1u Barthel to Win Copenhagen +1200 Vinci to Win Barcelona +1200 Ivo to Win Houston +2510 GGL to Win Casablanca +2750
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#22 Posted: 4/9/2012 12:24:08 PM decent start to the day so I went for Berlocq with the juice... 3u Berlocq -335 gl all
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AgainstDaConsen	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Feb 2007 Posts: 16713 Location: Northwest Territories	#23 Posted: 4/9/2012 9:32:33 PM (4-3 +2.2u) Week (568-635 +93.65u) Overall 2012 glad I made that last bet on berlocq, upset I made the other two new thread tom peace
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